证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师：黄伟平 A0230524110002 杨雪芳 A0230524120003 张晋源 A0230525040001 研究支持： 曹璇 A0230125070001 2026.2.4 主要内容 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 套息压舱，品种掘金 2026年2月信用债市场展望 ◼ 信用债套息策略仍然稳健，但安全垫在缩小尤其是短端 ✓ 26年以来资金利率仍在低位运行但近期波动加大，叠加信用债收益率快速下行，中高等级信用债（尤其是短端）虽仍有一定套息空间但安全垫在缩小。 ◼ 当前信用利差整体处于相对低位，关注部分品种和等级下沉的票息价值 去年年底以来信用利差持续下行，当前已压缩至历史相对低位，仅部分品种仍有空间。 ✓ 截至1月30日，3年期非公开产业债/城投债、AA级可续期产业债、AAA-级二级资本债、保险次级债的信用利差仍处于2024年以来30%左右或以上，5 年期非公开城投债、AA级可续期城投债和金融次级债品种的信用利差也处于历史相对高位。 ✓ 若剔除增值税影响，3年期非公开产业债/城投债处于近一两年以来的相对高位、距离历史低点的空间仍在10BP左右或以 ...

2026 年 02 月 04 日 《目前板块业绩仍然承压，但最困难时期 或将逐渐过去 -- 房地产行业 2025 年业 绩预告分析及前瞻》 2026/02/01 《首批商业不动产 REITs 上报，优质商业 地产迎来价值重估――首批商业不动产 REITs 上报点评》 2026/01/31 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 陈鹏 A0230521110002 chenpeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈鹏 A0230521110002 chenpeng@swsresearch.com 房地产融资政策进入友好期, REITs 和定增将 开辟股权融资渠道 -房地产行业融资事件点评 申万宏源研究微信服务 2）１月２7 日，保利发展公告拟以广州保利中心项目和佛山保利水城项目为底层资产，开 O 展商业不动产 REITs 申报发行工作；1 月 29 日至 30 日，上海证券交易所连续受理 8 单商 业不动产 REITs 申报; 2 月 3 日,深交所首单商业不动产 REITs 正式申报。 3）2 月 3 日，华发股份发布 2026 年度向特定对象 ...

行 业 及 产 业 2026 年 02 月 04 日 房地产融资政策进入友好期，REITs 和定增将 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 看好 ——房地产行业融资事件点评 《目前板块业绩仍然承压，但最困难时期 或将逐渐过去——房地产行业 2025 年业 绩预告分析及前瞻》 2026/02/01 《首批商业不动产 REITs 上报，优质商业 地产迎来价值重估——首批商业不动产 REITs 上报点评》 2026/01/31 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 陈鹏 A0230521110002 chenpeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 房地产 陈鹏 A0230521110002 chenpeng@swsresearch.com 事件： 点评： 开辟股权融资渠道 ⚫ 1）26 年 1 月 28 日，中房报报道，多家房地产企业已不再被监管部门要求每月上报"三 道红线"相关数据。 ⚫ 2）1 月 27 日，保利发展公告拟 ...

Core Insights - The report discusses the implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" and its implications for service industries such as internet and finance, indicating that current tax arrangements are unlikely to change significantly in the short term [2][3][12] - The real estate sector is experiencing a favorable shift in financing policies, with REITs and private placements opening new equity financing channels to alleviate financial pressures on real estate companies [3][13] Tax Law Implementation - The State Council approved the "Implementation Regulations of the Value-Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" on December 19, 2025, and subsequent announcements have clarified tax details, suggesting stability in tax arrangements for service industries [2][3][12] - The definition of "basic services" in telecommunications is evolving, with mobile data and internet broadband still classified as "value-added services" subject to a 6% VAT rate, while traditional voice services are recognized as "basic services" with a 9% VAT rate [2][3][12] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The financing environment for the real estate industry is improving, with a shift from debt financing to equity financing, including the introduction of REITs and private placements [3][13] - Recent regulatory changes, such as the gradual retreat from the "three red lines" policy, indicate a more supportive financing environment for real estate companies [13] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for recovery in the industry as financing policies become more favorable [3][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several quality real estate companies for investment, including China Jinmao, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others, due to their potential for recovery and attractive valuations [13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolving financing landscape and the impact of government policies on the real estate market [3][13]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [9][10]. Core Insights - UGREEN Technology is a rapidly expanding player in the global consumer electronics sector, with a strong focus on various product categories including charging, transmission, audio-video, storage, and mobile peripherals. The company has experienced significant revenue and profit growth, with a projected revenue of 91.21 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 47.8% [5][10]. - The charging category remains the largest revenue contributor, while the storage category, particularly NAS products, is expected to become a significant growth driver. The NAS market is experiencing rapid expansion due to increasing data storage needs, with UGREEN capturing over 40% of the domestic online NAS market share [7][19]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - UGREEN Technology was established in 2012 and has strategically expanded its presence in both domestic and international markets through various channels. The company has diversified its product offerings to cover multiple categories in consumer electronics [5][18]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, UGREEN reported revenues of 63.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.8%, and a net profit of 4.67 billion yuan, up 45.1% [5][23]. - The company is projected to achieve total revenues of 91.21 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits expected to reach 6.87 billion yuan, indicating strong growth potential [10][19]. Product Categories - **Charging Products**: This category generated 23.49 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, accounting for 38.08% of total revenue. The growth is driven by the increasing demand for charging solutions as smartphone manufacturers discontinue the inclusion of chargers with devices [42][43]. - **Storage Products (NAS)**: The NAS segment is anticipated to grow significantly, with a projected revenue increase of 150% in 2025. The domestic online NAS sales reached 11.03 billion yuan in 2025, marking a 26% year-on-year growth [7][19]. - **Transmission Products**: This category achieved revenues of 17.52 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19% from 2019 to 2024. The demand for transmission products is expected to rise due to advancements in network technology and increased electronic device usage [67][71]. Market Expansion - UGREEN's overseas revenue reached 35.44 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 57.5% of total revenue, with significant growth in Asia, Europe, and the Americas. The company has established a balanced presence across multiple regions [28][31]. - The online sales channel contributed 75.1% of total revenue in 2024, with platforms like Amazon and local e-commerce sites being key drivers of growth [31][34]. Competitive Positioning - UGREEN is positioned favorably against competitors like Anker, with a more diversified revenue stream across different regions, reducing geopolitical risks. The company is also focusing on enhancing its brand presence and customer loyalty through strategic partnerships and product innovation [35][37].

