Group 1: Medical Aesthetics Industry - The Chinese medical aesthetics market is expected to reach nearly 370 billion by 2025, with a high growth outlook for the recombinant collagen segment [2][35] - The trend of younger consumers in medical aesthetics is evident, with light medical aesthetics gradually becoming mainstream, accounting for 52% of the market in 2022 [7][12] - Approximately 50.90% of users choose medical aesthetics because "becoming beautiful can make oneself happier," indicating a strong emotional value associated with beauty [4][8] Group 2: Beauty Industry - The retail sales of cosmetics in China are projected to grow at a CAGR of about 9% from 2016 to 2024, with domestic brands expected to maintain growth momentum [2][3] - The Chinese cosmetics market is entering a phase of high-quality development, with trends leaning towards scientific beauty and Eastern philosophies [3][19] - The market for cosmetic raw materials is expected to grow from 1147.80 billion in 2019 to 1603.90 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 6.9% [2][3] Group 3: Related Companies on the Beijing Stock Exchange - Companies such as Jinbo Biological, which leads in recombinant human collagen medical devices, and Bawei Co., which provides ODM services for domestic and international cosmetic brands, are expected to benefit from the ongoing beauty consumption boom [2][3] - The market for functional skincare products is also seeing new entrants, with companies like Jinbo Biological expanding into this segment [2][3] - The beauty industry is experiencing a transformation driven by technological innovations, including synthetic biology and the application of new materials [2][3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4][13] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of autonomous agents, marking the beginning of the third scaling phase in the industry. Companies like Anthropic are revising their revenue expectations upwards, with projections of $18 billion and $55 billion for 2026 and 2027 respectively. The penetration of agents is expected to drive significant revenue growth [6] - The report notes a decline in global web traffic share for ChatGPT, which fell to 64.5% in January 2026, a decrease of approximately 20 percentage points compared to January 2025. This shift indicates a transition in growth narratives towards mixed revenue models [6] - The report emphasizes the potential for AI-native products to emerge rapidly, amplifying short-term industry volatility while validating long-term trends. It anticipates a significant increase in the "Token->ARR" conversion for agents in 2026, suggesting a robust investment opportunity in high-growth sectors [6] Summary by Sections Section: Market Performance - The report discusses the performance of the computer sector, indicating a positive outlook based on recent developments and market trends [2] Section: Autonomous Agents - The report details the advancements in autonomous agents, including their increasing role in B2B applications and the significant rise in token consumption compared to traditional chat models. The penetration of these agents is seen as a key lever for revenue growth for companies like Anthropic [6] Section: Consumer Productivity - OpenClaw has gained popularity, driving a surge in Mac mini purchases. The report notes that consumer sensitivity to model performance is low, while sensitivity to interaction is high, indicating a shift in user engagement with AI tools [6] Section: Group Intelligence - The emergence of Moltbook, an agent-based platform, is discussed as a preliminary form of group intelligence. The report highlights the initial chaotic nature of agent interactions and the potential for new business models to develop from these early stages [6] Section: Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on sectors with clear industry trends and high growth certainty, recommending investments in domestic large models, agents, infrastructure, and computing power companies. It advises on the importance of reverse investment strategies and forward-looking positioning due to industry volatility [6]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: None [4] Core Insights - The report highlights strong order performance in the AI energy sector, with GEV securing approximately 24GW of gas turbine demand in Q4 2025, and a total of 83GW of orders and capacity reserved until 2029, aiming for 100GW by the end of 2026 [5][13][14] - In the fintech sector, BREAD Financial led the market with a 5.5% increase after reporting Q4 2025 earnings that exceeded market expectations, while the overall sector remains under pressure [16][21] - Quantum computing companies like Honeywell and IonQ are making significant strides, with Honeywell's Quantinuum raising approximately $840 million and IonQ acquiring Seed Innovations and Skyloom to enhance its enterprise-level platform [28][29][31] Summary by Sections AI Energy - The AI energy sector saw GEV's strong performance with 24GW of new gas turbine demand and a total of 83GW