经认真核实查证，视频中所述"林筱雨""方静云"等人员均非国航员工，视频中所提及的2016年11月3日 CA1348航班、2017年10月15日CA1832航班的始发地与目的地均与国航当日正常执行的CA1348航班、 CA1832航班航线不符，上述日期国航执行的CA1348航班、CA1832航班也未出现视频中所提及的单发 迫降、发动机损伤等不正常情况。 网络并非法外之地，相关自媒体账号恶意假冒国航飞行人员、凭空编造航空不安全事件，意图煽动公众 对民航安全不信任，并借机吸引流量营销其蜂蜜等产品，这一行为已严重影响国航的声誉和合法权益， 并对社会公众造成不良引导。国航提醒广大公众不信谣、不传谣。国航目前已对相关不实信息进行取证 收集，并将采取法律措施保障自身的合法权益，保留依法追究相关人员法律责任的权利。 1月24日，中国国航发布关于个别自媒体账号假冒我司飞行人员发布虚假视频开展营销的声明： 近日，我司关注到个别自媒体账号（腾讯视频号"猪猪侠小卖部""一束花开始4314"，抖音账号"米莱传 媒"等）陆续发布"从万米高空到深山养蜂 女机长的逆袭""前国航机长拒飞被解雇 真相被掩盖了整整8 年"等视频内容，视频中当事人 ...

网络并非法外之地，相关自媒体账号恶意假冒国航飞行人员、凭空编造航空不安全事件，意图煽动公众 对民航安全不信任，并借机吸引流量营销其蜂蜜等产品，这一行为已严重影响国航的声誉和合法权益， 并对社会公众造成不良引导。国航提醒广大公众不信谣、不传谣。国航目前已对相关不实信息进行取证 收集，并将采取法律措施保障自身的合法权益，保留依法追究相关人员法律责任的权利。 来源：中国国航 近日，我司关注到个别自媒体账号（腾讯视频号"猪猪侠小卖部""一束花开始4314"，抖音账号"米莱传 媒"等）陆续发布"从万米高空到深山养蜂 女机长的逆袭""前国航机长拒飞被解雇 真相被掩盖了整整8 年"等视频内容，视频中当事人声称为国航前飞行员，因航空不安全事件被国航解聘后开始养蜂卖蜜。 经认真核实查证，视频中所述"林筱雨""方静云"等人员均非国航员工，视频中所提及的2016年11月3日 CA1348航班、2017年10月15日CA1832航班的始发地与目的地均与国航当日正常执行的CA1348航班、 CA1832航班航线不符，上述日期国航执行的CA1348航班、CA1832航班也未出现视频中所提及的单发 迫降、发动机损伤等不正常情况。 1月24 ...

Core Viewpoint - The aviation sector is experiencing a resurgence, driven by favorable policies and increasing consumer demand, suggesting a potential turning point for the industry [3][5][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - The aviation transportation sector has seen an overall increase of over 20% in the last three months and nearly 40% in the past year [3]. - The average ticket price for economy class in 2025 was 738 yuan, down 3.1% year-on-year, following a 12.7% decline in 2024 [13]. - The overall passenger load factor for civil aviation in 2025 is expected to reach 84.9%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points from 2024 and 1.7 percentage points from 2019, marking a record high [20]. Group 2: Policy Impact - Recent policies aimed at addressing "involution" in the industry are expected to enhance flight operation quality and improve passenger experience [7][9]. - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has outlined measures to combat low-price competition, including establishing a cost monitoring mechanism and prohibiting the sale of tickets below government guidance prices [8][10]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand for air travel is on the rise, with a 28% year-on-year increase in domestic passenger volume in January 2025 [17]. - The aviation industry is facing a long-term supply constraint, with fleet growth at its lowest since the 21st century, and a projected ASK growth of only 2.7% in 2026 [39][42]. - The average number of flights is recovering, with international flight volumes reaching nearly 90% of pre-pandemic levels in 2025, particularly in regions along the Belt and Road [49]. Group 4: Financial Outlook - The industry is expected to see a significant improvement in fundamentals, with potential for both volume and price increases if the "anti-involution" policies effectively raise average ticket prices [22][53]. - Major airlines have reported a collective profit for the first time in five years in Q3 2025, with some companies projecting a net profit increase of over 25% [59]. - The aviation sector is gradually recovering from previous lows, with valuations starting to improve as the industry transitions into a phase of stock competition [62][65].

