Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the semiconductor foundry price increases have alleviated market concerns regarding the demand for mature processes in 2026, primarily due to improved competitive dynamics and rising raw material costs [5][14] - The automotive sector is experiencing continued pressure on retail sales, with the first batch of L3 autonomous vehicles from Deep Blue officially registered and on the road [6][30] - In the tools sector, TTI has terminated its HART business to strengthen mid-term profitability, while SBD's divestiture of its aerospace segment is expected to significantly reduce debt and optimize leverage ratios [31][43] Summary by Sections Electronics - Semiconductor foundries have raised some production capacities, leading to a 5.4% increase in the electronics index, outperforming the Hang Seng Technology Index [5][14] - Notable stock performances include SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor, which rose by 9.2% and 5.5% respectively [5][14] Automotive - Retail sales in the passenger car market are under pressure, with a 19% year-on-year decline in retail volume for December 2025 compared to December 2024, although there was a 5% month-on-month increase [25][26] - The first L3 autonomous vehicles from Deep Blue were officially registered on December 26, 2025, marking a significant milestone in autonomous driving technology [30] Tools - TTI's termination of the HART business aims to enhance mid-term profitability, while SBD's sale of its aerospace business for $1.8 billion is expected to reduce debt significantly [41][43] - The divestiture is projected to create approximately $405 million to $415 million in revenue for the fiscal year 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin exceeding 10% [43] Investment Recommendations - In the electronics sector, companies like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor are expected to benefit from the price increases in foundry services [55] - In the automotive sector, attention is drawn to companies involved in L3 autonomous driving and Robotaxi, including Xiaoma Zhixing and Horizon Robotics [55] - In the tools sector, the report recommends companies such as Techtronic Industries and泉峰控股, with beneficiaries including Juxing Technology and Greebo [55]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The supply of fat pigs is tight, leading to an upward trend in pig prices before the New Year, supported by both supply and demand factors [4][14] - The export value of pet food has improved month-on-month, benefiting from increased export volumes, although the unit price remains under pressure [5][21] - The pig farming sector is experiencing accelerated losses, while the pet food sector is seeing a rise in domestic brands due to consumption upgrades and tariff barriers [6][23][25] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The average price of live pigs in China as of December 28, 2025, is 12.21 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.78 CNY/kg and a year-on-year decrease of 3.49 CNY/kg [4][14] - The average weight of pigs sold is 129.70 kg, with a slight decrease from the previous week [14] Weekly Market Performance (Dec 22-26) - The agricultural index underperformed the market by 1.63 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.88% and the agricultural index by 0.25% [26][30] Price Tracking (Dec 22-26) - The average price of live pigs is 11.63 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.05 CNY/kg [37] - The average price of broiler chickens is 7.82 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 6.39% [37] Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig farming sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and Juxing Agriculture [6][23] - In the feed sector, recommended stocks include Haida Group and New Hope Liuhe [6][23] - For the pet food sector, recommended stocks include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty [6][25]

Group 1: Profit and Revenue Trends - From January to November 2025, the cumulative profit of national industrial enterprises increased by only 0.1% year-on-year, down from 1.9% in the previous period[3] - Cumulative operating revenue for the same period rose by 1.6%, a slight decrease from the previous 1.8%[3] - In November, the monthly profit decline expanded to -13.1%, a drop of 7.6 percentage points compared to the previous month[4] Group 2: Factors Affecting Profitability - The profit growth rate is influenced by three factors: industrial added value (+4.4 percentage points), PPI (-2.1 percentage points), and profit margin (-11.4 percentage points)[4] - The cost structure in November showed that costs accounted for 84.9 yuan, expenses 8.6 yuan, and investment income -0.8 yuan per 100 yuan of revenue, indicating a significant drag from investment income and expenses[4] Group 3: Sector Performance - The profit share of midstream industries increased to 40.4%, while upstream and downstream sectors saw slight declines[5] - From January to November, upstream profits fell by 8.8%, with significant declines in non-metallic mineral products and chemical fibers, while black metal industries showed improvement[5] Group 4: Inventory and Demand Indicators - The inventory-to-sales ratio rose significantly in November, indicating weak demand and passive inventory accumulation by industrial enterprises[7] - Nominal inventory increased by 0.9 percentage points to 4.6%, while actual inventory rose by 1.0 percentage points to 6.8% year-on-year[7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the