证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 股份制银行Ⅱ 中信银行(601998) 报告日期：2025 年 04 月 30 日 扩表提速，息差下行 ——中信银行 2025 年一季报点评 25Q1 中信银行息差（期初期末口径，下同）环比 24Q4 下降 10bp 至 1.61%，资 产端下行幅度大于负债端下行幅度。①25Q1 资产收益率环比下降 25bp 至 3.31%，判断一方面受市场利率下行影响，一方面受资产结构变化影响。25Q1 债 券投资增速（同比 9.4%）显著高于贷款增速（同比 5.1%）。目前配置盘票息收 入有限，债券增配可能对息差产生负面影响。②25Q1 负债成本率环比下降 15bp 至 1.74%，判断主要得益于存款利率调整。展望未来，中信银行息差仍面临收窄 压力，主要考虑市场利率下行和债券票息利差收窄。 ❑ 资产质量波动 25Q1 末中信银行不良率环比持平于 1.16%，关注率较 24Q4 末上升 5bp 至 1.68%，风险指标小幅承压。动态指标来看，25Q1 中信银行真实不良 TTM 生成 率 1.28%，环比上升 2bp。 ❑ 盈利预测与估值 投资要点 ❑ 中信银行 2025Q1 资产扩表提速，息 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 化学纤维 ❑ 同时，4 月 29 日，公司发布 2025 年一季报：2025Q1 实现营收 145.57 亿元，同 比+0.73%，环比-18.65%；实现归母净利润 3.06 亿元，同比+11.35%，环比- 13.66%；平均净资产收益率为 1.76%，同比增加 0.13 个百分点，环比减少 0.32 个百分点。销售毛利率 6.51%，同比增加 0.61 个百分点，环比增加 0.83 个百分 点；销售净利率 2.11%，同比增加 0.21 个百分点，环比增加 0.13 个百分点。 点评 业绩稳中有增，涤丝龙头完善一体化产业链 ——新凤鸣 2024 年报及 2025 一季报点评 事件 ❑ 4 月 25 日，公司发布 2024 年报：2024 年，公司实现营业收入 670.91 亿元，同比 +9.15%；实现归母净利润 11.00 亿元，同比+1.32%；加权平均净资产收益率为 6.46%，同比减少 0.22 个百分点。销售毛利率 5.63，同比减少 0.21 个百分点；销 售净利率 1.64%，同比减少 0.13 个百分点。 其中，2024Q4 实现营收 178.94 亿元， ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 股份制银行Ⅱ 中信银行(601998) 报告日期：2025 年 04 月 30 日 中信银行 2025Q1 营收同比下降 3.7%，增速由正转负；归母净利润同比增长 1.7%，增速较 24A 放缓 0.7pc。2025Q1 末不良率环比持平于 1.16%；2025Q1 末 拨备覆盖率 207%，较 24A 末下降 2.3pc。 ❑ 营收增速下降 中信银行 2025Q1 营收同比下降 3.7%，增速较 24A 放缓 7.5pc；归母净利润同比 增长 1.7%，增速较 24A 放缓 0.7pc。驱动因素来看，规模扩张和拨备反哺为主要 支撑项，息差下行和交易收入波动为主要拖累项。①规模，25Q1 末总资产同比 增长 8.7%，增速较 24A 末提升 3.4pc。25Q1 末贷款同比增长 5.1%，增速较 24A 末提升 1.1pc；债券投资同比增长 9.4%，，增速较 24A 末提升 8.3pc。其中， OCI、TPL、AC 账户规模分别环比增长 12.5%、1.0%、0.4%。一季度债券市场 回撤后，中信银行显著增配 OCI 账户债券。②息差，25Q1 中信银行息差（期初 期末口径 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company's asset quality continues to improve, with a TTM real non-performing loan generation rate of 1.24%, a decrease of 16 basis points from the previous quarter, maintaining the improvement trend since Q3 2024 [1][5] - Revenue and net profit for Q1 2025 decreased by 3.6% and 2.2% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a shift from growth to decline compared to 2024 [2][6] - The average net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.80%, down 7 basis points year-on-year, but showed a rebound of 2 basis points compared to Q4 2024, primarily due to a significant decrease in the interest rate paid on deposits [3] - The bank's financial investment balance reached 3.55 trillion, demonstrating resilience amid challenges in the bond market [4] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - Q1 2025 revenue was 55,683 million, down 3.6% year-on-year, while net profit was 23,796 million, down 2.2% year-on-year [12] - The non-performing loan ratio increased by 1 basis point to 1.08% at the end of Q1 2025, while the attention loan ratio remained stable at 1.71% [1][5] Profitability and Valuation - The forecasted net profit growth rates for 2025-2027 are -1.16%, 0.41%, and 2.25%, respectively, with corresponding BPS of 39.20, 41.64, and 44.16 [6] - The target price is set at 25.82 yuan per share, corresponding to a 2025 PB of 0.66, indicating a potential upside of 23% from the current price [6] Asset Quality - The bank's asset quality is on an improving path, with a focus on real estate and credit card risk generation, while retail remains under slight pressure [5] - The provision coverage ratio decreased by 4 percentage points to 233% at the end of Q1 2025 [1][5]

Market Overview - On the trading day, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.1%, the CSI 300 decreased by 0.2%, the STAR Market 50 rose by 0.1%, the CSI 1000 increased by 0.5%, the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.1%, and the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.2% [5] - The best-performing sectors included Beauty Care (+2.6%), Machinery Equipment (+1.4%), Media (+1.3%), Light Industry Manufacturing (+1.0%), and Basic Chemicals (+0.9%). The worst-performing sectors were Utilities (-1.8%), Comprehensive (-1.0%), Oil & Petrochemicals (-0.6%), Coal (-0.5%), and Social Services (-0.5%) [5] Key Recommendations New Lai Fu (301323) - New Lai Fu is a new materials platform company with stable growth in magnetic adsorption materials and rapid growth in wireless radiation protection materials. The company is expected to exceed performance expectations due to multiple nurturing materials [6][7] - The company plans a major asset restructuring to acquire Jin Nan Magnetic Materials, which has strong market competitiveness and technological reserves in various fields [7] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1,032 million, 1,267 million, and 1,541 million yuan, with net profit forecasts of 170 million, 249 million, and 350 million