截至9月30日，柳工股东户数10.08万，较上期增加26.20%；人均流通股20140股，较上期减少20.29%。 2025年1月-9月，柳工实现营业收入257.60亿元，同比增长12.71%；归母净利润14.58亿元，同比增长 10.37%。 分红方面，柳工A股上市后累计派现51.02亿元。近三年，累计派现11.22亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，柳工十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流通股 东，持股8028.94万股，相比上期增加1423.55万股。南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第五大流通股东， 持股2348.34万股，相比上期减少49.44万股。嘉实价值长青混合A（010273）位居第七大流通股东，持 股1949.48万股，相比上期减少151.05万股。嘉实港股优势混合A（010041）位居第八大流通股东，持股 1799.44万股，相比上期减少135.38万股。嘉实价值精选股票A（005267）位居第九大流通股东，持股 1725.96万股，相比上期减少667.94万股。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出6157.90万元，特大单买入1730.18万元 ...

Group 1 - The State Intellectual Property Office of China shows that LiuGong Excavator Co., Ltd., LiuGong Changzhou Machinery Co., Ltd., and Guangxi LiuGong Machinery Co., Ltd. have applied for a patent titled "Intelligent Control Method and Device for Hydraulic Pump of Excavator," with publication number CN121382602A, and application date of November 2025 [1] - The patent involves a control technology for excavators, which includes determining hydraulic pump pressure, displacement information, and motor speed of the target excavator, and judging whether it meets preset abnormal load conditions [1] - The implementation of this invention aims to enhance the comprehensiveness and rationality of the excavator's operational control, thereby improving accuracy, reliability, efficiency, convenience, and timeliness, ultimately preventing rapid motor speed decline under sudden load increases [1] Group 2 - LiuGong Excavator Co., Ltd. was established in 2006, located in Liuzhou, primarily engaged in specialized equipment manufacturing, with a registered capital of 922.1847 million RMB [2] - LiuGong Changzhou Machinery Co., Ltd. was founded in 2010, located in Changzhou, focusing on professional technical services, with a registered capital of 530 million RMB [2] - Guangxi LiuGong Machinery Co., Ltd. was established in 1993, also located in Liuzhou, primarily in specialized equipment manufacturing, with a registered capital of 2032.200321 million RMB [2]

Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid growth and potential of the unmanned forklift industry in China, highlighting both advantages and disadvantages of unmanned forklifts [1][4]. Group 1: Product Advantages and Disadvantages - Unmanned forklifts are efficient, flexible, save labor costs, and allow for real-time monitoring [3]. - However, they are more expensive than traditional forklifts, have limited applicability in complex environments, and incur higher maintenance costs [3]. Group 2: Market Landscape - There are over 100 companies involved in the unmanned forklift sector in China, including established traditional forklift manufacturers and emerging robotics companies [4]. - Key players include Hangcha Group, Anhui Heli, and new entrants like Future Robotics and Hikvision Robotics, each offering a variety of unmanned forklift products [5]. Group 3: Sales and Market Size - Unmanned forklift sales in China are on a rapid upward trend, reaching approximately 5,000 units in 2020, surpassing 10,000 units in 2022, and projected to reach 24,500 units in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.64% [6]. - The market size for unmanned forklifts in China is around 5 billion yuan, with the industry expected to exceed 4 billion yuan in 2023 and reach approximately 5 billion yuan in 2024 [8]. Group 4: Industry Penetration - The current penetration rate of unmanned forklifts in China is relatively low, estimated at 1.91% for 2024, which is an increase of 0.24% from 2023 [9][12]. - Future growth in penetration is anticipated as the logistics and industrial manufacturing sectors develop and technology advances [9].

