2025 年 04 月 25 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 相关报告 《广钢气体（688548）2024 年报点评：氦气价格 波动压制利润，长期竞争优势凸显（买入）*电子 化学品Ⅱ*王宁，张婉姝》——2025-03-31 《广钢气体（688548）动态研究：中标 27 亿项目， 内资电子大宗气龙头稳步向前（买入）*电子化学 品Ⅱ*王宁，张婉姝》——2024-12-28 《广钢气体（688548）公司动态研究：利润短期承 压，存量项目陆续投运（增持）*电子化学品Ⅱ*王 宁，张婉姝》——2024-11-03 《广钢气体（688548）2024 年中报点评：存量项 目陆续商业化，通用工业领域获新突破（增持）* 电子化学品Ⅱ*王宁，张婉姝》——2024-07-31 研究所： 证券分析师： 王宁 S0350522010001 wangn02@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 张婉姝 S0350522010003 zhangws@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 短期业绩承压，经营性净现金流大幅增长 ——广钢气体（688548）2025 年一季报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The supply and demand for metallic chromium are tightening, leading to price increases, which is expected to benefit the chromium salt industry [4][5] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the structural changes in the chromium salt industry due to its comprehensive coverage of the chromium salt supply chain [7][10] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of April 24, 2025, the company's stock has outperformed the CSI 300 index with a 1-month increase of 13.8%, a 3-month increase of 66.3%, and a 12-month increase of 100.5% [3] Industry Dynamics - The global production capacity of metallic chromium is currently between 75,000 to 80,000 tons, with demand driven by sectors such as AI data centers and aerospace [4] - The average price of metallic chromium in China as of April 24, 2025, is 73,060 CNY/ton, reflecting an increase of 12,090 CNY/ton since the beginning of 2025 [5] Company Overview - The company has two major chromium salt production bases in Huangshi and Chongqing, with a production capacity of approximately 250,000 tons in 2023, expected to increase to over 350,000 tons after the completion of the Chongqing base's technical transformation [7] - The company is extending its product line to include metallic chromium, with a designed production capacity of 12,000 tons/year for chromium alloy additives by July 2024 [7] Financial Projections - Projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 4.05 billion CNY, 4.985 billion CNY, and 5.667 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding net profits of 491 million CNY, 725 million CNY, and 822 million CNY [10] - The company is expected to maintain a favorable P/E ratio of 22, 15, and 13 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, indicating strong growth potential [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][9] Core Views - The company is executing a globalization strategy and developing a diversified business system to create a new growth curve [2][5] - The company has shown steady improvement in profitability, with a significant increase in net profit and gross margin in recent quarters [5][8] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, achieving record sales and establishing a robust global service network [5][6][8] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 16.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit of 2 billion, up 18% year-on-year [5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.51 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%, and a net profit of 440 million, up 15% year-on-year [5] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 20.5%, a slight decrease compared to the previous year, while the net profit margin improved to 10% [5] Market Expansion - The company achieved domestic and overseas revenues of 9.4 billion and 6.8 billion respectively in 2024, with overseas revenue growing by 4.8% year-on-year [5] - The company has established over 10 overseas subsidiaries in key markets, enhancing its global marketing and after-sales service network [5][6] R&D and Innovation - The company invested 770 million in R&D in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, focusing on integrating global technology resources [5][8] - The company has developed 52 marketable R&D projects and 25 technology applications in 2024 [5][6] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 18.45 billion, 20.47 billion, and 22.51 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.23 billion, 2.43 billion, and 2.68 billion [7][9] - The company is expected to maintain a stable gross margin and leverage its competitive product offerings to sustain growth [8][9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The automotive industry is expected to enter a phase of high sales prosperity, event-driven catalysts, and resonance with industrial trends. The "old-for-new" policy in 2024 is anticipated to boost passenger car sales beyond expectations, with continued support for automotive consumption in 2025. The automotive sector is projected to experience a high sales boom in April, driven by improved year-on-year sales, numerous new car launches, and the development of advanced driving technologies and robotics [8]. Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The automotive sector has shown a performance of -6.3% over the last month, 3.8% over the last three months, and 22.2% over the last year, compared to the CSI 300 index which has seen -3.8%, -1.3%, and 7.5% respectively [6]. Event Highlights - The 21st Shanghai International Automobile Industry Exhibition opened on April 23, 2025, attracting nearly 1,000 well-known enterprises from 26 countries and regions, with an exhibition area exceeding 360,000 square meters [4]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment opportunities: 1. Domestic brands are entering a new phase of high-end development, with companies like Li Auto, JAC Motors, Geely, BYD, and Great Wall Motors expected to benefit significantly [8]. 