房地产/房地产开发 绿城中国（03900.HK） 2025 年 04 月 01 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/1 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(港元) | 11.340 | | 一年最高最低(港元) | 13.780/0.000 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 287.39 | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 287.39 | | 总股本(亿股) | 25.34 | | 流通港股(亿股) | 25.34 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 38.95 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -40% 0% 40% 80% 120% 160% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 绿城中国 恒生指数 相关研究报告 《减值影响业绩表现，拿地强度维持 高 位 — 港 股 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2025.2.11 《销售拿地表现亮眼，行业排名持续 攀 升 — 港 股 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2025.1.10 《公开市场拿地稳健积极，销售均价 显著提升—港股公司信息更新报告》 -2024.12.9 减值影响净利表现，周转提速，坚决布局核心城市 —— ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 8.506 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 167.5%, and a net profit of 1.473 billion yuan, up 253.9% year-on-year. The strong performance is attributed to the brand's rapid expansion and high same-store sales growth [7] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 6.35 yuan per share, totaling approximately 1.07 billion yuan, with a payout ratio of 72.6% [7] - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 41.2%, with a net profit margin of 17.3%, benefiting from improved cost control and economies of scale [7] - The company is experiencing a dual-channel growth with significant increases in both offline and online sales, with offline revenue reaching 7.45 billion yuan (up 164.3%) and online sales at 1.26 billion yuan (up 192%) [7] - The company is positioned as a leading brand in the ancient gold category in China, with a strong reputation among high-net-worth clients, and is expected to continue its growth trajectory with international expansion [7] Financial Summary - For 2024, the total revenue is projected at 8.506 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.473 billion yuan, and an EPS of 8.75 yuan [1][8] - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards to 3.556 billion yuan, 5.644 billion yuan, and 7.232 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 32, 20, and 16 [7] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 6.337 billion yuan by 2024, with a debt ratio of 24.57% [6][8]

■产业孵化与投资：归母亏损显著收窄，持续聚焦科创领域。2024 年， 受制于 A 股 IPO 节奏趋紧以及国内外资本市场大幅波动影响，公司 产业孵化与投资板块实现归母净亏损 22.16 亿元，同比亏损大幅减 少。2024 年，公司成功推动 13 家被投企业登陆资本市场，保持行业 领先地位。公司围绕着前沿新材料、创新药、生物制造等战略新兴产 业的布局，累计拥有超 180 家国家级专精特新"小巨人"企业，在具 身智能领域累计投资近 40 家企业。 ■投资建议：维持买入-A 投资评级。我们预计公司 2025-2027 年 EPS 分别为 0.23 元、0.41 元、0.58 元，给予 0.42x2025 年 P/B，对应 6 个月目标价为 10.47 港元（已按港元兑人民币 0.93 折算汇率）。 ■风险提示：资本市场波动、宏观经济变化、被投企业上市进度不及 预期等。 业绩实现扭亏为盈，聚焦科创培育新兴产业 ■事件：公司披露 2024 年年报，公司实现收入 5128.06 亿元 （YoY+18%），归母净利润 1.33 亿元，实现扭亏为盈。其中：1）产业 运营板块：受联想集团盈利水平提升影响，2024 年贡献归母净 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Insights - The company has optimized its product structure, leading to price increases and sustained improvement in profitability, with strong shareholder return value highlighted [2][8] - In the fiscal year 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 80.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%, and a net profit of 3.734 billion, reflecting a growth of 19.8% [4][8] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first half of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 39.45 billion, a slight decline of 0.2%, while the gross margin improved by 3.3 percentage points to 33.6%, resulting in a net profit of 1.849 billion, up 25.0% year-on-year [4][7] Product Performance - The instant noodle segment generated revenue of 28.414 billion, down 1.3% year-on-year, with high-priced noodles experiencing a significant decline of 6.3% for the year [5] - The beverage segment achieved revenue of 51.62 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with tea drinks maintaining strong growth at 21.7 billion, up 8.2% [6] Margin Improvement - The company's sales net profit margin increased by 1.0 percentage points to 5.4%, with gross margin rising by 2.7 percentage points to 33.1% [7] - The report indicates that the trend of margin improvement is strengthening, although there is a slight increase in expenses [7] Shareholder Returns - The company maintained a high dividend payout ratio of 100%, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.6% based on the current market capitalization, showcasing strong shareholder return value [2][8]

证券研究报告|港股公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 04 月 01 日 [Table_Title] 学费提价明显，利润受成本费用提升影响 [Table_Title2] 建桥教育(1525.HK) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级： | 买入 | 股票代码： | 1525 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上次评级： | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价(港元)： | 3.4/2.15 | | 目标价格(港元)： | | 总市值(亿港元) | 8.92 | | 最新收盘价(港元)： | 2.15 | 自由流通市值(亿港元) | 8.92 | | | | 自由流通股数(百万) | 415.00 | [Table_Summary] 事件概述 2024 年公司收入/归母净利分别为 9.7/2.24 亿元、同比增长 4.3%/-21.1%。收入增长而利润下降主要由于 上半年受折旧年限变更导致毛利下降（23 年 7 月开始变更），下半年同样存在公司增聘双师教师带来的薪酬增 加、管理费用增加等影响。 2024 年派发末期股息每股 0.1 港元，叠加中期股息每股 0.1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Ning (02331.HK) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 28.676 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.013 billion yuan, down 5.5% year-on-year, primarily due to a 333 million yuan impairment on investment properties [8] - Li Ning is actively optimizing its channel structure by closing unprofitable stores and accelerating its expansion into emerging markets, with a total of 1,297 direct-operated stores as of the end of 2024, a decrease of 201 stores year-on-year [8] - The company has solidified its professional sports image, with the running category showing significant growth, and has become a partner of the Chinese Olympic Committee for the period of 2025-2028, which is expected to enhance brand value and market influence [8] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2027 are as follows: 28.676 billion yuan in 2024, 28.682 billion yuan in 2025, 30.043 billion yuan in 2026, and 31.590 billion yuan in 2027 [1][9] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to decline to 2.454 billion yuan in 2025, followed by a recovery to 2.705 billion yuan in 2026 and 3.021 billion yuan in 2027 [1][9] - The report indicates a projected P/E ratio of 15 for 2025, 14 for 2026, and 13 for 2027, reflecting a long-term positive outlook due to investments in top-tier event resources [8][9]

