Core Insights - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to remain flat in 2025 compared to the previous year, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) is projected to decline by 2.6% [1] Group 1: CPI Trends - CPI has rebounded for four consecutive months, reaching the highest level since March 2023, with core CPI maintaining above 1% for the same duration [1] - Prices of core goods such as household appliances and gold jewelry continue to show strength [1] Group 2: PPI Trends - PPI has increased for three consecutive months, with an expanding growth rate, driven primarily by the non-involution sector and the metals industry [1] - The oil and petrochemical industry chain prices continue to decline [1] Group 3: Future Projections - For 2026, the report anticipates a continuation of the price recovery trend observed in the latter half of 2025, influenced by factors such as the "old-for-new" policy, narrowing rental declines, and rising gold and service prices [1] - Core CPI is expected to remain strong, with a projected year-on-year central tendency of around 0.7%, influenced by gold jewelry prices contributing approximately 0.3% to the CPI if the London gold price averages $4,500 per ounce in 2026 [1] - PPI is projected to have a year-on-year central tendency of around -0.4%, supported by rising prices in coal, steel, lithium carbonate, and copper due to demand from non-involution, energy storage, and AI-related sectors [1]

Core Insights - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in 2025 is expected to remain flat compared to the previous year, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) is projected to decline by 2.6% [1] Group 1: CPI Analysis - CPI has shown a continuous recovery for four months, reaching a new high since March 2023, with core CPI maintaining above 1% for the same duration [1] - Prices of core goods such as household appliances and gold jewelry continue to exhibit strength [1] Group 2: PPI Analysis - PPI has increased for three consecutive months, with an expanding growth rate, primarily driven by the non-ferrous and "anti-involution" industries [1] - Prices in the oil and petrochemical industry chain continue to decline [1] Group 3: 2026 Outlook - For 2026, the report anticipates a continuation of the price recovery trend observed in the latter half of 2025, influenced by recent commodity price movements and the "replacement basket" effect [1] - Core CPI is expected to remain strong, with a projected year-on-year central tendency of around 0.7%, driven by policies such as trade-in programs, narrowing rental declines, and rising gold and service prices [1] - Assuming the central price of London gold is $4,500 per ounce, gold jewelry is expected to contribute approximately 0.3% to the CPI in 2026 [1] - PPI is projected to have a year-on-year central tendency of around -0.4%, supported by demand in coal, steel, lithium carbonate, and copper due to "anti-involution," energy storage needs, and AI-related demand [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Guosheng Securities announced a share reduction by Jiangxi Building Materials, which took place from January 7 to 8, 2026, involving 2.8 million shares, accounting for 0.14% of the total share capital [2] - After the reduction, the total shareholding of Jiangxi Building Materials and its concerted parties decreased to 11.96%, indicating a significant change in ownership structure [2] - The reduction reached a threshold of 1% integer multiple, suggesting that the company is actively managing its shareholding strategy [2]

1 证券代码：002670 证券简称：国盛证券 公告编号：2026-002 国盛证券股份有限公司 关于持股 5%以上股东减持股份比例触及 1%整数倍的公告 股东江西省建材集团有限公司保证向本公司提供的信息内容真实、准确、完 整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息一致。 国盛证券股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 11 月 15 日披露了 《关于持股 5%以上股东减持股份的预披露公告》（公告编号：2025-060），持 有本公司股份 116,080,704 股（占公司总股本比例 6.00%）的股东江西省建材集 团有限公司（以下简称"江西建材"）计划自该公告披露之日起 15 个交易日后 的 3 个月内（即 2025 年 12 月 8 日至 2026 年 3 月 7 日）以集中竞价方式减持公 司股份合计不超过 19,350,846 股（占公司总股本比例 1.00%）。 公司于 2026 年 1 月 8 日收到江西建材出具的《关于减持股份比例触及 1% 整数倍的告知函》，截至 2026 年 1 月 8 日，江西建材累计减持股份 2,800, ...

国盛证券公告称，股东江西建材于2025年11月15日披露减持计划，拟在2025年12月8日至2026年3月7 日，以集中竞价方式减持不超1935.08万股，占总股本1%。截至2026年1月8日，江西建材累计减持280 万股，占总股本0.14%。本次减持前，江西建材及其一致行动人合计持股2.34亿股，占总股本12.11%； 减持后，合计持股2.32亿股，占总股本11.96%，减持比例触及1%整数倍，减持计划尚未实施完毕。 ...

Group 1: Home Appliance and Light Industry Investment Opportunities - The home appliance and light industry should focus on four investment themes by 2026: 1) The white goods sector, supported by trade-in policies, is expected to have good allocation value due to its dividend yield; 2) The power bank industry is anticipated to improve due to new regulations, while the domestic hardware market share is set to rise [1] - The white goods sector has strong defensive attributes and offers good value in terms of dividend yield. Midea Group's B-end business, particularly in data center liquid cooling, shows significant growth potential, with its current P/E ratio being relatively low [1] - Haier Smart Home is enhancing its competitive edge through a new operational system focused on "data-driven intelligent decision-making and closed-loop optimization" [1] - The power bank industry is expected to see improved market conditions with the upcoming release of the "Mobile Power Safety Technical Specification" in Q1 2026, which will raise industry standards and potentially eliminate many white-label brands [1] Group 2: Consumer Trends and New Market Opportunities - The "lipstick effect" and social currency attributes are driving demand for emotional consumption, with the IP-based spiritual consumption sector in China experiencing rapid growth and increasing supply of domestic IPs [2] - Companies like Pop Mart, which have strong IP operation capabilities, and Blukoo, which has significant room for channel expansion, are recommended [2] - The folding bicycle market is gaining traction due to its convenience and efficiency in urban settings, with Dahan Technology leading the industry in mainland China [2] - The consumer-grade 3D printer market is evolving from a niche tool for professionals to a widely accessible device, with Chuangxiang Sanwei expected to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [2] Group 3: Export Chain Recovery and New Product Opportunities - The Chinese home appliance and light manufacturing industry remains globally competitive, with a focus on companies that have strong product and channel development capabilities and overseas factories to mitigate tariff risks [3] - New product opportunities include pool cleaning robots, which have significant room for market penetration, and companies like Wangyuan Technology are expected to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [3] - There is a focus on multinational hygiene product companies like Leshushi that are targeting rapidly developing emerging markets in Africa, Latin America, and Central Asia [3]