Core Insights - The Yifu High-Speed Railway is a key segment of the Hu-Yu-Rong Yangtze River high-speed rail corridor, crucial for connecting the Sichuan-Chongqing region with Central China [1][11] - The railway spans approximately 471 kilometers with a design speed of 350 km/h, enhancing regional transportation networks and driving industrial upgrades along the route [1][11] Intelligent Equipment Deployment - The Yifu unmanned electric loader project was officially launched on December 30, 2025, marking a significant advancement in intelligent construction technology [3][13] - The new generation T-series unmanned electric loader features advanced capabilities such as 360° environmental perception and centimeter-level high-precision positioning, ensuring safety and efficiency in construction [5][15] Environmental and Operational Efficiency - The loader utilizes cutting-edge intelligent loading technology, achieving an average full bucket rate of over 95%, significantly reducing material waste [6][16] - The equipment operates on a pure electric drive, promoting a "zero carbon" approach and enabling 24-hour unmanned operations, thus enhancing both environmental sustainability and operational efficiency [6][16] Comprehensive Management System - The accompanying intelligent scheduling system provides a full-process visualization management framework, covering real-time synchronization of work hours, energy consumption, and operational volume [8][18] - This system includes features for fault warning, equipment diagnosis, and data analysis, generating automatic reports to support precise operational management [8][18] Impact on Future Projects - The successful deployment of intelligent equipment on the first day of operation has not only improved efficiency for the Yifu project but also created replicable models for smart green construction [10][20] - The Yifu High-Speed Railway's construction is expected to have far-reaching implications for regional transportation networks and industrial upgrades, showcasing the technological strength and innovative commitment of the companies involved [10][20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the machinery industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment returns over the next 6-12 months [1]. Core Insights - The domestic sales of excavators continued to grow in December 2025, with a significant recovery in non-excavator categories. The total excavator sales (including exports) reached 23,095 units, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, with domestic sales at 10,331 units, up 10.9% [3][4]. - The report highlights a robust recovery in the demand for construction machinery driven by ongoing infrastructure investments and the replacement cycle of machinery, projecting a compound growth rate of around 30% for replacement demand in the coming years [4][5]. - The export of excavators also showed strong growth, with December 2025 exports reaching 12,764 units, a 26.9% increase year-on-year, and total export value for the year at $64.2 billion, up 27.2% [6][10]. Summary by Sections Domestic Sales Performance - In December 2025, excavator sales reached 23,095 units, with domestic sales at 10,331 units, reflecting a 19.2% and 10.9% year-on-year growth respectively. For the entire year, total excavator sales were 235,257 units, up 17.0%, and domestic sales were 118,518 units, up 17.9% [3][14]. - Non-excavator machinery categories also saw significant growth, with loader sales increasing by 30.0% and motor grader sales by 14.0% in December 2025 [14]. Export Performance - The report notes that excavator exports in December 2025 reached 12,764 units, marking a 26.9% increase year-on-year, with total annual exports at 116,739 units, up 16.1% [6][14]. - The total export value of construction machinery for December 2025 was $64.2 billion, a 27.2% increase, with the annual total at $601.7 billion, up 13.8% [6]. Future Demand Drivers - The report emphasizes that active fiscal policies are expected to stimulate infrastructure investment, ensuring sustained demand for construction machinery in the medium term [5]. - The commencement of the Yaxia Hydropower Project, with an estimated investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is projected to significantly boost machinery demand, with equipment needs potentially reaching 120 to 180 billion yuan [9][10]. Electric and Intelligent Machinery Trends - Electric loader sales surged by 218.7% in December 2025, with an electricization rate of 22.2%, indicating a strong trend towards electrification in the machinery sector [7]. - The report also highlights the growth potential in the forklift market, driven by advancements in robotics and artificial intelligence, with a projected 39.3% increase in sales of unmanned forklifts in 2025 [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several leading manufacturers, including SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion, as well as component suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic, indicating a favorable long-term outlook for these companies [10].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Yaxia Hydropower Project, with an expected investment of over RMB 2 trillion, will significantly boost the demand for high - end and large - scale construction machinery, serving as a key investment catalyst for the construction machinery industry [1][5][7] - The 14th Five - Year Plan sets the tone for the industry, promoting original innovation and the development of strategic emerging industries. The equipment replacement demand in the machinery industry is expected to be gradually released, benefiting cyclical sectors such as construction machinery [1][12] - China's construction machinery export data has been growing rapidly. The Chinese market is at a cyclical inflection point, and exports are expected to rise from $234 billion in 2024 to $570 billion in 2030. Domestic companies' overseas revenue has increased significantly [1][17][22] - The CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index allows for one - click allocation of core construction machinery assets. It has high long - term returns, high volatility, and significant event - driven characteristics. The