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招商南油(601975):2024年报及2025一季报业绩点评:运价高基数下回落,集团增持彰显信心,静待分红条件达成
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 12:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [7]. Core Views - The report highlights that the shipping rates are expected to return to normal levels in 2025, with a healthy supply-demand relationship supporting medium to long-term freight rates [4][5]. - The company disposed of four old MR vessels in 2024, generating asset disposal income of 267 million yuan, and currently has ten vessels on order [3][5]. - The management is exploring ways to use capital reserves to cover undistributed profits, aiming to create conditions for future dividends, which could enhance investor return expectations [5]. Financial Summary - The company achieved a total revenue of 64.75 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.921 billion yuan, up 23.4% [10]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.404 billion yuan, 1.562 billion yuan, and 1.732 billion yuan, respectively, indicating a decline in 2025 followed by growth in subsequent years [6][5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 0.29 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.44 [6].
慕思股份(001323):毛利率表现稳健,25年看好智慧睡眠推广
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 11:59
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for smart sleep products, particularly with the launch of the AI smart mattress T11PRO, which has already surpassed sales of 100 million yuan by December 2024 [2][3] - The e-commerce channel has shown resilience, with revenue reaching 1.093 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6%, contributing to 19.51% of total revenue [2] - The company is optimizing its offline channels by upgrading existing stores and eliminating underperforming ones, leading to a slight decline in direct sales revenue [2] - The membership community has seen significant growth, with 1.4837 million new registered members in the year, doubling from the previous year, enhancing customer loyalty [2] - The company is accelerating its brand expansion overseas, completing the acquisition of Maxcoil's Singapore sales headquarters and production assets [3] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.6 billion yuan (up 0.43% year-on-year) and a net profit of 767 million yuan (down 4.36%) [1] - For Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.725 billion yuan (down 2.72%) and a net profit of 245 million yuan (down 13.7%) [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue was 1.121 billion yuan (down 6.66%) with a net profit of 118 million yuan (down 16.43%) [1] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 6.002 billion yuan, 6.434 billion yuan, and 6.946 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 803 million yuan, 876 million yuan, and 956 million yuan [5][11]
喜临门(603008):点评报告:Q4零售增势较优,利润端多重不利因素拖累
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 11:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 8.729 billion (up 0.59% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 322 million (down 24.84% year-on-year) for the year 2024. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 2.753 billion (up 5.51% year-on-year), but the net profit was negative at -53 million, primarily due to a decline in gross margin and increased operating expenses [1][5][12]. Summary by Sections Retail Segment - The retail segment achieved a revenue of 5.530 billion (down 4.7% year-on-year) for 2024, with a notable growth of 10.2% in Q4. The offline retail business, which is the core of the company's operations, generated 3.010 billion (down 10.8% year-on-year) in 2024, while online retail revenue reached 1.980 billion (up 9.9% year-on-year) [2][4]. OEM & Overseas Segment - The OEM business generated 2.550 billion (up 9.2% year-on-year) in 2024, with international business contributing 1.850 billion (up 24.5%). The cross-border e-commerce segment reported a revenue of 290 million (down 11.6%) due to operational strategy adjustments [3][4]. Product Categories - The mattress category saw a revenue of 5.270 billion (up 5% year-on-year), while wooden furniture experienced significant growth with a revenue of 167 million (up 27%) [4]. Financial Metrics - The gross margin for 2024 was 33.67% (down 0.70 percentage points), with Q4 gross margin at 30.03% (down 4.68 percentage points). The operating expense ratio for 2024 was 28.94% (up 1.6 percentage points) [5][12]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 9.458 billion, 10.263 billion, and 11.151 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 519 million, 587 million, and 656 million [12][14].
莱斯信息(688631):2024年报、2025年一季报点评:24年整体经营稳健,发力低空经济赛道有望受益产业趋势
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 11:53
证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 软件开发 莱斯信息(688631) 报告日期:2025 年 04 月 27 日 24 年整体经营稳健,发力低空经济赛道有望受益产业趋势 ——莱斯信息 2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评 投资要点 ❑ 4 月 25 日,公司披露 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报。2024 年公司实现营业总收入 16.10 亿元(YoY -3.94%),实现归母净利润 1.29 亿元(YoY -2.31%)。公司紧抓 国家低空发展元年机遇,全面发力低空经济赛道,整体经营有望实现高质量增 长。 ❑ 公司营收稳健净利润大幅增长,经营效率持续优化 2024 年公司实现营业总收入 16.10 亿元(YoY -3.94%),实现归母净利润 1.29 亿 元(YoY -2.31%),扣非后归母净利润为 1.06 亿元(YoY -1.29%),经营性现金流 净额 8464.88 万元(YoY +6.83%)。公司全年整体毛利率为 29.48%(YoY +2.75pct),销售/管理/研发费用率分别为 4.77%/6.89%/9.04%,同比分别增长 0.09pct、下降 0.01pct、提升 1.37p ...