of orders, with expectations to reach 100GW by 2026 [5][13] - The company anticipates a significant increase in gas turbine production by Q3 2026 and a doubling of grid equipment capacity from 2024 to 2028 [14] - The report notes a positive outlook on the U.S. emergency power auction mechanism, which could accelerate the construction of stable, dispatchable power sources [14] Fintech - The fintech sector experienced a downturn, with most companies declining, except for BREAD Financial, which reported a 5.5% increase in stock price after strong Q4 earnings [16][21] - Visa has implemented Apple Pay for Chinese cardholders, enhancing cross-border payment capabilities, while NITMX is working on cross-border payment systems with major Chinese payment service providers [21][22] - The report suggests that cross-border payments are transitioning from a "channel competition" phase to a "infrastructure reconstruction" phase, driven by high-frequency consumption scenarios [23] Quantum Computing - The quantum computing sector saw Honeywell's Quantinuum achieve significant funding and partnerships, integrating its products with NVIDIA's AI technology [28][29] - IonQ is advancing its enterprise-level platform through acquisitions, enhancing its capabilities in machine learning and quantum networking [31] - The report emphasizes IonQ's strategy to build a comprehensive platform covering quantum computing, networking, sensing, and security [31] Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a slight decline, with key companies like Honeywell and RTX reporting strong earnings despite market fluctuations [36] - Honeywell's Q4 sales reached $9.8 billion, with a 6% year-over-year increase, while RTX reported $24.2 billion in sales, a 12% increase from the previous year [36]

Group 1: North Exchange IPO Insights - In January 2026, five companies were listed on the North Exchange, raising a total of 1.8 billion yuan, approximately one-fourth of the fundraising amount in 2025 [2][7] - The average first-day increase for new IPOs in January 2026 was 196%, a decrease from the 368% average in 2025, primarily due to larger and traditional industry IPOs [2][7] - The average online subscription funds reached a historical high of 910.3 billion yuan in January 2026, compared to 662.4 billion yuan in 2025, indicating increased interest in new listings [2][8] Group 2: AI and Energy Sector Analysis - The return of the Trump administration has shifted the U.S. macro policy environment towards growth, industrial security, and resource safety, impacting energy and financial systems [10][11] - AI's large-scale application is rapidly reshaping energy demand structures, with significant implications for power supply and infrastructure [12] - The report suggests a long-term positive outlook for nuclear power, uranium, and energy storage as key growth areas in the context of AI and digital economy [14] Group 3: Food and Beverage Sector - Babi Foods - Babi Foods reported a revenue of 1.86 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.2%, while net profit decreased by 1.3% to 273 million yuan [15][16] - The company is focusing on expanding its new store model, with plans to open 1,000 new stores in 2026, leveraging strong sales performance from the new model [16][17] - The net profit margin is expected to improve due to effective cost management and new product development [17] Group 4: Chemical Logistics - Milkway - Milkway is a leading player in the hazardous chemical supply chain, with a dual-driven model of comprehensive logistics and chemical distribution [18][19] - The hazardous chemical logistics market is projected to grow from 2.05 trillion yuan in 2020 to 2.44 trillion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.45% [19] - The company has established a global service network and is expected to benefit from industry consolidation as smaller players exit the market [20] Group 5: Electronics - BOE Technology - BOE Technology has become a global leader in the semiconductor display industry, with a revenue of 101.28 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 8.45% year-on-year growth [22][23] - The company is entering a new growth phase, with its LCD business benefiting from increased demand for large-size displays [23] - The OLED segment is also expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing penetration of OLED in mobile devices and upcoming product launches from major brands [24][25]

证券研究报告 证券分析师 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 张东雪 SAC：S1350525060001 zhangdongxue@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： 食品饮料 | 休闲食品 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 05 日 资料来源：公司公告，华源证券研究所预测 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 万辰集团发布 2025 业绩预告，归母净利率提升。万辰集团发布 25 年业绩预告，2025 预计实现收入 500-528 亿元，同比增长 54.66%-63.32%；实现归母净利润 12.3- 14.0 亿元，同比重组后增加 222.38%-266.94%；实现扣非净利润 11.6-13.3 亿元， 同比重组后增加 245.02%-295.58%。根据业绩预告，归母净利率中枢达 2.56%，相 比 2025 年前三季度归母净利率 2.34%，进一步提升。 联系人 量贩零食零售业务持续规模化扩张：公司量贩零食门店数量持续增长，旗下"好想来 品牌零食"市场领先地位和规模效应日益稳固。根据公司官网 ...

