Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][16] Core Views - The company is a leading provider of digital transformation and smart manufacturing integration planning services in China, expected to benefit from downstream economic recovery and overseas opportunities. The acceleration of AI commercialization is anticipated to open new growth avenues [4][6][7] - The company has slightly adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and added a new forecast for 2027, estimating net profits of 201 million, 240 million, and 289 million yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [4][9] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.331 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.62%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 156 million yuan, up 3.59% year-on-year [5][9] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 423 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.33%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of -8.33 million yuan, reflecting a 14.04% year-on-year growth [5][9] AI Integration and Growth - The company has integrated AI capabilities with its business scenarios, leading to a 135.07% year-on-year growth in AI business revenue in Taiwan in 2024. The introduction of AI technology in its PLM product has resulted in a 30% increase in average transaction value for R&D and design services [6][7] - The company has seen a 57.54% year-on-year increase in net profit in Taiwan for 2024, and a narrowing of non-GAAP net profit loss by 31.92% in Q1 2025 [6][7] Regional Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 175 million yuan in mainland China, a year-on-year increase of 6.46%, supported by the expansion of industry solutions [7] - The company has enhanced its localized service capabilities in Southeast Asia, achieving a 33% year-on-year increase in signed contracts [7]

《多模态 AI 突破不止，政策暖风持续 助力 IP、体验消费—行业周报》 -2025.4.13 2025 年 04 月 27 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 -14% 0% 14% 29% 传媒 沪深300 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《MCP 及政策助力 AI 发展，继续关 注高景气 IP 赛道—行业点评报告》 -2025.4.21 行 业 研 究 | 方光照（分析师） | 田鹏（分析师） | 肖江洁（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | fangguangzhao@kysec.cn | tianpeng@kysec.cn | xiaojiangjie@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520030004 | 证书编号：S0790523090001 | 证书编号：S0790124070035 | 风险提示：出海社交产品收入、AI 应用商业化进展、游戏流水等低于预期。 开 源 证 券 证 券 研 究 请务必参阅正文后面的信息披露和法律声明 1/19 社交、游戏出海中东北非等地延续高景气，关注拥有卡位、运营优势的公司 根据 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 16.54 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.81 billion yuan, up 31.7% year-on-year [5] - The company is expected to benefit from the domestic subsidy and successful expansion in the European market, leading to an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [5] - The company’s gross margin has been recovering, with a gross margin of 49.7% in Q1 2025, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [7] Financial Summary - The total market capitalization of the company is 30.594 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 30.270 billion yuan [1] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 18.455 billion yuan in 2025 to 22.028 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits increasing from 1.386 billion yuan to 1.959 billion yuan [8] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 2.41 yuan in 2025 to 3.41 yuan in 2027, with the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 22.1 to 15.6 over the same period [8] Market Performance - The company’s stock price has fluctuated between 36.25 yuan and 68.39 yuan over the past year, with a current price of 53.18 yuan [1] - The company has a high turnover rate of 85.02% over the last three months, indicating strong trading activity [1] - The company’s domestic sales benefited from government subsidies, while international sales, particularly in Europe, showed significant growth [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth with a 2024 revenue of 168.31 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 42.72 billion yuan, up 10.39% year-on-year [6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 24 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 3.1 billion yuan, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of 73% [7] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from its core business segments, including electric connections, smart electrical lighting, and new energy products, which have shown respective revenue growth rates of 4.01%, 5.42%, and 104.75% in 2024 [7] Financial Summary - The company's revenue for 2025 is projected to be 183.30 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 45.45 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 6.4% [9] - The gross margin for 2024 is reported at 43.25%, with a slight increase from the previous year. The net profit margin is expected to stabilize around 24.8% for 2025 [8][12] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 5.10 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.1 times [6][9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the continued high growth in social and gaming sectors, particularly in the MENA region, and suggests focusing on companies with operational advantages and market positioning [4] - The report highlights the advancements in domestic video models and the ongoing expansion of AI applications, recommending continued investment in AI-related sectors [5] Summary by Sections Industry Data Overview - "Peace Elite" ranks first in the iOS free chart in mainland China, while "Honor of Kings" holds the top position in the iOS revenue chart [12][16] - The film "Sunshine Flower" achieved the