爱施德(002416):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评报告:内部调整营收短期承压,深化新零售,布局AI与算力
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 11:02
证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 专业连锁Ⅱ 爱施德(002416) 报告日期:2025 年 04 月 27 日 内部调整营收短期承压,深化新零售,布局 AI 与算力 ——爱施德 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 业绩概览:2024 年业绩结构调整,营收短期承压 2024 年主动调整业务结构,逐步收缩低毛利率业务,业绩短期承压。收入 658.2 亿元(-29%,以下均为同比),归母净利 5.8 亿元(-11%),扣非归母净利 4.6 亿 元(-20%)。 25Q1 营收-41%,归母净利-25%。营收 127.37 亿元(-41 %);归母净利 1.26 亿 (-25%);扣非归母净利 1.17 亿(-24%)。 ❑ 业绩结构调整,聚焦高质量发展,毛利率、净利率显著提升 2024 年:毛利率 4.3%(+1.2pct),净利率 0.99%(+0.2pct),销售费用率 2.3% (+0.8pct),管理费用率 0.5%(+0.2pct)。 25Q1:毛利率 5.1%(+1.6pct),净利率 1.1%(+0.1pct),销售费用率 2.8% (+1.3pct),管理费用率 0.5%( ...
流动性与机构行为跟踪:资金面均衡运行,预计平稳跨月
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 10:58
证券研究报告 | 债券市场专题研究 | 债券研究 债券市场专题研究 报告日期:2025 年 04 月 27 日 1、资金面部分:(1)MLF 超额续作,为今年以来连续第二个月加量续作,投放 中长期流动性 5000 亿,市场对降准降息的预期有所延后,4 月政治局会议仍然 维持"适时降准降息"的描述,政策方向不变,节奏根据国内外形势变化而确 定。(2)从资金的量、价观察,大行融出规模小幅上升,各期限资金利率下行, 银行间流动性较为充裕,非银融入规模边际下降,杠杆水平边际下降,流动性分 层在绝对低位徘徊。 资金面均衡运行,预计平稳跨月 ——流动性与机构行为跟踪 2、存单部分:供给端,过去一周存单净融资规模转正,一级发行利率大多降 价,国股行净融资规模转正。需求端,股份行、城农商行是卖出主力,机构增持 力量有所增强,存单二级利率和资金利率利差走阔。 核心观点 资金面部分,未来一周仅有三个交易日,单日逆回购到期量较大,政府债净融资规模 转正,关注央行临近跨月的操作,投资者将布局跨月和跨假期资金,预计资金面将保 持均衡运行,平稳跨月。 ❑ 微观结构:基金买债力量变弱 存单部分,未来一周,存单到期规模下降至 3300 亿, ...
欧派家居:24A点评报告:24Q4扣非净利表现较优,25Q1经营预计向好-20250427
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 10:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 18.92 billion (down 16.93% YoY) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.60 billion (down 14.38% YoY) for 2024 [1][13] - The fourth quarter of 2024 showed a revenue of 5.05 billion (down 18.84% YoY) and a net profit of 568 million (down 21.71% YoY), with a notable improvement in non-recurring net profit [1][13] - The company expects significant revenue improvement in the first quarter of 2025 due to a longer conversion cycle for national subsidy orders [1] Revenue and Profitability - Retail channels are being optimized, with direct sales revenue of 830 million (up 0.57% YoY) and distribution channel revenue of 14 billion (down 20.10% YoY) for 2024 [2] - The company closed inefficient stores, reducing the number of direct and distribution stores to 63 and 7750, respectively [2] - The cabinet business faced challenges due to supporting products, with kitchen cabinet revenue at 5.45 billion (down 22.48% YoY) and wardrobe plus supporting products revenue at 9.79 billion (down 18.1% YoY) [3] Operational Strategy - The company employs a localized operation model to assist distributors in formulating transformation plans [4] - The integration of AI in e-commerce has led to a nearly 10% YoY increase in online traffic, benefiting over 4000 distributors [4] Dividend Policy - The company increased its dividend payout ratio to 58%, distributing a total of 1.5 billion in cash dividends for 2024 [5] Financial Health - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 35.91% (up 1.76 percentage points YoY), with a significant reduction in material costs contributing to this improvement [6] - The operating cash flow net amount was 5.50 billion (up 13% YoY), indicating improved capital efficiency [12] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 19.53 billion (up 3.18% YoY) in 2025, with net profit attributable to shareholders projected at 2.73 billion (up 5.17% YoY) [13]
渝农商行:盈利增速边际回升-20250427
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 10:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank with a target price of 7.81 CNY per share, corresponding to a 2025 PB valuation of 0.66x, indicating a potential upside of 15% from the current price of 6.79 CNY per share [5][8]. Core Views - The bank's Q1 2025 earnings growth has shown a marginal recovery, with a 1.3% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 6.3% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reflecting improved operational performance [2][5]. - Asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.17% at