Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 848 million (up 2% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 89 million (up 3% year-on-year) in Q1 2025, indicating stable growth despite a high base from the previous year [1] - The revenue growth is primarily driven by the continuous expansion of the film business, while the printing business faces pricing pressure due to weak downstream demand and intensified competition [2][3] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity and has announced investments in new functional film materials projects, which are expected to enhance its market competitiveness and support long-term revenue growth [3] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 21.30%, a decrease of 0.76 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to pricing pressures in the printing business and a higher proportion of lower-margin film products [4] - The company has improved its cash flow management, with net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 62.26% year-on-year, indicating enhanced sales collection capabilities [4] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.89 billion, 4.29 billion, and 4.76 billion in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing growth rates of 10.34%, 10.28%, and 10.93% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 508 million, 562 million, and 631 million in the same years, with growth rates of 8.7%, 10.54%, and 12.24% respectively [5] - The current P/E ratios are projected to be 13.77X, 12.46X, and 11.10X for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation for investors [5]

证券研究报告 心中的「涨」声② ——玉米 2025年4月24日 行业评级：看好 | 分析师 | 钟凯锋 | | --- | --- | | 邮箱 | Zhongkaifeng@stocke.com.cn | | 证书编号 | S1230524050002 | | 分析师 | 张心怡 | | --- | --- | | 邮箱 | Zhangxinyi@stocke.com.cn | | 证书编号 | S1230524020002 | 摘要 ➢ 1、市场背景 美国、中国、巴西、阿根廷是全球玉米总产量最高的4个国家，其中美国是全球第一大玉米产国，占比32%，也是 全球第一大出口国。近年来，我国玉米生产总体呈稳定增长态势。进口量先增后减，2024年进口依赖度降至1.6%。 玉米消费需求主要包括饲用、工业用、食用、种用及其它。其中，饲料消费是玉米最大的消费去向，近年来一直 呈刚性增长。 ➢ 2、供需由宽松走向紧张 2025年，全球玉米供需收紧，国内供应压力同比或将减轻；养殖存栏量预期增加，或带动饲料消费刚性增长；内 需政策将促进玉米深加工行业消费，国内玉米供需将呈偏紧趋势，价格重心有望抬升。 ➢ 3、风险提示： 极端天 ...

工具和家电加速增长，智能汽车及机器人保持高增 ——拓邦股份 2025 年一季报点评 证券研究报告 | 公司更新 | 消费电子 拓邦股份(002139) 报告日期：2025 年 04 月 23 日 投资要点 ❑ 披露 2025 年一季报：市场和运营出海加速，业绩表现略超预期 2025 年一季度，公司实现营业收入 26.7 亿元，同比增长 15%，实现归母净利润 1.97 亿元，同比增长 12%，扣非归母净利润 1.87 亿元，同比增长 10%。 综合毛利率 24%，同比提升 0.14 pcts，环比提升 2.85 pcts。 分析师：王华君 执业证书号：S1230520080005 wanghuajun@stocke.com.cn 研究助理：张筱晗 zhangxiaohan@stocke.com.cn 基本数据 | 收盘价 | ￥13.61 | | --- | --- | | 总市值(百万元) | 16,969.42 | | 总股本(百万股) | 1,246.83 | ❑ 分板块看：工具和家电业务加速增长，智能汽车和机器人业务高增 1）工具和家电业务：稳健。加大和高价值客户合作，发挥国际化布局与综合技 术竞争优 ...

3）人形机器人加速突破：2024 年公司实现人形机器人收入 81.6 万元，开发 的客户包括星动纪元、宇树、三花等。2025 年 Q1，公司与星动纪元签署了战略 合作协议，将就人形机器人相关本体、组件、零件等领域开展合作。成长空间有 望进一步打开。星动纪元深度布局本体+灵巧手，为国内人形机器头部企业。 丰立智能(301368) 报告日期：2025 年 04 月 24 日 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 通用设备 业绩短期承压，与星动纪元签战略合作、人形机器人领域加速 ——丰立智能点评报告 ❑ 2024 年&2025Q1 业绩：短期承压，期待人形机器人领域加速打开空间 1）2024 年业绩：营收 5.05 亿元，同比增长 17.6%；归母净利润 0.17 亿元，同 比下滑 30.3%。毛利率 14.9%，同比-2.2pct；净利率 3.3%，同比-2.3pct。 收入结构——老业务：智能家居：2.3 亿元、毛利率 26.2%；气动工具：1.2 亿 元、毛利率 13.1%；新业务：减速机：1.2 亿元、毛利率 2.1%；新能源传动： 0.29 亿元、毛利率-12.4%。 投资要点 2）2025 年一季报业绩：营收 ...

