Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the power equipment and new energy industry [1] Core Viewpoints - In November, the newly installed solar power capacity increased by 75% month-on-month, indicating a significant recovery in the solar energy sector [4] - The report highlights the need for comprehensive regulation to address "involutionary" competition in key industries such as new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and photovoltaics, aiming to enhance industry concentration and maintain fair competition [5] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH) - Buy - B - Longi Green Energy (601012.SH) - Buy - B - Daqian Energy (688303.SH) - Buy - B - Flat Glass Group (601865.SH) - Buy - A - Haibo Innovation (688411.SH) - Buy - A - Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ) - Buy - A - Deye Technology (605117.SH) - Buy - A - Langxin Group (300682.SZ) - Buy - B - Quartz Co., Ltd. (603688.SH) - Buy - A - Hengdian East Magnetic (002056.SZ) - Buy - A - Bowei Alloy (601137.SH) - Buy - A [2] Market Performance - The solar power industry has shown a strong performance over the past year, with a notable increase in installed capacity and a focus on improving product consistency and reducing costs in the sensor market [3][4] Price Tracking - The report provides insights into the pricing trends of key components in the solar energy supply chain, including polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules, indicating a mixed outlook with some price increases and stability expected in the near term [6][8][9]

2025 年 12 月 30 日 行业研究/行业周报 非银行金融行业近一年市场表现 资料来源：常闻 相关报告： 【山证非银行金融】中央经济工作会议 定调资本市场，关注板块投资价值-【山 证非银】行业周报（20251208-20251214）： 2025.12.17 券商杠杆空间拓宽-【山证非银】行业周 报（20251201-20251207）： 2025.12.11 孙田田 执业登记编码：S0760518030001 电话：0351-8686900 邮箱：suntiantian@sxzq.com 刘丽 执业登记编码：S0760511050001 电话：0351--8686985 邮箱：liuli2@sxzq.com 彭皓辰 投资要点 健全"长钱长投"政策环境。近日，中国人民银行发布《中国 金融稳定报告（2025）》，全面总结我国金融稳定工作进展，并对下 一阶段重点任务作出部署。报告提出，中国证监会、财政部、人力 资源社会保障部、中国人民银行、金融监管总局等相关部门将立足 大局，加强协作，形成合力，在中央金融办统筹协调下，进一步提 升工作的前瞻性、主动性和针对性，着力健全有利于"长钱长投" 的制度政策环境，显著 ...

Core Insights - The report projects that China's economy is expected to maintain a reasonable growth rate of around 5% in 2026, supported by improved consumption, infrastructure investment, and manufacturing upgrades [6] - The textile and apparel sector is anticipated to see structural opportunities, particularly in textile manufacturing and home textiles, as the market shows signs of recovery [6][7] - The report highlights the performance of specific companies within the textile sector, recommending investments in leading manufacturers due to their competitive advantages and market positioning [7][8] Market Trends - The domestic market indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,965.28, reflecting a slight increase of 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.49% [4] - The textile and apparel sector recorded a cumulative increase of 12.02% in 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 4.08 percentage points [7] Economic Outlook - The report indicates that the economic growth risks have generally decreased, with supportive policies expected to stabilize the real estate market and boost consumer confidence [6] - CPI is projected to improve moderately, driven by rising pork and service prices, while PPI is expected to narrow its decline and potentially recover by Q4 2026 [6] Sector Analysis - The textile manufacturing segment is under pressure due to tariff impacts but is expected to benefit from a recovery in overseas demand and inventory levels [7] - Specific companies such as Yuanyuan Group and Shenzhou International are highlighted for their lower exposure to U.S. markets and strong recovery potential [7][8] Consumer Behavior - Domestic consumer confidence is gradually recovering, with retail sales in various categories showing positive growth, particularly in online channels [7] - The report emphasizes the importance of innovation in product offerings within the home textile sector, with companies like Luolai Life and Mercury Home Textiles showing promising growth in specific product categories [8] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on companies with strong operational performance and innovative product lines, particularly in women's apparel and home textiles [7][8] - It also highlights the potential for growth in the AI and smart manufacturing sectors, particularly for companies like Ruisheng Intelligent, which is expanding its capabilities in AI computing and robotics [10]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating to the company for the first time [1][33]. Core Insights - The company, Ruisheng Intelligent, is a leader in smart factory equipment, driven by dual engines of computing power and robotics. It focuses on three vertical application scenarios: smart factories, smart