2. The "affordability" of advanced driving technologies is likely to enhance penetration rates, with companies such as Xpeng Motors, Huayang Group, and Desay SV benefiting [8]. 3. The mass production of robotics is anticipated to achieve a breakthrough, with companies like Top Group, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and Beite Technology recommended [8]. 4. In the commercial vehicle sector, the heavy truck market is expected to recover in 2025, with recommendations for leading companies like China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Yutong Bus [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The semiconductor sector is benefiting from China's subsidy policies and urgent orders due to tariff uncertainties, leading to strong performance among Taiwanese IC design companies [3][11] - The PC and server sectors are experiencing good revenue performance driven by preemptive orders ahead of potential tariffs, although visibility for the second half of 2025 remains unclear [14][15] - The PCB manufacturing sector is facing challenges due to unresolved tariff issues, impacting cost structures and supply chain dynamics [17] - The optical components market has not yet seen significant changes in customer behavior due to tariffs, but there are discussions about diversifying production locations [18] - The passive components sector is showing healthy inventory levels, with companies reporting positive revenue growth [19][20] - The storage sector is witnessing a reduction in old process capacity as manufacturers shift focus to higher-end products, with short-term price support expected from inventory adjustments [21] Summary by Sections Semiconductor - In March 2025, MediaTek reported revenues of NT$56 billion, a month-on-month increase of 21.3% and a year-on-year increase of 10.9%, marking a 30-month high [11] - TSMC's revenue for March 2025 reached NT$286 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 46.5% [12] PC/Server - Hon Hai's revenue in March 2025 was NT$5,521 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23.4% [14] - Quanta's revenue surged by 89.3% year-on-year to NT$1,925 billion in March 2025 [14] PCB - Overall revenue for PCB manufacturing companies in March 2025 increased by 13.4% month-on-month and 17.1% year-on-year [17] Optical Components - Largan Precision reported March revenue of NT$49 billion, a year-on-year increase of 41.8% [18] Passive Components - Passive component companies reported a month-on-month revenue increase of 14.4% in March 2025 [19] Storage - The storage supply chain companies reported varying degrees of month-on-month revenue growth in March 2025, with Phison Electronics seeing a 25.9% increase [21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][12]. Core Views - The company is expected to turn profitable in 2024, driven by AI empowerment in cybersecurity [1]. - The cybersecurity market in China is projected to grow from $11 billion in 2023 to $17.1 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 9.2% [5]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the growth in AI and cybersecurity demand, with adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 being 32.19 billion, 37.14 billion, and 41.99 billion yuan respectively [11]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - For Q1 2025, the company expects revenue between 320 to 340 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 24.17% to 19.43%, with a net loss of 65 to 75 million yuan, a reduction in loss compared to the previous year [4]. Cybersecurity Business - The cybersecurity revenue for 2024 is projected to be 2.55 billion yuan, a decline of 11.49% year-on-year, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to increasing demand driven by domestic substitution and policy compliance [5]. Cloud Computing - The cloud computing segment is expected to generate 256 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 10.09% year-on-year, supported by advancements in hyper-converged infrastructure and user experience improvements [6]. Profitability Improvement - The company has improved its net profit margin by 14.84 percentage points year-on-year, with a sales gross margin of 61.04% and a net profit margin of 2.59% [7]. New Product Development - The company is leveraging AI technologies to enhance its product offerings, including the launch of the Tianwen large model system and various AI-enabled products, which are expected to support sustainable growth [9]. Financial Projections - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.15, 0.20, and 0.26 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 48, 36, and 28 [10][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's basic warehouse business shows strong resilience, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 2.62% to 2.554 billion yuan in 2024, and a net profit increase of 9.79% to 787 million yuan [4][6] - The company has a robust growth trajectory in its adsorption materials segment, with total production increasing by 33.4% to 65,700 tons and sales volume increasing by 33.6% to 63,700 tons [6][9] - The internationalization strategy is yielding results, with overseas revenue growing by 45.1% to 655 million yuan in 2024 [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 577 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.58%, but net profit increased by 14.18% to 193 million yuan [5][8] - The company’s gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 50.79%, up 5.37 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 33.90%, up 6.79 percentage points year-on-year [8] Business Segments - The life sciences segment generated revenue of 568 million yuan in 2024, a growth of 28% year-on-year, driven