证券研究报告 心中的「涨」声② ——玉米 2025年4月24日 行业评级：看好 | 分析师 | 钟凯锋 | | --- | --- | | 邮箱 | Zhongkaifeng@stocke.com.cn | | 证书编号 | S1230524050002 | | 分析师 | 张心怡 | | --- | --- | | 邮箱 | Zhangxinyi@stocke.com.cn | | 证书编号 | S1230524020002 | 摘要 ➢ 1、市场背景 美国、中国、巴西、阿根廷是全球玉米总产量最高的4个国家，其中美国是全球第一大玉米产国，占比32%，也是 全球第一大出口国。近年来，我国玉米生产总体呈稳定增长态势。进口量先增后减，2024年进口依赖度降至1.6%。 玉米消费需求主要包括饲用、工业用、食用、种用及其它。其中，饲料消费是玉米最大的消费去向，近年来一直 呈刚性增长。 ➢ 2、供需由宽松走向紧张 2025年，全球玉米供需收紧，国内供应压力同比或将减轻；养殖存栏量预期增加，或带动饲料消费刚性增长；内 需政策将促进玉米深加工行业消费，国内玉米供需将呈偏紧趋势，价格重心有望抬升。 ➢ 3、风险提示： 极端天 ...

丰立智能(301368) 报告日期：2025 年 04 月 24 日 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 通用设备 业绩短期承压，与星动纪元签战略合作、人形机器人领域加速 ——丰立智能点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 2024 年&2025Q1 业绩：短期承压，期待人形机器人领域加速打开空间 1）2024 年业绩：营收 5.05 亿元，同比增长 17.6%；归母净利润 0.17 亿元，同 比下滑 30.3%。毛利率 14.9%，同比-2.2pct；净利率 3.3%，同比-2.3pct。 收入结构——老业务：智能家居：2.3 亿元、毛利率 26.2%；气动工具：1.2 亿 元、毛利率 13.1%；新业务：减速机：1.2 亿元、毛利率 2.1%；新能源传动： 0.29 亿元、毛利率-12.4%。 2）2025 年一季报业绩：营收 1.17 亿元，同比增长 18.2%；归母净利润 0.03 亿 元，同比下滑 36%。毛利率 12.5%，同比+0.2pct；净利率 2.5%，同比-2.1pct。 3）人形机器人加速突破：2024 年公司实现人形机器人收入 81.6 万元，开发 的客户包括星动纪元、宇树、三花等。2025 年 Q1， ...

证券研究报告 机构持仓比例提升， AI板块增持明显 —— 2025年Q1计算机行业持仓分析 行业评级：看好 2025年4月22日 分析师 刘雯蜀 邮箱 liuwenshu03@stocke.com.cn 证书编号 S1230523020002 分析师 叶光亮 邮箱 yeguangliang@stocke.com.cn 证书编号 S1230524080010 2025年Q1计算机行业机构持仓情况总结 资料来源：Wind、浙商证券研究所；统计范围：重仓持股（汇总）-公募基金-全部基金，根据申万一级行业指数（2021）分类 2 1、行业持仓比例提高，但仍处于低位水平 ➢ 2025Q1计算机行业重仓股配置比例为3.10%， 环比上升0.35Pcts，行业配置比例是向上趋势； ➢ 2025Q1行业持仓比例依然是较低水平，低于行业标准配置比例1.44Pcts，与行业标配比例的差距缩小。 2、重仓股规模增加，行业持仓集中度下降 ➢ 2025Q1计算机行业重仓股规模为939亿元，较24Q4季度重仓股规模增加126亿元，环比上升15.55%。 ➢ 前十大重仓股规模合计546亿元，占行业整体持仓规模比重为58.18%，较2024 ...