yuan, indicating growth rates of 16%, 23%, and 22% for revenue and 17%, 46%, and 41% for net profit respectively [7] Dingjie Smart (300378) - Dingjie Smart is a leading provider of intelligent manufacturing solutions in China, with potential growth driven by the increasing demand for core industrial software products and the integration of AI technologies [8][9] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 2,657 million, 3,075 million, and 3,635 million yuan, with net profit estimates of 193 million, 244 million, and 317 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 14.03%, 15.69%, and 18.23% for revenue and 23.82%, 26.54%, and 29.99% for net profit respectively [9] Guangyun Technology (688365) - Guangyun Technology is a leading e-commerce SaaS provider in China, with significant growth potential through AI applications in e-commerce [10] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 578 million, 708 million, and 842 million yuan, with net profit forecasts of 5 million, 37 million, and 65 million yuan, indicating growth rates of 20.99%, 22.53%, and 18.90% for revenue and substantial growth in net profit in subsequent years [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 31.21% year-on-year for 2024, reaching 2.397 billion yuan, with a net profit growth of 52.81% to 224 million yuan [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 606 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.06%, and a net profit of 59 million yuan, up 11.41% year-on-year [2] - The company is expanding its robotics business, focusing on advanced technologies such as dexterous hands and harmonic reducers, and has established a subsidiary to enhance its capabilities in humanoid robotics [3] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 3.44 billion yuan, 4.41 billion yuan, and 5.47 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 43.4%, 28.3%, and 23.9% [4] - Expected net profits for the same years are projected at 331 million yuan, 435 million yuan, and 530 million yuan, with growth rates of 47.5%, 31.5%, and 21.9% [4][9] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.97 yuan in 2024 to 2.29 yuan in 2027 [11]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive investment rating to Huichuan Technology, indicating a strong performance outlook relative to the market index [8]. Core Insights - Huichuan Technology's dual strategy in "Intelligent Manufacturing & New Energy Vehicles" has led to better-than-expected performance in the first quarter of 2025, with a revenue of 9 billion yuan, representing a 38% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.3 billion yuan, up 63% year-on-year [6]. - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 37 billion yuan in 2024, a 22% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 4.285 billion yuan, reflecting a 10% decline year-on-year [6]. - The report highlights the company's strong market position in various segments, including general automation and new energy vehicles, with significant growth in revenue from the latter [6]. Financial Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2024: 37.041 billion yuan - 2025: 45.244 billion yuan - 2026: 54.711 billion yuan - 2027: 65.723 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 22% for 2024 and 2025, 21% for 2026, and 20% for 2027 [2]. - Net Profit Forecast: - 2024: 4.285 billion yuan - 2025: 4.906 billion yuan - 2026: 5.859 billion yuan - 2027: 7.044 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at -10% for 2024, 14% for 2025, 19% for 2026, and 20% for 2027 [2]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS) Forecast: - 2024: 1.6 yuan - 2025: 1.8 yuan - 2026: 2.2 yuan - 2027: 2.6 yuan [2]. Segment Performance - General Automation: - Revenue of 15.2 billion yuan in 2024, a 1% increase year-on-year, with market shares of 18.6% in low-voltage frequency converters and 28.3% in general servos, ranking first in both categories [6]. - New Energy Vehicles: - Revenue of 16 billion yuan in 2024, a 70% increase year-on-year, driven by industry growth and increased market penetration [6]. - Smart Elevators: - Revenue of 4.9 billion yuan in 2024, a 7% decrease year-on-year, reflecting a broader market decline [6]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on internationalization, digitalization, energy management, AI, and humanoid robots as key growth areas [6]. - The long-term forecast suggests a robust growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 45.244 billion yuan in 2025, 54.711 billion yuan in 2026, and 65.723 billion yuan in 2027, alongside net profits of 4.906 billion yuan, 5.859 billion yuan, and 7.044 billion yuan respectively [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 