the end of Q1 2025, unchanged from the previous quarter, and a provision coverage ratio of 363% [4][5]. Summary by Sections Earnings Growth - In Q1 2025, revenue increased by 1.3% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 6.3%, driven by accelerated asset growth and improved net interest margin [2][3]. - Total assets grew by 8.0% year-on-year, with corporate loans seeing a significant increase of 17%, indicating strong credit demand in the Chongqing region [2][3]. Net Interest Margin - The average net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.61%, stable compared to 2024, supported by a reduction in funding costs [3][4]. - The asset yield decreased to 3.11%, primarily due to the impact of LPR repricing, while the cost of liabilities fell to 1.62% [3][4]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remained stable at 1.17%, with a year-on-year decline in impairment losses of 19.2%, indicating improved credit quality [4][5]. - The provision coverage ratio was maintained at a robust 363%, reflecting adequate provisioning levels [4][5]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The bank is expected to achieve net profit growth of 6.6%, 7.6%, and 7.7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding book values per share of 11.84 CNY, 12.65 CNY, and 13.54 CNY [5][6].
重庆银行(601963):经营全面向好
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 09:34
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Chongqing Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - Chongqing Bank's Q1 2025 performance shows overall improvement in operations, with enhanced profit momentum and asset quality [1] - The bank's revenue and net profit both grew by 5.3% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with significant increases in interest income driven by improved net interest margins and accelerated scale expansion [1][2] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased to 1.21% at the end of Q1 2025, reflecting a 4 basis points reduction from the previous quarter, while the provision coverage ratio improved to 248% [1][3] - Future profitability growth is expected to remain stable due to strong expansion momentum [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Chongqing Bank's revenue reached 3,581 million yuan, marking a 5.3% increase year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1,624 million yuan, also up by 5.3% [10] - Interest income surged by 28.1% year-on-year, with total assets growing by 19.3% compared to the previous year [1][10] - The bank's net interest margin improved by 19 basis points to 1.52% in Q1 2025, supported by a significant reduction in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities [2][10] Asset Quality - The NPL ratio at the end of Q1 2025 was 1.21%, down 4 basis points from the previous quarter, indicating improved asset quality [3][10] - The provision coverage ratio increased to 248%, enhancing the bank's risk mitigation capacity [3][10] Profitability Forecast and Valuation - Chongqing Bank's net profit is projected to grow by 6.8%, 7.9%, and 9.7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4] - The target valuation for 2025 is set at a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.72x, corresponding to a target price of 11.85 yuan per share, indicating a potential upside of 15% from the current price [4]
英杰电气(300820):点评报告:业绩短期承压,半导体射频电源迈向5nm先进制程
浙商证券· 2025-04-27 09:34
英杰电气(300820) 报告日期:2025 年 04 月 27 日 业绩短期承压,半导体射频电源迈向 5nm 先进制程 ——英杰电气点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 2024 年报&2025Q1 业绩:短期承压;期待半导体射频电源进展提速 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 其他电源设备Ⅱ 1)2024 年报:营收 17.8 亿元,同比增长 0.6%;归母净利润 3.2 亿元,同比下滑 25.2%。年 毛利率 38.5%,同比提升 1.3pct;净利率 18.8%,同比下降 5.5pct。 收入结构——光伏:8.7 亿元、同比下滑 10.3%,毛利率 28.5%、同比-2.4pct;半导体:3.5 亿元、同比增长 6.4%,毛利率 54%、同比+11.1pct;其他领域:5.5 亿元、同比增长 18.9%, 毛利率 44.6%、同比-2pct。 2)2025Q1 业绩:营收 3.3 亿元,同比下滑 13.3%;归母净利润 0.5 亿元,同比下滑 37%。毛 利率 37.8%,同比下降 4.2pct;净利率 15.8%,同比下降 6.6pct。 3)订单:截至 2025 年 Q1 末,合同负债达 11.8 亿元,同比下滑 ...