logistics, and smart firefighting, gradually forming an integrated business layout that includes solutions, hardware, and software products [4][14]. - The company has recently won multiple computing power project orders, with a cumulative order scale of 276 million yuan (including tax), indicating a strong second growth curve [5][18]. - Strategic investment in Wuluo Wisdom, where the company holds a 25% stake, positions it to benefit from the rapid expansion of domestic computing power demand and the ongoing domestic GPU replacement policy [6][31]. Summary by Sections Company Analysis - Ruisheng Intelligent has established subsidiaries to expand into computing power devices and robotics, creating a comprehensive service system that integrates end-user applications, computing power, and robotics [4][14]. - The company is actively collaborating with domestic computing power chip manufacturers to seize opportunities in the domestic replacement market, which is expected to drive rapid business growth [4][6]. Market Demand and Growth - The global GPU market is projected to reach $472.45 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.19% from 2024 to 2030, driven by the increasing application of GPUs in AI, smart driving, and cloud gaming [23][26]. - The Chinese AI chip market is expected to grow to 153 billion yuan by 2025, with a CAGR of 53% from 2020 to 2025, indicating significant growth potential for domestic GPU manufacturers [26][31]. Financial Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 35 million yuan, 122 million yuan, and 181 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 116.1%, 253.6%, and 47.9% [7][9]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 372 million yuan in 2023 to 2.146 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 52.6% [9][35].

Economic Growth Outlook - China's economy is expected to maintain a reasonable growth rate of around 5% in 2026, with overall economic growth risks decreasing[2] - The decline in real estate investment is anticipated to narrow, supported by proactive policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market[3] - Consumption, infrastructure investment, and manufacturing upgrades are expected to be the main drivers of growth, with these sectors projected to grow faster than in 2025[2] Inflation and Price Trends - CPI is expected to show moderate improvement, driven by rising pork and service prices, while PPI is projected to narrow its decline and potentially rebound by Q4 2026[3] - The overall price level recovery will be gradual, characterized by "moderate recovery and structural differentiation," contributing to further nominal economic growth[3] Policy Environment - The macroeconomic policy will continue to be "proactive and effective," emphasizing coordination and flexibility, with increased counter-cyclical adjustments[2] - Fiscal policy is expected to remain "more proactive," with a projected deficit rate of around 4% and a deficit scale of approximately 5.9 trillion yuan[61] - Monetary policy will maintain an "appropriately loose" stance, with expectations of a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio[67] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include policy underperformance, unstable consumer expectations, escalating US-China strategic tensions, and geopolitical conflicts[4]

Group 1: Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector in 2025 saw a cumulative increase of 12.02%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.08 percentage points, ranking eighteenth among thirty-one Shenwan primary industries [3][17] - The sub-sectors of textile manufacturing, apparel and home textiles, and accessories recorded cumulative increases of 9.65%, 11.31%, and 17.43% respectively [3][17] - The PE-TTM for the textile and apparel sector stands at 20.32 times, which is at the 76.86% percentile of the past five years [3][17] Group 2: Domestic Consumption - In 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 45.61 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [4][30] - The consumer confidence index improved from 86.4 at the end of 2024 to 89.4 in October 2025 [4][30] - Retail sales of textiles and apparel, cosmetics, gold and silver jewelry, and sports/entertainment products grew by 3.5%, 4.8%, 13.5%, and 16.4% respectively from January to November 2025 [4][30] Group 3: International Consumption - U.S. apparel sales showed a year-on-year increase of 5.34% as of October 2025, with inventory levels at a low since 2022 [4][34] - European retail sales indices have turned positive since 2024, maintaining steady low single-digit growth in 2025 [4][34] - Vietnam's textile and footwear exports reached 35.91 billion USD in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [4][44] Group 4: Textile Manufacturing - The textile manufacturing sector faced revenue growth challenges in 2025, with a year-on-year revenue increase of only 4.3% and a decline in net profit by 5.6% [5][46] - The sector's performance was impacted by U.S.