Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 321.47 CNY, based on an estimated equity value of 167.2 billion CNY [2][4]. Core Insights - The company's revenue and profit growth have exceeded expectations, with a forecasted revenue increase for 2025-2026 and projected earnings per share of 9.13, 11.85, and 13.79 CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2][10]. - The report highlights the effectiveness of new product channel reuse and sustained high growth in traditional market bases [1][9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 11,263 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 32.4%. By 2027, revenue is expected to reach 30,570 million CNY, with a growth rate of 13.3% [3][15]. - Operating profit is forecasted to grow from 2,588 million CNY in 2023 to 8,975 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 16.4% [3][15]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 2,040 million CNY in 2023 to 7,173 million CNY in 2027, with a growth rate of 16.4% [3][15]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 43.1% in 2023 to 48.7% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to rise from 18.1% to 23.5% over the same period [3][15]. Product Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 48.48 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 39.23%, with a net profit of 9.80 billion CNY, up 47.62% [9]. - The revenue from the flagship product, Dongpeng Special Drink, was 39 billion CNY, growing by 25.7% year-on-year, while the electrolyte drink revenue surged by 261.5% [9]. Market Position and Growth - The company has demonstrated strong growth in various regions, with notable increases in revenue from the Southwest (61.78%) and North China (71.67%) [9]. - The report emphasizes the company's robust distribution network, with 4 million terminal points enhancing its market reach and product availability [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 315 RMB, compared to the last closing price of 275 RMB [1][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a strong start in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 4.85 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 39.2%, and a net profit of 980 million RMB, up 47.6% year-on-year [4][5]. - The growth is driven by strong performance in the special beverage segment and the continued success of the "Beverage" product line, which saw significant year-on-year increases [5][7]. - The company is focusing on national expansion and has made progress in its platform-based growth strategy, with plans for international market entry, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [7][8]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 44.5%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to economies of scale and declining raw material costs [6]. - The net profit margin also improved, reaching 20.2%, up 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in profitability [6]. - The company aims for revenue and profit growth of no less than 20% for 2025, with a strong focus on expanding its product offerings and market reach [7][8]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 21 billion RMB, 26.2 billion RMB, and 31.3 billion RMB, representing year-on-year growth rates of 32%, 25%, and 19% respectively [8][9]. - Net profit projections for the same period are 4.6 billion RMB, 5.9 billion RMB, and 7 billion RMB, with growth rates of 37%, 29%, and 20% respectively [8][9]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong performance relative to the market, with a projected PE ratio of 31, 24, and 20 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [8][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [8] Core Views - The company has achieved high growth in performance, with a revenue of 4.848 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 39.23%, and a net profit of 980 million yuan, up 47.62% year-on-year [2][3] - The company's strategy of "nationalization + multi-category" is effectively driving growth, particularly in energy drinks and electrolyte beverages, with significant revenue increases in emerging markets [3][9] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q1 2025, the company's main business revenue was primarily from energy drinks, generating 3.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.71%, accounting for 80.50% of total revenue [3] - Electrolyte beverage revenue reached 570 million yuan, up 261.46% year-on-year, increasing its share to 11.76% [3] - Other beverage sales amounted to 375 million yuan, a 72.62% increase year-on-year, contributing 7.74% to total revenue [3] Regional Performance - The company successfully expanded into emerging markets such as North China and Southwest regions, with North China achieving sales of 746 million yuan, up 71.67% year-on-year, and Southwest region revenue of 623 million yuan, up 61.78% [3] - Revenue from Guangdong was 1.125 billion yuan, a 21.58% increase year-on-year, but its share decreased to 23.22% [3] Profitability - The gross margin increased by 1.70 percentage points to 44.47% in Q1 2025, primarily due to lower raw material prices and economies of scale [4] - The net profit margin rose by 1.14 percentage points to 20.21% [4] Financial Forecast - The company aims for over 20% growth in revenue and net profit for 2025, with projected net profits of 4.029 billion yuan, 4.937 billion yuan, and 6.107 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 7.75 yuan, 9.49 yuan, and 11.74 yuan for the same years [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [8] Core Views - The company has achieved high growth in performance, with a revenue of 4.848 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 39.23%, and a net profit of 980 million yuan, up 47.62% year-on-year [2][3] - The company's strategy of "nationalization + multi-category" is effectively driving growth, particularly in energy drinks and electrolyte beverages, with significant revenue increases in emerging markets [3][9] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q1 2025, the company's main business revenue was primarily from energy drinks, generating 3.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.71%, accounting for 80.50% of total revenue. Electrolyte drinks saw revenue of 570 million yuan, up 261.46%, and other beverages generated 375 million yuan, up 72.62% [3] - The company successfully expanded into new markets such as North China and Southwest China, with North China revenue reaching 746 million yuan, a 71.67% increase year-on-year, and Southwest revenue at 623 million yuan, up 61.78% [3] Profitability - The gross margin increased by 1.70 percentage points to 44.47% in Q1 2025, primarily due to lower raw material prices and economies of scale. The net profit margin also rose by 1.14 percentage points to 20.21% [4] - The company aims for a revenue and net profit growth of over 20% in 2025, with projected net profits of 4.029 billion yuan, 4.937 billion yuan, and 6.107 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15.839 billion yuan, 20.154 billion yuan, 25.151 billion yuan, and 30.742 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 40.63%, 27.24%, 24.79%, and 22.23% [4][10] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 6.40 yuan, 7.75 yuan, 9.49 yuan, and 11.74 yuan for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 35.80, 29.56, 24.12, and 19.50 [12]