22.06 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.39%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.75 billion yuan, up 26.01% year-on-year [1] - The tire sales volume for 2024 reached 85.45 million units, a year-on-year increase of 9.57%, primarily driven by the growth in semi-steel tires [2] - The company plans to invest 8.7 billion yuan in Brazil to build a project with an annual production capacity of 14.7 million high-performance tires, further deepening its global presence [4] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 22.06%, an increase of 1.05 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 7.94%, up 1.04 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is adjusted to 1.97 billion yuan for 2025 and 2.27 billion yuan for 2026, with an expected PE ratio of 10.6 for 2025 [5][7] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.39% from 2024 to 2027 [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Politburo meeting on April 25, 2025, pointed out the need to continuously promote key core technology research and innovate the launch of the "technology board" in the bond market. Sci - tech innovation bonds are expected to further expand to support the development of innovative enterprises [1]. - The launch of sci - tech innovation bonds aims to guide funds to the field of scientific and technological innovation, change the current issuance pattern dominated by large state - owned enterprises and upstream industry enterprises, and help private enterprises and small and medium - sized scientific and technological innovation enterprises finance through the bond market. It is believed that the future stock market structure of sci - tech innovation bonds will be similar to that of technology - related convertible bonds, with issuers tilting towards smaller technology - based enterprises and mainly being private enterprises [2][16]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 What are Sci - tech Innovation Bonds? 3.1.1 Concept and Variety Analysis of Sci - tech Innovation Bonds - Sci - tech innovation bonds refer to bonds issued by enterprises related to the scientific and technological innovation field with the raised funds mainly used in this field. They mainly include sci - tech innovation notes and scientific and technological innovation corporate bonds. In the context of continuous policy optimization, they are expected to expand [12]. - There are differences between sci - tech innovation notes and scientific and technological innovation corporate bonds in terms of subject identification, use of raised funds, and bond varieties. For example, in subject identification, subject - type sci - tech innovation notes target sci - tech enterprises, while use - type ones target non - sci - tech enterprises; scientific and technological innovation corporate bonds classify issuers into four types with relatively strict criteria for sci - tech enterprise - type issuers. In the use of raised funds, scientific and technological innovation corporate bonds are more restrictive [13]. 3.1.2 Sci - tech Innovation Bonds Help Promote the Financing of Small and Medium - sized Private Enterprises - The bond market has a low - risk preference, and its issuer structure is concentrated, mainly dominated by upstream state - owned and central enterprises. Sci - tech enterprises downstream of the industrial chain have a low proportion in the stock credit bond market. The launch of sci - tech innovation bonds aims to break the existing pattern and support the financing of private and small and medium - sized scientific and technological innovation enterprises [16]. 3.2 Primary Market: The Supply of Sci - tech Innovation Bonds has Increased Significantly - Since its launch, the issuance scale of sci - tech innovation bonds has been continuously increasing. From 2022 to 2024, the issuance scale was 260.5 billion yuan, 770 billion yuan, and 1.2179 trillion yuan respectively, with an average annual compound growth rate of 116%. As of now, the total issuance scale is 2.575 trillion yuan, and the scales of sci - tech innovation notes and scientific and technological innovation corporate bonds are similar [21]. - In terms of the type of issuers, state - owned enterprises and central enterprises are the main issuers, accounting for 46% and 43% respectively. Industrial entities account for 92% of the issuance scale, while urban investment entities account for only 8% [23]. - Most issuers of sci - tech innovation bonds come from traditional industries, and the issuance scale of technology - based industries such as communication, electronics, and computer needs to be improved. The urban investment platform type with a high issuance amount of sci - tech innovation bonds is the industrial investment platform [25]. - For the top five industrial issuers of sci - tech innovation bonds, the bonds are mainly used for refinancing and repaying interest - bearing liabilities, and 20% of the raised funds are used for working capital. For the top five urban investment platform issuers, the bonds are not limited to refinancing, and 60% of the raised funds are used for repaying interest - bearing debts [28]. 