- The "Hong Kong CCASS Preferred 20 Portfolio" model was constructed using a two-step screening method: first selecting brokers and then selecting stocks[35][39] - The model identifies top-performing brokers by standardizing excess Sharpe ratios and monthly win rates, then combines them into a composite score[39] - The portfolio is built by equally distributing funds among the top 10 brokers and selecting the top 20 stocks based on weight, which are then equally weighted[39] - The benchmark index for the portfolio is the Hang Seng Index (HSI.HI)[40] Model Performance - January 2026 portfolio return: 6.32%, Hang Seng Index return: 6.85%, excess return: -0.53%[41] - Full period (2020.1–2026.1) excess annualized return: 19.3%, excess Sharpe ratio: 2.45[41] - Annualized excess returns by year: 2020: 30.9%, 2021: 12.0%, 2022: 11.9%, 2023: 22.5%, 2024: 23.2%, 2025: 18.6%, 2026 YTD: -6.2%[42] - Maximum drawdown during the full period: -7.6%[42] - Monthly win rate during the full period: 75.3%[42]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the Shanghai government's initiative to purchase second-hand housing for affordable rental housing, targeting new citizens, young people, and university graduates [5] - The first batch of purchased second-hand homes will focus on properties that are well-located, have clear ownership, and are small-sized, with a strong willingness from owners to sell [6] - The report indicates a marginal recovery in Shanghai's housing market, with January 2026 seeing a year-on-year increase of 35.8% in new residential sales and 24.2% in second-hand home transactions [7] Summary by Sections Government Initiatives - Shanghai has launched a program to acquire second-hand homes for affordable rental housing, with three districts (Pudong, Jing'an, and Xuhui) as pilot areas [5] - The acquisition focuses on properties that match housing needs, are reasonably laid out, and are in well-equipped areas, ensuring affordability and sustainability [10] Market Trends - The report notes that the Shanghai housing market is showing signs of recovery, with a significant increase in both new and second-hand home sales in January 2026 [7] - The second-hand home listing index in Shanghai has decreased by 12.2% compared to early 2025, indicating a reduction in market supply [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the housing market recovery, including major real estate firms and property management companies that excel in service quality [8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4]. Core Insights - The company, Leshu Shi, is a leading player in the African hygiene products market, specializing in baby diapers and sanitary napkins, with the highest market share in both categories. The African market benefits from a demographic dividend and low penetration rates in these product categories, indicating significant growth potential. The company's strong localization capabilities are expected to drive long-term stable growth as it expands its distribution channels and product categories in Africa and replicates its operational model in other emerging markets [5][15]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from $411 million in 2023 to $712 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2% from 2022 to 2024. The net profit is expected to increase from $65 million in 2023 to $154 million in 2027, with a CAGR of 127.4% during the same period. The gross margin is forecasted to remain stable around 35% [8][21][25]. Product and Market Positioning - Leshu Shi has developed a multi-brand strategy with a diverse product matrix, including four major brands in the baby care segment and three in the women's care segment. The company has a total of 263 SKUs for baby diapers and 44 for sanitary napkins, catering to various local needs. The company maintains the leading sales market share in Africa for both product categories, with significant growth rates outpacing competitors [6][15]. Production and Distribution Capabilities - The company operates eight factories across eight African countries, with a focus on local production to enhance cost efficiency. It has established a deep distribution network that covers over 30 countries, reaching more than 80% of the local population. This extensive network and understanding of local markets provide a competitive edge over international brands [7][15]. Regional Performance - Revenue growth varies by region, with West Africa showing stable growth, East Africa as a high-growth area, and Central Africa experiencing rapid expansion. Latin America is emerging as a new growth engine, with revenue increasing significantly from $0.004 million in 2022 to $0.09 million in 2024 [31][35][38]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - The company has seen a substantial increase in operating cash flow, rising from $0.14 million in 2022 to $1.10 million in 2024, with a CAGR of 184.1%. Cash and cash equivalents have also grown from $0.22 million to $0.31 million during the same period, indicating improved liquidity and financial stability [42][44].

2026 年 02 月 04 日 开源晨会 0204 ——晨会纪要 数据来源：聚源 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 综合 | 5.630 | | 国防军工 | 4.424 | | 机械设备 | 3.976 | | 建筑材料 | 3.520 | | 钢铁 | 3.284 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 源 证 券 证 券 研 究 报 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 银行 | -0.851 | | 非银金融 | 0.172 | | 煤炭 | 0.381 | | 石油石化 | 0.437 | | 公用事业 | 0.671 | 数据来源：聚源 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 【中小盘】SpaceX 拟部署百万颗卫星系统，重视运力和太空算力投资机会——中 小盘策略专题-20260203 【银行】2026 年净息差展望：筑底 ...