-China tariff pressures, leading to cautious ordering from brands [5][46] - Recommendations include focusing on leading manufacturers like Yuanyuan Group, Shenzhou International, and Huali Group, which have lower exposure to U.S. markets and strong recovery potential [5][67] Group 5: Apparel and Home Textiles - The apparel sector is experiencing a weak recovery, with a focus on consumer performance and innovation in home textiles [8][4] - Companies like Ge Li Si and Jiangnan Buyi are highlighted for their stable performance, with Ge Li Si showing a 40.2% increase in net profit in Q3 2025 [8][4] - The home textiles sector is driven by major products, with companies like Luolai Life and Mercury Home Textiles showing significant revenue growth [8][4]

Core Insights - The report highlights a price increase announced by a leading carbon fiber company, indicating a potential recovery in the industry's bottom line and overall market conditions [4][5] - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the label printing sector, particularly for Jiangtian Technology, which specializes in high-quality label printing services [6][7] Industry Summary Chemical Raw Materials - The new materials sector experienced a slight decline, with the new materials index down by 0.23%, although it outperformed the ChiNext index by 2.03% [4] - Key price movements in the amino acids and biodegradable materials were noted, with valine increasing by 4.98% to 13,700 CNY/ton, while other prices remained stable [4] Carbon Fiber Industry - The carbon fiber market is showing signs of recovery, with a significant increase in demand expected, particularly in wind power and aerospace applications. The actual consumption of carbon fiber in China is projected to reach 96,446 tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.89% [5] - Major companies like Toray and Jilin Chemical Fiber have announced price hikes for their carbon fiber products, indicating a strengthening market position for high-performance carbon fiber suppliers [5] Label Printing Sector - Jiangtian Technology is positioned as a leading service provider in the label printing industry, with a focus on non-dry adhesive labels used in various consumer sectors. The company has established stable partnerships with major brands like Unilever and Procter & Gamble [6] - The label printing market in China is expected to grow significantly, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 10.44% from 2023 to 2031, driven by rising disposable incomes and consumption upgrades [6][7] Solar Industry - The report notes stable pricing for polysilicon and an increase in silicon wafer prices, with the average price for 130um N-type silicon wafers rising by 5.9% to 1.25 CNY/piece [8] - Battery cell prices have also increased, with N-type battery cells seeing a 13.3% rise to 0.34 CNY/W, reflecting a tightening supply and increased production costs [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "B" rating for the new materials sector, indicating a stable outlook with potential for recovery in the carbon fiber industry [2]. Core Insights - The carbon fiber industry is experiencing a price increase, confirming a bottoming out of the market and a potential recovery in demand. High-end carbon fiber demand is expected to rise significantly, particularly in wind power and aerospace applications, with actual consumption in China projected to reach 96,446 tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.89% [5][7]. - The new materials sector index decreased by 0.23% recently, outperforming the ChiNext index by 2.03%. Key segments such as industrial gases and biodegradable plastics showed positive growth, while semiconductor materials faced a decline [2][19]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Market Performance - The new materials sector index fell by 0.23%, while the ChiNext index dropped by 2.03%. Over the past five trading days, the synthetic biology index rose by 1.76%, industrial gases increased by 3.86%, and battery chemicals decreased by 2.87% [2][19]. 