2025 年 4 月 17 日 公司研究 25 年开局表现亮眼，电解质饮料持续放量，全国化扩张步伐稳健 ——东鹏饮料（605499.SH）2025 年一季报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：267.58 元 作者 分析师：陈彦彤 执业证书编号：S0930518070002 021-52523689 chenyt@ebscn.com 分析师：汪航宇 执业证书编号：S0930523070002 021-52523877 wanghangyu@ebscn.com 分析师：聂博雅 执业证书编号：S0930522030003 021-52523808 nieboya@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 5.20 | | 总市值(亿元)： | 1391.44 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 142.14/278.49 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 30.53% | 股价相对走势 -11% 14% 40% 65% 90% 04/24 07/24 10/24 01/25 东鹏饮料 沪深300 | 收益表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

事件：公司发布2025 年第一季度报告，实现营业收入48.48 亿元，同比增长39.23%；实现归母净利润 9.80 亿元，同比增长47.62%；实现扣非净利润9.59 亿元，同比增长53.55%。 能量饮料持续增长，新品收入增长亮眼。 盈利预测及投资评级：核心产品东鹏特饮凭借"精准定位+高效触达"策略，收入持续增长。电解质饮 料"东鹏补水啦"持续高增。我们预计公司2025-27年实现营收207.8/253.8/300.7 亿元，同比增长31.2% /22.1%/18.5% ， 实现归母净利润44.3/54.2/64.9 亿元，同比增长33.3%/22.3%/19.8%，维持"推荐"评级。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、新品推广不及预期、原材料价格大幅波动等。 2）分区域看：25Q1 广东区域实现收入11.3 亿元，同比增长21.6%，我们预计主要系新产品渠道复用增 长带动；华东/华中/广西/西南/华北区域分别实现收入6.6/6.8/3.8/6.2/7.5 亿元， 分别同比增长 30.8%/28.6%/31.9%/61.8%/71.7%。广东省外其他区域规模仍持续增长。线上/重客及其他收入分别实现 1.0/5.3 ...

食品饮料/饮料乳品 东鹏饮料（605499.SH） 2025Q1 高歌猛进，继续发力 2025 年 04 月 17 日 投资评级：增持（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/16 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 275.00 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 298.06/188.50 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,430.04 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,430.04 | | 总股本(亿股) | 5.20 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 5.20 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 31.54 | 股价走势图 -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 东鹏饮料 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《2024 年收入高增，2025 年稳中求进 —公司信息更新报告》-2025.3.11 《开局良好，新品可期—公司信息更 新报告》-2024.4.23 《2023 年高速增长，2024 年势头良好 —公司信息更新报告》-2024.4.17 张宇光（分析师） 方勇（分析师） zhangyuguang@kysec. ...

