每经AI快讯，中国国航(00753.HK)盘中跌近3%，截至发稿跌2.44%，报6.81港元，成交额1.32亿港元。 ...

消息面上，中国国航公布，预计公司2025年度将出现亏损，归属于上市公司股东的净亏损约为人民币13 亿元到人民币19亿元，归属于上市公司股东扣除非经常性损益后的净亏损约为人民币19亿元到人民币27 亿元。2024年归属于上市公司股东的净亏损为人民币2.37亿元，归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损 益的净亏损为人民币25.40亿元。 西部证券（002673）指出，2025年Q1-Q3中国国航累计实现归母净利润18.70亿元，结合预亏公告2025 全年归母净利润在-19至-13亿之间，由此可以推算公司25Q4亏损在31.7-37.7亿元之间。25Q4较24年同期 亏损幅度扩大。根据公告2024年Q4中国国航归母净利润为-16.00亿元，由此可说明25年Q4公司归母净 利润亏损幅度扩大，原因是公司对递延所得税资产的账面价值进行复核，相应转回部分递延所得税资 产。 中国国航（601111）(00753)盘中跌近3%，截至发稿，跌2.44%，报6.81港元，成交额1.32亿港元。 ...

西部证券指出，2025年Q1-Q3中国国航累计实现归母净利润18.70亿元，结合预亏公告2025全年归母净 利润在-19至-13亿之间，由此可以推算公司25Q4亏损在31.7-37.7亿元之间。25Q4较24年同期亏损幅度扩 大。根据公告2024年Q4中国国航归母净利润为-16.00亿元，由此可说明25年Q4公司归母净利润亏损幅 度扩大，原因是公司对递延所得税资产的账面价值进行复核，相应转回部分递延所得税资产。 消息面上，中国国航公布，预计公司2025年度将出现亏损，归属于上市公司股东的净亏损约为人民币13 亿元到人民币19亿元，归属于上市公司股东扣除非经常性损益后的净亏损约为人民币19亿元到人民币27 亿元。 2024年归属于上市公司股东的净亏损为人民币2.37亿元，归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损 益的净亏损为人民币25.40亿元。 智通财经APP获悉，中国国航(00753)盘中跌近3%，截至发稿，跌2.44%，报6.81港元，成交额1.32亿港 元。 ...

Group 1 - The 2026 Spring Festival travel season will start on February 2 and end on March 13, lasting for 40 days, with a total of 88,800 flights planned at Beijing Capital and Daxing airports, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 1.67% [1] - Air China plans to increase its fleet by 25 aircraft compared to last year, executing over 70,000 passenger flights during the Spring Festival, a 10.1% increase from 2025, with an average of 1,800 flights per day, an increase of 160 flights [1] - Air China will focus on key routes between major city clusters, maintaining high operational levels and covering nearly 50 domestic routes [1] Group 2 - In the western region, Air China will add over 500 flights covering popular tourist destinations such as Lijiang, Dali, and Xishuangbanna [2] - Eastern Airlines plans to deploy 822 passenger aircraft, including 14 domestic C919 aircraft, executing 125,000 flights during the Spring Festival, a year-on-year increase of about 3.6% [4] - Southern Airlines plans to operate over 126,000 passenger flights during the Spring Festival, with approximately 13,000 additional flights across more than 260 routes [4] Group 3 - Hainan Airlines expects to operate over 33,000 flights, transporting approximately 5.516 million passengers, with increased flight frequencies on major routes and tourist destinations [5] - Hainan Airlines will expand its international route network, adding several new international destinations from Beijing and Haikou compared to last year's Spring Festival [5]

