Core Viewpoint - Hisense Home Appliances is considering merging its electronic products and home appliance businesses, which has led to a significant increase in its stock price by over 6% [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved an operating revenue of 71.5327 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.35% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.8118 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.67% [1] - In the third quarter alone, the company reported revenue of 22.19 billion yuan, an increase of 1.16% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in the third quarter was 740 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.4% [1] Market Impact - The stock price of Hisense Home Appliances rose by 6.11%, reaching 26.4 Hong Kong dollars, with a trading volume of 116 million Hong Kong dollars [1] - Huatai Securities noted that the company's performance in the third quarter was under pressure due to weak central air conditioning sales and fluctuations in exports [1]

Summary of Hisense Home Appliances Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hisense Home Appliances - **Industry**: Home Appliances, specifically focusing on white goods like refrigerators, washing machines, and air conditioning systems Key Points and Arguments Revenue Growth Challenges - Fourth-quarter revenue growth is facing challenges, with domestic sales of air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines under pressure due to high base effects [2][3] - Positive growth is expected in overseas orders for refrigerators and washing machines, while processing orders are anticipated to recover gradually by the end of December [2][4] Market Demand and Strategy - Demand in the European and American markets is stable, with Hisense steadily increasing its market share [2][7] - Emerging markets show potential for growth but are subject to significant volatility [2][7] - The company aims to enhance the price index of white goods to compete with brands like Samsung, leveraging superior manufacturing and production capabilities [2][9][10] Central Air Conditioning Business - The export of central air conditioning systems is slowing due to the impact of the European market, with plans to expand into the Middle East, Africa, and ASEAN markets [2][11] - A focus on promoting water system central air conditioning and improving self-manufacturing capabilities for core components is planned for next year [2][11] Impact of Tariffs - Tariffs have a minimal overall impact on Hisense, with the U.S. business maintaining a slight profit margin [2][11] - Future pricing may fluctuate with costs and tariffs, but improvements in sales structure are expected to enhance overall average prices [2][11] Domestic Sales Performance - The performance during the Double Eleven shopping festival was average, attributed to a high base from the previous year [2][12] - High-end models received some promotional support, although the impact was not substantial [2][12][14] Profitability Insights - External sales profit margins are expected to improve, while domestic profit margins are relatively low [2][15] - The company is focusing on cost reduction, efficiency improvements, and structural enhancements to optimize expense ratios [2][15] Store Expansion Plans - Hisense has reached approximately 10,000 specialty stores and plans to steadily expand next year, targeting an increase of several hundred to 1,000 new stores [2][16] - The majority of stores are performing well, with a focus on improving profitability in lower-performing channels [2][16] Online vs. Offline Sales - Offline sales have higher profit margins compared to online sales, which account for about 40% of domestic sales [2][17] Competitive Landscape - The domestic market is expected to remain competitive, with new entrants like Xiaomi intensifying competition [2][18] - The company aims to enhance product efficiency and profitability to counter price wars [2][18] Water Machine Business - Hisense's water machine business is focused on the B-end market, with significant potential for domestic replacement [2][26] - The goal is to increase market share to double digits within two to three years, currently holding a single-digit share [2][26] Future Outlook - The central air conditioning business is expected to return to growth, albeit at a modest rate, with a focus on product type diversification and channel expansion [2][20] - The company is optimistic about the long-term demand in emerging markets, driven by economic growth and changing consumer attitudes [2][7] SKU Reduction Strategy - The SKU reduction process for the Kelon brand is ongoing, aiming to improve efficiency and profitability [2][27] South America Market Strategy - In South America, Hisense plans to leverage sports marketing, particularly around the upcoming World Cup, to enhance brand visibility and market share [2][28] New Product Launches - The introduction of new heat pump products has shown improved order intake, although their contribution to overall revenue remains limited [2][29] Legal and Regulatory Considerations - Ongoing discussions regarding the rights protection base plan are influenced by macroeconomic and industry uncertainties [2][30]

