Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the rapid growth of the community dining sector in China, with the market size expected to reach RMB 2,137.6 billion by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.4% from 2023 to 2028 [4][16] - The Hainan Free Trade Port has seen significant policy benefits, leading to increased consumer and trade activity, with notable growth in duty-free shopping and foreign trade enterprises [12][13] - The "oil-based skincare" segment is experiencing expansion, with both international and domestic brands enhancing their product offerings, which is expected to drive industry growth [27][28] Summary by Sections Hainan Free Trade Port Tracking - The first week of the Hainan Free Trade Port's full closure saw duty-free shopping amounting to RMB 1.1 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 54.9% [12] - The number of new foreign trade registered enterprises in Hainan increased by 2.3 times year-on-year, with over 30,000 new registered customs declaration units for the year, up over 40% [12] - Passenger throughput at Meilan Airport increased by 11.8% year-on-year during the first week of closure [13] Community Dining - The community dining sector has grown rapidly, with the market size increasing from RMB 1,141.4 billion in 2018 to RMB 1,365.8 billion in 2023, a CAGR of 3.7% [14][19] - JD's "Seven Fresh Kitchen" has opened over 30 stores in Beijing, aiming to establish 10,000 stores in three years, focusing on a dual model of delivery and self-pickup [18][24] - The "锅圈" (Guoquan) has expanded its store size and product offerings, transitioning from a simple grocery model to a comprehensive community kitchen service [24] Oil-based Skincare - The "oil-based skincare" market is seeing increased competition from both international luxury brands and domestic brands, with a focus on high-quality ingredients and effective formulations [27][28] - Lin Qingxuan has maintained the top market share on platforms like Taobao and Douyin, with a significant increase in its market share on Douyin by 13.8 percentage points compared to the previous year [28][33] - The report emphasizes the importance of product innovation and the introduction of new active ingredients to meet diverse consumer needs [28] Market Performance Overview - The Hong Kong retail sector outperformed the Hang Seng Index, while consumer services and media sectors lagged behind [34][35] - The report notes that the duty-free and dining sectors have shown strong performance, with specific companies like 多想云 (Duoxiangyun) and 中国中免 (China Duty Free Group) leading in stock performance [43][44]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The REITs market is expected to continue to perform well due to the downward pressure on bond market interest rates, enhancing the attractiveness of REITs as high-dividend, low-risk assets. The expectation of increased participation from social security and pension funds is likely to improve the cost-performance ratio of allocations in this sector, presenting good investment opportunities [5]. Market Overview - In the 52nd week of 2025, the CSI REITs (closing) index was 783.86, down 2.59% year-on-year but up 1.39% month-on-month. The CSI REITs total return index was 1014.8, up 5.3% year-on-year and up 1.56% month-on-month. Year-to-date, the CSI REITs index has increased by 3.63%, while the CSI 300 index has risen by 35.74%, resulting in an excess return of -32.11% [7][16][21]. Weekly Performance - The trading volume of the REITs market reached 711 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 20.29%. The trading amount was 3.135 billion yuan, down 11.11% year-on-year. The turnover rate for the period was 2.62%, a decrease of 2.82 percentage points year-on-year [5][28][30]. Sector Performance - In the 52nd week, the weekly performance of various REITs sectors was as follows: affordable housing REITs increased by 3.65%, while environmental, highway, industrial park, warehousing logistics, energy, and consumer REITs had weekly changes of -0.04%, +0.67%, +2.05%, +2.94%, -0.32%, and +0.32% respectively. Monthly performance showed affordable housing down by 0.83% and other sectors with varying declines [38][54]. Upcoming Listings - There are currently 15 REITs funds awaiting listing, indicating an active issuance market. Notably, the Huatai Sanxia Clean Energy REIT has had its initial application accepted, and the CICC Xiamen Torch Industrial Park REIT has been filed for its initial public offering [8].

