Core Insights - The report highlights the strategic development of Beijing Lier (002392.SZ) through a planned private placement to raise up to 1.034 billion yuan for projects in composite zirconia and aerospace materials, as well as for an innovation research center and a production base in Vietnam [7][8][9] Company Overview - Beijing Lier aims to enhance its traditional refractory materials business while simultaneously driving growth in emerging technologies, establishing a dual-engine growth strategy [8] - The company has invested in promising sectors, including silicon-carbon anode materials and AI chip companies, indicating a commitment to diversifying its portfolio [8][9] - The new production line for composite zirconia is projected to have an internal rate of return of 29.35% and a payback period of 4.89 years, showcasing the financial viability of the investment [9][11] Emerging Business Opportunities - The composite zirconia and zirconium-based materials can be utilized in high-end refractory materials, solid-state battery electrolytes, and aerospace applications, indicating a broad market potential [9] - The establishment of a production line in Vietnam is part of the company's strategy to expand its overseas operations, particularly in Southeast Asia, where steel production is rapidly increasing [10] - The report emphasizes the importance of integrating R&D in China with manufacturing in Southeast Asia and global distribution, which could enhance operational efficiency and market reach [10] Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 459 million yuan, 669 million yuan, and 929 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.39, 0.56, and 0.78 yuan [11] - The traditional refractory materials business is expected to maintain a strong competitive advantage, while the new and overseas business ventures are anticipated to provide additional growth avenues [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Beijing Lier [2][11]. Core Viewpoints - The company plans to raise up to 1.034 billion yuan through a private placement to invest in projects related to composite zirconia and zircon-based materials for new energy and aerospace applications, an innovation research center, and a production base in Vietnam for refractory materials [3][4]. - The private placement is a significant step in the company's strategy of "building a foundation in traditional refractory materials and driving growth through emerging technologies" [4]. - The new production line for composite zirconia is expected to have an investment scale of 365 million yuan, with a projected internal rate of return (after tax) of 29.35% and a payback period of 4.89 years [4][5]. - The construction of the new production line will not only upgrade traditional products but also open new pathways for emerging materials, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the refractory materials market [5]. - The Vietnam production line aims for an annual output of 100,000 tons of non-fired refractory bricks and is part of the company's strategy to expand its overseas business, particularly in Southeast Asia [6]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 458.84 million yuan, 668.51 million yuan, and 929.17 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.39 yuan, 0.56 yuan, and 0.78 yuan [11][12]. - Revenue is projected to grow from 5,648.68 million yuan in 2023 to 8,827.20 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11.76% [12][14].

Economic News - The Ministry of Commerce announced a special plan for the 2026 Spring Festival, promoting various measures to facilitate inbound consumption, including multilingual maps and increased flight capacity on international routes [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology reported that the added value of China's electronic information manufacturing industry is expected to grow by 10.6% year-on-year in 2025, outpacing the growth rates of the overall industrial and high-tech manufacturing sectors [2] - China's shipbuilding industry maintained its global leadership for the 16th consecutive year, with a completion volume of 53.69 million deadweight tons in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.4% [2] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 750 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on February 2 [2] Industry Insights - The pig farming industry is experiencing a short-term price recovery, with the average price of live pigs rising to 12.90 yuan/kg by January 20, 2026, despite a decline in December [6][7] - The supply side shows a decrease in the breeding sow population, with a total of 39.61 million sows reported at the end of December 2025, down 1.10% from October [7] - The industry is expected to see accelerated capacity reduction due to policy adjustments and ongoing low prices, with a potential price upturn anticipated in the second half of 2026 [8] - Major companies in the sector, such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff Group, reported varying sales prices and volumes in December, with average sales prices showing a slight decline [9] Company News - Qingdao Bank reported a significant improvement in its financial performance for 2025, with operating income of 14.57 billion yuan and a net profit of 5.19 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 