Key Points - Major asset restructuring plans are underway for several companies, including JiaoYun Co. and Dongzhu Ecology, with significant risks of termination noted for Dongzhu Ecology's restructuring efforts [11][12] - ST KeliDa is set to resume trading on January 12, 2026, following a proposed change in its actual controller [5] - NineLink Technology has terminated its major asset restructuring plans due to disagreements on core transaction terms [6] - Companies like Huazhou Laojiao and others have announced substantial profit distributions and performance forecasts, indicating positive growth trends [8][9][10] Focus Area 1: Asset Restructuring - JiaoYun Co. is planning a major asset swap involving its automotive sales and service segments with assets from its controlling shareholder [11] - Dongzhu Ecology is attempting to acquire control of Kai Rui Xing Tong Information Technology but faces significant termination risks due to valuation disagreements [12] - NineLink Technology has decided to halt its plans to acquire a 51% stake in Chengdu Neng Tong Technology after failing to reach consensus on key transaction details [6] Focus Area 2: Trading Resumption and Risk Warnings - ST KeliDa will resume trading on January 12, 2026, after a proposed change in its actual controller [5] - China First Heavy Industries and Oriental Pearl have issued risk warning announcements regarding their stock trading, highlighting the volatility and lack of revenue from certain projects [3][4] Focus Area 3: Performance Forecasts - Huazhou Laojiao expects a net profit of between 235 million to 271 million yuan for 2025, a significant recovery from a loss in the previous year [8] - China Shipbuilding Defense anticipates a net profit increase of 149.61% to 196.88% for 2025, driven by improved production efficiency and revenue from joint ventures [9] - Daotong Technology projects a net profit of 900 million to 930 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a growth of 40.42% to 45.10% [10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The supply-demand structure of raw milk is improving, and the snack food sector continues to show upward momentum. The food and beverage index increased by 2.1% from January 5 to January 9, ranking 24th among 28 sectors, underperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 0.7 percentage points. Sub-sectors such as processed foods (+6.7%), soft drinks (+5.8%), and snacks (+4.5%) performed relatively well [3][10][12]. Summary by Relevant Sections Weekly Insights - The supply-demand dynamics for raw milk are optimizing, and the snack food sector is experiencing sustained growth. The recent policy by the Ministry of Commerce to implement safeguard measures on imported beef is expected to alleviate the impact on domestic industries, leading to a potential increase in beef prices over the next 2-3 years. The domestic dairy sector is facing challenges, with a continuous reduction in dairy cow inventory, which may lead to a widening supply-demand gap post-Spring Festival [10][11]. Market Performance - The food and beverage index rose by 2.1% from January 5 to January 9, ranking 24th out of 28 sectors, and underperformed the CSI 300 by about 0.7 percentage points. Leading individual stocks included Qianwei Yangchun, Anji Food, and Yangyuan Beverage, while stocks like Jiabi You, *ST Chuntian, and Xianle Health saw declines [12][13]. Upstream Data - As of January 6, the GDT auction price for whole milk powder was $3,407 per ton, reflecting a 10.4% year-on-year decrease. The domestic fresh milk price was 3.03 yuan per kilogram, down 2.9% year-on-year. The domestic milk price is expected to remain under pressure in the short to medium term [19][21]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends focusing on companies that are likely to benefit from the improving raw milk supply-demand balance and the growth in the snack food sector. Notable mentions include: - Yuran Agriculture: Expected to benefit from the recovery in raw milk prices. - Modern Dairy: Anticipated to gain from the overall industry improvement. - Yili Group and Mengniu Dairy: Expected to see positive impacts from the anticipated recovery in milk prices [10][11]. Snack Food Sector - The snack food sector is projected to continue its upward trend, particularly during the Spring Festival season. Companies such as Weilang Delicious, Ganyuan Food, and Yanjin Food are highlighted for their potential growth due to seasonal demand and strategic initiatives [11][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the liquor sector, with expectations for a recovery in sales and valuation improvements in 2026 [2][6]. Core Insights - The liquor market is undergoing a restructuring with a focus on balancing volume and price, and a potential turning point is anticipated in Q3 2026 [2][6]. - The report highlights the importance of consumer price index (CPI) as a key indicator for the consumer goods sector, predicting gradual improvements in food CPI throughout 2026 [2][6]. - The report recommends several high-quality liquor companies for long-term investment, including Kweichow Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, and Shanxi Fenjiu, while also suggesting attention to Wuliangye and other brands [2][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview of Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage sector saw a 2.12% increase last week, with liquor stocks rising by 2.46%, although it underperformed the broader market by 1.70 percentage points [5]. - Notable stock performances included Ziyuan Food (+33.97%), Qianwei Central Kitchen (+22.52%), and Anji Food (+18.34%) [5]. 2. Market Performance of Food and Beverage Sub-sectors - The food and beverage industry lagged behind the Shenwan A index by 3.06 percentage points, with various sub-sectors underperforming, particularly beverages and dairy [33][34]. 3. Liquor Pricing Trends - As of January 10, 2026, the price of Moutai was reported at 1540 RMB for loose bottles, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 50 RMB, while the price for a case rose by 40 RMB to 1545 RMB [7][19]. - The report indicates that Moutai's pricing has found a bottom, reducing downward risks and suggesting a potential for price stability moving forward [7][19]. 4. Consumer Goods Sector Insights - The report emphasizes the shift in competitive strategies from price-based to quality-based approaches among consumer goods companies, with expectations for improved margins as raw material costs stabilize [2][6]. - Recommendations for consumer goods include Anjijia Food, Yili Group, and Tianwei Food, with a focus on the supply chain related to condiments and frozen foods [8]. 5. Dairy Industry Outlook - The dairy sector is expected to see an improved supply-demand balance in 2026, with growth potential in deep-processed products and low-temperature milk [8][9]. - Yili Group's projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 11.3 billion, 12.2 billion, and 12.9 billion RMB, respectively, indicating a growth trajectory [9].