highest box office for the week, grossing 0.39 billion CNY [26] Industry News Overview - Coze, an AI tool, entered the domestic top ten rankings, while Photoroom improved its position in the overseas rankings [33] - The report notes the approval of 118 games by the National Press and Publication Administration in April [33] Company Performance Highlights - ZhiZi City Technology reported a total revenue of 5.09 billion CNY for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 53.9%, with social business revenue reaching 4.63 billion CNY, up 58.1% [4] - Yalla Technology reported a revenue of 339.7 million USD for 2024, with a net profit of 134.2 million USD, reflecting an 18.7% year-on-year increase [4] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong market positioning and local operational capabilities, highlighting Tencent Holdings and ShengTian Network as key recommendations, with beneficiaries including ZhiZi City Technology and Yalla Technology [4][5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's wealth management transformation has shown significant results, although the self-operated investment has negatively impacted performance in the first quarter [4][5] - The total revenue and net profit for 2024 were 6.29 billion and 2.34 billion yuan, respectively, with a year-on-year change of -4% and +4%, aligning with expectations [4] - The first quarter of 2025 saw total revenue and net profit of 1.07 billion and 290 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year decline of -24% and -37%, which was below expectations [4] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 2.4 billion and 3.2 billion yuan, respectively, down from previous estimates [4] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a weighted average ROE of 6.59% for 2024, a slight decrease of 0.08 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The first quarter of 2025 showed an annualized weighted average ROE of 3.16%, down by 2.1 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company's self-operated investment income decreased significantly, with a year-on-year drop of -95% in Q1 2025, attributed to a weakening bond market [6] - The company's total assets were projected to grow from 133.75 billion yuan in 2023 to 190.26 billion yuan by 2027 [9] Business Segment Performance - The brokerage net income for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 1.41 billion and 420 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of +18% and +41% [5] - Investment banking net income for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 520 million and 110 million yuan, respectively, reflecting declines of -31% and -24% due to a sluggish primary market [5] - Asset management net income for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 1.55 billion and 260 million yuan, with a slight decrease of -0.3% and a more significant drop of -18% [5] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 0.9 for 2025, 0.9 for 2026, and 0.8 for 2027 [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.52, 0.68, and 0.78 yuan, respectively [9] - The company’s projected net profit margins are expected to improve from 37.2% in 2024 to 43.7% by 2027 [9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The recent meeting of the Central Political Bureau emphasized the need to consolidate the stability of the real estate market, indicating a shift towards a more stable outlook for the sector [5][6] - The policies implemented since late 2024 have shown effectiveness in stabilizing the real estate market, with signs of recovery becoming evident [6][7] - There is still room for further recovery in the fundamentals of the real estate market, and expectations for continued easing policies are warranted [7][8] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The real estate market has shown a trend of narrowing declines in sales, with a notable increase in the number of cities experiencing rising housing prices [7] - In March 2025, the number of cities with rising residential sales prices increased, with first-tier cities showing a slight increase in prices [7] Policy Impact - The Central Political Bureau's recent statements reflect a commitment to ongoing support for the real estate market, including urban renewal and high-quality housing supply [5][10] - The shift in language from "promoting recovery" to "consolidating stability" indicates a more confident approach to managing the real estate sector [6] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include companies with strong credit profiles and those that can effectively meet the needs of improvement-oriented customers, such as Greentown China and China Overseas Development [8] - Companies benefiting from both residential and commercial real estate recovery, like China Resources Land and Longfor Group, are also highlighted [8] - The growing scale and penetration of the second-hand housing market present significant opportunities, with firms like Beike-W and I Love My Home being noted for their potential [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of coal allocation, highlighting a stable economic environment as indicated by the political bureau meeting, which focuses on stability [1][3] - The coal sector is viewed as entering a "Golden Era 2.0," with core value assets expected to rise again due to favorable macroeconomic policies and capital market support [4][12] - The report suggests that coal stocks are attractive for both stable dividend investment and cyclical rebound potential, with expectations of improved demand and prices following policy implementations [4][12] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The coal sector is seen as a stable dividend