EFR 证券■ 时玩人行业 看好 相关研究 《证券行业 2026 年投资策略：权益浪潮 下的券商机遇：财富扩容，国际增效》 2025/11/17 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 行业点评 表 2: 重要上市券商估值表一览 (2026 年 2 月 3 日) 申万宏源研究微信服务号 华泰及广发 H 股再融资 加得国际业务 券商板块跟踪 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 2026 年 02 月 03 日 华泰证券：2026/2/3，华泰证券公告根据一般性授权发行 2027 年到期的 H 股零息转债 100 亿港 0 元。募资净额：拟 99.25 亿港元。初始转股价: 每 H 股 19.70 港元 (可予调整)，较收盘价溢价 率 6.78%。若以初始转股价计，转股约 5.08 亿股，占已发行 H 股的 29.53%，已发行总股本的 5.62%。摊薄影响：BPS 从 9M25 的 ...

Core Insights - The implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" is confirmed with the enactment of the "People's Republic of China Value-Added Tax Law" starting January 1, 2026, replacing the previous interim regulations [3] - The tax arrangements for service industries, particularly in internet and finance sectors, are expected to remain stable in the short term due to the clarity provided by recent regulations [3] Tax Rate Changes - The historical context of tax rates for communication services shows that the definition and tax rates for "basic telecommunications services" and "value-added telecommunications services" have evolved, with the current VAT rate for basic telecommunications services set at 9% [3] - The VAT rate for value-added telecommunications services, which includes services like mobile data and internet access, has been clarified to be 6% under the new regulations [3] Regulatory Clarity - The recent announcement by the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration on January 30, 2026, specifies that financial and information technology services will be subject to a 6% VAT rate, while only basic telecommunications services are subject to the 9% rate [3] - The definitions and tax classifications have been updated to reflect the current economic environment, indicating a low probability of significant changes in tax arrangements for the service sectors in the near future [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [4]. Core Insights - The Southeast Asian electric vehicle (EV) market has shown significant changes, with sales and penetration rates of Chinese EV brands in Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand exceeding expectations due to price reductions in 2025 [5][6]. - GWM's net profit for 2025 is reported at 9.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22%, attributed to various factors including policy changes in Russia and increased operational costs [7]. - The report emphasizes the strong growth potential for Chinese EV exports in 2026, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and product iterations [6][7]. Summary by Sections Southeast Asia Market Analysis - The Southeast Asian EV market has improved significantly, with Chinese brands gaining market share due to competitive pricing strategies [5]. - The market is expected to see continued growth as local support policies evolve, leading to improved supply-demand relationships and increased pricing power for Chinese brands [5][6]. - Major Chinese EV manufacturers are expanding their presence in Southeast Asia, launching new models to enhance their product offerings [6]. GWM Performance Overview - GWM's net profit for 2025 is projected at 9.9 billion yuan, down 22% from the previous year, primarily due to increased costs and operational challenges [7]. - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 1.8 million vehicles in 2026, with significant contributions expected from new models and international markets [7]. - The introduction of new vehicles is anticipated to drive sales growth and improve profit margins, positioning GWM for a potential valuation increase [7].

行 业 及 产 业 非银金融/ 证券Ⅱ 行 业 研 究 / 相关研究 《证券行业 2026 年投资策略：权益浪潮 下的券商机遇：财富扩容，国际增效》 2025/11/17 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 03 日 华泰及广发 H 股再融资落地，持续 加码国际业务 看好 ——券商板块跟踪 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 行 业 点 评 ⚫ 华泰证券：2026/2/3，华泰证券公告根据一般性授权发行 2027 年到期的 H 股零息转债 100 亿港 元。募资净额：拟 99.25 亿港元。初始转股价：每 H 股 19.70 港元（可予调整），较收盘价溢价 率 6.78%。若以初始转股价计，转股约 5.08 ...

行 业 及 产 业 建筑装饰 2026 年 02 月 03 日 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 联系人 唐猛 A0230523080003 tangmeng@swsresearch.com 投资趋缓，利润承压 看好 ——建筑装饰行业 2025 年报前瞻题 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 - ⚫ 2025 年固定资产投资增速放缓，基建、制造业、地产均呈现压力。基本面方 面，根据国家统计局数据，2025 年 1-12 月基础设施投资（全口径）同比- 1.5%，基础设施投资（不含电力）同比-2.2%。细分结构看，交通运输、仓储 和邮政业投资同比-1.2%， ...