performance of its constituent stocks is expected to continue to improve [1][34][56] - The Huaxia CSI Construction Machinery ETF closely tracks the CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index, aiming to minimize tracking deviation and error [1][68] Summary by Directory 1. The 14th Five - Year Plan Sets the Tone for the Industry, and Domestic Brands Accelerate Overseas Expansion 1.1 The Yaxia Hydropower Project Starts, and Trillion - Dollar Investment Creates a Century - Long Project - The Yaxia Hydropower Project officially started in 2025. Its construction plan can be traced back to 2007, and it entered the implementation phase in 2024 [5] - Compared with the Three Gorges Project, the Yaxia Hydropower Project may have a dynamic investment of over RMB 2 trillion, and most of the investment will be used for power station construction and power transmission projects [7][9] 1.2 The 14th Five - Year Plan Sets the Tone for the Industry, and the Domestic and Overseas Sales of Excavators Continue to Improve Synchronously - The 14th Five - Year Plan emphasizes original innovation and the development of strategic emerging industries. The equipment replacement demand in the machinery industry is expected to be released, benefiting cyclical sectors [12] - In November 2025, the sales of various excavators reached 20,027 units, a year - on - year increase of 13.90%. Domestic sales increased by 9.11% year - on - year, and exports increased by 18.84% year - on - year, indicating the recovery of the industry [13] 1.3 The Global Construction Machinery Market is Vast, and China's Export Data Shows High Growth - The global construction machinery market is expected to grow from $213.5 billion in 2024 to $296.1 billion in 2030. The Chinese market is at a cyclical inflection point, expected to rise from $234 billion in 2024 to $570 billion in 2030 [17] - The global excavator market is expected to reach $92.8 billion in 2030. In China, excavators will lead the industry recovery with a growth rate of 16.8% [17] - Overseas markets account for nearly 90% of the global construction machinery market. China's construction machinery export volume has increased from $18.894 billion in 2020 to $52.829 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 29.33% [22] 1.4 The Construction Machinery Cycle Reaches the Bottom and Rebounds, and Domestic Brands Accelerate Overseas Expansion - The excavator industry has experienced two cycles and is now in a new upward cycle. In 2024, the annual sales volume increased by 3.1% year - on - year, and from January to November 2025, the growth rate expanded to 16.7% [24] - The overseas revenue of the four major domestic construction machinery manufacturers has increased significantly. In 2024, the overseas revenue ratios of Sany Heavy Industry and Zoomlion exceeded 50% [27] - International giants still dominate the global market. Chinese construction machinery manufacturers such as XCMG, Sany Heavy Industry, and Zoomlion still have room for improvement in global market share [29] 2. The CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index: One - Click Allocation of Core Construction Machinery Assets 2.1 Index Compilation: Selecting Core Leaders in the Construction Machinery Industry - The CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index was released on September 27, 2021, with a base date of June 30, 2016. It selects 50 representative listed companies in the construction machinery field as samples to reflect the overall performance of construction machinery - related stocks [34] - The index samples are adjusted semi - annually, on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [36] 2.2 Industry Market Value Characteristics: High Concentration in the Construction Machinery Sector, with Market Value Structure Dominated by Leading Companies - As of January 6, 2026, the index has 50 constituent stocks, with an average total market value of RMB 28.131 billion. Five stocks have a market value of over RMB 100 billion [37] - The top ten constituent stocks of the index account for 72.55% of the total weight. The top three stocks by weight are XCMG, Sany Heavy Industry, and Weichai Power [43] - The index focuses on the construction machinery, auto parts, and special equipment sectors, with a combined proportion of over 87%. The construction machinery industry has the highest weight, at 61.99% [46] 2.3 High Elasticity, Offensive Nature, and Long - Term Allocation Value - In the rising market, the CSI Construction Machinery Index has strong explosive power. For example, from January 31 to April 19, 2019, its cumulative return was 44.07%, significantly higher than that of broad - based indices [50] - Since the base date, the cumulative return of the index has reached 153.95%, and the annualized return is 10.60%, far exceeding that of major broad - based indices. It has high volatility and a large maximum drawdown, indicating its high - elasticity offensive characteristics [56] - The index shows a pattern of leading in the up - cycle and adjusting in the down - cycle. In 2019 and 2025, its annual returns were significantly higher than those of broad - based indices [62] 2.4 High - Level Operation Supported by Positive Expectations, Highlighting the Attention of Sector Allocation - As of January 5, 2026, the P/E ratio of the CSI Construction Machinery Index was 24.13, with a historical quantile of 79.59%, and the P/B ratio was 2.26, with a historical quantile of 94.49%. The valuation is at a relatively high level [65] - The market's positive expectations for the industry have been reflected in the valuation, highlighting the long - term certainty of sector allocation [65] 3. Huaxia CSI Construction Machinery ETF - The Huaxia CSI Construction Machinery ETF (fund code: 515970) closely tracks the CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index, aiming to minimize tracking deviation and error. It started raising funds on January 19, 2026, and ended on January 30, 2026, with Wang Xinwei as the fund manager [68]