航空股全线回调，截至发稿，东方航空(00670)跌5.17%，报5.5港元；中国国航（601111）(00753)跌 4.95%，报7.11港元；南方航空（600029）(01055)跌3.11%，报5.92港元；国泰航空(00293)跌1.51%，报 12.42港元。 消息面上，近期油价、汇率波动。据华创证券研报，根据各家航司2025年半年报披露，10%的油价变动 对应三大航年化成本影响约43~51亿，1%汇率波动，对三大航影响在1.3-2.6亿。国泰海通证券近期指， 预计2026年春运需求将保持旺盛；民航将严控干线市场航司增加与增班，春运加班将较为有限；春节拼 假效应将弱于往年，节前节后客流集中或有利航司收益管理。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Spring Festival travel season in China is expected to see record-high passenger flow and transportation volume across railways and civil aviation, with significant increases in both sectors compared to previous years [1][4]. Railway Sector - The China National Railway Group anticipates sending 539 million passengers during the Spring Festival travel period from February 2 to March 13, 2026, representing a 5% year-on-year increase [1]. - On peak travel days, over 14,000 passenger trains are expected to operate, with a 5.3% increase in seating capacity compared to the previous year [1]. - The railway ticketing service will enhance support for key passenger groups, including additional discounts for college graduates and continued services for students and workers [1][3]. Civil Aviation Sector - The civil aviation sector is projected to transport 95 million passengers during the Spring Festival, with a daily average of 2.375 million passengers, marking a 5.3% increase [4]. - Major airlines are expected to operate 657,000 flights, also reflecting a 5% increase year-on-year [4]. - The top three airlines (China Eastern, Air China, and China Southern) will account for 43% of the flights, while the top 20 airlines will represent 90% of the total operations [4]. Ticket Pricing and Trends - As of January 15, 2026, the average pre-sale price for domestic economy class tickets during the Spring Festival is 1,064 yuan (including tax), which is 20% higher than the actual transaction price from the previous year [5]. - The peak ticket prices are expected around the Spring Festival, with significant price drops possible for travelers who adjust their travel dates [5]. - Popular domestic travel destinations are dominated by southern cities, with Shantou leading in booking growth at 186% year-on-year [5]. International Travel - During the Spring Festival, outbound travel is primarily focused on Southeast Asia, with Thailand being the most popular destination [6]. - There has been a significant reduction in flights to Japan, with a cancellation rate of 36% for flights during the travel period [6]. - The demand for customized outbound travel packages has increased, with an 18% rise in pre-orders for long-haul trips [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for major airlines, including China National Aviation (China Air), China Eastern Airlines, Southern Airlines, and others, based on their projected earnings growth and favorable market conditions [2][3]. Core Insights - The domestic passenger load factor has increased significantly, reaching a historical high of 85.7% in December 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 2.4 percentage points [7][10]. - The international passenger load factor has shown a slight increase, but the growth rate has slowed due to disruptions in the Japanese route, with December figures reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.9 percentage points [14][15]. - The overall industry demand growth continues to outpace supply growth, with a combined ASK/RPK increase of 6.6% and 9.1% respectively for the six listed airlines in December [7][10]. Summary by Sections 1. December International Supply and Demand Trends - The demand growth in December 2025 exceeded supply growth, with both domestic and international load factors reaching historical highs [10][11]. - The domestic routes saw a supply increase of 4.2% in ASK and a demand increase of 7.2% in RPK, while international routes experienced a 12.0% increase in ASK and a 13.3% increase in RPK [7][14]. 2. Aircraft Introductions and Fleet Growth - The total fleet of the six airlines increased by 0.4% in December, with a net addition of 14 aircraft, bringing the total to 3,386 [22][24]. - The A320 series was the primary aircraft introduced, with significant contributions from China National Aviation and Southern Airlines [22][27]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the tight supply-demand relationship in domestic routes will lead to a moderate increase in ticket prices in 2026, supported by regulatory measures to address low pricing [7][11]. - The international routes are expected to benefit from increased inbound tourism, with airlines like China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines positioned to gain from this trend [7][15].

