Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant cost improvements and strong performance in its financial results, with a total revenue of 104.92 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.68%, and a net profit of 9.23 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [4][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 24.33 billion yuan, up 11.37% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.00 billion yuan, indicating substantial year-on-year improvement [4][5]. - The company has a leading market share in the poultry sector, with chicken sales reaching 1.208 billion birds in 2024, accounting for 8.41% of the national total, while pork sales amounted to 30.182 million heads, representing 4.30% of the national total [5][6]. - The report highlights a rapid decline in breeding costs, with the comprehensive cost of pig farming dropping to approximately 6.3 yuan per jin, and the cost of chicken farming decreasing to 5.6 yuan per jin [5][6]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 104.32 billion yuan, 106.65 billion yuan, and 124.10 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 9.53 billion yuan, 8.33 billion yuan, and 15.40 billion yuan [9][10]. - The report anticipates a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12, 13, and 7 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [9][10].

2025 年 04 月 25 日 宏观点评 [Table_Title] 政治局会议的五大政策部署 最近一年走势 相关报告 《宏观深度研究：房地产市场止跌回稳新特征*夏 磊》——2025-04-15 《宏观专题研究：如何看美国当前的债务现状？* 夏磊》——2025-04-08 《 财 政 支 出 前 置 促 经 济 回 升 * 夏 磊 》 — — 2025-03-26 《宏观深度研究：一线城市房地产市场怎么走*夏 磊》——2025-03-07 《政府工作报告的六大政策内涵*夏磊》—— 2025-03-06 事件： 中共中央政治局 2025 年 4 月 25 日召开会议，分析研究当前经济形 势和经济工作。 投资要点: 本次政治局会议意义重大。当前，我国经济开局良好，一季度 GDP 同比增长 5.4%。但经济持续回升向好的基础还需进一步稳固，外部 冲击影响加大，必须有充足的预案，准确研判未来形势，灵活应对 外部环境的急剧变化。政策力度和节奏上，要求加紧实施更加积极 有为的宏观政策，既定政策要早出台早见效，并根据形势变化及时 推出增量储备政策，加强超常规逆周期调节。 用好用足更加积极的财政政策 财政政策主基调延续"更 ...

2025 年 04 月 25 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) 投资要点: 全球磷肥库存处于底部，有望进入补库周期 [Table_Title] 国际磷肥供需紧张， 证券分析师： 董伯骏 S0350521080009 看好国内磷肥及磷矿石产业链 ——磷肥及磷矿石行业动态研究 最近一年走势 | 行业相对表现 | | 2025/04/25 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 基础化工 | -4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | | 沪深 300 | -3.7% | -1.2% | 7.3% | 相关报告 《新材料产业周报：比亚迪 3 月新能源车销量同比 增长 25%，中国三大运营商攻克跨网能力互通难题 （推 荐）*基础 化工* 李永 磊，董伯 骏》—— 2025-04-07 《化工行业深度报告：六维力矩传感器对应的材料 ——AI 赋能化工之五（推荐）*基础化工*董伯骏， 李永磊》——2025-04-01 《有机硅行业动态研究之一：有机硅价格不断上 涨，看好行业景气修复（推荐）*基础化工*李永磊， 董伯骏》——2025-03-21 《新材料 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights significant achievements in cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a notable increase in net profit margin quarter-on-quarter [6] - Emerging businesses have shown a strong recovery with over 80% year-on-year revenue growth [6] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting revenue and net profit growth for the years 2025 to 2027 [6] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 1.541 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 327 million yuan, up 15.83% year-on-year [5] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 42.54%, a decrease of 0.98 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin recovered to 21.06%, an increase of 1.09 percentage points year-on-year and 6.91 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [6] - The company’s small molecule business maintained stable development, with revenue remaining flat and a gross margin of 45.17% [6] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected operating revenue for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 6.5 billion, 7.3 billion, and 8.2 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 1.164 billion, 1.410 billion, and 1.673 billion yuan respectively [8][9] - Corresponding P/E ratios are expected to be 23x, 19x, and 16x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [6][9]

