Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The New Year holiday travel showed strong growth, with a total of 803 million people traveling across regions from December 31, 2025, to January 3, 2026, averaging 201 million people per day, a year-on-year increase of 19.75%. The total passenger transport volume reached 209 million, with a daily average of 52 million, up 31.1% year-on-year [4][7] - The aviation sector experienced both volume and price increases, with daily flight numbers averaging 14,900 during the holiday, a 2.9% increase compared to 2025 and a 13.2% increase compared to 2019. The average ticket price for domestic economy class reached 684.6 CNY, showing a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [4][9] - The railway and waterway transport sectors outperformed the market, with year-on-year growth rates of 54.5% and 32.7%, respectively, during the holiday period [4][7] Summary by Sections Holiday Travel Data - Total national passenger transport volume reached 20,943.4 million, with a year-on-year growth of 31.1% [7] - Railway passenger transport volume was 6,476.9 million, with a year-on-year growth of 54.5% [7] - Road passenger transport volume was 13,374 million, with a year-on-year growth of 23.2% [7] - Waterway passenger transport volume was 287.4 million, with a year-on-year growth of 32.7% [7] - Civil aviation passenger transport volume was 805.1 million, with a year-on-year growth of 13.1% [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on airlines with stable volume growth and improving prices, specifically mentioning Hainan Airlines, China National Aviation Holding, and Spring Airlines [4] - In the railway sector, it highlights the growth potential of Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway due to increased capacity and network effects [4]

Group 1 - The report highlights a positive outlook for the A-share market, anticipating a "spring opening red" driven by policy expectations, liquidity, and fundamental improvements, particularly in technology, non-bank financials, and consumer sectors [1][9] - The report identifies a new trend of price increases in certain sectors, indicating a recovery in demand alongside supply constraints, particularly in chemicals and new energy materials [10][11] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI and emerging technologies in driving growth, with recommendations for investments in sectors such as technology, non-bank financials, and cyclical stocks [11][12] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings is noted for solid revenue and profit growth, with an emphasis on AI ecosystem collaboration, projecting significant increases in revenue and net profit for the coming years [17][18] - Alibaba Group is recognized for its strong AI cloud business and a clear path to reducing losses in its instant retail segment, with adjusted revenue forecasts showing growth [21][22] - Cambricon Technologies is highlighted as a leading AI chip company, with substantial revenue growth and a positive outlook for future performance, supported by increasing demand for AI chips [29][30] Group 3 - The report discusses the electronic sector, particularly Longsys Technology's IPO, which is expected to enhance the competitiveness of domestic DRAM products and support the semiconductor supply chain [24][25] - The communication sector is benefiting from AI infrastructure investments, with strong performance expected from key players in light of increased capital expenditures [34][36] - The report notes the potential for new investment opportunities in satellite internet and quantum communication as these technologies mature [38]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation industry [2] Core Views - The report highlights a significant year-on-year increase in travel demand during the New Year holiday period, attributed to a low base effect from the previous year [6] - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from limited supply growth, rising ticket prices, and improved profitability due to favorable oil prices and currency exchange rates [9] Summary by Sections Travel Demand Growth - During the 2026 New Year holiday, cross-regional travel reached 595 million trips, averaging 198 million trips per day, with a year-on-year growth of 19.62% [6] - Rail travel saw the highest growth at 52.6%, while civil aviation grew by 10.4% and intercity buses by 20.8% [6] Aviation Sector Insights - Civil aviation passenger volume reached 5.88 million during the holiday, with a daily average of 1.96 million, reflecting a 10.4% increase year-on-year [6] - Average domestic economy class ticket prices rose to 684.6 yuan, showing a recovery trend after a decline in the previous year [6] Road and Rail Travel - Road travel accounted for 540 million trips, with a daily average of 18 million, marking a 15.7% increase year-on-year [7] - Rail travel demand remained strong, with an estimated 48.09 million trips during the holiday, reflecting a 52.7% year-on-year increase [8] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the aviation sector for 2026, anticipating strong performance during the Spring Festival and sustained demand growth in the medium to long term [9] - Key stocks recommended include Huaxia Airlines, Spring Airlines, and China Southern Airlines, all rated as "Buy" with target prices set for 2026 [5][12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, particularly in light of recent developments in Venezuela and the increase in new ship prices [1][2]. Core Insights - Venezuela's political changes are expected to benefit compliant tanker markets, with a potential increase in oil exports leading to higher demand for Aframax tankers and VLCCs [3][4]. - New ship prices have shown an upward trend, with a 0.5% increase reported, particularly in gas carriers which rose by 1% [3]. - The report highlights a significant drop in VLCC freight rates, which fell by 36% week-on-week, while the Atlantic market remains relatively stable [3][4]. Summary by Sections Shipping Market - The report notes that the recent escalation in Venezuela's situation could lead to a 1.4% increase in compliant VLCC oil transport demand and a 4.0% increase for Aframax tankers [3][4]. - The average VLCC freight rate was reported at $43,895 per day, with Middle East to Far East rates dropping to $38,690 per day, a decrease of 45% from the previous week [3][4]. New Ship Prices - New ship prices have increased by 0.5% to 185.59 points, although they are down 1.85% compared to the beginning of 2025 [3][4]. Oil and Product Transport - The LR2-TC1 freight rate increased by 5% to $42,671 per day, supported by tight capacity in previous weeks [3]. - The report indicates a decline in MR average freight rates by 5% to $23,103 per day, with the Atlantic market remaining stable despite the holiday season [3][4]. Air Transport - The report anticipates significant improvements in airline profitability due to supply constraints and increasing passenger volumes, recommending several airlines for investment [3][4]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined for future performance [3][4]. Rail and Road Transport - Rail freight volumes and highway truck traffic are expected to maintain steady growth, with recent data showing a slight decrease in volumes [3][4].