非银金融/证券Ⅱ 华泰证券（601688.SH） 再融资靴子落地，利好国际业务增长 2026 年 02 月 03 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 日期 2026/2/2 当前股价(元) 22.69 一年最高最低(元) 25.75/14.60 总市值(亿元) 2,048.20 流通市值(亿元) 1,657.90 总股本(亿股) 90.27 流通股本(亿股) 73.07 近 3 个月换手率(%) 80.96 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 48% 64% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 华泰证券 沪深300 相关研究报告 《业绩超预期，综合实力行业领先— 华泰证券 2025 三季报点评》 -2025.10.31 高超（分析师） 卢崑（分析师） 证书编号：S0790520050001 lukun@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524040002 事件：2 月 3 日上午，华泰证券公告拟根据一般性授权发行可转换为本公司 H 股 股份的债券。 再融资靴子落地，利好国际业务增长 本次发行 H 股零息可转债（悉数转换后）一共对 H 股股份稀释 29.53%，对总股 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The issuance of H-share zero-coupon convertible bonds is expected to dilute H-share capital by 29.53% and total capital by 5.6%, with proceeds aimed at overseas business development and working capital supplementation. This is anticipated to have short-term pressure on the stock price, particularly in the Hong Kong market, but is expected to benefit long-term international business growth and enhance overall ROE [4][5][6] - The company maintains its profit forecast, projecting net profit attributable to shareholders of 168 billion, 217 billion, and 251 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 9%, 29%, and 16% respectively. The corresponding PE ratios are 12.2, 9.4, and 8.2 times, with a current PB of 1.20 times [4][6] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to reach 37,078 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 10.6%, followed by a recovery to 43,144 million yuan in 2026 and 48,837 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 16.4% and 13.2% respectively [7][10] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 16,750 million yuan in 2025, 21,680 million yuan in 2026, and 25,067 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.1%, 29.4%, and 15.6% respectively [7][10] - The company's gross margin is projected to improve from 51.2% in 2025 to 58.5% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to rise from 45.2% to 51.3% over the same period [7][10] Valuation Metrics - The projected PE ratios for the company are 12.2 for 2025, 9.4 for 2026, and 8.2 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [7][10] - The projected PB ratios are 1.2 for 2025, 1.1 for 2026, and 1.0 for 2027, suggesting a decreasing trend in the price-to-book ratio [7][10]

2026 年 02 月 03 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2026/2/2 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 14.05 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 20.63/13.92 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,615.09 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,615.09 | | 总股本(亿股) | 114.95 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 114.95 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 37.74 | 股价走势图 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 上汽集团 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 汽车/乘用车 上汽集团（600104.SH） 1 月销量同比高增，海外市场延续亮眼表现 相关研究报告 《Q3 自主品牌普遍表现亮眼，鸿蒙智 行尚界启新篇—公司信息更新报告》 -2025.11.4 《2024 年主动筑底，全面深化改革 2025Q1 起成效显现—公司信息更新 报告》-2025.5.8 《Q1 业绩预计同比明显增长，全面深 化改革成效显现—公司信息更新报 告》-2025.4.11 | ——公司信息更新报 ...

汽车/乘用车 上汽集团（600104.SH） 1 月销量同比高增，海外市场延续亮眼表现 2026 年 02 月 03 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《Q3 自主品牌普遍表现亮眼，鸿蒙智 行尚界启新篇—公司信息更新报告》 -2025.11.4 《2024 年主动筑底，全面深化改革 2025Q1 起成效显现—公司信息更新 报告》-2025.5.8 《Q1 业绩预计同比明显增长，全面深 化改革成效显现—公司信息更新报 告》-2025.4.11 | ——公司信息更新报告 | | --- | | 邓健全（分析师） 赵悦媛（分析师） | 徐剑峰（分析师） | | --- | --- | | dengjianquan@kysec.cn zhaoyueyuan@kysec.cn | xujianfeng@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790525090003 证书编号：S0790525100003 | 证书编号：S0790525090004 | |  1 月销量同比高增，海外市场延续亮眼表现 | | | 公司发布 1 月产销快报，实现整车销量 32.74 | 万辆，同比+23.94%。 ...

江西铜业（600362.SH） 铜冶炼龙头再起航，资源并购助成长 2026 年 02 月 03 日 投资评级：买入（首次） 有色金属/工业金属 fengweimin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124070040 并购投资项目持续落地，铜业龙头再起航 江西铜业是国内领先的铜冶炼生产商，在铜以及相关有色金属领域建立了集勘 探、采矿、选矿、冶炼、加工的一体化产业链。目前公司主要资产包括国内规模 领先的铜冶炼产能和 5 座在产铜矿山，整体生产稳健。同时公司积极实践"资源 优先"战略，推动第一量子的战略合作关系，并已在中亚、南美等地区进行资源 布局，合作资源项目（艾娜克铜矿、北秘鲁矿业）有望迎来开花结果。我们预计 2025-2027 年公司将实现归母净利润分别为 84.51/121.47/133.6 亿元，当前股价对 应 PE 为 23.4/16.3/14.8 倍。首次覆盖给予公司"买入"评级。 产业链一体化协同高效，铜冶炼龙头地位稳固 公司于 1979 年成立于江西南昌，围绕江西地区丰富的铜矿资源，打造了从上游 资源到下游冶炼加工的一体化布局。（1）上游资源：公司在国内持有五座在产矿 山，年产铜精矿金属量 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company announced the acquisition of a 29.06% stake in PUMA SE for €1.5 billion, becoming the largest shareholder, which is expected to enhance its global competitiveness and support its "single focus, multi-brand, globalization" strategy [2] - The company anticipates steady growth in 2026, with projected net profits of 12.977 billion, 14.560 billion, and 15.822 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a slight downward adjustment from previous estimates [2] - The company remains optimistic about its core categories and channel reforms, with potential growth driven by the upcoming Paris Olympics and strong performance from its FILA brand [2] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 62.356 billion yuan in 2023, 70.826 billion yuan in 2024, 78.234 billion yuan in 2025, 85.959 billion yuan in 2026, and 94.151 billion yuan in 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 16.2%, 13.6%, 10.5%, 9.9%, and 9.5% respectively [5] - Net profit estimates are 10.236 billion yuan for 2023, 15.596 billion yuan for 2024, 12.977 billion yuan for 2025, 14.560 billion yuan for 2026, and 15.822 billion yuan for 2027, with a notable decline of 16.8% in 2025 [5] - The company's EPS (Earnings Per Share) is projected to be 3.6 yuan in 2023, 5.5 yuan in 2024, 4.6 yuan in 2025, 5.2 yuan in 2026, and 5.7 yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.0, 13.1, 15.7, 13.4, and 12.3 [5]