"东鹏补水啦"是东鹏饮料2023年推出的电解质水新品牌，2024年其营收同比增长280.37%至约15亿元， 也就是说东鹏饮料用两年的时间又打造了一款15亿规模的单品。在东鹏特饮线上平台官方旗舰店内，这 款产品的销量已攀升至店铺第二位。 电解质水是近年来饮料行业的热门赛道。2024年，康师傅饮品涉足功能性饮料领域，推出"无限.电"电 解质水。统一企业于2022年重启海之言品牌，将产品从清淡果味饮料转型为电解质饮料，并联手咨询公 司华与华重新讲述品牌故事。早在2021年，元气森林就推出了外星人电解质水，又在2023年推出了"外 星人WAVE"电解质水。 今年4月，东鹏饮料向港交所提交了上市申请。东鹏饮料监事会表示，此次发行是为了进一步提高公司 的资本实力和综合竞争力，提升公司国际化品牌形象，满足公司国际业务发展需要，深入推进公司全球 化战略。 功能饮料赛道的另一位资深玩家是红牛，其主要定位于高端市场，而东鹏饮料则以较低的价格瞄准对价 格敏感的下沉市场，主要消费群体为建筑、货运、快递等行业的蓝领人群。2016年后，红牛陷入商标纠 纷导致市场扩张受影响，东鹏饮料趁机抢占渠道。尼尔森IQ数据显示，2024年东鹏特饮在 ...

国产功能饮料龙头东鹏饮料正冲击A+H上市。 格隆汇获悉，近期，东鹏饮料（集团）股份有限公司（简称"东鹏饮料"）向港交所递交招股书，拟在香港主板上市， 华泰国际、摩根士丹利、瑞银集团为联席保荐人。 经过多年发，东鹏饮料（605499）已成为国内第一、全球领先的功能饮料企业，并于2021年在A股上市，2024年营收 超158亿元，但也存在依赖大单品、产品销售依赖经销商渠道等经营隐忧。同时，近几年东鹏饮料被大股东多次减持 套现的行为，也引发市场担忧。 截止今天（4月16日）下午收盘，A股东鹏饮料股价涨2.77%至275元/股，市值约1430亿元。如今中国软饮料市场情况 如何？不妨通过东鹏饮料来一探究竟。 图片来源于格隆汇 1 卖功能饮料产品，深圳南山冲出一家IPO 东鹏饮料总部位于广东省深圳市南山区，其前身东鹏实业于1994年6月注册成立，2003年10月林木勤先生及东鹏实业 其他19名员工受让东鹏实业产权，东鹏实业改制为东鹏有限，并在2018年3月改制为股份有限公司。 2021年，东鹏饮料登陆上海证券交易所上市，成为中国"能量饮料第一股"，如今又要谋求A+H上市。 公司在中国能量饮料领域首创PET包装，并创新性地 ...

Q1 业绩亮眼，成长势能充沛 2025 年 04 月 16 日 ➢ 事件：2025 年 4 月 15 日，公司发布 2025 年一季报，25Q1 公司实现营业 收入/归母净利润/扣非后归母净利润 48.48/9.80/9.59 亿元，分别同比 +39.23%/+47.62%/+53.55%。 东鹏饮料（605499.SH）2025 年一季报点评 ➢ 核心单品增势稳健，电解质占比突破双位数。分产品看，25Q1 公司能量饮 料营收 39.0 亿元，同比+25.7%；电解质水营收 5.7 亿元，同比+261.5%，占比 突破双位数达 11.8%，同比+7.2pct；其他饮料营收 3.7 亿元，同比+72.6%，占 比达 7.7%，同比+1.5pct。公司坚持渠道开拓及精耕，为营收高增打下坚实基础， 同时平台化布局呈加速趋势，第二曲线及新品营收贡献持续爬升，其中核心产品 东鹏特饮在网点持续开拓之外，持续通过营销投入夯实品牌力并拓展消费人群， 单点卖力不断提升，东鹏补水啦作为第二增长极终端铺货率快速爬坡，公司多品 类战略布局亦持续深化。分区域看，25Q1 广东区域营收 11.3 亿元，同比+22%； 与此同时，公司全国 ...