2026年寒假及春节出行高峰将至， 国航在多条国际及地区航线上， 临时增班、加密， 让您的出行更便捷。 快来看看哪些航线有新变化， 提前规划您的旅程吧！ | 航线 | 航班号 | 离港时刻 | 班期 | 执行日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 北京首都-奥克兰 | CA579/80 | 17:10 | 五六日 | 1月23日-3月1日 | | 北京首都-悉尼 | CA581/82 | 21:50 | 五六日 | 1月23日-3月1日 | 欧洲 港澳台地区 | 航线 | 航班号 | 离港时刻 | 班期 | 执行日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 重庆-香港 | CA565/6 | 13:35 | 每日 | 1月25日-3月15日 | | 武汉-澳门 | CA119/20 | 13:10 | | 2月10日-2月21日 | 亚洲 | 航线 | 航班号 | 离港时刻 | 班期 | 执行日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 北京首都-曼谷 | CA563/4 | 17:30 | 包日 | 12月 ...

Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a decline of 1.17% on January 21, with China Eastern Airlines leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.7% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The closing price of China Eastern Airlines was 6.22, reflecting a decrease of 2.20% with a trading volume of 1,109,700 shares and a transaction value of 6.95 million [2]. - The aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 84.83 million from major funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 10.9 million, and speculative funds had a net inflow of 194 million [2][3]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - China National Aviation (China National Airlines) had a net outflow of 22.99 million from major funds, with a net inflow of 5.52 million from speculative funds and a net outflow of 28.51 million from retail investors [3]. - Xiamen Airport reported a net outflow of 2.03 million from major funds, while speculative funds had a net inflow of 1.35 million, and retail investors saw a net inflow of 0.68 million [3]. - Shenzhen Airport experienced a net inflow of 12.93 million from major funds, with a net inflow of 2.77 million from speculative funds and a net outflow of 15.69 million from retail investors [3].

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has a positive outlook on Asia-Pacific airlines for 2026, expecting profitability to be supported by sustained high ticket prices, healthy demand, improved cargo fundamentals, and potential benefits from excess oil supply [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast - The average earnings per share forecast for Asia-Pacific airlines for 2025 to 2027 has been raised by 22% to reflect improved passenger and cargo unit revenue outlook [1] - The largest upward revision is for mainland Chinese airlines [1] Group 2: Target Price Adjustments - The average target price for Asia-Pacific airlines has been increased by 30% to reflect the earnings forecast adjustments [1] - China Eastern Airlines' target price has been raised from HKD 2 to HKD 2.9, maintaining an underperform rating [1] - China Southern Airlines' target price has been increased from HKD 3.1 to HKD 5.92, with the rating upgraded from underperform to neutral [1] - Air China’s target price has been raised from HKD 4.2 to HKD 8.3, with the rating upgraded from underperform to buy [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has a positive outlook on Asia-Pacific airlines for 2026, expecting profitability to be supported by sustained high ticket prices, healthy demand, improved cargo fundamentals, and potential benefits from excess oil supply [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast - The average earnings per share forecast for Asia-Pacific airlines for 2025 to 2027 has been raised by 22% to reflect improved passenger and cargo unit revenue outlook [1] - The largest upward revision is for airlines in mainland China [1] Group 2: Target Price Adjustments - The average target price for Asia-Pacific airlines has been increased by 30% to reflect the earnings forecast adjustments [1] - China Eastern Airlines' target price has been raised from HKD 2 to HKD 2.9, maintaining an underperform rating [1] - China Southern Airlines' target price has been increased from HKD 3.1 to HKD 5.92, with the rating upgraded from underperform to neutral [1] - Air China’s target price has been raised from HKD 4.2 to HKD 8.3, with the rating upgraded from underperform to buy [1]