3.3 Secondary Market: Seize Investment Opportunities in Premium Sci - tech Innovation Bonds - The motives for institutions to buy sci - tech innovation bonds in the secondary market include: some sci - tech innovation bonds have a certain premium compared with ordinary bonds in the same industry or region; to cope with possible future investment - end assessment incentive mechanisms; and the default risk of sci - tech innovation bonds may be lower than that of ordinary corporate credit bonds due to special policy guidance and attributes [31]. - There are currently 1,782 outstanding sci - tech innovation bonds with an amount of 1.7907 trillion yuan. In terms of implicit ratings, medium - and high - grade bonds account for 94%, indicating that the issuers have good qualifications. In terms of remaining maturity, bonds with a remaining maturity of less than 3 years account for 65% [31]. - The outstanding industrial sci - tech innovation bonds amount to 1.5684 trillion yuan, mainly distributed in industries such as building decoration, coal, public utilities, comprehensive, and non - ferrous metals. High - valuation sci - tech innovation bonds are mainly in industries such as basic chemicals, power equipment, and pharmaceutical biology [33]. - The outstanding urban investment sci - tech innovation bonds amount to 181.2 billion yuan, and only 19 provincial urban investment platforms have outstanding sci - tech innovation bonds. Jiangxi, Sichuan, and Hubei rank in the top three in terms of outstanding scale, and provinces with weaker economic strength have a smaller outstanding scale. In terms of valuation, sci - tech innovation bonds in Chongqing, Shandong, and Shaanxi have higher valuations [35]. - Most industries' sci - tech innovation bonds have a certain premium compared with ordinary bonds in the same industry. For example, the premiums in the food and beverage, pharmaceutical biology, and communication industries are all above 30bp. Among urban investment provinces, Jilin's urban investment sci - tech innovation bonds have an obvious premium compared with urban investment bonds in the same province, while the valuations of sci - tech innovation bonds in most other provinces are lower than those of ordinary bonds. However, for the same issuer, the valuations of sci - tech innovation bonds and ordinary bonds with similar remaining maturities may not differ significantly [40].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has excellent quality, with a clear logic for expanding product categories and channels. The dividend payout ratio is expected to continue increasing in 2024. The combination of category benefits and new channel expansion is anticipated to drive revenue growth beyond expectations in 2025, with scale advantages and raw material price advantages likely to lead to profit growth exceeding expectations [1][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.304 billion yuan (up 28.89% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 640 million yuan (up 26.53% year-on-year). In Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.537 billion yuan (up 25.69% year-on-year) and a net profit of 178 million yuan (up 11.64% year-on-year) [2] - For 2024, the company’s revenue from various product categories showed significant growth, with the spicy and marinated snacks generating 1.962 billion yuan (up 32.36% year-on-year), and konjac products achieving 838 million yuan (up 76.09% year-on-year). Other categories also reported positive growth rates [3] - The company’s gross profit margin for 2024 was 30.69% (down 2.85 percentage points), and for Q1 2025, it was 28.47% (down 3.63 percentage points). The decline in gross margin is attributed to changes in channel structure and the lower contribution from high-margin gift products during the Spring Festival [4] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 6.833 billion yuan, 8.642 billion yuan, and 10.674 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 28.82%, 26.48%, and 23.52%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 859 million yuan, 1.084 billion yuan, and 1.345 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 34.24%, 26.16%, and 24.13% [5][6]