Group 1 - The report highlights the positive signals in the M&A market starting from 2024, driven by policies such as the "New National Nine Articles" and "M&A Six Articles," which aim to support mergers and acquisitions for high-quality development of listed companies [3][11][19] - The Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) is positioned as a primary platform for mergers and acquisitions of innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, focusing on sectors like advanced manufacturing and modern services to promote industrial transformation and economic growth [3][19] - As of December 28, 2025, the BSE has recorded 46 significant investment and merger events, indicating a growing trend in M&A activities [3][22] Group 2 - The case study of Jinsai Technology's acquisition of Fenghua Electronics illustrates a strategic move to consolidate industry resources, with Jinsai acquiring 100% of Fenghua for a nominal price of 1 RMB while assuming a debt of 41.87 million RMB owed to the original controlling shareholder [4][28] - Fenghua Electronics reported a revenue of 28.88 million RMB and a net loss of 6.18 million RMB for 2024, highlighting the challenges faced by the company prior to the acquisition [4][31] - Jinsai Technology, recognized as a "little giant" in the quartz crystal oscillator industry, has seen a recovery in its fundamentals, with a revenue increase of 9.73% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025 [41][45] Group 3 - The quartz crystal oscillator industry in China has experienced growth, with the market size increasing from 5.496 billion RMB in 2015 to 8.288 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 4.67% [4][19] - Jinsai Technology's strategic initiatives include establishing a subsidiary in Thailand to enhance its international presence and meet overseas customer demands, indicating a proactive approach to market expansion [39][34] - The report emphasizes the importance of mergers and acquisitions as a means for companies to diversify and strengthen their core competencies, particularly in emerging industries [20][19]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the transaction area of new and second-hand homes has increased month-on-month, while year-on-year figures show a decline. The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has emphasized policies to stabilize the real estate market [3][4][61] - The overall direction of the real estate market in China is moving towards stabilization, with potential for slight fluctuations in housing prices during this process. The report anticipates further stabilization of the market due to supportive fiscal and monetary policies [3][4][61] Summary by Sections Policy Developments - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is focused on winning the battle to ensure housing delivery, with 38 cities initiating self-renovation of old housing. Policies are being implemented to increase the supply of affordable housing and improve the quality of property services [4][12][14] - In Beijing, the social security requirement for non-local buyers to purchase homes has been reduced, and families with two children are allowed to buy multiple properties [4][12][14] Sales Performance - In the 52nd week of 2025, the transaction area of residential properties in 68 major cities reached 3.1 million square meters, showing a month-on-month increase of 8% but a year-on-year decline of 39%. Cumulatively, the transaction area for the year is 118.7 million square meters, down 19% year-on-year [5][17][36] - The transaction area for second-hand homes in 20 cities was 198,000 square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 23% but a month-on-month increase [36] Investment Trends - In the 52nd week of 2025, the total planned land area released in 100 major cities was 1.907 million square meters, with a total transaction area of 8.172 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 12%. The average transaction premium rate was 1.2% [42][44] - The transaction area for land in first-tier cities decreased by 33% year-on-year, while second-tier cities saw a 36% decline. However, third-tier cities experienced a 5% increase in land transaction area [42][44] Financing Conditions - The issuance of domestic credit bonds decreased by 1% month-on-month, totaling 4.29 billion yuan, with an average weighted interest rate of 2.23%, down 16 basis points [6][49][51] - The cumulative issuance of credit bonds for the year is 406.22 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1% [49][54] Market Performance - The real estate index increased by 1.91% in the week of December 22-26, 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which rose by 1.95% [56][59] - The report identifies top-performing real estate stocks, including Hualian Holdings and Shoukai Shares, while also noting underperformers like Shijie Holdings [59][60]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates a significant recovery in the electronic sector, with a notable increase in stock prices driven by improved sentiment around AI and strong performance in semiconductor and consumer electronics segments [3][4] - The storage market continues to show high demand, with price increases for NAND flash wafers and SSDs, reflecting a bullish outlook for the sector [6][7] Market Review - The electronic industry index rose by 4.71% this week, with semiconductors up 5.07% and consumer electronics increasing by 3.48%. Notable stock performances include SK Hynix rising by 9.51% and Micron by 7.10% [3][4] - The report highlights the impact of the Christmas season on tech stocks, contributing to overall market gains [3] Industry Updates - New product launches are driving market excitement, including Samsung's first 2nm processor and Huawei's nova 15 series, which features advanced technology and performance improvements [4] - Major companies are enhancing their computational power collaborations, with significant projects like Oracle's data center approved in Michigan [5] Pricing Trends - The report notes a continuous upward trend in storage prices, with NAND flash wafer prices increasing by over 10% and SSD prices rising by 15% to 20% [6] - Expectations for price hikes in wafer production are also noted, with companies like SMIC and TSMC implementing price adjustments [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests several beneficiaries from the current market conditions, including SMIC, Beijing Junzheng, and Huafeng Technology, among others [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the upcoming IPO of Ruibo Bio, which has passed the hearing for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The company focuses on innovative siRNA technology platforms targeting various chronic diseases and tumors [4][14] - Ruibo Bio has established multiple technology platforms, including RiboGalSTAR for liver-targeted delivery and RiboOncoSTAR for tumor targeting, with a pipeline that includes over 20 clinical candidates [5][15] - The report emphasizes the potential of the siRNA sector and recommends investment in leading CXO and research service companies, particularly in the innovative drug space [8] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - In the fourth week of December 2025, the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector declined by 0.18%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.13 percentage points, ranking 25th among 31 sub-industries [7][11] - The raw material drug sector showed the highest increase, rising by 2.05%, while the hospital sector experienced the largest decline, falling by 2.82% [31] Company Developments - Ruibo Bio has seven siRNA pipelines in clinical research, with its core product RBD4059 being the first siRNA drug for treating thrombotic diseases currently in Phase 2 clinical trials [5][14] - The company plans to advance 2-4 new candidates into clinical stages annually, supported by significant partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies, reflecting recognition of its R&D capabilities [6][22] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on innovative drugs and their supply chains, particularly in the small nucleic acid space, and suggests a monthly investment portfolio including companies like Sangamo Therapeutics and Innovent Biologics [8]

Group 1: Commercial Aerospace IPO Developments - The Shanghai Stock Exchange issued guidelines on December 26, 2025, detailing the fifth set of listing standards for commercial rocket companies, marking a significant policy breakthrough[3] - Blue Arrow Aerospace completed its IPO counseling on December 23, 2025, becoming the first private rocket company to pass the IPO counseling process, with a valuation of 20 billion yuan[14] - Several commercial aerospace startups, including Star River Power and Micro Nano Starry Sky, are set to complete their IPO counseling in the second half of 2025, indicating a collective push into the capital market[4] Group 2: Traditional Industry Transformation Opportunities - Traditional industry companies are leveraging existing technological synergies and manufacturing capabilities to enter the high-growth commercial aerospace sector[4] - Two main strategies for traditional industries entering commercial aerospace are identified: technology extension and capital strategic layout[15] - Technology extension involves using core technologies from traditional sectors, such as automotive and rail transport, to develop aerospace applications, exemplified by companies like Jinchang Group and Superjet[16] - Capital strategic layout includes investments and acquisitions to quickly enter the commercial aerospace market, as seen with Tongyu Communications and Dongzhu Ecology's acquisition of Kai Rui Star Communication[17] Group 3: Market Performance and Trends - The A-share market saw a general increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.88% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 3.53% during the week of December 20-26, 2025[18] - The lithium battery electrolyte index experienced the highest growth this week, with a rise of 17.80%, led by companies like Tianji Co. and Huasheng Lithium[20] - Small-cap indices outperformed large-cap indices, with the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices rising by 4.03% and 3.76%, respectively[19]

