| 来源：新浪财经 （免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。） | | --- | | 编辑 段炼 杜恒峰 | | 校对 何小桃 | | 封面图片：视觉中国（图文无关） | 每日经济新闻综合自公开资料 每经编辑｜段炼 2月4日，A股航空运输板块集体爆发。截至发稿，东航涨停，南航涨超7%，国航涨超6%，华夏航空、春秋航空、吉祥航空、海航等纷纷上涨。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant increase in airline stocks, with China National Airlines, Eastern Airlines, Southern Airlines, and Cathay Pacific experiencing notable gains in their stock prices [1] - The 2026 Spring Festival holiday has been extended, which is expected to boost travel for family visits and tourism [1] - The national Spring Festival transportation conference predicts that cross-regional passenger flow during the 2026 Spring Festival will reach 9.5 billion trips, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 5.3%, setting a new historical record [1] Group 2 - Data from the travel industry indicates that as of January 29, domestic flight bookings have exceeded 7.16 million, with a daily average booking increase of 16% year-on-year [1] - Galaxy Securities reports that high-frequency booking data corroborates official passenger volume forecasts, reflecting strong demand for civil aviation travel [1] - The combination of robust travel demand and steady release of flight supply is expected to support improvements in both passenger flow and revenue levels for civil aviation during the Spring Festival [1]

Industry Dynamics Tracking - The overall container shipping rates have decreased, with the SCFI composite index dropping by 9.7% to 1317 points. Specific routes such as Shanghai-Europe and Shanghai-Mediterranean saw declines of 11.1% and 12.0% respectively [3][4] - The refined oil tanker rates have increased, with the BCTI index rising by 4.6% to 890 points. The MR rates in the Pacific and Atlantic regions showed mixed results, with a notable increase of 12.7% in the Atlantic [8] - The logistics sector is witnessing a resilient demand, with the e-commerce express delivery industry expected to benefit from a recovery in the economy and a reduction in costs, leading to improved profitability for companies like SF Express and JD Logistics [12] Air Transport - The civil aviation sector is showing signs of recovery, with major airlines like China Southern and Hainan Airlines expected to turn profitable in 2025, while Eastern and Air China are projected to reduce their losses significantly [3] - The State Council has issued a plan to accelerate the cultivation of new growth points in service consumption, focusing on transportation services among others, which is expected to support the aviation sector [3] Shipping and Port Operations - The dry bulk shipping market is experiencing a "strong off-season" due to a combination of high demand in the Atlantic region and tight capacity, with the BDI index rising by 12.0% to 1949 points [8] - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East is tense, with the U.S. increasing military presence and Iran conducting live-fire exercises, which could impact oil shipping routes [6] - China's port cargo throughput has decreased, with a reported decline of 1.70% in total cargo and a 4.35% drop in container throughput [9] Road and Rail Transport - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with rail freight volumes reported at 7441.9 million tons, a decrease of 3.35% [10] - Shenzhen International reported a 3.3% increase in toll revenue for December 2025, indicating stable revenue growth in the road transport sector [11] Investment Opportunities - In the express delivery sector, companies like YTO Express and ZTO Express are expected to benefit from market share growth and operational improvements, while SF Express is noted for its cost control and shareholder returns [12] - The oil transportation market is anticipated to improve due to OPEC+ production increases and potential interest rate cuts, suggesting a favorable outlook for companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy [13] - The dry bulk shipping market is expected to continue its recovery, driven by environmental regulations and increased demand for commodities, with companies like China Merchants Energy and Haitong Development highlighted as potential beneficiaries [13]

Group 1 - The aviation and airport sector increased by 2.35% on February 3, with Southern Airlines leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - Key stocks in the aviation sector showed varied performance, with Southern Airlines closing at 7.65, up 5.37%, and China Eastern Airlines at 5.71, up 4.20% [1] Group 2 - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 43.44 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 106 million yuan [3] - Notable inflows from speculative funds were recorded at 149 million yuan [3] - The stock performance of major companies included China Eastern Airlines with a net inflow of 69.47 million yuan from institutional investors [4] Group 3 - The Aerospace ETF (product code: 159227) tracked the National Aerospace Industry Index and saw a decline of 8.15% over the past five days, with a net subscription of 12.87 million yuan [6] - The General Aviation ETF (product code: 159230) tracked the National General Aviation Industry Index and experienced a decline of 9.25%, with a net subscription of 10.71 million yuan [7] - The Tourism ETF (product code: 562510) tracked the CSI Tourism Theme Index and saw a decline of 2.92%, with a net subscription of 8.91 million yuan [7]