2025 年 04 月 25 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) | | | | 研究所： | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 李永磊 | S0350521080004 | | | | liyl03@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | 董伯骏 | S0350521080009 | | | | dongbj@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | 李振方 | S0350524080003 | | | | lizf@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 ： | 仲逸涵 | S0350123070022 | | | | zhongyh@ghzq.com.cn | [Table_Title] 轮胎行业深度之十一：美国关税对中国轮胎企业 的影响有多大？ ——轮胎行业深度研究 最近一年走势 | 行业相对表现 | | 2025/04/25 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 基础化工 | -4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | | 沪深 300 | -3.7% | -1.2% | 7. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has shown impressive performance with a new growth curve driven by its overseas business [1] - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 1146.01 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.31%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 64.3% to 45.04 billion. For Q1 2025, revenue grew by 10.6% to 256.29 billion, and net profit rose by 48.99% to 12.82 billion [5] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - The company's feed sales reached 26.52 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of approximately 9%, with market share further improving. Breakdown includes poultry feed sales of 12.65 million tons (up 12%), pig feed sales of 5.64 million tons (down 3%), and aquaculture feed sales of 5.85 million tons (up 11%). Domestic feed sales were 22.06 million tons (up 5%), while overseas sales were 2.36 million tons (up 40%) [5] Business Segments - The company maintains an advantage in its breeding and animal health segments. The breeding business generated 1.4 billion in revenue, with significant advancements in shrimp breeding and tilapia varieties. The animal health segment achieved approximately 800 million in revenue, focusing on product innovation and integration with feed products [5] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 1321.57 billion, 1485.4 billion, and 1688.58 billion respectively, with net profits projected at 49.68 billion, 60 billion, and 75.35 billion. Corresponding P/E ratios are 18, 15, and 12 [5][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6][9] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.17 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.4% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 38.9% [5][6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 313 million yuan, up 25.7% year-on-year but down 55.4% quarter-on-quarter [5][6] - The company’s R&D expenses surged by 116.8% year-on-year, indicating a strong commitment to innovation despite pressure on profit margins [6] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 41.5%, a decrease of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in accounting standards affecting warranty costs [6] - The company’s inventory and contract liabilities increased by 5.8% and 18.6% respectively compared to the end of 2024, reflecting future growth potential [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 11.7 billion yuan, 15.1 billion yuan, and 19.3 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 29%, 29%, and 28% respectively [6][8] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 2.4 billion yuan, 3.3 billion yuan, and 4.3 billion yuan, with growth rates of 50%, 35%, and 32% respectively [6][8] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) for these years are projected to be 48 times, 36 times, and 27 times [6][8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on significant product sales growth and steady progress in new material projects [11][22][29]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 886 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 145 million yuan, up 5.2% year-on-year [6][18]. - The revenue from radiation protection materials doubled, significantly contributing to overall revenue growth, while the gross profit margin improved to 37.38% [7][19]. - The company is expanding its product offerings, including transparent radiation protection materials, which have broken overseas monopolies, and is developing new projects to create a second growth curve [10][11]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 207 million yuan, an increase of 8.6% year-on-year, but a decline in net profit by 16.0% year-on-year due to rising raw material costs and other operational challenges [8][20]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 35.17%, reflecting a decrease compared to the previous year [8][19]. - The company anticipates revenues of 1.11 billion yuan, 1.48 billion yuan, and 2.00 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 189 million yuan, 260 million yuan, and 368 million yuan [12][22]. Segment Performance - The adsorption functional materials segment generated 600 million yuan in revenue, growing 7.0% year-on-year, while the electronic ceramic components segment saw a 19.0% increase to 153 million yuan [7][14]. - The high-energy radiation protection materials segment achieved a remarkable 112.3% growth in revenue, reaching 72 million yuan, with a gross margin of 55.9% [7][14]. - The other functional materials segment experienced a decline in revenue by 29.6%, totaling 56 million yuan, primarily due to the reclassification of high-energy radiation protection materials [7][14]. Future Outlook - The company plans to accelerate the industrialization of new projects, including MIM precision parts and high-performance magnetic powders, to capture growth in high-demand sectors such as renewable energy and smart wearables [10][11]. - The acquisition of Guangzhou Jinnan Magnetic Materials Co., Ltd. is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in the magnetic materials sector, further strengthening its product portfolio [11][22].

2025 年 04 月 25 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 陈晨 S0350522110007 chenc09@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 王璇 S0350523080001 wangx15@ghzq.com.cn ——天山铝业（002532）2025 年一季报&2024 年年报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 | 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/24 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 天山铝业 | | -16.8% | -16.4% | 12.5% | | 沪深 300 | | -3.8% | -1.3% | 7.5% | | 市场数据 | 2025/04/24 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 7.57 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 6.08-9.88 | | 总市值（百万） | 35,214.77 | | 流通市值（百万） | 31,264.14 | | 总股本（万股） | 465,188.54 | | 流通股本（万股） | 413,000. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with 2024 revenue reaching 4.465 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.15%, and a net profit of 394 million yuan, up 68.89% [5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.101 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.41%, and a net profit of 91 million yuan, up 62.13% [5] - The company is focusing on building its domestic brands, with a notable increase in profitability and a comprehensive profit structure optimization in its domestic business [7] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's stock performance over the last 12 months has increased by 117.9%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index, which only increased by 7.5% [3] - The current stock price is 53.44 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 17.92 to 53.44 yuan [3] Revenue and Profitability - The company's overseas business revenue for 2024 was 3.051 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.61%, with a gross margin of 24.9% [7] - Domestic business revenue reached 1.414 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.2%, with a gross margin of 35.18% [7] - Pet food revenue was 2.471 billion yuan, up 5.1%, while pet canned food revenue was 662 million yuan, up 4.23% [7] - Pet staple food revenue surged to 1.107 billion yuan, a remarkable increase of 91.85% [7] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 5.269 billion yuan, 6.437 billion yuan, and 7.849 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 449 million yuan, 555 million yuan, and 697 million yuan [9] - The company is expected to maintain a high growth rate in the pet sector, supported by a stable supply chain and continuous R&D capabilities [7]