8% and 21.7% respectively [11][12] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio decreased to 0.97%, and the provision coverage ratio increased to 292.3%, indicating improved asset quality [13] - The bank's loan and total asset growth rates were 16.5% and 18.1% year-on-year, respectively, supported by strong credit demand in the Qingdao region [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to market benchmarks [2][13]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant turnaround in its financial performance, with projected net profit for 2025 ranging from 22 million to 32 million yuan, compared to a loss of 80.71 million yuan in the previous year [3][10]. - The company is entering a new phase of growth elasticity, driven by the ramp-up of its rubidium and cesium salt project and the expansion of sales channels, alongside confirmed revenue from lithium battery equipment orders [3][6]. - The report highlights that the company has effectively entered the solid-state battery production equipment sector, securing multiple commercial orders, which positions it to benefit from industry growth [10][11]. Financial Performance Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 2.04 billion yuan in 2025, with a substantial increase to 4.25 billion yuan in 2026 and 6.04 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 35.01% in 2025 and 108.64% in 2026 [15][16]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 31.86 million yuan, with expectations of 748.01 million yuan in 2026 and 1.40 billion yuan in 2027, indicating a remarkable recovery and growth trajectory [15][16]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.24 yuan in 2025 to 5.59 yuan in 2026 and 10.48 yuan in 2027, showcasing the company's improving profitability [15][16]. Business Segment Analysis - The lithium battery equipment segment is anticipated to benefit from renewed demand in the lithium industry and advancements in solid-state battery technology, contributing to stable growth [6][10]. - The organic silicon equipment and products segment is characterized by strong stability in profitability, with ongoing innovations and a comprehensive product line enhancing its market position [10][11]. - The rubidium and cesium salt project is expected to significantly enhance the company's revenue structure, with the commencement of production in October 2025 marking a pivotal point for growth [11][12]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has established a strong competitive moat through proprietary technologies in lithium extraction and production processes, which are difficult for new entrants to replicate [12][13]. - Strategic partnerships with key players in the industry, such as Tianen Lithium Industry, are expected to bolster the stability of the supply chain for high-purity rubidium and cesium salts, further expanding sales opportunities [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to market benchmarks [2][13]. Core Views - The company is expected to confirm a turnaround in its performance, with projected net profit for 2025 ranging from 22 million to 32 million yuan, compared to a loss of 80.71 million yuan in the previous year [3][10]. - The company is entering a new phase of growth elasticity, driven by the ramp-up of its rubidium and cesium salt project and the expansion of sales channels [3][6]. - The report highlights that the company has successfully entered the solid-state battery production equipment sector, which is expected to enhance its competitive advantage and profitability [10][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - The company anticipates a significant increase in revenue, with projections of 2.04 billion yuan in 2025, 4.25 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.04 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 35.01%, 108.64%, and 42.12% respectively [15][16]. - The expected net profit for 2025 is projected at 31.86 million yuan, with substantial growth anticipated in subsequent years, reaching 748.01 million yuan in 2026 and 1.40 billion yuan in 2027 [15][16]. Business Segments - The lithium battery equipment segment is expected to benefit from renewed demand in the lithium industry and the development of solid-state batteries, leading to a significant increase in orders and cash flow [10][11]. - The organic silicon equipment and products segment is characterized by strong stability in profitability, with ongoing innovations and a comprehensive product line supporting its market leadership [10][11]. - The rubidium and cesium salt project is projected to enhance the company's performance, with the commencement of production expected to drive structural growth in revenue [11][12]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has established a strong technological barrier in the rubidium and cesium salt industry, with its proprietary low-temperature sulfuric acid lithium extraction technology providing a competitive edge [12][13]. - Strategic partnerships with companies like Tianen Lithium Industry are expected to enhance the stability of the supply chain for high-purity rubidium and cesium salts, further expanding sales opportunities [13].