acceleration of commercial aerospace development due to the refined listing standards for commercial rocket companies by the Shanghai Stock Exchange [4][13] - The domestic satellite internet sector is rapidly developing, with various factors contributing to its growth, including supportive policies, technological readiness, and capital investment [5][15] - The report identifies four core investment themes: "Optical, Liquid Cooling, Domestic Computing Power, and Satellite" [7][17] Summary by Sections 1. Investment Outlook - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has detailed the listing standards for commercial rocket companies, focusing on their "hard technology" attributes and requiring clear technical advantages [4][14] - The satellite internet industry is supported by government policies, technological advancements, and private capital, with different segments of the industry expected to benefit variably [5][15][16] 2. Market Review - The communication index fell by 4.07% during the week of December 22-26, 2025, ranking second among TMT sectors [27] 3. Communication Data Tracking - As of November 2025, China has 4.83 million 5G base stations, with a net increase of 579,000 stations from the end of 2024 [28] - The number of 5G mobile phone users reached 1.193 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.06% [28] - 5G mobile phone shipments in November 2025 totaled 27.614 million units, accounting for 91.6% of total shipments, with a year-on-year growth of 1.08% [28] 4. Operator Performance - The report highlights strong growth in innovative business areas for major operators, with China Mobile's cloud revenue reaching 56.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, up 11.3% year-on-year [47] - China Telecom's Tianyi Cloud revenue for the same period was 57.3 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.8% increase [47] - The ARPU values for major operators have remained relatively stable, with slight decreases noted for China Unicom [47][52][56]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The retail industry is experiencing a transformation with a focus on emotional consumption and innovative product offerings, particularly in the jewelry and cosmetics sectors [6][33] - Companies like潮宏基 and毛戈平 are leveraging multi-channel strategies to enhance brand visibility and product sales, indicating a strong market presence [26][31] Summary by Sections Retail Market Overview - The retail index closed at 2462.73 points, with a weekly increase of 0.16%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.88% [5][15] - The retail sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 10.00%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index's 18.26% rise [15][19] Company Highlights - **潮宏基**: Achieved a revenue of 62.37 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, up 28.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.17 billion yuan, reflecting a 0.3% increase [42] - **毛戈平**: Launched the "琉光赋活" skincare series, set to debut on January 1, 2026, focusing on high-end skincare needs [31] - **周大福**: Reported a revenue of 389.86 billion HKD for FY2026H1, a slight decrease of 1.1%, but with a net profit increase of 0.1% [39] Investment Themes - **Gold and Jewelry**: Focus on brands with differentiated product offerings and consumer insights, recommending潮宏基 and老铺黄金 as key players [6][33] - **Offline Retail**: Emphasis on companies adapting to market changes, with recommendations for永辉超市 and爱婴室 [6][33] - **Cosmetics**: Highlighting brands that innovate with emotional value and safe ingredients, recommending毛戈平 and珀莱雅 [6][34] - **Medical Aesthetics**: Targeting differentiated product manufacturers and expanding medical aesthetic chains, with recommendations for爱美客 and科笛-B [6][34]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2026, the first expected difference in the bond market may be an unexpected rebound in inflation, which could cause bond yields to rise from the lower limit to the upper limit of the historical valuation range [5][6]. - As inflation rebounds, the 10 - year Treasury bond yield is expected to fluctuate in the 2% - 3% range, with a central value of 2.5%, and 2% may form the lower limit of the 10 - year Treasury bond yield [6][7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Contents 2025 Bond Market Review - In 2025, the bond market mainly experienced valuation repairs, including short - end bond valuation repair at the beginning of the year, long - end and ultra - long - end bond valuation repair in July, and ultra - long - end bond valuation repair in November [3]. - Currently, the bond market valuation is basically at the lower boundary of the historical normal range. For example, the 2 - year - overnight spread is about 10bp (historical normal range: 10 - 140bp); the 10 - year Treasury - OMO spread is about 40bp (historical normal range: 40 - 70bp); the 30 - 10 - year spread is about 40bp (historical normal range: 40 - 80bp) [3]. - The reasons for bond valuation repair in 2025 include the suspension of central bank bond purchases and rising funding rates in early 2025, the improvement of economic expectations after July, the correction of inflation expectations due to anti - involution in July, and the failure to meet expectations of central bank bond purchases and the disappointment of interest rate cuts from October to December [3]. 