by the company's solid phase synthesis carriers [9] - The water treatment segment saw revenue of 688 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34% [9] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 3.283 billion yuan, 4.245 billion yuan, and 5.561 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10][12] - The net profit forecasts for the same years are 1.059 billion yuan, 1.371 billion yuan, and 1.872 billion yuan, indicating a strong growth potential [10][12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 165%-170% year-on-year for Q1 2025, with domestic revenue growth of 95%-100% and overseas revenue growth of 475%-480% [6][11]. - The company is experiencing strong growth in overseas markets, particularly in the Americas and Europe, with revenue increases of 895%-900% and 600%-605% respectively [8]. - The company is expanding its product categories and IP offerings, with a notable increase in the number of stores and online sales channels [8][11]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - As of April 22, 2025, the company's stock has outperformed the Hang Seng Index, with a 1-month performance of 31.0%, 3-month performance of 87.5%, and a 12-month performance of 430.6% [5]. - The current stock price is HKD 175.90, with a total market capitalization of HKD 236.22 billion [5]. Revenue Growth - The company expects Q1 2025 revenue to grow by 165%-170% year-on-year, with domestic revenue growth of 95%-100% and overseas revenue growth of 475%-480% [6][11]. - The company has opened 14 new stores in Q1 2025, with a total of 138 overseas stores [8]. Product Expansion - The company launched 19 new blind box products in Q1 2025, with strong market performance for several series [8]. - The company is accelerating the launch of MEGA and plush product lines, with 11 new MEGA products introduced in Q1 2025 [9]. Financial Projections - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting revenues of RMB 239.63 billion, RMB 330.69 billion, and RMB 412.41 billion respectively [11]. - The adjusted net profit is expected to reach RMB 60.82 billion, RMB 86.32 billion, and RMB 109.58 billion for the same period [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][12]. Core Insights - The company is focusing on brand innovation to drive growth, with expectations for strong performance in the Spring/Summer collection [3][8]. - The company has been recognized for its sustainable practices, being included in the "Sustainable Development Yearbook (China Edition) 2025" by S&P Global, highlighting its leadership in ESG [5][8]. - The company is actively upgrading its channels and innovating its products, which is expected to enhance brand growth and sales performance [8][11]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 255.6 billion, RMB 288.3 billion, and RMB 325.0 billion for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, with net profits of RMB 34.98 billion, RMB 39.88 billion, and RMB 45.20 billion [10][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from RMB 0.30 in FY2025 to RMB 0.39 in FY2027, indicating a positive growth trajectory [10][11]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 23% in FY2025 to 24% in FY2026 and FY2027 [10][11]. Market Performance - As of April 23, 2025, the company's stock price is HKD 3.95, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 45.57 billion [4][12]. - The stock has shown a relative performance of -1.0% over the last month, 7.6% over the last three months, and -6.0% over the last year compared to the Hang Seng Index [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its product offerings with the launch of the 2025 Spring/Summer collection, which includes innovative materials and designs aimed at meeting diverse consumer needs [8][11]. - The company has initiated a stock buyback program, demonstrating management's confidence in the company's future prospects, with a total of 69.21 million shares repurchased, representing 0.6% of total shares [9][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][14]. Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 50.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 506 million yuan, up 75.33% year-on-year [6][7]. - The company's gross margin stood at 61.19%, with a net profit margin of 29.74%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.97 percentage points [7]. - The increase in contract liabilities and inventory to 3.2 billion yuan and 5.8 billion yuan respectively supports future performance growth [8]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 2.4 billion yuan, with a net profit of 506 million yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 442 million yuan, showing growth rates of 50.76%, 75.33%, and 62.63% respectively [7]. - The company’s operating cash flow improved significantly, with net operating cash flow of 2.522 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [8]. - The company’s total assets and liabilities are projected to grow, with revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 13.767 billion, 18.543 billion, and 25.266 billion yuan respectively [12][13]. Market Position and Product Development - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic DCU and CPU market, with products that have broad applicability across various sectors including telecommunications, finance, and education [11]. - The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions are expected to accelerate the domestic chip industry's development, enhancing the company's competitive edge [9][10]. - The company’s products are noted for their versatility and ecosystem advantages, which are crucial for maintaining market leadership [11].