Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company is transitioning from a high-end offline maternity service provider to a comprehensive maternal and infant health service platform driven by AI technology [4][5] - The "Bela Doctor" app serves as the core entry point for a full-cycle service ecosystem, integrating external AI capabilities and internal professional service systems [6] - The company has established a scientific "age-based parenting" service system, enhancing customer experience and brand loyalty [7] - Strategic investment in AI service provider WITH1000 AI aims to improve user understanding and industry standards [8] - Collaboration with China Merchants Bank to create a secure maternity guarantee fund account enhances customer confidence [9] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.076 billion, 1.403 billion, and 1.777 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 34.73%, 30.42%, and 26.65% respectively [11] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 315 million, 406 million, and 478 million yuan, with growth rates of 157.65%, 28.75%, and 17.71% respectively [11] - The company is expected to achieve an EPS of 0.51, 0.65, and 0.77 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [13]

业绩表现超预期，定价首饰占比提升强化盈利韧性 [Table_Title] 【广发批零社服&海外】周大福 （01929.HK） [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 盈利预测： | [Table_ 单位Finance] :港元百万元 | | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入 | | 108,713 | 89,656 | 94,150 | 101,463 | 108,211 | | 增长率（ ） | % | 14.8% | -17.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | | EBITDA | | 11,535 | 10,499 | 13,212 | 15,441 | 16,688 | | 归母净利润 | | 6,499 | 5,916 | 8,161 | 9,803 | 10,716 | | 增长率（ ） | % | 20.7% | -9.0% | 38.0% | 20.1% | 9.3% | | EPS（元/股） | | 0.65 | 0.59 | ...

证券研究报告：食品饮料 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2026-01-29 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 圣贝拉 (2508.HK) 以 AI+服务为核心，全面升级母婴护理生态 ⚫ 事件 公司近期围绕"家庭大健康生态战略"进行一系列系统化、多维度 的能力升级，从一家高端线下月子服务商，加速向一个以 AI 技术为 引擎、专业体系为基石、金融级信任为护城河的母婴健康综合服务平 台演进。 股票投资评级 买入|维持 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（港元） | 4.69 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）6.22 / 6.22 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿港 | 29.37/ 29.37 | | 元） | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 11.00/3.40 | | 资产负债率(%) | 36.35% | | 市盈率 | -5.04 | | 第一大股东 | 向华 | ⚫ 投资要点 ...

對外方面，集團作為獨立第三方及具備全場景業務覆蓋能力的平台， 可承接全渠道訂單，包括抖音、淘寶閃購、京東秒送等。阿里早前提 出，2026 年淘寶閃購首要目標是份額增長，相信順豐同城將受惠於其 加快擴張及份額爭奪。此外，隨著需求場景拓闊至非餐飲實物以及生 活服務領域，相關領域的商家並未與現有平台建立綁定關係，為獨立 第三方即時配送平台帶來增長動力。在需求強勁的背景下，集團有望 優先匹配新增需求。 個股推介 順豐同城(9699.HK) 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 實行配送場景全覆蓋，受惠即時零售市場持續擴張 2024 年內地即時零售規模達 7,810 億元人民幣，商務部預期 2025 年 將達 9,714 億元人民幣，至 2030 年將達到 2 萬億元人民幣，「十五 五」期間年均增速將達 12.6%。順豐同城是內地最大的第三方即時配 送平台，擁有強大的品牌效應和行業影響力。集團已全方位覆蓋餐飲 外賣、同城零售及近場電商，形成強大的市場布局，料將受惠於即時 零售市場持續擴張。 節日期間提供穩定履約保障，突顯其即時配送能力 順豐同城數據顯示，2026 年元旦假期期間，同城配送日均單量按年增 長 55%，其中 ...