2026 Bond Market Outlook - The current market's expectation for inflation is a stable low - level price, with the year - on - year PPI in the second half of 2026 expected to be around 0%, which is a linear extrapolation of the PPI fixed - base index's sideways movement from July to October 2025 [5]. - In December 2025, policies may restart supply - side structural reforms, with the central economic work conference involving supply contraction in many aspects to promote inflation rebound [5]. - In 2026, it may be similar to 2016, where the importance of GDP growth rate decreases and price rebound is the key. In 2016, the GDP target was lowered, but prices rebounded significantly, driving corporate profit improvement, stable stock market rise, and an upward trend in bond yields [6]. - The current bond market only anticipates the end of price decline without forming an inflation expectation, which may be the first expected difference in 2026. With the increasing importance of "dual - carbon" and "optimizing supply" with environmental protection as the starting point, prices are likely to rise trend - wise in 2026 [6]. - If the PPI month - on - month growth remains positive, the funding rate may also rise, leading to further increases in short - end and long - end bond yields [6].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The fourth - quarter regular meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee basically follows the tone set by the Central Economic Work Conference for subsequent work. It is necessary to continue implementing a moderately loose monetary policy and strengthen counter - cyclical and cross - cyclical adjustments. The domestic economy has prominent contradictions of strong supply and weak demand [2]. - In an economic environment with revised expectations, bond yields are expected to rise trend - wise. The economic growth rate in the second half of 2025 may not decline significantly, structural problems such as prices are expected to improve trend - wise, and the allocation between stocks and bonds will continue to shift [6]. 3. Summary According to the Relevant Catalog World Economic Situation and Domestic Economic Operation - The world economic growth momentum is insufficient, and trade barriers and the lack of new economic growth drivers have increased the uncertainty of the external environment. The domestic economic operation is generally stable, with prominent contradictions of strong supply and weak demand. Expanding domestic demand remains one of the main tasks for the next stage [2]. Attitude towards Policy Tools - The central bank does not show a strong willingness to use reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts. As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, the net interest margin of Chinese commercial banks was 1.42%, at a historical low. Implementing reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts may further increase the bank interest margin pressure [2]. Price Outlook - Price recovery should be one of the main themes in 2026. The fourth - quarter regular meeting's statement on prices has changed from "promoting stable economic growth and keeping prices at a reasonable level" in the third quarter to "promoting stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery" [3]. Credit Delivery - The central bank's attitude towards credit delivery may have changed. The content of "guiding financial institutions to increase the intensity of monetary and credit delivery" was removed from the fourth - quarter regular meeting, indicating a shift from increasing the intensity of loan delivery to high - quality delivery [3]. Real Estate Support - The fourth - quarter regular meeting did not mention financial support measures for the real estate industry. On the one hand, the task of ensuring the completion of housing projects has been fully completed, and the financial policy measures to support the real estate industry have taken effect. On the other hand, with the continuous transformation of new and old growth drivers, the support for the old growth driver represented by real estate in financial policies will weaken [4].

Group 1: Industry Overview - The media industry has experienced a cumulative increase of approximately 24% in 2025, driven by strong earnings and the impact of AI on profitability [15][16][17] - AI is enhancing the profitability of the media sector, potentially driving long-term growth and a prosperous content ecosystem [16][18] Group 2: AI and Its Applications - Continuous iteration and upgrades of large models by domestic and international tech giants are laying the foundation for a thriving AI application ecosystem [35][36] - The gaming industry is witnessing robust supply and demand, with a significant increase in the issuance of game licenses, totaling 1,532 in 2025, a 29% year-on-year increase [41][42] - AI is transforming the game development process, improving efficiency and innovation in gameplay design and narrative structure [53][54] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The gaming sector's revenue grew by 24% year-on-year in 2025, with a notable 29% increase in Q3 alone, driven by new game releases and strong user engagement [23][25] - The film industry saw a 9% increase in revenue year-on-year, with a remarkable 110% increase in net profit, largely attributed to successful IP content like "Nezha 2" [24][31] - The advertising and marketing sector experienced a 6% revenue growth year-on-year, with a 14% increase in net profit in Q3, supported by AI-driven cost optimization [28][33] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies in the gaming sector include Giant Network, Kying Network, and Tencent Holdings, which are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing AI integration [4][41] - In the film sector, companies like Mango Super Media and Shanghai Film are highlighted as key players benefiting from supportive policies and AI tools [4][24] - For the marketing sector, recommended companies include Huimai Technology and Inertia Media, which are expected to gain from AI advancements [4][28] Group 5: IP Expansion and Capitalization - The expansion of IP companies into overseas markets is becoming a core growth driver, with a focus on diversifying product categories [39][40] - Capitalization efforts are accelerating the growth of IP companies, with notable recommendations including Reading Group and Aofei Entertainment [39][40]