格隆汇1月4日丨吉祥航空(603885.SH)公布，截至2025年12月31日，公司通过集中竞价交易方式累计回 购股份数量为3647.49万股，占公司目前总股本（2,184,005,268股）的比例为1.67%，购买的最高价为人 民币13.46元/股，最低价为人民币11.93元/股，已支付的总金额为人民币463,348,666.73元（不含交易费 用）。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation and oil transportation sectors, indicating a positive outlook for both industries [35]. Core Insights - The aviation sector is expected to see robust demand growth, driven by increased travel during the New Year holiday, with significant year-on-year increases in both passenger volume and ticket prices. The report suggests a strategic investment during the off-peak season, anticipating a long-term super cycle [3][4]. - In the oil transportation sector, while seasonal price declines are noted, the report emphasizes the potential for future price increases due to ongoing global oil production growth and limited capacity expansion. It recommends a contrarian investment approach during the off-peak period [3][4]. Summary by Sections Aviation Sector - The report highlights a strong increase in travel demand during the New Year holiday, with a 19% year-on-year increase in overall passenger movement from December 31, 2025, to January 2, 2026. Specifically, civil aviation saw a 13% increase [3][4]. - Domestic ticket prices are estimated to rise by over 10% year-on-year during the holiday period, despite a projected short-term dip in passenger flow post-holiday [3][4]. - The aviation industry is experiencing high load factors while ticket prices remain at historical lows, suggesting a favorable environment for profitability growth driven by demand recovery and market pricing dynamics [3][4]. Oil Transportation Sector - The report notes that the average daily earnings for Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCC) reached $51,000 in 2025, significantly higher than the $36,000 in 2023-2024, driven by improved capacity utilization and increased oil production from the Middle East and South America [3][4]. - Despite a recent decline in freight rates during the traditional off-peak season, the report maintains a positive outlook for future price increases, supported by ongoing global oil production growth and limited fleet expansion [3][4]. - The report suggests monitoring geopolitical developments, particularly in Venezuela, and recommends increasing positions in companies like COSCO Shipping Energy, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and China Shipbuilding Leasing [3][4].

