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建筑装饰行业周报(20260209-20260215):关注节后开复工情况,继续推荐鸿路钢构-20260226
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-26 06:38
证券研究报告 建筑装饰 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 26 日 证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC:S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC:S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC:S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com 关注节后开复工情况,继续推荐鸿路钢构 投资评级: 看好(维持) ——建筑装饰行业周报(20260209-20260215) 投资要点: 本周观点: 联系人 积极关注节后开复工节奏,2026Q1 有望迎来"开门红"。复盘历次"五年规划"周期, 基建投资普遍呈现"前高后稳"的阶段性特征,"十三五""十四五"周期表现尤为清晰 ——前半段项目集中落地、投资增速处于相对高位,后半段节奏趋稳。2026 年作为"十 五五"开局之年,在规划密集落地与项目储备释放背景下,投资节奏有望重新进入抬升阶 ...
香港交易所(00388):现货和股票期权交易持续活跃,25Q3业绩环比再加速
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-25 15:10
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) as a first coverage [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited experienced a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue and net profit growing by 37% and 45% year-on-year, reaching HKD 21.9 billion and HKD 13.4 billion respectively [4]. - The EBITDA margin improved by 5 percentage points to 79% due to scale effects, with Q3 alone showing an 8% and 10% quarter-on-quarter growth in revenue and net profit [4]. - The report emphasizes the strong performance in spot trading and stock options, with average daily trading amounts (ADT) for stock securities products increasing by 150% year-on-year to HKD 267.9 billion in Q3 [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the revenue from spot trading increased by 75% year-on-year to HKD 111 billion, accounting for 51% of total revenue [5]. - The average daily trading amount for southbound and northbound trading increased by 285% and 144% respectively, contributing to the overall growth in trading volume [5]. - The financial derivatives segment saw a decline in average daily contract volume by 7% year-on-year, while stock options trading increased by 30% [5]. Strategic Initiatives - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited has implemented several strategic measures, including the launch of LME-approved warehousing facilities and adjustments to minimum price fluctuations in the securities market [6][7]. - The company is also focusing on enhancing market vitality and technological empowerment, with plans to shorten the settlement cycle for the cash market [6][7]. IPO Contributions - In the first three quarters of 2025, there were 69 successful IPOs on the Hong Kong Exchange, raising a total of HKD 188.3 billion, marking the highest level since 2022 [8]. - The report notes that internet and technology stocks were the main contributors to trading volume, with the top ten stocks accounting for 30% of the total market ADT [8]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects that the net profit for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited will reach HKD 17.9 billion, HKD 20.3 billion, and HKD 22.1 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 37.5%, 13.1%, and 9.0% [9]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are forecasted to be 29.1, 25.7, and 23.6 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [9].
宏川智慧(002930):化工行业景气回暖,储罐业务有望释放盈利弹性
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-25 09:44
证券研究报告 交通运输 | 物流 非金融|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 25 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC:S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC:S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC:S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 SAC:S1350525070001 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 高树根 gaoshugen@huayuanstock.com 市场表现: | 基本数据 | | 2026 | 年 | 02 | 月 24 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | | | | | 12.90 | | | 一 年 内 最 / 最 | 高 | 低 | | | | | | (元) | | | | | 13.35/9.00 | | | 总市值(百万元) | | | | | 5,901.62 | | | ...
华源晨会精粹20260225-20260225
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-25 09:21
证券研究报告 晨会 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 25 日 投资要点: | 市场数据 指数名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 4,147.23 | 0.72% | 3.08% | | 创业板指 | 3,354.82 | 1.41% | 1.83% | | 沪深 300 | 4,735.89 | 0.60% | 0.38% | | 中证 1000 | 8,426.33 | 1.52% | 8.67% | | 科创 50 | 1,473.28 | 0.54% | 4.98% | | 北证 50 | 1,547.20 | 0.77% | 5.51% | 资料来源:聚源,华源证券研究所,截至2026年02月25日 华源晨会精粹 20260225 固定收益 25Q4 保险公司资金运用有何变化?根据国家金融监督管理总局数据,截 至 25Q4,保险公司资金运用余额共计 38.48 万亿元,较 25Q3 增长 2.71%。截至 25Q4 险资(财产险及人身险公司,下同)债券投资余额同比增长 17.43%,其中 25Q4 单季 ...