Group 1 - The cultural industry in China has shown rapid growth, with cultural enterprises achieving revenue of 11 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.9% [2][18][19] - The cultural service sector leads the industry with a revenue of 60,626 billion yuan and a growth rate of 11.9%, accounting for 55.3% of the total revenue [2][19][21] - The new cultural business formats have seen significant growth, with 16 sub-sectors generating 48,860 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, outpacing the overall industry growth [2][18][19] Group 2 - The report highlights the performance of specific companies, such as Baixinglong, which is focusing on the C-end market with its original IP "One-Eyed Planet" and aims to cater to the emotional economy of Generation Z [2][38][42] - Taihu Snow, a leading silk product company, has integrated traditional craftsmanship with modern design, achieving a revenue of 4.02 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit of 23.16 million yuan [2][35][50] - The report notes that 37 new companies related to the consumer service sector were listed on the New Third Board in 2025, with an average revenue of 931 million yuan and an average net profit of 90.67 million yuan for 2024 [4][74] Group 3 - The report indicates that the eastern region of China accounts for 79.9% of the cultural enterprises' revenue, with significant growth rates observed in both the eastern and western regions [2][24][28] - The content creation and production, creative design services, and news information services have shown remarkable growth rates of 14.0%, 13.2%, and 11.6% respectively [2][23][21] - The cultural industry has benefited from substantial government investment, particularly in cultural tourism, which has accelerated the development of cultural consumption [2][29][31]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The value of layout in the high-end liquor sector is becoming evident, and the optimization of raw milk supply and demand is creating investment opportunities [3][12] - The food and beverage index experienced a decline of 0.6% from December 22 to December 26, ranking 25th among 28 sectors, underperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 2.5 percentage points [12][14] - The high-end liquor industry is currently in a deep adjustment period due to slowing economic growth and insufficient consumer confidence, but there are signs of demand improvement compared to the second and third quarters [12] - The price strategy for premium liquor brands like Moutai is stabilizing, with recent prices in the range of 1500-1600 RMB, and significant price drops are not expected in the near future [12] - The raw milk supply-demand gap has slightly narrowed, with a short-term recovery in demand due to pre-holiday stocking, but long-term supply remains in surplus [4][13] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights - The liquor sector shows layout value, and the raw milk supply-demand optimization is generating investment opportunities [3][12] - The food and beverage index underperformed the market, with specific sub-sectors like health products and other foods showing relative strength [12][14] Market Performance - The food and beverage index fell by 0.6%, ranking 25th out of 28 sectors, with health products (+0.5%) and other foods (+0.0%) performing relatively better [12][14] Upstream Data - Recent data indicates a decline in some upstream raw material prices, with full-fat milk powder auction prices down 18.7% year-on-year [20][21] Liquor Industry News - Prices for premium Moutai products have increased, reflecting strong market demand and limited supply [42] Recommended Portfolio - Recommended stocks include Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and West Oat Foods, among others, focusing on companies with strong performance stability and risk resilience [5][48]

2025 年 12 月 28 日 北交所策略专题报告 2025 年打新择时复盘：上市首日售出策略仍然为短期最佳策略 ——北交所策略专题报告 北交所研究团队 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 北交所 2025 年打新择时复盘，一周内新股股价最高日通常为上市首日 从 2025 年北交所节奏上来看，截至 2025 年 12 月 26 日，2025 年 1-12 月北交所 合计过会 49 家企业，合计上市 25 家企业，从 2025 年 4 季度开始，北交所上市 节奏出现提升，其中 2025 年 11-12 月北交所合计过会 22 家企业。从 2024 年至 今 48 家上市企业一周内股价变化趋势来看，多数企业股价最高日为上市首日。 我们按照上市日期为 T 日，上市企业股价最高日在 T 日、T+1、T+2、T+3、T+4、 T+5、T+6、T+7 的占比分别为 72.92%、0.00%、4.17% 、2.08%、4.17%、6.25%、 2.08%、8.33%。其中，一周内股价最高日不是上市首日的企业数量共有 13 家， 整体来主要由于 1）上市首日市场情 ...