证券代码：603885 证券简称：吉祥航空 公告编号：2026-001 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司 关于以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份的回购进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： | 回购方案首次披露日 | 2025/2/6 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 回购方案实施期限 | 年 月 2025 1 1 | 27 | 日~2026 | 年 | 月 | 26 | 日 | | 预计回购金额 | 25,000万元~50,000万元 | | | | | | | | 回购用途 | √减少注册资本 √用于员工持股计划或股权激励 □用于转换公司可转债 | | | | | | | | 累计已回购股数 | □为维护公司价值及股东权益 36,474,886股 | | | | | | | | 累计已回购股数占总股本比例 | 1.67% | | | | | | | | 累计已回购金额 | 463,348,666.73元 ...

2025年吉祥航空航班准点率达92%，全年安全执行航班超11万班次，承运旅客超2000万人次。吉祥航空 现运营机队规模103架，含旗下九元航空在内机队总规模达129架。2025年吉祥航空国际中转旅客量突破 50万人次，同比增长四成。2025年吉祥航空护航近450只萌宠与主人同行，完成3次主题包机任务。 (吉祥航空) 据吉祥航空（603885）披露，2025年吉祥航空及旗下九元航空共执行航班超15万班次，安全运送旅客突 破2700万人次。 ...

北京商报讯（记者 关子辰 牛清妍）2026年1 月1日，记者从吉祥航空获悉，吉祥航空2025年的安全运行工作圆满 收官。2025年吉祥航空及旗下九元航空共执行航班超15万班次，安全运送旅客突破2700万人次。 2025年吉祥航空航班准点率达92%，全年安全执行航班超11万班次，承运旅客超2000万人次。吉祥航空现运营机 队规模103架，含旗下九元航空在内机队总规模达129架。2025年吉祥航空国际中转旅客量突破50万人次，同比增 长四成。2025年吉祥航空护航近450只萌宠与主人同行，完成3次主题包机任务。 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the aviation sector, particularly in the context of the appreciation of the Renminbi (RMB) and its impact on various industries including airports and light industry paper manufacturing [1][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - The appreciation of the RMB is expected to enhance the financial performance of sectors like aviation and light industry paper due to improved cost and debt structures [1][3]. - Historical data indicates that different sectors lead the market during phases of rapid RMB appreciation, with core assets leading in 2017, new energy and military industries in 2020-2021, and economic recovery valuation logic in late 2022 to early 2023 [1][6]. - The current phase of RMB appreciation differs from previous ones, with reduced foreign capital influence and increased domestic pricing power, shifting market focus towards technological transformation rather than mere economic recovery [1][7]. - The aviation sector is highlighted as a key beneficiary, with significant cost components (over 60%) being dollar-denominated, meaning even slight RMB appreciation can lead to substantial profit increases [3][9]. Investment Opportunities - Short-term investment opportunities are identified in the aviation and light industry paper sectors, particularly as companies prepare to release annual reports [1][8]. - The second tier of investment opportunities includes foreign-invested blue-chip stocks such as electric equipment, electronics, and food and beverage sectors, which have shown resilience during past RMB appreciation phases [5]. - The third tier includes large financial and real estate sectors, which have a high proportion of RMB-denominated assets, benefiting from balance sheet improvements during RMB appreciation [5]. Additional Important Insights - The global aircraft manufacturing industry is facing supply chain bottlenecks due to de-globalization, affecting the availability of materials and components [11]. - The performance of Chinese airlines has significantly outpaced the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, driven by increased international route demand and favorable pricing dynamics [12]. - Airlines like China Southern, China Eastern, Air China, and budget carriers such as Spring Airlines are identified as high-elasticity investment opportunities due to their potential recovery from historical lows [3][12]. - The upcoming delivery of new aircraft orders (e.g., Spring Airlines and Juneyao Airlines) is expected to support fleet updates and future growth [10].