基于新业务恢复增长、利率敏感性减弱和审慎的精算假设角度:从友邦保险经验比较,看好中资保险估值有望提升
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-25 07:32
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) based on the recovery of new business growth, reduced interest rate sensitivity, and prudent actuarial assumptions [5][30]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the valuation of Chinese insurance companies is expected to improve, drawing comparisons with AIA Group's strong performance since its listing. AIA's embedded value (PEV) multiple was approximately 1.48 times at the end of 2025, indicating high growth potential and lower sensitivity to interest rates, which could benefit the valuation of Chinese insurers [5][6]. - The new business value (NBV) of Chinese life insurance companies is recovering rapidly, driven by improved distribution channels and product offerings, with expectations for continued growth in 2026 [5][13]. - Effective asset-liability duration management and the transformation towards participating insurance have reduced the sensitivity of Chinese insurers' values to interest rates, which is favorable for valuation [15][17]. - Prudent adjustments to actuarial assumptions have brought Chinese insurers' assumptions closer to those of AIA, enhancing the credibility of their valuations [22][30]. Summary by Sections Section 1: AIA's Performance and Valuation - AIA has shown strong stock performance since its listing, with a PEV multiple of approximately 1.48 times at the end of 2025, indicating a favorable outlook for valuation improvements in Chinese insurers [5][6]. Section 2: Recovery of New Business and Growth Indicators - Chinese life insurance companies are experiencing a rapid recovery in new business growth, with NBV for AIA increasing by 18% year-on-year to USD 4.314 billion in the first three quarters of 2025. The NBV for 2024 was approximately 113% of the 2019 figure, indicating strong growth potential [8][13]. - Major Chinese insurers are expected to see NBV growth of 30%-80% in 2025, with positive growth in CSM for China Life and Ping An in the first half of 2025 [13][18]. Section 3: Interest Rate Sensitivity and Actuarial Assumptions - The sensitivity of Chinese insurers' values to interest rates has decreased due to effective duration management and a successful shift towards participating insurance. For instance, AIA's NBV only decreased by 1.9% with a 50 basis point drop in interest rates [15][17]. - Chinese insurers have made prudent adjustments to their actuarial assumptions, aligning them more closely with AIA's, which enhances the reliability of their valuations. For example, China Life's investment return assumption has been adjusted to 4% from 5% [22][30].
新和成(002001):结构升级,韧性十足:新和成(002001.SZ)
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-25 05:46
证券研究报告 基础化工 | 化学制品 非金融|首次覆盖报告 证券分析师 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 25 日 李辉 SAC:S1350526010001 lihui01@huayuanstock.com 张峰 SAC:S1350525120003 zhangfeng03@huayuanstock.com 李佳骏 SAC:S1350526010004 lijiajun@huayuanstock.com 市场表现: | 基本数据 | | | | 2026 | 年 | 02 | 月 24 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | | | | | | | 29.59 | | | 一 年 内 最 低 | 最 | 高 | / | | | | 30.99/19.52 | | | (元) | | | | | | | | | | 总市值(百万元) | | | | | | | 90,942.55 | | | 流通市值(百万元) | | | | | | | 89,860.74 | | | 总股本(百万股) ...
觅睿科技(920036):民用视频监控小巨人企业,聚焦物联网、云平台与AI技术
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-25 05:19
证券研究报告 计算机 | 计算机设备 北交所|新股申购 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 25 日 赵昊 SAC:S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 王宇璇 SAC:S1350525050003 wangyuxuan@huayuanstock.com 觅睿科技(920036.BJ) 证券分析师 ——民用视频监控"小巨人"企业,聚焦物联网、云平台与 AI 技术 投资要点: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 发行价格 21.52 元/股,发行市盈率 14.3X,申购日为 2026 年 2 月 26 日。觅睿科技 本次发行数量为 1,360.5500 万股,发行后总股本为 5,442.1827 万股,本次发行数 量占发行后总股本的 25.00%。本次发行不安排超额配售选择权。经我们测算,公司 发行后预计可流通股本比例为 26.5%,老股占可流通股本比例为 5.66%。本次发行 战略配售发行数量为 136.0550 万股,占本次发行数量的 10.00%。募集资金在扣除 发行费用后拟用于投资"总部基地及品牌建设项目"、"研发中心建设项目"。 ...
25Q4保险公司资金运用有何变化?
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-24 14:13
证券研究报告 固收点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 24 日 25Q4 保险公司资金运用有何变化? 投资要点: 张一帆 zhangyifan@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 根据国家金融监督管理总局数据,截至 25Q4,保险公司资金运用余额共计 38.48 万亿元,较 25Q3 增长 2.71%。其中,人身险公司资金运用余额 34.66 万亿元,财 产险公司 2.42 万亿元,分别较 25Q3 增长 2.77%和 1.18%。截至 25Q4,人身险和 财产险公司银行存款投资共计 3.04 万亿元,在此两类公司合计资金运用余额中占比 8.19%;债券投资 18.70 万亿元,占比 50.43%;股票投资 3.73 万亿元,占比 10.07%; 证券投资基金 1.97 万亿元,占比 5.31%;长期股权投资 2.83 万亿元,占比 7.64%。 截至 25Q4 险资(财产险及人身险公司,下同)债券投资余额同比增长 17.43%,其 中 25Q4 单季同比少增。截至 25Q4,险资债券投资余额为 18.70 万亿元,较 24 年 末(1 ...