Core Insights - The home appliance industry shows resilient growth with a 3.6% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3, totaling 366.3 billion yuan, despite external pressures from reduced government subsidies and high export bases [13][14][22] - The overall net profit for the industry increased by 4.4% year-on-year, reaching 30.1 billion yuan, with a slight improvement in net profit margin by 0.1 percentage points [13][14][22] Segment Analysis White Goods - The white goods segment reported a revenue of 268.7 billion yuan in Q3, reflecting a 5.0% year-on-year growth, with a net profit margin of 9.5% [30][31] - Major players like Midea and Haier showed strong performance, with Midea's revenue growing by 9.9% and Haier's by 9.5% [33][34] Kitchen Appliances - The kitchen appliance segment experienced a revenue decline of 4.8% in Q3, totaling 5.96 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 8.4% [37][44] - Traditional kitchen appliance companies like Boss and Vanward maintained relatively stable performance, while integrated stove manufacturers faced significant pressure [43][44] Black Goods - The black goods segment saw a revenue decrease of 3.6% in Q3, amounting to 47.29 billion yuan, but net profit increased by 41.9% to 1.4 billion yuan [45][53] - Companies like Hisense maintained stable growth, benefiting from balanced domestic and international operations [52][53] Small Appliances - The small appliance segment achieved a revenue growth of 6.3% in Q3, reaching 30.62 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 6.7% [54][59] - Emerging categories within small appliances, such as robotic vacuum cleaners, contributed significantly to revenue growth [59] Lighting and Components - The lighting and components segment reported stable revenue of 13.73 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1%, but faced profit pressure with a net profit margin of 4.6% [3][28]

Market Overview - The white goods sector experienced a decline of 0.18% on November 11, with TCL leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4002.76, down 0.39%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13289.0, down 1.03% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Aokema (600336) closed at 7.17, up 0.70% with a trading volume of 143,100 shares and a turnover of 103 million yuan [1] - Deep Blue Technology (000016) closed at 5.64, up 0.53% with a trading volume of 666,400 shares and a turnover of 377 million yuan [1] - Hisense Home Appliances (000921) closed at 26.95, up 0.41% with a trading volume of 105,100 shares and a turnover of 283 million yuan [1] - Whirlpool (600983) closed at 10.37, up 0.39% with a trading volume of 20,800 shares and a turnover of 21.57 million yuan [1] - Gree Electric Appliances (000651) closed at 40.92, up 0.15% with a trading volume of 468,500 shares and a turnover of 1.916 billion yuan [1] - Midea Group (000333) closed at 77.23, down 0.13% with a trading volume of 227,700 shares and a turnover of 175.5 million yuan [1] - TCL Smart Home (002668) closed at 11.10, down 2.20% with a trading volume of 232,000 shares and a turnover of 259 million yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The white goods sector saw a net inflow of 160 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 89.16 million yuan [1] - Midea Group (000333) had a net inflow of 228 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 75.49 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Haier Smart Home (600690) had a net inflow of 1.13 billion yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 1.04 billion yuan from retail investors [2] - TCL Smart Home (002668) experienced a significant net outflow of 58.87 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 55.84 million yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hisense Home Appliances is "Buy" and is maintained [10]. Core Views - The company reported a slight increase in revenue with a year-on-year growth of 1.35% for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a total revenue of 71.533 billion yuan. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased only by 0.67% to 2.812 billion yuan, indicating a slight decline in profitability [2][7]. - In Q3 2025, the company experienced a revenue of 22.192 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.16%, but the net profit decreased by 5.40% to 735 million yuan, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability [2][7]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 71.533 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.812 billion yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 2.327 billion yuan, showing growth rates of 1.35%, 0.67%, and 1.65% respectively. In Q3 2025, the revenue was 22.192 billion yuan, with a net profit of 735 million yuan, down 5.40% year-on-year [2][7]. Financial Performance - The gross margin increased by 0.54 percentage points year-on-year for the first three quarters, while the sales expense ratio rose by 0.34 percentage points. The operating profit for the first three quarters grew by 4.31%, with an operating profit margin increase of 0.13 percentage points [13]. - In Q3 2025, the gross margin increased by 0.20 percentage points, but the operating profit declined by 6.67%, with a corresponding decrease in the operating profit margin of 0.30 percentage points [13]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively promoting governance mechanisms and supply chain reforms, while also expanding overseas markets to seek new business growth. It aims to enhance operational efficiency and improve product and channel structures [13]. - The company is focusing on international brand strategy and sports marketing to enhance its brand influence in overseas markets, which is expected to contribute to future growth [13]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.346 billion yuan, 3.710 billion yuan, and 4.190 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 10.59, 9.55, and 8.46 [13].