航空股今日回暖，截至发稿，东方航空(00670)涨4.81%，报5.66港元；南方航空（600029）(01055)涨 4.15%，报6.03港元；中国国航（601111）(00753)涨2.79%，报6.99港元；国泰航空(00293)涨1.48%，报 12.37港元。 招商证券发布研报称，25年四季度以来，受益行业票价同比改善、未来盈利修复预期强化以及市场整体 上涨影响，行业估值总体大幅上行，1月下旬以来受国际油价较快上涨影响板块有所回落，当前时点建 议关注春运行业量价表现、供需政策落地情况及中东局对油价影响。 消息面上，航旅纵横大数据显示：截至1月29日，2026年节前春运，国内航线机票预订量超1246万张， 比去年春运同期增长约8%；出境航线机票预订量超137万张，入境航线航线机票预订量超147万张，比 去年春运同期增长约5%。 ...

日前，南航、东航、国航、海航四大航司相继披露了2025年的业绩预告。南都N视频记者梳理公告获 悉，在民航业持续复苏的背景及公司各项成本管控举措下，南航、海航预计2025年将实现扭亏为盈，其 中海航盈利水平仍居四大航之首，且扭亏幅度最大。中国国航净亏损同比扩大，东航净亏损收窄，预计 利润总额将实现同比扭亏。 南航海航预计2025年扭亏为盈 南航预计，2025年度将实现扭亏为盈，实现归母净利润8亿元至10亿元，上年同期录得净亏损16.96亿 元，增长24亿元至26亿元。同期，实现归母扣除非经常性损益后的净利润1.3亿元到1.9亿元。南航因不 同于国航东航，未将货运物流板块拆分，因此货运业务的增长也为整体业绩的改善带来积极影响。 中国国航预计，2025年将实现归母净亏损约13亿元至19亿元，同比增亏至净亏损2.37亿元。同期，实现 归母扣除非经常性损益的净亏损约为19亿元到27亿元。国航称，亏损原因是，公司在资产负债表日对递 延所得税资产的账面价值进行复核，相应转回部分递延所得税资产。 海南航空预计，2025年将实现扭亏为盈，实现归母净利润18亿元至22亿元，上年同期录得净亏损9.21亿 元，增长27.21亿元至3 ...

为应对客流增长，东航今年春运在广东投入的座位数同比增加超过10万个，增幅达8.43%；执行航班约 8100班，同比增长约5.11%；预计运输旅客128万人次，同比增长8.21%。 根据目前广东各机场的客票销售情况来看，2026年春运返乡、探亲、学生、旅游等客流已形成叠加态 势，客票预订量近期迎来显著增长。 为应对旅客出行需求，东航在广州加密了往返西安、昆明、成都、兰州、太原、南京的航班；在深圳加 密了往返大理、太原、武汉航班，并新增深圳往返哈尔滨的直飞航班；在珠海加密了往返昆明、上海虹 桥的航班；在近年来火爆的潮汕市场，新增或加密往返上海、成都、南京、郑州、北京、宁波、昆明、 南昌、兰州等地的航班；在湛江加密往返南京、上海、武汉、南昌、成都的航班；在梅州新增往返上海 浦东的航班。 中新网广州2月3日电 (记者 郭军)2026年春运2日开启。记者从各大航空运输单位了解到，为服务广东地 区不断增长的旅客出行需求，各大航空公司纷纷增加运力投入，多措并举提升服务保障水平。 另一方面，今年春运的返乡、探亲客流也受到长假期的利好影响，特别是"先返乡探亲、后出门旅 游"的"二次出行"模式会更为普遍。东航预计节前节后将迎来一 ...

Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The overall container shipping rates have decreased, with the SCFI composite index dropping by 9.7% to 1317 points, and specific routes such as Shanghai-Europe and Shanghai-Mediterranean seeing declines of 11.1% and 12.0% respectively [1][8] - The refined oil tanker rates have increased, with the BCTI index rising by 4.6% to 890 points, while the MR rates for the Pacific and Atlantic regions showed mixed results [1][9] - The dry bulk market has shown strength during the traditional off-season, with the BDI index increasing by 12.0% to 1949 points, driven by a mismatch in supply and demand [1][8] Group 2: Express Logistics - YTO Express held a conference emphasizing the importance of building a resilient supply chain and adhering to national postal policies [2] - The State Post Bureau has prioritized the governance of illegal charges in rural express delivery as part of its 2026 initiatives [3] - Macro trends indicate a resilient demand in the e-commerce express delivery sector, with companies like SF Express and JD Logistics expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost control [13] Group 3: Aviation Sector - The civil aviation sector is showing signs of recovery, with major airlines like China Southern and Hainan Airlines expected to turn profitable in 2025, while others like China Eastern and Air China are projected to reduce losses significantly [4] - The State Council has issued a plan to enhance service consumption, which includes transportation services, aiming to stimulate economic growth [4] - Spring Festival travel demand is strong, with domestic flight bookings exceeding 7.16 million, reflecting a 16% increase compared to the previous year [5][6] Group 4: Shipping and Port Operations - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East remains tense, with the U.S. increasing military presence, which could impact oil shipping routes [7] - The Atlantic freight market is experiencing a surge, with dry bulk rates showing unexpected strength due to concentrated cargo volumes and tight capacity [8] - China's port cargo throughput has decreased, with a reported decline of 1.70% in total cargo and a 4.35% drop in container throughput [10] Group 5: Road and Rail Transport - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with rail freight volumes showing a slight decline of 3.35% [11] - Shenzhen International reported a 3.3% increase in toll revenue for December 2025, indicating stable growth in road transport [12] - Zhongyuan Express plans to recognize credit impairment and asset impairment provisions totaling 950 million, forecasting a 30% decline in annual net profit [12]

《中国民航报》、中国民航网 记者梁永军 通讯员张菁 报道：2026年春运来临，为满足广大旅客探亲返 乡及旅游出行的多元化需求，中国国际航空股份有限公司广东分公司（以下简称"国航广东分公司"）提 前部署、周密安排，围绕运力保障和服务体验双提升，全力打造安全、顺畅、温暖的春运旅程。 春运期间，国航广州出港计划执行16条航线，日均安排航班50余班，宽体机投入比例超过40%，并在北 京、天津、成都、达州、万州、乌鲁木齐等热门城市上增投10班运力，有效扩大航线覆盖，提升运输能 力。 在运行保障方面，国航广东分公司从天气研判、运行计划及外部环境等多维度制定应对方案，通过加强 会商、科学调配航班资源、优化保障流程等形式，全力维护春运期间运行秩序平稳。在旅客服务方面， 国航广东分公司聚焦全流程服务，推出一系列暖心举措：包括加强旅客引导分流，缩短旅客办理乘机等 待时间；提供安检内免提行李改签；针对首乘旅客、无成人陪伴儿童、老年人等特殊群体，设置专属服 务柜台，提供优先值机等一站式关怀服务，筑牢特殊旅客出行保障。 针对有接家人来粤过年需求的旅客，国航华南营销中心特别设计"华南亲情暖冬礼"产品，提供更具性价 比的往返出行选择，让阖 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Spring Festival travel season is expected to see a significant increase in passenger demand and flight operations, driven by factors such as longer holiday periods and the recovery of the inbound and outbound tourism market [1][5]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The Civil Aviation Administration of China forecasts that during the Spring Festival period, the national civil aviation passenger transport volume may reach 95 million, with a total of 780,000 flights expected, representing a 5% year-on-year increase in daily average flights [1]. - The travel demand is anticipated to rise due to the combination of holiday length and the recovery of tourism, leading to improved passenger load factors and ticket prices in the civil aviation industry [1][6]. Group 2: Airline Operations - China International Airlines plans to operate over 70,000 passenger flights during the Spring Festival, a 10.1% increase from 2025, with 9 C919 aircraft deployed on various routes [2]. - China Eastern Airlines intends to utilize 822 aircraft, including 14 C919 jets, executing 125,000 flights, with a focus on increasing capacity in domestic and international markets [3]. - China Southern Airlines aims to operate over 126,000 flights, with significant increases in domestic and international routes, including the deployment of C919 aircraft [3]. Group 3: Market Demand - The ticket booking data indicates a peak in demand, with over 5.21 million domestic tickets and 1.61 million international tickets booked, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 22% and 9%, respectively [5]. - The trend of combining family visits with tourism is emerging, leading to sustained demand for travel during the Spring Festival [5]. Group 4: Long-term Industry Outlook - The civil aviation industry is expected to achieve a balanced supply-demand relationship, with a potential increase in profitability as the market stabilizes [6]. - Factors such as the recovery of business travel, the aging population's consumption potential, and the steady recovery of the inbound tourism market are likely to create a supply-demand gap, which could enhance airline revenue levels [6].