春运期间，国航9架C919国产大飞机将全部投入春运航班运行，继续执飞北京至杭州、成都、武汉、西安等航线。此外，国航已完成旗下"快线"产品的整合 升级，"国航快线"覆盖13条航线。 国际方面，国航春运期间运力投入同比增长10.1%，增投航线覆盖悉尼、奥克兰、新加坡、首尔、曼谷等17条热门航线。 北京商报讯(记者关子辰牛清妍)2月2日，记者从国航获悉，春运期间国航计划执行客运航班超过7万班次，同比增长10.1%。在册飞机数量同比增加25架，日 均安排航班约1800班次，同比增加160班次。 国内方面，国航重点聚焦京津冀、长三角、粤港澳、成渝四大城市群间的近50条骨干航线，航线范围覆盖全国，航班保持高位运行。为满足旅客暖冬出行需 求，国航在华南及海南地区持续优化运力，计划执行广深相关航线航班超7000班次，其中宽体机执飞超过3000班次。海南方向，三亚航线已全部由宽体机执 飞；在客流高峰日，海口航线也将在北京、成都等关键航线上启用宽体机。 为更好服务冰雪旅游市场，国航在东北地区运力投入同比增长15%，北京、成都、上海、杭州等地至哈尔滨的航线已陆续投入宽体机运营，每周新增座位超 1.2万个。在西部地区，国航增班超50 ...

【中泰交运｜航空】航司业绩快评：盈利改善确认，春运旺季可期 业绩预告： # 海航控股，①全年归母/扣非归母净利润分别为18～22亿元/9～11亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 ②测算Q4归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为6.45～10.45亿元/16.02～18.02亿元。 # 南方航空，①全年归母/扣非归母净利润分别为8～10亿元/1.3～1.9亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 【中泰交运｜航空】航司业绩快评：盈利改善确认，春运旺季可期 业绩预告： # 海航控股，①全年归母/扣非归母净利润分别为18～22亿元/9～11亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 ②测算Q4归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为6.45～10.45亿元/16.02～18.02亿元。 # 南方航空，①全年归母/扣非归母净利润分别为8～10亿元/1.3～1.9亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 ②测算Q4归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为13.07～15.07亿元/12.33～12.93亿元。 # 中国东航，①全年归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为13～18亿元/27～33亿元，同比减亏。 # ①春运旺季即将来临。 ②测算Q4归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为34.03～39.03亿元/41.05～47.05亿元。 # 中国国航，① ...