Group 1 - Jiuziyuan's Year of the Horse commemorative liquor was launched on January 9, featuring a design inspired by Dunhuang murals and priced at 688 yuan for 1L and 1688 yuan for 2.5L [1] - Luzhou Laojiao announced a mid-term profit distribution plan, proposing a cash dividend of 13.58 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 2 billion yuan [3] - Jian Nan Chun was recognized in the 2025 China Consumer Brand List, highlighting its cultural heritage and market acceptance [4] Group 2 - The Zhejiang Chamber of Commerce's listed company committee conducted a successful exchange event at Kuaijishan, promoting deep communication among prominent Zhejiang entrepreneurs [5] - Langjiu's Gaotai Whisky project is nearing completion, with a goal to produce 10,000 tons of raw liquor annually by the second half of 2026 [6] - The Douyin Mall's New Year Festival will start on January 16, 2026, focusing on various consumer needs and providing extensive support for merchants [7] Group 3 - Tanjiu announced the signing of 329 new channel service providers in 2025, with a 73% coverage rate in Henan and 56.3% in Shandong, indicating a strengthening of its core market [8]

Core Viewpoint - Luzhou Laojiao plans to distribute a cash dividend of 13.58 yuan (including tax) for every 10 shares, totaling approximately 2 billion yuan (including tax) [1]. Group 1: Dividend Distribution - For the first three quarters of 2025, Luzhou Laojiao achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.762 billion yuan, resulting in a cash dividend rate of approximately 18.58% [1]. - The dividend distribution aligns with the company's 2024-2026 shareholder dividend return plan, which stipulates that the total cash dividend for each year must account for at least 65%, 70%, and 75% of the annual net profit, respectively, with a minimum of 8.5 billion yuan (including tax) [1]. - Luzhou Laojiao has maintained a cash dividend rate above 60% in recent years, reflecting its strong cash flow [1]. Group 2: Industry Context - Since its listing in 1994, Luzhou Laojiao has implemented cash dividends 31 times, with a cumulative distribution amounting to 54.058 billion yuan (including the current dividend) [2]. - The cash dividend rates for Luzhou Laojiao from 2021 to 2024 were 60.01%, 60%, 60.01%, and 65.01%, respectively [2]. - In the context of a significant adjustment in the liquor industry, many companies, including Luzhou Laojiao, have introduced high dividend plans to respond to regulatory calls and enhance market value management [2]. Group 3: Market Performance - As of January 9, Luzhou Laojiao's stock price was 116.86 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 172 billion yuan and a rolling dividend yield of 5.36% [3].

Core Viewpoint - Luzhou Laojiao plans to distribute a cash dividend of 13.58 yuan (including tax) for every 10 shares, totaling approximately 2 billion yuan (including tax) [2] Group 1: Dividend Distribution - For the first three quarters of 2025, Luzhou Laojiao achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.762 billion yuan, resulting in a cash dividend rate of approximately 18.58% for this mid-term distribution [5] - This mid-term dividend aligns with the company's 2024-2026 shareholder dividend return plan, which stipulates that the total cash dividend for each year must account for no less than 65%, 70%, and 75% of the annual net profit attributable to shareholders, with a minimum of 8.5 billion yuan (including tax) each year [5] - Luzhou Laojiao has maintained a cash dividend rate above 60% in recent years, with a cumulative cash dividend of 54.058 billion yuan since its listing in 1994 [6] Group 2: Industry Context - In the context of a deep adjustment in the liquor industry, many companies, including Luzhou Laojiao, have introduced high dividend plans to respond to regulatory calls and enhance market value management [6] - Other leading companies like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye have also announced cash dividend return plans, with Moutai committing to distribute no less than 75% of its annual net profit and Wuliangye committing to at least 70% and a minimum of 20 billion yuan (including tax) [6] - As of January 9, 2025, Luzhou Laojiao's stock price was 116.86 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 172 billion yuan and a rolling dividend yield of 5.36% [7]

