Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [1] Core Insights - The company is a leading small molecule CDMO with over 25 years of experience, currently transitioning from a single small molecule business to a dual-driven model of "small molecule + emerging business" [5][17] - The new business segment is experiencing rapid growth, contributing significantly to revenue, while traditional business remains resilient [5][6] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.16 billion, 1.30 billion, and 1.51 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.23, 3.59, and 4.18 yuan [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.66 billion, 7.69 billion, and 8.94 billion yuan respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 14.7%, 15.4%, and 16.3% [8] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be around 42% for 2025, with a net margin of 17.5% [8] - The current P/E ratios are 31.0, 27.8, and 23.9 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8] Business Development and Strategy - The company is focusing on expanding its capabilities in the peptide and small nucleic acid sectors, with significant investments in production capacity [6][79] - As of H1 2025, the new business segment generated 756 million yuan in revenue, a 51.22% increase year-over-year, accounting for 23.71% of total revenue [6] - The company has established partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies, enhancing its market presence and customer base [44] Industry Trends - The global healthcare investment environment is gradually recovering, with a total investment of 63.88 billion USD in 2025, marking a 10.13% increase year-over-year [47] - The domestic healthcare investment market is also improving, with a total of 73.78 billion yuan in 2025, a 39.05% increase year-over-year [53] - The global CDMO market is expected to grow significantly, with the small molecule CDMO/CMO market projected to reach 112 billion USD by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 16.6% [65]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected performance that will exceed the market by more than 20% [3][8]. Core Insights - The company forecasts a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, projecting a growth of 50.41% to 65.86%, with expected net profit ranging from 76.90 million to 84.80 million yuan compared to 51.13 million yuan in 2024 [3]. - The company has successfully developed low-temperature superconducting RF cables for quantum computing applications, marking it as one of the early adopters in this field within China [5]. - The company has established itself in the defense sector, with orders gradually recovering, and is also benefiting from the accelerated deployment of domestic satellite internet constellations [3][5]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 763 million yuan in 2024 to 849 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 11.4% [6]. - The net profit is expected to rise from 51 million yuan in 2024 to 83 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 61.7% [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.27 yuan in 2024 to 0.44 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 101.1x for 2025 [6][9].

2026 年 01 月 29 日 宏观研究团队 美联储独立性和新主席换届是市场更关注的点 ——1 月 FOMC 会议点评 何宁（分析师） 潘纬桢（分析师） hening@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522110002 声明及发布会要点 1. 美联储在此次会议上宣布维持利率水平在 3.5%-3.75%区间。资产负债表政策 方面，按照 2025 年 12 月的计划继续执行。 2. 暂停降息，再次出现 2 张反对票。在声明中，美联储的措辞同 2025 年 12 月 份相比有一定的变化。美联储认为当前美国经济活动稳步扩张，2025 年 12 月则 认为经济活动正以温和的速度扩张。就业方面，美联储认为就业增长依然缓慢， 失业率已出现企稳迹象。2025 年 12 月则认为失业率有上升趋势；通胀方面，认 为通胀仍处于略高水平，与 2025 年 12 月表述基本相同。此外，美联储删除了 2025 年 12 月份关于风险平衡的变化表述，说明其认为当前货币政策短期无需调 整。此外，本次会议中再次出现 2 张反对票。米兰与沃勒认为应该继续降息 25bp， 随着新主席换届的时间越来越近，美联储内部的分歧或继续显性化。 相关 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of performance exceeding the market by more than 20% [3][8]. Core Insights - The company forecasts a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, projecting a growth of 50.41% to 65.86%, with expected net profit ranging from 76.90 million to 84.80 million yuan compared to 51.13 million yuan in 2024 [3][6]. - The company has successfully developed low-temperature superconducting RF cables for quantum computing applications, marking it as one of the early adopters in the domestic market [5][6]. - The company has established itself in the defense sector, with orders gradually recovering, and is also benefiting from the accelerated deployment of domestic satellite internet constellations [3][4]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to increase from 763 million yuan in 2024 to 849 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 11.4% [6][9]. - The net profit is expected to rise from 51 million yuan in 2024 to 83 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 61.7% [6][9]. - The company's gross margin is forecasted to be 33.3% in 2025, with a net margin of 9.7% [6][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.27 yuan in 2024 to 0.44 yuan in 2025 [6][9].