2. Price Tracking - Key prices include: - Valine: 13,700 CNY/ton (+4.98%) - Arginine: 20,950 CNY/ton (unchanged) - Methionine: 17,850 CNY/ton (-0.56%) - PLA (injection grade): 17,800 CNY/ton (unchanged) [3]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the carbon fiber sector, such as Jilin Chemical Fiber, Zhongfu Shenying, Zhongjian Technology, and Guangwei Composites, as they are expected to benefit from the recovery in high-end carbon fiber demand [7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for Jiangtian Technology, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6-12 months [50]. Core Insights - Jiangtian Technology is a leading service provider in the label printing sector, focusing on the research, production, and sales of label printing products, primarily self-adhesive labels made from film and paper, widely used in daily consumer goods [3][12]. - The Chinese label printing market is the largest in Asia, with significant growth potential driven by consumption upgrades and rising disposable income. The market size is expected to grow from 214.34 billion yuan in 2019 to 318.81 billion yuan by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.44% [4][16]. - Jiangtian Technology has established stable partnerships with renowned brands such as Unilever, Procter & Gamble, and Shell, enhancing its market sensitivity and driving continuous process upgrades [5][21]. Summary by Sections Market Data - The total share capital of Jiangtian Technology is 0.53 billion shares [1]. Financial Data - The company’s revenue for 2022-2024 is projected to grow from 384.13 million yuan to 538.15 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.68%, 32.17%, and 6.00% respectively [6][29]. - The net profit for the same period is expected to increase from 74.45 million yuan to 101.81 million yuan, with growth rates of 21.50%, 29.56%, and 5.55% [6][29]. - The company’s 2024 price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is estimated at 13.76, which is at a discount compared to comparable companies [7][46]. Business Model and Competitive Advantage - Jiangtian Technology leverages five core advantages: premium customer resources, advanced technology, comprehensive solutions, rapid scalable production, and multi-regional operations, positioning it as a leader in the industry [5][21]. - The company has reduced its production loss rate from 16% to below 10% and has optimized its production processes significantly [5][21]. Investment Projects - The company plans to use the raised funds for the construction of an intelligent production line for packaging printing products and a technology research and development center, with total investments of 53,072.19 million yuan [32][37]. Valuation Analysis - Jiangtian Technology's gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 29.97%, which is above the industry average, indicating strong profitability compared to its peers [46][43]. - The report highlights that Jiangtian Technology's business model is more focused on label printing compared to competitors, which diversifies into other packaging areas [46][39].

Core Insights - The report highlights the significant developments in the domestic GPU market, with major players like Moer Technology and Muxi Co. making strides in the capital market, indicating a growing focus on domestic computing power in 2026 [8][9] - The demand for data center optical fibers is expected to surge, with early signs of price increases in the market, driven by the growing need for high-density connections in data centers [11] Industry Commentary - **GPU Market Developments**: - Moer Technology and Muxi Co. have recently entered the STAR Market, while Biran Technology and Tensu Zhixin have passed the Hong Kong Stock Exchange hearing, marking a pivotal moment for domestic GPGPU players [8] - Moer Technology's recent developer conference showcased its new architecture "Huagang," which promises significant performance improvements, including a 50% increase in density and a tenfold increase in efficiency [8] - Muxi Co. achieved a market capitalization exceeding 280 billion in its first week on the STAR Market, positioning itself as a strong competitor in the domestic GPGPU sector [8] - Biran Technology and Tensu Zhixin are also gaining traction, with Biran's BR106 series and Tensu's GPU products catering to a wide range of clients across various industries [8] - **Optical Fiber Market Trends**: - The report notes a 15% price increase in the common cable and fiber market, with major manufacturers indicating a robust demand for data center optical fibers [11] - By 2025, data center optical fiber demand is projected to account for 5% of global demand, with North America exceeding 14% [11] - The report anticipates that the global demand for data center optical fibers will surpass 50 million core kilometers by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26% for AI application fibers [11] - The increasing power density of cabinets and the doubling of GPU bandwidth are expected to drive the demand for high-density MPO optical fibers [11] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in upstream components such as copper connections, switching chips, network card chips, and interface IPs, particularly in the context of the rapid development of supernode servers [9] - Key companies to watch in the domestic supernode sector include Unisplendour, ZTE, Inspur, and others, while the commercial aerospace sector features companies like Shanghai Hanxun and Yifeng Communication [11]