农林牧渔行业：猪价短期回暖，不 改去化趋势 2026 年 1 月 30 日 看好/维持 农林牧渔 行业报告 ——生猪养殖行业月度跟踪 行业供需表现：猪价旺季回升，12 月均价下行。农业农村部监测数据显示， 2025 年 12 月仔猪、活猪和猪肉均价分别为 23.40 元/公斤、12.26 元/公斤和 22.63 元/公斤，环比变化分别为-3.50%、-2.27%和-1.81%。猪价在 12 月底部 回升，但均价下行。26 年 1 月猪价明显回升，截至 1 月 20 日，全国外三元生 猪均价 12.90 元/公斤。 供应端： 12 月份，疫病点状爆发和行业亏损影响，养殖端整体出栏节奏偏快。 进入 26 年 1 月，规模场按照正常节奏出栏，中小散户节奏放缓，对 1 月上旬 猪价形成支撑。需求端：元旦支撑需求阶段性走高，12 月生猪屠宰开工率环 比上涨 5.32 个百分点至 39.44%。1 月春节备货逐步开启，终端市场有所提振。 但屠宰端冻品出库对开工率和价格上行造成阻力。 产能变化趋势：国家统计局数据显示，10 月末能繁母猪存栏量 3990 万头，环 比下降 1.10%，12 月末能繁母猪存栏量 3961 万头 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing development of U.S.-China relations, with President Trump planning a visit to China in April, which is seen as beneficial for both nations [2] - The People's Bank of China is actively engaging with global financial leaders, indicating a focus on macroeconomic policies and trade relations [2] - The Chinese government is prioritizing the service sector in 2026, aiming to expand market access and promote digital trade [2] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission is working on initiatives to optimize the layout of state-owned enterprises, with significant investment planned for R&D and asset growth [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of the photovoltaic industry and the need for regulatory measures to ensure healthy competition [2] Company Insights - TikTok has established a joint venture in the U.S. for data security, indicating a strategic move to enhance its operational transparency [5] - China National Petroleum Corporation has achieved large-scale production of high-end materials, reducing reliance on imports for strategic industries [5] - SpaceX is preparing for a significant IPO, aiming for a valuation of approximately $1.5 trillion, which reflects its growth potential in the commercial space sector [5] - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation is focusing on enhancing its commercial launch capabilities, with ambitious goals for the next decade [5] Banking Sector Insights - The report indicates a slight increase in the proportion of active funds in the banking sector, with a total market value of 1.61 trillion yuan allocated to A-shares [6] - The concentration of holdings among the top five banks has decreased, with notable fluctuations in individual bank positions [7] - Northbound capital has seen a net reduction in bank stocks, with significant decreases in holdings for certain banks [8] - The banking sector is expected to benefit from macroeconomic policies aimed at improving credit conditions and stabilizing net interest margins [8][9]

青岛银行（002948.SZ）：不良双降、拨 备提升，盈利大幅改善 ——2025 年业绩快报点评 资产质量继续改善，不良实现"双降"，拨备覆盖率提升。2025 年末，青岛 银行不良贷款余额 38.41 亿、环比减少 2.88 亿；不良贷款率为 0.97%，环比 下降 3bp。拨备覆盖率 292.3%，环比提高 22.3 pct。青岛银行本轮资产质量 指标改善始于 2024 年一季度，近两年不良率生成率降至 0.5%左右，不良贷 款率自 2023 年末 1.18%下降 21bp，不良贷款额仅增加 3 亿。主要得益于制 造业、基建、地产等对公贷款不良率下降。拨备余额较 2023 年末增加 32.3 亿，拨备覆盖率提升 66.3pct，拨备安全垫持续夯实。从前瞻性指标来看，公 司关注贷款率低位平稳（25Q3 末为 0.55%、较年初下降 1bp），逾期贷款率 稳中有降（25H1 末为 1.24%，较年初下降 18bp），潜在不良生成压力不大。 从不良认定标准来看，公司 25H1 末 90 天以上逾期/不良为 82.2%，不良认定 标准严格。 事件：1 月 29 日，青岛银行发布 2025 年业绩快报，2025 年实 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Qingdao Bank, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance relative to market benchmarks [4][19]. Core Views - Qingdao Bank reported significant improvements in profitability, with a 2025 net profit of 5.19 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.7% [1][2]. - The bank's asset quality has improved, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.97%, down 3 basis points from the previous quarter, and a provision coverage ratio of 292.3%, up 22.3 percentage points [1][3]. - The growth in net interest income is driven by strong loan demand and an improved cost of liabilities, with total loans and assets growing by 16.5% and 18.1% year-on-year, respectively [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025, Qingdao Bank achieved an operating income of 14.57 billion, an 8% increase year-on-year, with net interest income expected to maintain rapid growth due to stable interest margins [2][4]. - The bank's net profit growth rate is projected to be 21.7% for 2025, with a significant increase in profitability compared to previous quarters [2][4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan balance decreased to 3.841 billion, with a notable reduction in the NPL ratio, indicating improved asset quality [3]. - The provision coverage ratio has strengthened, reflecting a robust buffer against potential loan losses, with a significant increase in provisions compared to the previous year [3]. Growth Prospects - The bank is expected to continue benefiting from the economic growth in Shandong province, which supports its expansion efforts [4]. - Future net profit growth is forecasted at 21.7%, 20.4%, and 20.2% for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) estimates of 7.35, 8.45, and 9.75 yuan [4][9].

东 东兴晨报 P1 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 经济要闻 1. 外交部：中英两国领导人成功会晤，同意发展长期稳定的全面战略伙伴 关系（资料来源：同花顺） 2. 财政部：12 月份，全国共销售彩票同比下降 9.1%。其中，福利彩票机 构销售 172.96 亿元，同比下降 9.6%；体育彩票机构销售 350.54 亿元，同 比下降 8.8%。2025 年全年，全国共销售彩票 6279.69 亿元，同比增长 0.7%。 （资料来源：同花顺） 3. 发改委：今年春运期间全社会跨区域人员流动量预计将达 95 亿人次， 创历史新高。自驾出行将继续处于主体地位，占比达八成左右。铁路、民航 客运量预计分别达到 5.4 亿人次和 9500 万人次，总体规模和单日峰值均有 望超过历史同期的峰值。（资料来源：同花顺） 4. 商务部：2025 年，我国全行业对外直接投资 12455.8 亿元人民币，比 上年增长 7.4%。其中，我国境内投资者共对全球 153 个国家和地区的 11048 家境外企业进行了非金融类直接投资，累计投资 10404.2 亿元人民币，增长 1.6%。（资料来源：同花顺） 5. 最高法：最高人民法院知 ...