证券研究报告 交通运输 | 航运港口 港股|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 29 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 SAC：S1350525070001 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 33.00/15.70 风险提示。美国关税政策变化；经济增长不及预期；红海复航；美国对航运港口相 关政策的变化；地缘政治风险。 | 资产负债率（%） | 22.55 | 盈利预测与估值（美元） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | | 营业收入（百万美元） | 2,429 | 3,05 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Tobacco Hong Kong (6055.HK) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook based on recent developments and financial projections [1]. Core Insights - The company has signed a framework agreement with Leaf Trading, increasing the annual trading limit for tobacco sales to HKD 6.7 million, HKD 8.4 million, and HKD 9.8 million for the years 2026 to 2028 respectively [1]. - A framework agreement has also been established with China Tobacco International (North America) for the export of tobacco leaves to new regions, with the annual trading limits raised significantly for 2026 and 2027, reflecting increases of 538.4% and 456.8% respectively [1][2]. - The adjustments in trading limits are based on past orders, current orders, expected demand, and the company's business expansion, indicating strong confidence in future business growth [2]. - The company aims to diversify its customer base and attract potential buyers from broader regions, particularly in Southeast Asia [2]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from HKD 13,074 million in 2024 to HKD 18,823 million in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 10%, 16%, 12%, and 11% respectively [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from HKD 854 million in 2024 to HKD 1,310 million in 2027, with growth rates of 43%, 19%, 16%, and 11% respectively [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from HKD 1.23 in 2024 to HKD 1.89 in 2027 [4]. - The company is positioned as the exclusive operational entity for international business expansion and related trade for China Tobacco International, with a strong potential for mergers and acquisitions to accelerate growth [3]. Operational Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported tobacco leaf import/export revenues of HKD 839.9 million and HKD 115.6 million, representing year-on-year increases of 23.5% and 25.9% respectively [2]. - The company’s cigarette export revenue was HKD 115.6 million, showing a slight increase of 0.8%, while new tobacco products experienced a significant decline of 66.5% [2]. - The Brazilian operations reported a revenue of HKD 19.5 million, down 50.3% year-on-year, indicating some operational challenges [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for 康耐特光学 (2276.HK) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook on the company's growth potential and investment in XR business [1]. Core Insights - 康耐特光学 is accelerating its investment in XR business, with a total fundraising of approximately 1.4 billion HKD, aimed at enhancing production capabilities and R&D [1]. - The company is focusing on building a precision optical center to develop specialized materials and optical components for XR smart glasses, which is expected to strengthen its supply chain from materials to end applications [2]. - The main business is stable, with anticipated revenue growth driven by the recovery in North America and the increasing contribution from smart glasses [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 570 million, 690 million, and 890 million CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 45.8X, 37.5X, and 29.0X [2]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,061 million CNY in 2024 to 3,401 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 17%, 14%, 18%, and 23% respectively [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 428 million CNY in 2024 to 894 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 31%, 32%, 22%, and 29% [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 1.03 CNY in 2024 to 1.86 CNY in 2027 [2]. - Key financial metrics indicate a gross margin improvement from 38.58% in 2024 to 41.47% in 2027, and a net profit margin increase from 20.78% to 26.30% over the same period [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Alibaba Group (09988.HK) [1][4][6] Core Views - The report highlights the competitive advantage and profit improvement potential of Alibaba Cloud, especially in light of recent price increases by major overseas cloud service providers like AWS and Google Cloud due to a supply-demand imbalance driven by surging AI demand [1][3] - Alibaba Cloud, as the leading player in the AI cloud market, is expected to benefit from the industry's pricing trends and maintain strong growth and profitability [3][4] Financial Projections - For FY2026-2028, the projected non-GAAP net profits are estimated at 92.4 billion, 134.4 billion, and 180.9 billion respectively, reflecting a significant recovery and growth trajectory [4] - The report anticipates a target price of HKD 194 per share based on a 10x PE for the Chinese e-commerce group and a 10x PS for the cloud intelligence group [4][6] Financial Data Summary - The main revenue for FY2024 is projected at 941.2 billion, with a growth rate of 8%, and expected to reach 1,320.9 billion by FY2028 [5][11] - Adjusted EBITA for FY2026 is expected to decline to 101.3 billion, followed by a strong recovery in FY2027 and FY2028 [5][11] - The report indicates a net profit margin of 8.5% for FY2024, improving to 10.8% by FY2028 [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports [2][7]. Core Views - Anta Sports announced the acquisition of a 29.06% stake in PUMA from the Pinault family’s investment company Artémis, with a total transaction value of approximately €1.5 billion (around RMB 12.28 billion), reflecting a valuation of about 15 times PUMA's 2024 net profit [7]. - The acquisition is a strategic move to enhance Anta's multi-brand global strategy and is expected to strengthen its global presence [7]. - Anta will fund the acquisition entirely with its own resources, ensuring that dividend payments will not be affected [7]. - Anta's established consumer insights and operational capabilities in China are anticipated to aid PUMA in recovering growth in the Chinese market, where PUMA's revenue currently represents only about 7% of its global sales [7]. - PUMA's global brand strength and resources are expected to complement Anta's existing multi-brand strategy, facilitating Anta's global expansion [7]. - The report projects Anta's net profit for FY2025 to be RMB 132.0 billion, with a growth rate of 11% when excluding one-time gains from Amer Sports [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Anta Sports are as follows: - FY2023: RMB 623.6 billion - FY2024: RMB 708.3 billion - FY2025E: RMB 799.8 billion - FY2026E: RMB 896.5 billion - FY2027E: RMB 970.0 billion - The corresponding year-on-year growth rates are 16%, 14%, 13%, 12%, and 8% respectively [6][17]. - Net profit forecasts are: - FY2023: RMB 102.4 billion - FY2024: RMB 156.0 billion - FY2025E: RMB 132.0 billion - FY2026E: RMB 140.0 billion - FY2027E: RMB 157.4 billion - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are: - FY2023: RMB 3.61 - FY2024: RMB 5.41 - FY2025E: RMB 4.60 - FY2026E: RMB 4.87 - FY2027E: RMB 5.48 [6][17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The acquisition of a 29.06% stake in Puma is a significant strategic move for the company, positioning it as the largest shareholder and enhancing its global market presence [8] - The company aims to leverage its multi-brand strategy and global reach to revitalize Puma's brand value, despite recent performance challenges [8] - Earnings forecasts indicate a projected EPS of 4.70, 5.12, and 5.79 CNY per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a target PE of 18 times for 2026, leading to a fair value estimate of 102.91 HKD per share [8] Financial Summary - Main revenue is expected to grow from 62,356 million CNY in 2023 to 94,684 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 16.2%, 13.6%, 9.4%, 10.0%, and 11.1% respectively [2] - EBITDA is projected to increase from 19,708 million CNY in 2023 to 29,797 million CNY in 2027 [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from 10,236 million CNY in 2023 to 16,198 million CNY in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 34.9% in 2023 [2][8]