Group 1 - Hisense is a leading home appliance manufacturer with a strong market presence in both domestic and international markets [1] - The company is listed on two stock exchanges, with stock codes 000921.SZ and 00921.HK, indicating its dual listing strategy [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the home appliance industry, particularly highlighting the resilience of the white goods sector and the potential for growth driven by policy changes and market dynamics [3][5]. Core Insights - The home appliance sector has shown stronger export performance compared to domestic sales, with various segments experiencing differing trends in sales and production [4][12]. - The report identifies three main investment themes: white goods, export-driven companies, and core components, recommending specific companies within these categories for investment [5][6]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - In September 2025, the air conditioning sector saw a total production of 10.57 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 13.5%, while total sales were 10.88 million units, down 10.2%. Domestic sales were 5.95 million units, down 2.5%, and exports were 4.94 million units, down 18.1% [4][34]. - The refrigerator sector reported a production of 8.72 million units, a slight decrease of 0.5%, with total sales of 8.34 million units, a marginal increase of 0.12%. Domestic sales fell by 7.35% to 3.87 million units, while exports rose by 7.63% to 4.47 million units [4][41]. - The washing machine sector experienced a production increase of 10.4% to 9.05 million units, with total sales rising by 7.52% to 8.85 million units. Domestic sales decreased by 6.88% to 4.06 million units, while exports surged by 23.76% to 4.79 million units [4][43]. Investment Themes - The white goods sector is expected to benefit from a reversal in real estate policies, with characteristics such as low valuation, high dividends, and stable growth making it attractive for investment. The report suggests that the "trade-in" policy could act as a catalyst for growth [5][6]. - For export-driven companies, the report recommends firms like Ousheng Electric and Dechang Co., which are expected to see revenue growth from large customer orders and expanding automotive parts businesses [5][6]. - In the core components segment, companies like Huaxiang Co. and Shun'an Environment are highlighted for their competitive advantages and growth potential in the context of rising demand for key components in the white goods sector [5][6]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the overall home appliance index underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 0.5% in the home appliance sector index while the CSI 300 rose by 0.8% [5][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of emerging markets in driving export growth, particularly in regions like Africa and South America, despite challenges such as tariffs and high inventory levels [5][12].

Core Insights - Hisense Home Appliances reported a revenue of 71.533 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2023, a year-on-year increase of 1.35%, and a net profit of 2.812 billion yuan, up 0.67% [1] - The company demonstrated strong operational resilience and steady development capabilities despite industry challenges, with a significant increase in operating cash flow by 34.06% [1] Business Performance - Hisense's diversified business layout provided a strong buffer against industry pressures, with core segments like HVAC, refrigeration, and kitchen appliances performing well [2] - The company maintained its leading position in the central air conditioning market with over 20% market share, and its new air conditioning products saw an 83% increase in installation orders year-on-year [2] - The refrigeration segment, particularly the Rongsheng brand, achieved significant sales growth, with the dual-cleaning refrigerator ranking first in sales [3] - The kitchen appliance segment also experienced over 50% revenue growth in the first three quarters, with innovative products like the "silent range hood" redefining kitchen environments [3] Market Strategy - Hisense is focusing on high-end product development and international expansion as key strategies to navigate the competitive landscape [5] - The company has established a global presence with 36 industrial parks and production bases, enhancing its brand influence in overseas markets [5] - The opening of the HHA smart manufacturing industrial park in Thailand marks a significant step in integrating research, production, and sales [6] Technological Innovation - Continuous investment in technology and innovation is a cornerstone of Hisense's competitive advantage, with breakthroughs in central air conditioning technology [7] - The introduction of AI-driven products, such as the intelligent air conditioning solutions, reflects the company's commitment to smart home technology [8] - Hisense aims to provide comprehensive AI home appliance solutions by integrating its self-developed models with industry-leading