Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for specific companies within the robotics sector, particularly highlighting Tesla's increased investment in its robot production line [3][8]. Core Insights - Tesla plans to significantly increase its investment in the robot production line, enhancing market confidence and presenting investment opportunities. The goal is to achieve an annual production of one million robots [3][8]. - The performance improvements of the Optimus V3 robot are expected to drive breakthroughs in downstream application scenarios, further expanding the demand for humanoid robots [8]. - The upcoming release of V3 is anticipated to create investment opportunities related to dexterous hands and humanoid robot features, which are crucial for performing various tasks [8]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Tesla's capital expenditure is projected to exceed $20 billion in 2026, indicating strong commitment to the robotics sector [3][8]. - Recommended stocks include Top Group (601689, Buy), Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050, Buy), and Zhenyu Technology (300953, Buy) [3]. Industry Overview - The report emphasizes the rapid development of the robotics industry, with expectations for increased market demand driven by technological advancements [2][8]. - The report notes that the domestic companies with proven manufacturing and management capabilities in automotive and engineering machinery components are likely to capture a larger market share [8].

行业名称 行业研究 | 行业周报 "涨"声雷动，力争"上游" 食品饮料行业周报 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 投资建议： 我们认为，优先选择靠近产业链上游的 B 端供应商标的： 1）糖、番茄酱、果汁供应商，相关标的中粮糖业(600737，未评级)、冠农股 份 (600251，未评级)、安德利(605198，未评级)； 2）添加剂及食品原料供应商，推荐安琪酵母(600298，买入)，相关标的梅花生物 (600873，未评级)、爱普股份(603020，未评级)、晨光生物(300138，未评级)、保龄宝 (002286，未评级)、百龙创园(605016，未评级)、三元生物(301206，未评级)； 3） 豆 类 制 品 相 关 标 的 金 龙 鱼(300999， 未 评 级)、 祖 名 股 份(003030， 未 评 级)； 另外，看好具备品牌力及功能化标签标的的提价能力： 4）白酒、保健品，推荐贵州茅台(600519，买入)、山西汾酒(600809，买入)，相关标的 民生健康(301507，未评级)； 风险提示 | 证券 | 公司 | 股价 | | EPS | | | PE | | 投资 | | --- | -- ...

Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve paused interest rate cuts in January 2026, maintaining the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%[7] - The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 4.4% in December 2025, indicating a resilient labor market despite concerns about job growth[7] - Retail sales in November 2025 increased by 0.6% month-on-month, with total sales reaching $735.904 billion[9] Inflation and Consumer Spending - Personal consumption expenditure growth remained steady at 2.6% year-on-year in November 2025, despite a decline in real disposable income growth to 1%[7] - The savings rate dropped to a low of 3.5%, indicating potential consumer spending vulnerabilities[7] Labor Market Dynamics - Job openings decreased to 7.15 million in November 2025, with the job vacancy rate falling from 4.5% to 4.3%[7] - The proportion of consumers reporting difficulty in finding work rose to 20.8% in December 2025, suggesting a weakening job market[7] Future Rate Cut Expectations - Market consensus anticipates no rate cuts in March 2026, with an 87% probability of maintaining current rates[7] - If the unemployment rate exceeds 4.5% and job creation remains low, the Fed may reopen the space for rate cuts[7] Risks and Constraints - Risks include a hard landing for the U.S. economy, a significant rebound in inflation, and the Fed's rate cut pace falling short of expectations[4]

4 季度盈利拐点出现，预计高阶智驾产品将 成为新的增长点 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 资料来源：公司数据. 东方证券研究所预测. 每股收益使用最新股本全面摊薄计算. 经纬恒润-W 688326.SH 公司研究 | 动态跟踪 | | 买入（维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2026年01月29日） | 147.3 元 | | 目标价格 | 213.21 元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 163.68/65.5 元 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（万股） | 11,996/11,162 | | A 股市值（百万元） | 17,670 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 汽车与零部件 | | 报告发布日期 | 2026 年 01 月 29 日 | ⚫ 预测 2025-2027 年 EPS 分别为 0.79、3.09、4.98 元（原为 0.30、2.21、3.50 元， 调整收入、毛利率及费用率等），维持可比公司 26 年 PE 平均估值 69 倍，目标价 213.21 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 乘用车行业销量低于预期、汽车电子业务配套量低于预期、研发及解决方案业务低于预 期、 ...