Core Viewpoint - Luzhou Laojiao has announced a mid-term profit distribution plan for 2025, proposing a cash dividend of 13.58 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 2 billion yuan, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder returns and financial stability [1][2]. Group 1: Profit Distribution and Financial Performance - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of approximately 2 billion yuan based on its total share capital of 1.472 billion shares [1]. - Luzhou Laojiao has cumulatively distributed cash dividends totaling 52.059 billion yuan since its listing, which is 12.96 times its equity refinancing amount, with a dividend payout ratio of 61.58% [1]. - The company achieved an operating income of 23.127 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.762 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, demonstrating stable performance amid industry challenges [2]. Group 2: Market Position and Brand Strategy - Luzhou Laojiao is recognized as a leading enterprise in the liquor industry, showcasing financial robustness and a strong commitment to shareholder returns, which enhances investor relations and brand reputation [2]. - The company's marketing strategies, including the "Jiao Master Festival" and "Poetry and Wine Conference," have positively impacted brand image and consumer engagement, contributing to inventory turnover [3]. - The company maintains a strong market position with its flagship product, Guojiao 1573, showing resilience in pricing and sales performance [3]. Group 3: Industry Outlook and Trends - The liquor industry is currently undergoing an adjustment phase, but long-term growth prospects remain positive, with expectations for structural upgrades and innovative consumption scenarios [4]. - The industry is anticipated to experience a bottoming process in 2026, with narrowing declines in terminal demand and continued supply-side adjustments [4]. - Luzhou Laojiao's focus on high-end market share, channel optimization, and youth-oriented marketing strategies are expected to be key factors in maintaining its competitive edge [4].

Core Viewpoint - Luzhou Laojiao has announced a mid-term profit distribution plan for 2025, proposing a cash dividend of 13.58 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 2 billion yuan, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder returns and financial stability [1][2]. Company Performance - Luzhou Laojiao reported a cumulative cash dividend of 52.059 billion yuan since its listing, with a dividend payout ratio of 61.58%, ranking among the top in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 23.127 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.762 billion yuan, demonstrating stable performance amid industry challenges [2]. Market Position and Strategy - The company maintains a strong market position with its flagship product, Guojiao 1573, showing resilient pricing performance [3]. - Luzhou Laojiao has implemented a five-step marketing system and engaged in consumer interaction through events like "Jiao Master Festival," enhancing brand reputation and facilitating inventory turnover [3]. Industry Outlook - The white liquor industry is currently in an adjustment phase, but long-term growth prospects remain positive, with expectations for structural upgrades and innovative consumption scenarios in 2026 [4]. - The industry is anticipated to experience a bottoming process in 2026, with narrowing declines in terminal demand and continued supply-side adjustments, leading to the emergence of long-term value [4]. Future Development - Key focus areas for the industry include high-end market stability, innovative consumption experiences, and digital channel expansion to attract younger consumers [4]. - Luzhou Laojiao's strategic initiatives, including refined channel operations and international marketing efforts, are expected to bolster its long-term competitiveness [4].

Group 1 - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 13.58 yuan (including tax) for every 10 shares, totaling approximately 2 billion yuan (including tax) based on a total share capital of about 1.472 billion shares [2] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 23.127 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.762 billion yuan, with net cash flow from operating activities reaching 9.823 billion yuan [2] - The company has a retained earnings of approximately 24.021 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025, and plans to increase cash dividend ratios over the next three years to no less than 65%, 70%, and 75%, with absolute amounts not less than 8.5 billion yuan each year [2] Group 2 - The company has established its high-end product, Guojiao 1573, as a key revenue driver, achieving a scale of over 20 billion yuan, while also targeting younger and lower-alcohol markets with products like the 38-degree Guojiao 1573 [2] - During the annual dealer recognition and marketing meeting for 2024-2025, the company introduced six major shifts in thinking to guide sales teams and dealers in adapting to market changes [3] - The recent cash dividend of approximately 2 billion yuan is seen as a routine measure to fulfill the company's commitment to high dividends, supported by over 10 billion yuan in net profit and ample cash flow [3] Group 3 - The company's market capitalization is reported at 172.01 billion yuan, with a stock price of 116.86 yuan per share, reflecting a slight increase of 0.23% [6] - The company has a cumulative dividend total exceeding 52 billion yuan, indicating a clear long-term strategy to share development results with shareholders [3]

Group 1 - The State Council of China is implementing a package policy to promote domestic demand through fiscal and financial collaboration, focusing on enhancing consumer capacity and supporting private investment [1] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced the cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products starting April 1, 2026, which is expected to help stabilize foreign market prices and reduce trade friction risks [1] - The State Administration for Market Regulation is conducting an investigation into the competitive status of the food delivery service industry, with major platforms like Meituan and JD Express expressing their willingness to cooperate [1] Group 2 - Baogang Co. announced an adjustment in the related transaction price for rare earth concentrate to 26,834 yuan per ton (excluding tax), reflecting a 2.4% increase from the previous quarter [3] - The company Tongfu Microelectronics plans to raise no more than 4.4 billion yuan through a private placement [3] - Zhongchao Technology expects a net profit increase of 149.61% to 196.88% year-on-year for 2025 [3]