证券研究报告 食品饮料 | 食品加工 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 04 日 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | | 2026 | 年 | 02 | 月 | 04 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | | | 28.63 | | | 一 年 内 最 低 | 高 | / | 最 | | | | 34.10/16.68 | | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | 6,858.79 | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | 6,858.79 | | | 总股本（百万股） | | | | | | | | 239.57 | | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | | | | | 19.34 | | | 每股净资产（元/股） | | | | | | | | 9.46 | | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | | | | | | | | 巴比食 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating was provided in the report. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the domestic bond ETF market experienced rapid growth, with the scale increasing from 174 billion yuan at the end of 2024 to 829 billion yuan at the end of 2025. The product structure showed differentiation, with credit - bond ETFs becoming the main growth driver. [1] - The participation of bond ETFs continued to expand, but the scale barriers of leading fund companies were relatively stable. The market was mainly dominated by institutional investors. [1][2] - The performance of interest - rate bond ETFs was related to duration, and there was significant differentiation. Credit - bond ETFs such as science - innovation bond ETFs and benchmark market - making credit - bond ETFs showed stable performance. Convertible bond ETFs also achieved high - speed growth. [2] - The domestic bond ETF market may further concentrate on leading institutions in single categories. Future product innovation may focus on diversified expansion to meet the differentiated needs of investors. [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Domestic Bond ETF Market Overview 1.1 Bond ETF Development Process - The development of domestic bond ETFs has gone through three stages: the start - up stage from 2013 - 2018, the slow - growth stage from 2019 - 2021, and the rapid - growth stage from 2021 to the present. As of December 31, 2025, the scale reached 829 billion yuan. [6] 1.2 Bond ETF Scale Growth in 2025 - In 2025, the bond ETF market grew rapidly. By the end of 2025, there were 53 listed bond ETFs, with a total scale of 829 billion yuan, a 377% increase compared to the end of 2024. The scale expansion showed an accelerating trend. [9] - Among the 53 bond ETF products, 37 had a scale of over 10 billion yuan, accounting for about 70%, indicating rapid market development in 2025. [14] 1.3 Bond ETF Benchmark Index - As of the end of 2025, the domestic bond ETF benchmark index had formed a system covering all categories such as interest - rate bonds, credit bonds, and convertible bonds, with a total of 25 indices compiled by index institutions such as China Securities Index and China Bond Index. [17] - Different types of ETFs correspond to different target indices, which can meet the diversified needs of investors from stable allocation to thematic investment. [18] 1.4 Bond ETF Product Classification System - Domestic bond ETFs can be divided into interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs. Interest - rate bond ETFs are the basic products, credit - bond ETFs were the main growth driver in 2025, and there are currently 2 convertible bond ETFs. [21][22] 1.5 Bond ETF Managers - As of the end of 2025, 28 fund companies managed a total of 53 bond ETFs. The scale of leading fund managers showed a long - term stagnation followed by rapid growth. [23] - The market pattern showed significant leading effects and high concentration. Haitong Fund ranked first, followed by Boshi Fund and Fuguo Fund. Both leading institutions and new entrants promoted the expansion of the industry. [28][31] 2. Bond ETF Product Line and Recent Trends 2.1 Structural Differentiation of Bond ETF Scale Growth in 2025 - In terms of scale and quantity, interest - rate bond, credit - bond, and convertible bond ETFs showed significant