此外，东航税前利润总额为2-3亿元，受所得税费用影响导致东航税后利润出现亏损：受21年经营利润亏损影 响，2021年三大航分别确认较大额度的未经抵消的递延所得税资产（未弥补税务亏损），根据报表披露21年国航/ 东航/南航确认额度分别为29.8/46.2/38.1亿元，根据税法约定，可抵扣暂时性差异形成的递延所得税资产要求在未 来5个纳税年度内能产生足够的应纳税所得额用以抵扣，意味着对于三大航而言需要在26年之前确认同等额度的所 得税费用，导致大航不得不在25年提前确认部分所得税费用，使得税后利润由正转负。 预计三大航均在25年提前确认15亿上下的所得税费用。 2、近期航空板块调整幅度较大，主要由于三方面原因：1）递延所得税问题逐步被市场认识，市场下修对2025年 业绩预期；2）地缘战争预期升温，油价同比大幅上涨，压制板块股价；3）中日航线摩擦持续，边际改善有限。 随着业绩预告最后一重利空落地，我们认为短期来看股价里面隐含的悲观预期得到了充分的释放；25年税后盈利 低于预期不改经营利润显著改善的趋势，预计26年开始行业的经营利润仍有望持续且显著的改善。 大航业绩预告落地，经营改善确认周期拐点 1、事件点评：三大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Spring Festival travel rush is expected to reach a record high with 9.5 billion trips, prompting Air China to enhance capacity and services to meet diverse travel demands in Sichuan province [1][4]. Group 1: Travel Volume and Capacity - The Spring Festival travel period will start on February 2, 2026, lasting for 40 days, with a projected 9.5 billion trips, marking a historical peak in cross-regional population movement [1]. - Air China plans to operate 19,407 flights from Chengdu during the Spring Festival, an 11.2% increase year-on-year, averaging 485 flights per day [4]. Group 2: Route Optimization and Service Enhancements - Key routes with increased capacity include Chengdu to Beijing, Hangzhou, and Shanghai, with additional flights to warm destinations like Dali and winter tourism spots in Northeast China [4]. - Air China is optimizing its route layout, including adjustments to flights from Chengdu to Shanghai and adding new routes to Nanjing and other domestic and international destinations [4][11]. Group 3: Special Products and Promotions - Air China has launched various special products to cater to different travel needs, including the "Yifei Changyou Card" for senior travelers, offering unlimited travel options on domestic and international routes [11]. - The company is also promoting a limited edition "Phoenix Loyalty Night Reading Calendar" gift box, which includes travel discounts and commemorative items, available for purchase through the Air China app [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Core Insights - Geopolitical factors are driving up VLCC freight rates, with the Clarksons VLCC-TCE index rising to $116,000 per day, a week-on-week increase of 17%. The Middle East to China route is reported at $127,000 per day, up 27% week-on-week [1][10]. - The BDI index is showing resilience during the off-season, closing at 2148 points, a week-on-week increase of 21.9%. The average BDI for January is reported at 1759 points, a year-on-year increase of 89% [2][23][24]. Summary by Sections Oil Transportation - The ongoing tensions between the US and Iran have led to an increase in VLCC freight rates, with the market showing signs of weakness as the supply of cargo from the Middle East is tapering off [1][10]. - The Brent crude oil futures price has risen to $69.83 per barrel, a 9.6% increase since January 22, driven by concerns over potential disruptions in Middle Eastern oil supply [2][11]. Dry Bulk Transportation - The BDI index has shown strong performance despite seasonal trends, with significant increases in various sub-indices: BCI up 35.8%, BPI up 8.1%, BSI up 4.0%, and BHSI up 3.0% week-on-week [2][23]. - The report highlights that the supply side is constrained due to recent storms affecting shipping schedules, while demand remains robust due to favorable weather conditions for iron ore exports from Brazil [3][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for both oil and dry bulk markets, recommending companies such as China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping for oil transportation, and Haitong Development and Pacific Shipping for dry bulk [7][28]. - The report emphasizes the importance of performance elasticity and dividend value in the transportation sector, particularly in aviation and shipping [7][62].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive outlook for the logistics and transportation sector, particularly highlighting companies like SF Holding and China National Aviation [2][4]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector saw a year-on-year growth of 2.3% in December, with major companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition [2]. - The logistics sector is experiencing a recovery in demand, with a recommendation for Haicheng Co. due to its focus on smart logistics [3]. - The aviation sector is expected to see improved profitability as supply constraints ease, with recommendations for China National Aviation and Southern Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index fell by 1.3% during the week of January 24-30, 2026, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 0.1%, indicating underperformance against the broader market [12]. Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping Ports - The shipping market is adjusting, with the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) at 1175.59 points, down 2.7% week-on-week and down 21.9% year-on-year [21]. - The dry bulk shipping index (BDI) increased by 14.2% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend in dry bulk demand [34]. Aviation Airports - In December 2025, civil aviation passenger volume reached 60.6 million, a 6% year-on-year increase, with domestic routes showing strong performance [53]. - Major airlines are expected to improve profitability, with China National Airlines and Southern Airlines highlighted for their potential [4]. Rail and Road - National railway passenger volume increased by 8.52% year-on-year in December 2025, while road freight volume showed a slight increase of 0.62% [72]. - The report notes a decline in truck traffic on highways, with a 3.32% decrease week-on-week [34]. Recommendations - The report recommends investing in SF Holding for its valuation and resilience, and in Haicheng Co. for its smart logistics initiatives [2][3]. - The aviation sector is also recommended for investment, particularly in China National Aviation and Southern Airlines due to expected profit recovery [4].