databases [8]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Consumer Durables, specifically the white goods sector - **Key Players**: Midea, Haier, Gree, Hisense Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Divergent Performance in 3Q25**: - Midea and Haier reported approximately 10% revenue and profit growth, exceeding expectations - Gree and Hisense experienced significant declines in profits, with Gree reporting a year-over-year profit decline of SD% [1][10] 2. **Domestic Market Dynamics**: - Split AC growth showed notable divergence, with Gree facing a sequential revenue decline while Midea, Haier, and Hisense reported revenue growth [1] - The market anticipates a deceleration in domestic growth into 4Q25 and 2026 due to a higher base, with expected shipment declines of 10% and 5% for major white goods [2][16] 3. **Pricing and Margins**: - Competition remains a key focus, particularly in the AC industry, with less competitive pricing observed compared to previous periods - Despite demand pressures, significant price cuts are not expected due to leading players' focus on profitability and lean inventory [3] 4. **Overseas Growth as a Key Driver**: - Overseas markets, particularly APAC and Europe, are expected to drive growth for Chinese white goods companies, supported by past investments in manufacturing and branding [4][6] 5. **Shareholder Returns**: - Current share prices imply an average dividend yield of 5% to 6% for covered white goods stocks, providing downside protection amid growth concerns [7] 6. **Future Outlook for Key Players**: - Midea and Haier are expected to continue leading the sector with positive growth, while Gree faces persistent pressure due to high domestic market exposure [8] Additional Important Insights 1. **Earnings Revisions**: - Earnings forecasts for Midea and Haier have been raised, while estimates for Gree and Hisense have been lowered to reflect recent performance [14] 2. **Management's Strategic Focus**: - Midea's management aims for revenue growth of MSD-HSD% CAGR from 2026 to 2028, with a focus on market share gains in refrigerators and washing machines, and margin improvements in AC [33][34] 3. **Investment in Technology**: - Midea plans to invest in AI and robotics, focusing on robotic home appliances and humanoid robots, indicating a strategic shift towards automation and advanced technology [34] 4. **Valuation Adjustments**: - Target prices for Midea and Haier have been adjusted based on updated earnings forecasts, reflecting a positive outlook for these companies [35] 5. **Market Sentiment**: - Consumer sentiment has pulled back, but property indicators in the US have shown improvement, suggesting a mixed outlook for consumer durables [31] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the performance of major players in the white goods sector, market dynamics, and future growth strategies.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the home appliance industry, particularly focusing on the white goods sector and core components [3][4]. Core Insights - The home appliance industry experienced a revenue growth of 4.57% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 356.1 billion yuan. Net profit increased by 3.49% to 30.158 billion yuan [4][27]. - The report identifies three main investment themes: 1) White goods benefiting from favorable real estate policies and trade-in incentives; 2) Export-driven companies like Ousheng Electric and Dechang Co. showing stable profitability; 3) Core components suppliers like Huaxiang Co. and Shun'an Environment leading in demand due to the white goods sector's unexpected growth [4][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance Overview - The home appliance sector underperformed compared to the broader market, with an 8.3% increase from July 1 to September 30, 2025, lagging behind the 17.9% rise of the CSI 300 index [14][19]. 2. Q3 2025 Home Appliance Industry Performance - Revenue growth of 4.57% year-on-year, with a total of 356.1 billion yuan in revenue. The net profit growth was 3.49%, totaling 30.158 billion yuan [4][27]. - The gross margin decreased by 0.68 percentage points to 25.38%, while the net margin slightly increased by 0.06 percentage points to 8.65% [30][36]. 3. Subsector Performance - **White Goods**: Revenue increased by 5.64% to 254.924 billion yuan, with net profit growth of 3.42% [48][49]. - **Kitchen Appliances**: Revenue decreased by 6.38% to 7.257 billion yuan, with a significant net profit decline of 18.66% [56][59]. - **Small Appliances**: Revenue grew by 11.36% to 36.739 billion yuan, with net profit increasing by 2.13% [4][42]. - **Black Goods**: Revenue fell by 4.02% to 26.898 billion yuan, with net profit down by 28.12% [4][12]. - **Components**: Revenue rose by 6.85% to 30.238 billion yuan, with net profit increasing by 29.07% [4][43]. 4. Key Investment Targets - The report recommends investing in leading companies in the white goods sector such as Hisense, Midea, Haier, and Gree, as well as component suppliers like Huaxiang and Shun'an Environment [4][6].