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期：2025 年 04 月 24 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 04 月 24 日 ：王禾 执业证书编号：S1230512110001 ：021-80105901 ：wanghe@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 重要推荐 重要点评 【浙商大制造中观策略 邱世梁/王华君/王家艺】巨星科技（002444）公司点评：飞轮不辍，成长加速—— 20250422 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 大势：4 月 23 日上证指数下跌 0.1%，沪深 300 上涨 0.08%，科创 50 下跌 0.35%，中证 1000 上涨 0.59%，创业板 指上涨 1.08%，恒生指数上涨 2.37%。 行业：4 月 23 日表现最好的行业分别是汽车（+3.21%)、机械设备（+2.47%)、通信（+1.73%)、电力设备 （+1.18%)、电子（+0.91%)，表现最差的行业分别是商贸零售（-1.85%)、农林牧渔（-1.39%)、房地产（- 1.38%)、有色金属（-1.26%)、美容护理（-0.95%)。 资金：4 月 23 日全 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a projected PE of 23.73 times for 2025 [5]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.108 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.04%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 234 million yuan, up 5.77% year-on-year [1]. - The product structure is improving, with products priced above 100 yuan accounting for 80% of total sales in Q1 2025, and the proportion of products priced above 300 yuan increasing by 4.43 percentage points to 22.35% [2]. - The company is focusing on consumer cultivation and product structure upgrades in its home province while targeting model market development in other provinces [3]. - Financial indicators show an increase in gross margin to 66.81% and net margin to 20.79%, driven by product structure upgrades [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenues of 1.108 billion yuan and a net profit of 234 million yuan, reflecting growth of 3.04% and 5.77% respectively [1]. Product Structure - The product structure is on an upward trend, with high-end products leading sales growth. The revenue from products priced above 300 yuan increased by 28.14% year-on-year [2]. Regional Performance - Revenue from the home province reached 857 million yuan, up 1.05%, while revenue from outside the province grew by 9.48% to 238 million yuan [3]. Financial Metrics - The gross margin improved to 66.81%, and the net margin increased to 20.79%, attributed to product structure upgrades and effective marketing strategies [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve 3.28 billion yuan in revenue and 408 million yuan in net profit for the full year, with projected revenue growth rates of 10.20%, 10.46%, and 10.71% for 2025 to 2027 [5][6].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Short - term TS may continue to be weaker than T and TL due to weak market expectations for central bank interest rate cuts, high capital prices, weaker short - end spot and futures bonds compared to long - end, and the persistence of TS positive arbitrage and hedging strategies [1][35] - The current curve is extremely flat, short - end is significantly affected by capital pricing, and the short - end long - position driving force is limited before the capital price drops significantly [1][14] - Institutions such as funds short futures for hedging to offset interest rate fluctuation risks, and many institutions turn to coupon strategies [2][14] - TS positive arbitrage strategy is a key factor in the decline of TS, with the IRR of the cheapest - to - deliver bond in TS higher than the capital price and a continuous negative basis [3][27] - The main contract of TS is accelerating the switch from TS2506 to TS2509, and TS2506 may perform weaker [4][28] - The possible switch of the cheapest - to - deliver bond of TS2506 from 240024 to 250006 restricts the performance of TS2506 [5][33] Summary by Directory 1 TS in Decline - Since mid - March, the TS contract has been significantly weaker than TF/T/TL contracts. The T main - continuous contract price rose by 1.77% from March 17 to April 22, while the TS main - continuous contract price nearly dropped back to the mid - March low. TS also performed weaker than 2 - year treasury bond spot [12] - Reasons for the decline of TS: - The curve is extremely flat, short - end is affected by capital pricing, and the short - end long - position driving force is limited due to the obvious negative carry and slow decline of the capital price center [14] - Institutions such as funds short TS for hedging. In the current interest rate shock trend, many institutions turn to coupon strategies, and shorting TS can hedge part of the bond market decline risk. The net purchase scale of short - term interest - rate bonds by funds has slowed down since April, while the net purchase scale of short - term credit bonds has increased [2][14][20] - TS positive arbitrage strategy is a key factor. The IRR of the cheapest - to - deliver bond in TS is about 2.3%, significantly higher than the 1.75% - 1.80% return of 1 - year NCD [3][27] - The main contract is accelerating the switch from TS2506 to TS2509. The reasons may be that institutions such as brokers short TS2506 and long TS2509, and non - traditional investors such as funds mainly use TS2509 for hedging and positive arbitrage [4][28] - The possible switch of the cheapest - to - deliver bond of TS2506 from 240024 to 250006 restricts the performance of TS2506 [5][33] - Outlook: Short - term TS may continue to be weaker than T and TL. The 10 - year - 2 - year treasury bond term spread has reached the lowest point since 2020, and the probability of the short - end spot bond weakening significantly again is small [35]