differentiation in 2025, reflecting the different demand for products with different risk - return characteristics. [33] - Products with a duration of 0 - 3 years and 3 - 7 years accounted for a relatively large proportion, with the proportion increasing by 12.33 percentage points compared to the end of 2024. [38] - The launch of science - innovation bond ETFs and benchmark market - making credit - bond ETFs was the highlight of the market in 2025. The total scale of science - innovation bond ETFs exceeded 35.53 billion yuan, contributing nearly 54% of the annual market scale increment. [41] 2.2 Interest - Rate Bond ETFs - The scale of interest - rate bond ETFs expanded steadily. As of the end of December 2025, the asset - net - value scale was 152.8 billion yuan, accounting for 18.4% of the overall bond ETF market. Policy support promoted the inflow of funds. [45][51] - The product system was improving and achieved full - duration coverage, but there was still room for innovation in some niche categories. [52] - The competition pattern was relatively stable, with leading institutions taking the lead. Competition focused on duration coverage, tracking - error control, and liquidity maintenance. [54] 2.3 Credit - Bond ETFs - Before 2025, there were only 3 credit - bond ETFs. In 2025, it was a big year for credit - bond ETF issuance, with the launch of benchmark market - making credit - bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs. [57] - **Benchmark Market - Making Credit - Bond ETFs**: In January 2025, 8 benchmark market - making credit - bond ETFs were listed. Their scale showed a trend of rapid expansion in the first half of the year and high - level oscillation in the second half. The underlying assets were concentrated in medium - and short - duration, high - rating bonds, mainly including general public - offering corporate bonds and science - innovation bonds. [58][59][62] - **Science - Innovation Bond ETFs**: In 2025, science - innovation bond ETFs grew rapidly, with a total scale of 35.53 billion yuan at the end of the year, accounting for over 40% of the overall bond ETF scale. They were driven by policies and had a three - pillar tracking - index system, with products concentrated in leading fund companies. [70][73][76] - **Other Credit - Bond ETFs**: There were only 3 other credit - bond ETFs, focusing on short - term financing, urban investment bonds, and high - grade corporate bonds. [79] 2.4 Convertible Bond ETFs - In a low - interest - rate environment, convertible bond ETFs became an important allocation target. As of the end of 2025, there were only 2 convertible bond ETFs. The market had achieved leap - forward growth in recent years, and although the scale decreased in 2025, it remained at a high level. [81][82] 3. Bond ETF Product Holder Structure - Bond ETFs were mainly held by institutional investors, and the investor structure of treasury - bond ETFs was relatively balanced. As of June 2025, institutional investors held 92% of the asset - net - value scale, and individual investors held 8%. [84] - In terms of concentration, the concentration of policy - financial bond ETFs was the highest, and that of convertible bond ETFs was the lowest. The top three institutional investors in terms of holding scale were other institutions, securities firms, and securities investment funds. [88][89] 4. Bond ETF Performance - As of the end of 2025, the performance of interest - rate bond ETFs showed significant differentiation, with long - duration products having larger declines and short - duration products achieving positive returns. Most products had a tracking - deviation mean of less than 0.1. [92] - The performance of credit - bond ETFs also showed differentiation. Some science - innovation bond ETFs and benchmark market - making credit - bond ETFs performed well, and the annualized returns of some early - established credit - bond ETFs were higher. [95][97] - The recovery - unit - net - value trends of Haitong Shanghai - Stock - Exchange Investment - Grade Convertible Bond ETF and Boshi Convertible Bond ETF were highly synchronized, with 2025 returns of 13.1% and 18.0% respectively, and annualized returns since establishment of 4.5% and 5.5% respectively. [98] 5. Future Development of Bond ETFs - The domestic bond ETF market showed a trend of concentration among leading institutions, and there were problems such as product homogenization and lack of richness, which were difficult to meet the differentiated needs of investors. [102] - Referring to the US bond ETF market, the domestic bond ETF market could enrich the product matrix from multiple dimensions, including expanding product - gradient coverage, developing Smart Beta and actively managed bond ETFs, adding cross - border and cross - market bond ETFs if QDII quotas were sufficient, and adding over - the - counter connection funds. [103][104][107]

Group 1: Credit Bond ETF Dynamics - The circulation share and market value of credit bond ETFs experienced a rapid surge in late December 2025, followed by a swift decline in early 2026. As of January 28, 2026, the total market value of benchmark credit bond ETFs was 108.3 billion, with a circulation share of 1.072 billion units [6][7] - The logic supporting the price correction of credit bond ETFs has not changed significantly, and the price correction process in Q1 2026 is expected to continue towards a zero value center [7][8] - The first batch of Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs launched in July 2025 saw a "rush for bonds" phenomenon, but by December 2025, the relative advantage of Sci-Tech bonds over ordinary bonds had been erased by the market [8] Group 2: Mergers and Acquisitions - In the recent period, 13 significant equity transactions were disclosed, with a total transaction amount exceeding 14.4 billion. Notable projects include the equity change of 12% in Fulian Precision, with Ningde Times as the subscriber [12][13] - Victory Electric plans to acquire 51.02% of Huajia New Materials for 112.24 million, aiming to strengthen supply chain control and high-end material technology capabilities through vertical integration [14] - The acquisition of new energy assets by Anhui Energy Group is expected to enhance the company's new energy capacity and resolve competition issues within the group [15][16] Group 3: Anhui Energy's Strategic Moves - Anhui Energy plans to invest 17.27 billion in cash and 100% equity of its subsidiary to acquire 51% of a new energy company, optimizing its power structure and addressing competition issues [15][16] - The new energy company has a total installed capacity of approximately 3.46 million kilowatts, with a net profit of 237 million in the first three quarters of 2025 [16] - The company has introduced an employee co-investment plan to align employee interests with corporate goals, which is expected to support long-term development [17]

证券研究报告 ——北交所收并购周跟踪第八期（20260131） 投资要点： | 北交所定期报告 | | --- | hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 04 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 胡文瀚 风险提示：并购政策变动风险、项目审批进度风险、宏观环境变化风险 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 huwenhan@huayuanstock.com 江丰电子拟控股凯德石英，胜业电气拟 1.1 亿元控股华佳新材 科创板+创业板+北证并购跟踪：本期新披露 13 起大额股权交易，交易总金 额超 144 亿元。本周期（指 2026.1.1-1.31，后同）"双创"+北证共发生 13 起大额新披露并购交易事件（含收购股权、出售股权及增资事件等），交 易总额超 144 亿元。其中规模较大项目包括：富临精工 12.00%股权权益拟 变动（认购方为宁德时代），晶科能源子公司海宁晶科拟增资扩股等等。从 收购标的业务领域来看，聚焦在新能源等产业领域。 北证投资并购动态更新：新增 5 起并购事件、13 起投资和增资事件。本周期 ...

证券研究报告 公用事业 | 电力 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 04 日 投资要点： 风险提示：电量需求不及预期、煤价涨幅超预期、电价不及预期。 | 盈利预测与估值（人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入（百万元） | 27,867 | 30,094 | 30,516 | 29,854 | 30,408 | | 同比增长率（%） | 8.26% | 7.99% | 1.40% | -2.17% | 1.86% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,430 | 2,064 | 2,193 | 1,806 | 1,988 | | 同比增长率（%） | 186.37% | 44.36% | 6.28% | -17.66% | 10.08% | | 每股收益（元/股） | 0.63 | 0.91 | 0.97 | 0.80 | 0.88 | | ROE（%） | 10.32% | 13.04% | 12.72% ...