[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/旅游服务业/旅游综合 证券研究报告 九毛九（9922）公司年报点评 2025 年 04 月 01 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 股票数据 | [Table_StockInfo] 3 月 31 日收盘价（港元） | 2.88 | | --- | --- | | 52 周股价波动（港元） | 2.14-6.12 | | 总股本/流通股（亿股） | 13.98/13.98 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿港元） | 40/40 | 相关研究 [Table_ReportInfo] 《2H23 年收入增 47.5%，派息率有望不低于 40%》2024.03.26 《 盈 利 弹 性 释 放 ， 新 品 牌 表 现 亮 眼 》 2023.08.28 《2H22 年收入降 2.4%，怂火锅模型优化贡献 亮眼》2023.03.22 市场表现 [Table_QuoteInfo] | 恒生指数对比 | 1M | 2M | 3M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对涨幅（%） | -2.70 | 9.92 | -16.76 | ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 01 日 龙湖集团（00960.HK） 24 年业绩仍受开发拖累，25 年下半年公开市场债务压 力缓解进程或是关注点 24 年收入及利润下滑主要受开发业务拖累，运营及服务业务贡献毛利润占比达 70%且稳健增长；开发业务方面，受市场下行及公开债务偿付压力影响，公司 销售及拿地均承压；运营及服务业务方面，四大非开发业务航道稳健增长，25 年预计开业购物中心 11 座，与去年持平；债务方面，债务规模有序压降，判断 25 年或为公司有息负债（含公开债务及境外银团贷款等）到期高峰期，经营性 贷款稳增或为其偿付提供保障，26 年后公司经营及服务业务利润或足以应对剩 余每年公开市场债务偿付，关注公司 25 年下半年公开市场债务压力缓解进程。 考虑到 25 年底公司资金压力或显著缓释，可支配自由现金流或边际回升，可关 注在此变化下公司投资循环增强以及估值提振的可能，预计 25E/26E/27E EPS 分别为 0.96/1.05/1.14 元/股（同比分别-37%/+9%/+9%），当前股价对应 PE 分别为 9.5/8.7/8.0，维持"强烈推荐"评级。 | 会计年度 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for China Resources Land (01109.HK) with a target price of HKD 34.86 per share, indicating a potential upside from the current price of HKD 25.9 [1][3]. Core Views - The report highlights that the increase in the proportion of recurring business profits supports the stability of the company's performance and shareholder returns. The operational real estate business, primarily focused on shopping centers, has sustainable growth potential both internally and externally. The gross profit margin of the development and sales business may gradually stabilize, and the ongoing transformation towards asset management is viewed positively. The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of CNY 3.30, CNY 3.50, and CNY 3.89 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -8%, +6%, and +11% [1][12]. Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported total revenue of CNY 278.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 18% to CNY 25.58 billion, primarily due to a decline in gross profit margins from development sales [2][12]. - The company’s core net profit for 2024 is projected to be CNY 25.4 billion, reflecting a 9% decline year-on-year. The revenue breakdown shows that the development sales business, operational real estate business, light asset management business, and ecosystem factor business generated revenues of CNY 237.15 billion, CNY 23.3 billion, CNY 12.13 billion, and CNY 6.22 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12%, 5%, 14%, and 1% [2][10]. - The overall gross profit margin decreased by 3.6 percentage points to 21.6%, with the development sales business gross margin dropping by 3.9 percentage points to 16.8%. In contrast, the operational real estate business gross margin increased by 0.4 percentage points to 70% [2][10]. Business Segment Insights - The shopping center segment opened 16 new centers in 2024, with retail sales and rental income continuing to grow. The company plans to maintain a stable opening pace over the next four years, which is expected to support rental income growth [8][10]. - The office rental income decreased by 9% to CNY 1.9 billion, with an occupancy rate dropping by 7 percentage points to 75% [9]. - Hotel revenue also saw a decline of 11% to CNY 2.1 billion, with a slight increase in occupancy rate to 64% [9]. Asset Management and Financial Health - The company’s asset management scale reached CNY 462.1 billion, an 8% increase year-on-year, with shopping centers contributing CNY 297.9 billion to this total [11][12]. - The debt structure has been optimized, with a weighted average financing cost of 3.11%, a decrease of 45 basis points year-on-year. The net interest-bearing debt ratio stands at 31.9% [12][12]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The core net profit distribution rate is maintained at 37%, with a proposed final dividend of CNY 1.119 per share, resulting in an estimated dividend yield of approximately 5.5% based on the report's release date closing price [12][12].

证券研究报告·海外公司深度·药品及生物科技(HS) 歌礼制药-B（01672.HK） 全新 GLP-1 减重不减肌，有潜力成为 Best- in-Class 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 54.09 | 56.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 同比(%) | (29.66) | 4.81 | (100.00) | 0.00 | 0.00 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (314.84) | (144.72) | (393.20) | (490.26) | (579.38) | | 同比(%) | (58.20) | 54.04 | (171.71) | (24.68) | (18.18) | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (0.33) | (0.15) | (0.41) | (0.51) | (0.60) | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | (25.36) | ( ...