investment due to weak domestic economic performance and favorable international monetary policies [4][12] - The cyclical rebound potential is highlighted, with both thermal and coking coal prices expected to stabilize and rebound as supply-demand fundamentals improve [4][12] - The report identifies key coal stocks that are likely to benefit from these trends, categorized into dividend logic, cyclical logic, diversified aluminum elasticity, and growth logic [4][12] Key Indicators Overview - The coal market experienced a slight decline of 0.63%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.02 percentage points [7][9] - The current PE ratio for the coal sector is 10.6, and the PB ratio is 1.2, indicating relatively low valuations compared to other sectors [9] Thermal Coal Industry Chain - As of April 25, the price of Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal is 655 CNY/ton, down 1.21% from the previous week [15] - The operating rate of coal mines in Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia is 81%, reflecting a slight decrease [15] - The total inventory at ports in the Bohai Rim is 31.09 million tons, down 2.66% from the previous week [15] Coking Coal Industry Chain - The price of main coking coal at the Jing Tang port remains stable at 1380 CNY/ton [16] - The average daily pig iron production from major steel mills is 2.444 million tons, showing a week-on-week increase [16] - The profitability of major steel mills has improved, supporting the demand for coking coal [16]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture sector is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The agriculture sector's public fund heavy holdings have decreased in Q1 2025, but there is an expectation for a rebound in Q2 2025 due to enhanced investment logic driven by the US-China tariff escalation [4][13] - The livestock sector shows low valuation recovery potential, while the pet sector's domestic brand growth logic continues to strengthen [6][22][24] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - In Q1 2025, the public fund heavy holdings in the agriculture sector decreased, with total market value dropping to 12,367 billion yuan, a 0.40% decrease quarter-on-quarter, and accounting for 1.69% of the A-share market [4][13] - The heavy holdings in the agriculture sector represented 0.40% of the total public fund stock investment, down from 0.44% in Q4 2023 [4][13] Weekly Insights - The low valuation of the pig sector presents a buying opportunity, supported by a recovery in consumption and macro policies [22] - The feed sector benefits from the post-cycle of poultry and livestock, with strong overseas demand supporting prices [22] Market Performance (April 21-25) - The agriculture index underperformed the market by 0.72 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.56% while the agriculture index fell by 0.16% [25][29] - The pet food sector led the gains, with individual stocks like Zhongchong Co. and Guibao Pet rising significantly [25][31] Price Tracking (April 21-25) - The average price of live pigs was 14.95 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the average price of white strip meat increased by 0.05 yuan/kg to 19.31 yuan/kg [36] - The average price of beef rose to 68.52 yuan/kg, reflecting a 0.84% increase [36][43] Key News (April 21-25) - The number of breeding sows at the end of Q1 2025 was 40.39 million, a 1.0% decrease quarter-on-quarter but a 1.2% increase year-on-year, indicating stable production capacity [33]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The new housing transaction area has increased month-on-month, continuously consolidating the stability of the real estate market. In the 17th week of 2025, the new housing transaction area in 68 cities increased by 14% month-on-month but decreased by 23% year-on-year. The total transaction area from the beginning of the year to date is 39.57 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 4% [4][18][55] - The central government emphasizes the need to prevent and resolve risks in key areas of the real estate sector, implement urban renewal actions, and accelerate the construction of a new development model for real estate [4][5][55] Summary by Sections Sales Sector - In the 17th week of 2025, the new housing transaction area in 68 major cities was 2.12 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 23% and a month-on-month increase of 14%. Cumulatively, the transaction area from the beginning of the year to date is 39.57 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 4% [6][18] - The transaction area of second-hand houses in 20 cities was 2.33 million square meters, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6% and a cumulative transaction area of 33.55 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18% [33] Investment Sector - In the 17th week of 2025, the total planned land area launched in 100 major cities was 19.15 million square meters, with a transaction area of 13.14 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 31%. The average transaction premium rate was 4.3% [39] - Specific cities like Nanjing and Hangzhou saw significant land transactions, with Nanjing selling 8 residential plots for a total of 8.457 billion yuan [39] Financing Sector - In the 17th week of 2025, the issuance of credit bonds was 11.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29% but a month-on-month increase of 21%. The cumulative issuance of credit bonds was 133.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 24% [45][55] Market Performance - The real estate index fell by 1.31% in the week of April 21-25, 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which rose by 0.38% [50]