Group 1: Strategy and Market Trends - The report emphasizes the rise of "portfolio management" as a crucial strategy in the public fund industry, driven by the need for a structural transformation from focusing on scale to prioritizing returns and clients [5][6] - The "Action Plan" released by the China Securities Regulatory Commission in May 2025 marks a significant shift towards standardized, professional, and long-term fund management practices [5][6] - The report outlines the challenges faced by public funds in transitioning to portfolio management, including the need for a shift in performance assessment from short-term to long-term metrics [8] Group 2: Electric Vehicle Industry - In November 2025, the sales of new energy vehicles in nine European countries reached 281,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39%, with a penetration rate of 34.3% [10][11] - The report highlights significant growth in electric vehicle sales in Germany, France, and Italy, driven by government subsidies and increasing consumer demand [11][12] - Investment recommendations include companies in the lithium battery sector such as CATL and Yiwei Lithium Energy, as well as lithium material producers like Hunan Youneng and Tianqi Lithium [13] Group 3: Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor sector is experiencing a price uptrend due to increased demand from AI and supply-side capacity shortages, with foundries like SMIC announcing price hikes of around 10% [15][16] - The report notes that NAND and DRAM prices have surged significantly, with indices showing increases of 173% and 169% respectively since July [18] - Key beneficiaries in the semiconductor space include foundries like SMIC and storage companies such as Jiangbo Long and Zhaoyi Innovation [19] Group 4: Real Estate Industry - Beijing's recent policy changes to relax purchase restrictions for non-local families aim to stimulate the housing market, with adjustments to social security requirements and mortgage rates [21][22] - The report indicates that the sales performance of China Jinmao has been strong despite market fluctuations, with projected net profits of 11.1 billion, 15.6 billion, and 16.2 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [35][37] - Investment recommendations focus on high-credit real estate firms that can capitalize on improving market conditions, such as Greentown China and China Overseas Land & Investment [26][36] Group 5: Company-Specific Developments - Lingyi Technology plans to acquire 35% of Limin Da for 875 million yuan, enhancing its capabilities in AI server cooling and power supply [27][28] - Jin Gu Co., a leading automotive wheel manufacturer, is transitioning to a diversified new materials technology platform, with projected revenues of 42.78 billion, 61.08 billion, and 88.82 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [32][33] - The report highlights the strategic shift of Jin Gu Co. towards new applications in electric two-wheelers and robotics, leveraging its innovative materials [34]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company plans to acquire 35% equity in Limin Da for 875 million yuan, gaining control over 52.78% of voting rights, which will enhance its position in the AI server market, particularly in cooling and power supply [1][2] - The acquisition is expected to create synergies between the company's existing businesses in consumer electronics, robotics, and AI servers, potentially unlocking long-term growth opportunities [1][3] - The profit forecast for the company has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 2.516 billion, 3.575 billion, and 4.765 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 34.124 billion yuan in 2023, 44.211 billion yuan in 2024, 54.127 billion yuan in 2025, 63.373 billion yuan in 2026, and 73.550 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.6% in 2024 and 22.4% in 2025 [4] - The expected net profit margins are projected to be 6.0% in 2023, increasing to 6.5% by 2027, with a net profit of 2.051 billion yuan in 2023 and 4.765 billion yuan in 2027 [4] - The company's P/E ratios are forecasted to decrease from 57.0 in 2023 to 24.5 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation over time [4] Business Overview - Limin Da, established in 2009, specializes in thermal management for enterprise-level servers and is a core supplier for NVIDIA, providing critical components for liquid cooling systems [2] - The company has a comprehensive product matrix in server thermal management, covering both liquid and air cooling solutions, and has established significant customer relationships with industry leaders [2] - The strategic acquisition is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in high-power AI server power supply and cooling systems, aligning with the increasing performance demands in the AI server sector [2][3]