华源晨会精粹20260224-20260224
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-24 12:18
Group 1: Solid-State Battery Industry - The global solid-state battery industry is expected to achieve GWh-level mass production by 2027, driven by collaborative innovation in materials, processes, and equipment [5][6][7] - The solid-state battery supply chain is evolving towards a "materials-equipment-manufacturing-application" collaborative innovation model, with key advancements in electrolyte film formation processes impacting ionic conductivity [6][7] - The global solid-state battery equipment market is projected to reach 120 billion yuan by 2026, with significant demand for new equipment such as dry electrode preparation and isostatic pressing [7][8] Group 2: AI Applications and Media Consumption - The 2026 Spring Festival has become a battleground for major AI companies to showcase their technological capabilities, integrating AI deeply into program production and real-time interactions [10][11] - The focus of domestic AI large models has shifted from general capabilities to native agent capabilities, emphasizing task planning and multi-modal technology breakthroughs [10][11] - The gaming sector during the Spring Festival saw a preference for high DAU games, particularly in the MOBA and FPS genres, with Tencent's games dominating the market [11][12] Group 3: Energy Sector and Coal Market - In 2025, the State Grid's total bidding amount reached 89.4 billion yuan, doubling that of 2022 and increasing by 27% compared to 2024, indicating strong growth in the energy sector [14][15] - The coal market experienced unexpected inventory reductions before the Spring Festival, leading to optimistic coal prices post-holiday, supported by favorable supply conditions [16] - The release of the national unified electricity market policy aims to establish a market-oriented mechanism centered on supply and demand, emphasizing sustainability [17][18] Group 4: New Consumption Trends - The 2026 Spring Festival saw a significant increase in travel and consumption, with cross-regional passenger flow expected to reach 9.5 billion, a 5.32% increase from 2025 [19][20] - The beauty sector showed signs of recovery during the off-peak season, with a notable increase in sales, particularly in the makeup category, driven by festive consumption [22][23] - The overall retail and catering sales during the Spring Festival increased by 8.6% compared to the previous year, reflecting a vibrant consumer market [21][22]
新质生产力专题报告三:全球GWh级量产或在即,从设备端来看固态电池产业链变化和未来演进
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-24 08:46
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the solid-state battery industry, projecting GWh-level mass production by 2027, driven by collaborative innovation across the entire supply chain [2][6][12]. Core Insights - The solid-state battery industry is rapidly forming a collaborative innovation pattern across "materials, equipment, manufacturing, and applications," with significant advancements expected in materials and processes [6][20]. - Major players like CATL and BYD are expected to dominate the market, focusing on high-end applications in electric vehicles and energy storage [20][21]. - The demand for high-performance batteries is increasing due to the rapid growth of the global electric vehicle market, with solid-state batteries emerging as a strong competitor [20][21]. Summary by Sections Development - Global solid-state batteries are expected to achieve GWh-level mass production by 2027, with a focus on material innovation and process optimization [6][9]. - The supply chain is anticipated to mature over the next 3-5 years, with commercial viability expected around 2030 [9][10]. Process - The electrolyte film formation process is critical, influencing the thickness and ionic conductivity of solid electrolyte membranes [22][23]. - Two main technical routes for semi-solid batteries are identified: one focuses on reducing electrolyte liquid usage, while the other emphasizes in-situ curing processes [22][23]. Equipment - The global solid-state battery equipment market is projected to reach 12 billion yuan by 2026, with significant demand for new equipment such as dry electrode preparation and isostatic pressing [31][32]. - The value share of equipment in the front and middle stages of solid-state battery production is expected to increase significantly compared to traditional liquid batteries, with a combined share of around 80% [32][36]. Key Company Updates - Naconor has successfully delivered high-speed wide-format dry electrode equipment to leading domestic manufacturers, marking a significant milestone in solid-state battery production [4.1][21]. - Lingge Technology has secured contracts for solid-state sulfide systems and is advancing its solid electrolyte pilot line [4.2][26]. - Litong Technology is developing isostatic pressing equipment to enhance the interface density between solid electrodes and solid electrolytes [4.3][41]. - Wuhan Blue Electric is focusing on high-precision testing equipment for solid-state batteries, capable of stable testing under low currents [4.4][30].