旅游及景区 旅游及景区 2026 年 01 月 28 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 38% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 旅游及景区 沪深300 相关研究报告 海南专题报告：风宜长物放眼量，自贸港赶海正当时 风险提示：宏观经济波动风险、政策落地不及预期、高端消费复苏不及预期。 ——行业深度报告 | 初敏（分析师） | 叶彬慧（联系人） | | --- | --- | | chumin@kysec.cn | yebinhui@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522080008 | 证书编号：S0790124070053 | yebinhui@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124070053 海南自贸港：双向循环战略支点，枢纽功能徐徐演进 开 源 证 券 证 券 研 海南自贸港是中央基于全球化格局深度调整、全球供应链加速重构背景，高标准 建设的中国特色自由贸易港，享有国内高规格、系统性的开放试验授权。对比全 球成熟的自贸港枢纽，依托内地超大规模统一市场的腹地优势和最大经济特区禀 赋，海南聚焦打造三大核心定位： ...

食品饮料 2026 年 01 月 28 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2025Q4 食品饮料持仓回落，布局窗 口渐行渐近 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.1.27 《春节旺季备货催化，大众品迎来布 局窗口—行业周报》-2026.1.25 《茅台深化市场改革，百润股份价值 显现—行业周报》-2026.1.18 预制菜国家标准待出台，市场集中度有望加速提升 ——行业点评报告 张宇光（分析师） 方一苇（分析师） zhangyuguang@kysec.cn fangyiwei@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524030001 国务院食安办等多部门起草预制菜国家标准草案 事件：2026 年 1 月，为切实维护消费者合法权益，促进产业高质量发展，国务 院食安办组织国家卫生健康委、市场监管总局等部门起草了《食品安全国家标准 预制菜》、《预制菜术语和分类》草案;会同市场监管总局、商务部等部门起草了 关于推广餐饮环节菜品加工制作方式自主明示的公告，将于近日向 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that leading companies are expected to benefit significantly from the trend of carbon reduction, with a stable yet slightly strong market structure for potassium chloride [3] - The PVC industry is undergoing a transformation towards mercury-free production, driven by regulatory pressures and environmental concerns, which will increase production costs for traditional methods [5][6] - The report notes that the chlor-alkali industry is experiencing significant losses, with net profits dropping from 182 RMB/ton in Q3 2025 to -49 RMB/ton in Q4 2025, indicating a critical need for capacity exit [7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The PVC industry is facing a transition to mercury-free production methods, which will require significant investment and may lead to the exit of smaller, less profitable companies [6][7] - The Water Mercury Convention aims to phase out mercury use in PVC production by 2032, impacting production costs and methods [6] Market Dynamics - The chlor-alkali sector is currently in a state of widespread loss, with the profitability of caustic soda declining, making it difficult to maintain the current production balance [7] - The cancellation of export tax rebates for PVC and anticipated restrictions on high-energy-consuming industries are expected to accelerate the exit of outdated production capacity [7] Beneficiary Companies - Potential beneficiaries from these industry changes include Xinjiang Tianye, Zhongtai Chemical, Chlor-alkali Chemical, Jiahua Energy, Junzheng Group, Beiyuan Group, and Kaili New Materials [8]

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The profits of industrial enterprises ended a three-year decline, with a cumulative year-on-year growth of 0.6% in 2025, compared to a previous value of 0.1% [4] - December 2025 saw a significant improvement in profit year-on-year, rising by 18.4 percentage points to 5.3%, despite a revenue decline of approximately 3.2% [5][6] - The profit margin for industrial enterprises showed a recovery, with contributions from various factors indicating a positive trend in profitability [7] Group 2: Industry Trends and Recommendations - The heavy truck sales in 2025 exceeded one million units, marking a year-on-year growth of approximately 27%, driven by policies encouraging vehicle replacement [59] - The domestic market for new energy heavy trucks saw explosive growth, with sales reaching 231,100 units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 182% [60] - The report highlights the potential for investment opportunities in the heavy truck sector, particularly with companies like China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Foton Motor showing strong performance [62] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The food and beverage sector, particularly companies like Gan Yuan Foods, is expected to see significant growth in Q1 2026 due to seasonal stocking and favorable comparisons to low base figures [16] - The communication sector is poised for growth, with companies like Guanghui New Network benefiting from increased demand for data center services driven by AI developments [17] - The semiconductor industry, represented by