国盛证券所属申万行业为：非银金融-证券Ⅱ-证券Ⅲ。所属概念板块包括：区块链、互联金融、金融科 技、中盘、融资融券等。 截至12月31日，国盛证券股东户数10.44万，较上期减少9.97%；人均流通股15549股，较上期增加 11.08%。2025年1月-9月，国盛证券实现营业收入123.25万元，同比减少25.09%；归母净利润2.42亿元， 同比增长191.21%。 分红方面，国盛证券A股上市后累计派现2.64亿元。近三年，累计派现0.00元。 1月8日，国盛证券盘中下跌2.01%，截至14:12，报17.06元/股，成交3.91亿元，换手率1.40%，总市值 330.13亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出4139.88万元，特大单买入1283.08万元，占比3.28%，卖出3300.97万 元，占比8.43%；大单买入5728.38万元，占比14.64%，卖出7850.37万元，占比20.06%。 国盛证券今年以来股价涨1.31%，近5个交易日涨0.00%，近20日跌2.29%，近60日跌18.30%。 资料显示，国盛证券股份有限公司位于江西省南昌市红谷滩区凤凰中大道1115号北京银行大楼15和12 层 ...

国盛证券研报指出，君亭酒店湖北文旅控股+加盟业务提速+REITs政策利好，迎发展新阶段。公司稳步 推进轻资产战略，通过君行和与精选国际的加盟合作进一步扩大品牌影响力和市场占有率，政策端酒店 REITs的放开也为公司轻重资产结构优化提供新机遇。当前湖北文旅控股将助力公司酒店业务完善区域 布局，资产注入有望增厚业绩，预计公司2025-2027年营业收入分别为7.0/9.0/11.1亿元，归母净利润分 别为0.17/0.85/1.61亿元，当前股价对应PE分别为296x/59x/31x，维持"买入"评级。 ...

北京商报讯(记者刘一博冯若男)1月7日尾盘，三大指数集体上涨，沪指4085.77点上涨0.05%。白酒板块 以2198.30点收盘，下跌0.21%，其中15只白酒股下跌。 从个股来看，贵州茅台（600519）收盘价达1423.36元/股，下跌0.33%；五粮液（000858）收盘价达 107.52元/股，下跌0.60%；山西汾酒（600809）收盘价达177.49元/股，下跌0.89%；泸州老窖 （000568）收盘价达117.12元/股，下跌1.26%；洋河股份（002304）收盘价达62.26元/股，下跌1.77%。 国盛证券（002670）在其发布研报称，白酒2025年充分释放风险，2026年有望迎"供给先行、需求渐 进"双改善，当下动销、价盘、报表三重底部，短期元春动销环比改善正向催化，中期维度动销、价 盘、报表有望相继修复，配置短期基于供给角度，中期基于格局与分红。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities emphasizes the importance of the Hainan sector and the elasticity of sub-sectors during the Spring Festival peak season in the short term, while mid-term prospects focus on new consumption, growth potential, transformation reforms, overseas expansion, and favorable policies. Group 1: Short-term Focus - The Hainan sector is highlighted due to the impact of the closure policy and the upcoming consumption peak season, with recommendations to focus on duty-free (supported by policies and improving fundamentals), cross-border e-commerce (Black Friday and Christmas promotions), certain scenic spots (ice and snow economy), supermarkets, and gold jewelry during the Spring Festival [1] - The cyclical sectors such as duty-free, hotels, and catering have shown month-on-month improvements, suggesting continued observation and validation [1] Group 2: Mid-term Outlook - By 2026, the report suggests maintaining focus on overseas expansion, particularly on leading brands, while also looking at innovative and transformative sub-sectors within the domestic consumption field, such as new cultural tourism and new retail [1] Group 3: Policy Impact - The joint issuance of the "Opinions" by various government bodies encourages grassroots unions to conduct up to four spring and autumn travel activities annually, and to support the purchase of annual tickets for scenic spots and the distribution of cultural tourism consumption vouchers [2] - The "Opinions" aim to expand the scale of employee cultural and sports activities, enhance cultural supply, and optimize the structure of sports development, thereby promoting employee consumption [2] Group 4: Consumption Trends - Data from Qunar indicates that during the autumn holiday in November 2025, ticket bookings in Sichuan province increased by 3.4 times year-on-year, with several popular scenic spots seeing ticket sales rise by over 100% [3] - During the snow holiday, hotel bookings in the Altay region increased by 30% year-on-year, and the search volume for "Altay skiing" rose by 43% [3] Group 5: Future Opportunities - The increase in statutory holidays and various policy documents promoting vacation rights and optimizing student holiday arrangements are expected to significantly boost cultural and sports consumption, creating new development opportunities for sectors such as duty-free, hotels, tourism, and sports [4]