Core Insights - The report indicates a cautious optimism for February, with expectations of a slow bull market continuing, despite a high-level narrow fluctuation in indices [6][3] - The mid-cap blue-chip stocks have shown strong performance in January, particularly in the gold and non-ferrous metals sectors, with signs of stabilization and rebound in the consumer sector, especially in food and beverage [6][3] - The report highlights a significant pessimism regarding pig prices for 2026, driven by underestimations of inventory and capacity reduction, suggesting a potential price recovery due to structural supply shortages [6][3] Market Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of mid-cap blue-chip stocks, particularly in the food and beverage sector, which are expected to continue their rebound [6][3] - It suggests that the market's risk appetite and evaluation are shifting, with mid-cap blue-chip stocks valued between 10 billion to 50 billion being relatively favored [6][3] - The report recommends focusing on stocks with improvement logic or those in significant performance downgrades, particularly in the restaurant supply chain, dairy farming, regional liquor, and mid-to-high-end liquor [6][3] Industry Analysis - The report notes that the pig farming industry is experiencing a structural supply shortage, which is expected to limit the downward price potential for pigs, with a price turning point anticipated in Q2 2026 [6][3] - It highlights that the average weight of pigs post-slaughter is at a historical low, indicating a potential for price recovery as inventory levels are replenished [6][3] - The report identifies specific companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs as favorable investment targets within the pig farming sector [6][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant increase in gross margin due to rising gold prices, with a forecasted gross margin of 30% in 2025 [3][10] - The adjustment in the franchise business is anticipated to reach its conclusion in 2026, which will alleviate revenue pressure from franchise operations [10] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025-2027, projecting earnings per share of 1.02, 1.15, and 1.27 yuan respectively, with a target price of 17.25 yuan based on a 15x PE valuation for 2026 [3][11] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to decline from 16,290 million yuan in 2023 to 9,205 million yuan in 2025, before recovering to 11,092 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of -33.7% in 2025 and 10.6% in 2027 [4][13] - Operating profit is expected to decrease from 1,695 million yuan in 2023 to 1,400 million yuan in 2025, with a recovery to 1,768 million yuan by 2027 [4][13] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to decline from 1,316 million yuan in 2023 to 1,107 million yuan in 2025, before increasing to 1,379 million yuan in 2027 [4][13] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve significantly, reaching 30% in 2025, while the net margin is projected to stabilize around 12% from 2026 onwards [4][13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][11] Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant increase in gross margin due to rising gold prices, with a forecasted gross margin of 30% in 2025 [3][10] - The adjustment in the franchise business is anticipated to reach its conclusion in 2026, which will alleviate revenue pressure [10] - The company has a strong dividend policy, with a historical payout ratio between 60%-100%, enhancing its investment appeal [10] Financial Forecasts - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.02, 1.15, and 1.27 yuan respectively, down from previous estimates [3][11] - Revenue projections for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 16,290 million, 13,891 million, 9,205 million, 10,033 million, and 11,092 million yuan respectively, with a notable decline in 2025 [4][13] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,316 million, 1,010 million, 1,107 million, 1,243 million, and 1,379 million yuan for the years 2023A to 2027E [4][13] Valuation Metrics - The target price is set at 17.25 yuan based on a 15x PE ratio for 2026 [3][11] - The company’s current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 11.1, projected to decrease to 10.6 by 2027 [4][12] - The price-to-book (PB) ratio is currently at 2.3, expected to decline to 1.4 by 2027 [4][12]