companies like Zhongwei Company, is experiencing strong growth in specific segments, such as integrated circuit manufacturing, with year-on-year increases of 172.6% [7] Group 4: Investment Strategies - The report suggests a focus on technology and cyclical sectors, with recommendations for investments in industries such as military, media, AI applications, and renewable energy [10] - The potential for theme-based investments in 2026 is highlighted, with key themes including AI, embodied intelligence, nuclear fusion energy, quantum technology, and brain-computer interfaces [23][25] - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting new themes over old ones to avoid value traps and to capitalize on emerging trends [24]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that leading companies are expected to benefit significantly from the trend of carbon reduction, with a stable yet slightly strong market structure for potassium chloride [3] - The PVC industry is undergoing a transformation towards mercury-free production, driven by regulatory pressures and environmental concerns, which will increase production costs for traditional methods [5][6] - The report notes that the chlor-alkali industry is experiencing significant losses, with a net profit of -49 RMB/ton in Q4 2025, indicating a challenging market environment [7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The chlor-alkali industry is facing a historical shift due to multiple factors, including the Minamata Convention, which aims to phase out mercury use in PVC production by 2032 [6] - The transition to mercury-free catalysts will likely increase production costs by approximately 100 RMB per ton for PVC manufacturers [6] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the chlor-alkali industry is currently in a state of widespread losses, with Q4 2025 showing a significant decline in profitability compared to Q3 2025 [7] - The cancellation of export tax rebates for PVC and anticipated restrictions on high-energy-consuming industries are expected to accelerate the exit of outdated production capacities [7] Beneficiary Companies - Potential beneficiaries identified include Xinjiang Tianye, Zhongtai Chemical, Chlor-alkali Chemical, Jiahua Energy, Junzheng Group, Beiyuan Group, and Kaili New Materials [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the transition to the "SuperNode" era in computing infrastructure, driven by the increasing computational demands of AI models, which are evolving from pre-training to multi-faceted scaling [14][17] - The SuperNode architecture relies on enhanced interconnectivity, integrating multiple computing chips into a logical "super GPU/ASIC" to overcome the limitations of traditional single-server setups [39] - The report identifies three main investment themes: "Network End + AIDC + Computing End" and four key sectors: "Optical + Liquid Cooling + Power Supply + Chips" [7] Summary by Sections 1. Transition to SuperNode Era - The evolution of AI models necessitates a shift in computational infrastructure, with demands for higher performance and efficiency [14] - The report highlights the rapid growth in model parameters and training data, indicating a need for advanced computational clusters [14] 2. SuperNode Architecture - SuperNode clusters are defined as large-scale GPU/ASIC systems that expand from thousands to millions of computational units, utilizing both Scale Up and Scale Out strategies [17] - The architecture includes components such as computing nodes, switch trays, and power supply units, which are essential for the operation of SuperNode systems [80] 3. Upgrades in Key Components - The report notes that the increasing penetration of SuperNode servers will drive demand for high-power supplies, liquid cooling systems, and optical communication technologies [5][80] - Specific companies are highlighted as beneficiaries in the sectors of optical modules, liquid cooling, server power supplies, and exchange chips [7] 4. Domestic SuperNode Development - The report discusses the progress of domestic SuperNode solutions, particularly Huawei's Atlas 900 A3 and Atlas 960, which are designed to enhance the performance of domestic AI clusters [6][112] - The performance of domestic chips is shown to improve significantly when deployed in SuperNode configurations, effectively compensating for individual chip limitations [112]