Group 1 - Company Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd. won a procurement project from China Aneng Group Second Engineering Bureau with a bid amount of 13.48 million yuan [1][2] - In 2024, the company's operating revenue is projected to be 30.063 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 9.24% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is expected to be 1.327 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 52.92% [3] Group 2 - For the first half of 2025, the company's operating revenue reached 18.181 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 13.21% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 is estimated at 1.230 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 25.05% [3] - The company operates in the industrial sector, primarily focusing on heavy construction machinery, with its main product composition in 2024 being earth-moving machinery at 59.68%, other construction machinery and parts at 30.2%, prestressing machinery at 8.37%, and financing leasing business at 1.75% [3]

Market Overview - The engineering machinery sector increased by 0.24% on January 20, with Shantui leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] Top Performers - Shantui (000680) closed at 12.85, up 3.21% with a trading volume of 369,800 shares and a turnover of 470 million yuan [1] - Yichang Heavy Industry (600031) closed at 22.55, up 2.04% with a trading volume of 1,004,500 shares and a turnover of 2.252 billion yuan [1] - LiuGong (000528) closed at 11.76, up 1.64% with a trading volume of 439,400 shares and a turnover of 513 million yuan [1] Underperformers - Tietuo Machinery (920706) closed at 31.02, down 5.94% with a trading volume of 84,500 shares and a turnover of 269 million yuan [2] - Hailun Zhe (300201) closed at 7.48, down 5.67% with a trading volume of 683,600 shares and a turnover of 516 million yuan [2] - Shaoyang Hydraulic (301079) closed at 46.05, down 5.38% with a trading volume of 124,300 shares and a turnover of 579 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The engineering machinery sector experienced a net outflow of 19.0863 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 312 million yuan [2] - Speculative funds had a net inflow of 331 million yuan into the sector [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Yichang Heavy Industry (600031) had a net inflow of 210 million yuan from institutional investors, accounting for 9.33% of its total [3] - Zhonglian Heavy Industry (000157) saw a net inflow of 115 million yuan from institutional investors, representing 16.48% [3] - Xugong Machinery (000425) had a net inflow of 55.5787 million yuan from institutional investors, making up 5.89% [3]

Company Insights - LiuGong has positioned its agricultural machinery business as a strategic emerging sector, aiming to mitigate cyclical risks from its core construction machinery operations. The company currently does not assess this segment's performance but focuses on enhancing product technology, quality development, and channel layout to create globally competitive agricultural machinery products [1] - The company has already achieved small-scale sales of high-power heavy-duty tractors equipped with power shift and hybrid technology, with plans for mass market introduction starting in 2026, which is expected to steadily increase the scale of its agricultural machinery business [1] Industry Trends - The construction machinery industry is showing signs of recovery, with expectations of improved performance as the sector transitions to the "National IV" emissions standards starting December 1 [2] - Domestic sales have been declining for 13 consecutive months, while exports have surged over 70%, indicating a potential turning point for the excavator industry [2] - February's construction activity is expected to improve, contributing to a more optimistic outlook for the construction machinery sector [2][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the mechanical industry, with a focus on mining equipment, AI devices, and consumables [1]. Core Insights - The mechanical industry is expected to enter a new recovery cycle driven by monetary and fiscal policies, with significant capital expenditure anticipated in mining due to rising prices of non-ferrous metals [6][8]. - The AI sector is experiencing rapid growth, leading to increased demand for high-performance servers, GPUs, and advanced PCBs, which are critical for AI applications [6][20]. - The report highlights key companies in various segments, including industrial control, robotics, machine tools, and testing industries, suggesting a broad range of investment opportunities [6][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The mechanical industry comprises 636 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 70,956.73 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 58,998.75 billion yuan [3]. Company Profit Forecasts and Valuations - Several companies are highlighted with strong profit forecasts and investment ratings, including: - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ): EPS forecasted at 2.11 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Falan Technology (603966.SH): EPS forecasted at 0.60 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Xinjie Electric (603416.SH): EPS forecasted at 1.83 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Other notable mentions include companies like Anhui Heli (600761.SH) and Sany Heavy Industry (600031.SH), both receiving strong buy ratings [2]. Market Performance - The mechanical sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.4% increase in the index, while the overall market performance varied across different indices [10][13]. - The 3C equipment segment experienced the highest growth at 14.4%, indicating strong demand in this area [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the AI wave, such as: - Dingtai High-Tech and Zhongtung High-Tech in the consumables sector [20][21]. - Dazhu CNC and Xinqi Micro-Assembly in the equipment sector [20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-end equipment and consumables in the PCB market, projecting significant growth in this area [20][21]. Key Data Tracking - The report includes macroeconomic indicators and industry-specific data, such as the manufacturing PMI and fixed asset investment growth rates, which are crucial for understanding the industry's health [32][36].