投顾发展 | 投顾晨报 元月中阳收官在即，消费初显端倪 朝闻道 20260130 市场策略 元月中阳收官在即，2 月谨慎乐观 风格策略 周期轮动续力，消费初显端倪 行业策略 生猪：预期极度悲观，配置价值凸显 主题策略 食品饮料：赔率优化，胜率初显 风险提示 畜禽价格不及预期；畜禽疫病大规模爆发；原材料价格大幅波动；需求不及预期；食品安全、产业政策调 整等。 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 30 日 江韶军 执业证书编号：S0860525090001 jiangshaojun@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 于震荡中护慢牛，自中盘处取超额：朝闻 道 20260128 2026-01-27 震荡依旧，结构为王：朝闻道 20260126 2026-01-25 慢牛预期强化，把握中盘蓝筹：朝闻道 20260123 2026-01-21 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 ⚫ 临近月末再回首，1 月经历了先突破后盘整，中阳收官在即，依旧符合我们"横盘前 震荡，略有走强"的中期判断。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry [5] Core Insights - The ongoing shortage of niche storage is expected to continue, with AI demand opening up incremental growth opportunities [2][8] - AI demand is anticipated to drive the need for niche storage, particularly in applications such as automotive, industrial, and security [7] - Domestic manufacturers are positioned competitively in the niche storage market and are likely to benefit from the supply constraints caused by international suppliers exiting this segment [7] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Key investment targets include domestic storage chip design companies such as Zhaoyi Innovation, Puran, Jucheng, Dongxin, Beijing Junzheng, and Hengshuo [3][8] - Other relevant companies include domestic storage module manufacturers like Jiangbolong, Demingli, and Baiwei Storage, as well as semiconductor equipment firms such as Zhongwei, Jingzhida, and Beifang Huachuang [3][8] - Companies benefiting from storage technology iterations include Lanke Technology, Lianyun Technology, and Aojie Technology [3][8] Market Dynamics - The supply of niche storage products is being significantly reduced as major international suppliers focus on mainstream storage products, leading to a substantial contraction in supply [7] - For instance, the global MLC NAND Flash capacity is projected to decrease by 41.7% in 2026 due to supply shrinkage, which is expected to drive prices significantly higher [7] - Domestic firms are gaining market share in niche storage, with Zhaoyi Innovation holding approximately 18.5% of the NOR Flash market in 2024, ranking second globally [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Insights - Concerns over geopolitical conflicts have increased, leading to a rise in Brent crude oil prices, which is expected to improve the oil service industry's outlook. Recent military actions by the U.S. against Venezuela and increased military presence near Iran have contributed to these concerns. Additionally, severe weather in the U.S. has impacted refining output. As a result, Brent crude oil prices have shown a sustained increase, and if this trend continues, capital expenditures in the industry are expected to marginally improve, enhancing the oil service sector's outlook [9] - Global oil and gas capital expenditures remain at low levels, indicating potential for upward recovery. Currently, the global active rig count is approximately 1,700-1,800, still below pre-2019 levels. In China, capital expenditures in the oil and gas sector have contracted due to oil prices and the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, with expected year-on-year declines of 1.8% and 5.1% in 2024 and 2025, respectively. After several years of capital contraction, a recovery in industry expenditures is anticipated. Domestically, China's reliance on foreign oil and gas remains high, and a gradual recovery in capital expenditures is expected. Internationally, U.S. government policies are promoting oil and gas development, and the EIA predicts an increase in natural gas generation capacity in the coming years, suggesting a potential rebound in overseas oil service expenditure in 2026 [9] - The recovery in oil service sector sentiment takes time, emphasizing the importance of competitive companies. Due to the long construction cycles of oil service projects, owner companies often need to observe the sustainability of oil prices. Current geopolitical concerns have elevated oil prices and market expectations, but a recovery in oil service sentiment will require time. It is estimated that it will take at least six months for the positive effects of rising oil prices to be felt in the oil service sector. As downstream companies place greater emphasis on long-term partnerships with suppliers, companies with high competitiveness are expected to benefit more from the recovery [9]