Changshu Bank(601128)

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常熟银行:2024年三季报点评:业绩维持高增,不良净生成边际改善
华创证券· 2024-10-25 16:37
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Changshu Bank (601128) with a target price of 8.00 CNY, compared to the current price of 7.17 CNY [1]. Core Views - Changshu Bank's performance continues to show high growth, with a year-on-year increase in operating income of 11.3% to 8.37 billion CNY and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.98 billion CNY, reflecting an 18.2% growth [1][2]. - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a slight increase in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 0.77% and a decrease in the provision coverage ratio to 528.4% [1]. - The report highlights a marginal improvement in the net generation of non-performing loans, which decreased by 63 basis points to 0.59% [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, operating income reached 8.37 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 11.3%, slightly down from the first half of 2024 [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.98 billion CNY, with an 18.2% year-on-year increase, showing a slight deceleration compared to the first half of 2024 [1]. - The bank's net interest income grew by 6.3% year-on-year, while non-interest income saw a significant decline of 20.2% [1]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio increased slightly by 1 basis point to 0.77%, which is still considered excellent within the industry [1]. - The provision coverage ratio decreased by 10.3 percentage points to 528.4%, indicating a strong risk mitigation capacity [1]. - The report notes that the marginal improvement in asset quality is supported by a decrease in the net generation rate of non-performing loans [1]. Loan and Deposit Growth - As of the end of Q3 2024, the growth rates for interest-earning assets and loans were 10.3% and 9.7% year-on-year, respectively, with a decline in growth rates compared to previous quarters [1]. - Corporate loans maintained a robust growth rate, while retail loan demand remained weak, leading to a slowdown in overall loan growth [1]. Future Outlook - The report projects revenue growth rates of 11.4%, 12.4%, and 13.7% for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 17.2%, 19.9%, and 19.4% for the same years [1][2]. - The current stock price corresponds to a 2025 estimated price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.67X, with a target PB of 0.75X for 2025 [1].
常熟银行:公司简评报告:规模增长随行业放缓,息差优势保持
东海证券· 2024-10-25 09:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][4]. Core Views - The company's overall asset quality remains excellent, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.77%, slightly up by 1 basis point from the previous quarter [3][4]. - The company reported a revenue of 8.37 billion yuan, an increase of 11.3% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.976 billion yuan, up 18.17% year-on-year [3][4]. - The net interest margin for the first three quarters is 2.75%, down 20 basis points year-on-year, reflecting ongoing pressure on the asset side [3][4]. - Investment income has shown a significant decline in Q3, dropping to 222 million yuan from 498 million yuan in the same period last year, primarily due to a weaker bond market [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved an operating income of 8.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.3%, and a net profit of 2.976 billion yuan, up 18.17% year-on-year [3][4]. - The total asset scale as of June 30 is 362.743 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.44% [3]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio stands at 0.77%, with a provision coverage ratio of 528.4%, down by 10.41 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3][4]. - The company has seen an increase in the proportion of loans under special attention, rising by 16 basis points to 1.52% [3]. Loan and Deposit Trends - Q3 saw a weaker growth in personal loans, while bill discounting remained strong, indicating a shift in demand [3][4]. - The company continues to maintain a strong deposit growth, significantly outperforming the M2 growth rate, with a slight increase in the proportion of demand deposits [3][4]. Interest Margin and Investment Income - The net interest margin is under pressure, with a quarterly measurement of 2.67%, down 8 basis points from the previous quarter and 18 basis points year-on-year [3][4]. - Investment income has decreased significantly in Q3, attributed to a weaker bond market and regulatory constraints on investment scale [4]. Future Outlook - The report adjusts the profit forecast for 2024-2026, expecting operating revenues of 10.859 billion, 11.487 billion, and 12.732 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 3.840 billion, 4.235 billion, and 4.765 billion yuan [4][11]. - The company is expected to benefit from a high proportion of fixed-term deposits amidst declining interest rates, and its overall asset quality remains robust [4].
常熟银行2024年三季报业绩点评:业绩稳健高增,资产质量优异
中国银河· 2024-10-25 08:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Changshu Bank (stock code: 601128) [1] Core Views - The bank demonstrated robust performance with significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2024, achieving operating income of 8.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.976 billion yuan, up 18.17% year-on-year [1] - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) improved, supported by a strong expansion in corporate loans and a favorable deposit structure [1] - Non-interest income showed steady growth, with investment income increasing significantly, contributing to overall performance [1] - The asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.77% and a provision coverage ratio of 528.4%, indicating robust risk mitigation capabilities [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2024, the bank's net interest income reached 6.903 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.15%, with an annualized net interest margin of 2.75%, up 2 basis points from the first half of 2024 [1] - The bank's total loans grew by 7.75% year-on-year, with corporate loans increasing by 14.12% [1] Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income for the first nine months was 1.467 billion yuan, up 44.17% year-on-year, primarily driven by a significant increase in investment income, which reached 1.339 billion yuan, a 92.54% increase [1] Asset Quality - As of September 2024, the bank's NPL ratio was 0.77%, with a provision coverage ratio of 528.4%, indicating a strong position relative to industry peers [1] Investment Recommendations - The bank's focus on supporting agriculture and small enterprises solidifies its competitive advantage in microfinance, with significant growth potential in credit demand and personal business loans [1] - The report projects a book value per share (BVPS) of 9.16 yuan, 10.45 yuan, and 11.96 yuan for 2024-2026, with current price-to-book ratios of 0.78X, 0.69X, and 0.60X respectively [1]
常熟银行:业绩增速仍高,风险抵补能力优秀
财通证券· 2024-10-25 08:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown high growth in performance while maintaining excellent risk compensation capabilities [1][4] - The company focuses on inclusive finance for small and micro enterprises, demonstrating differentiated competitive advantages [4] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 8.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.976 billion yuan, up 18.2% year-on-year [3][4] - Interest income remained stable, with a slight decrease in the growth rate of interest-earning assets contributing 14.2 percentage points to performance, down 1.4 percentage points from the first half of 2024 [3] - The net interest margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 2.75%, a decrease of 4 basis points compared to the first half of 2024 [3][4] Asset Quality - As of the end of the third quarter of 2024, the non-performing loan ratio was 0.77%, and the attention ratio was 1.52%, reflecting a slight increase due to economic pressures affecting micro-loan asset quality [4] - The provision coverage ratio stood at 528%, indicating sufficient risk compensation capability [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see net profit growth of 17.9%, 16.5%, and 16.1% for the years 2024 to 2026, with corresponding price-to-book (PB) ratios of 0.78, 0.70, and 0.63 [4][5] - The company anticipates continued support for credit issuance as policies remain favorable [4]
常熟银行:业绩维持双位数增长,关注率略有提升
国联证券· 2024-10-25 06:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.37 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.30%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.976 billion yuan, up 18.17% year-on-year. The revenue growth rate slightly decreased by 0.74 percentage points compared to the first half of 2024, mainly due to a slowdown in the growth of other non-interest income [2][6] - The company achieved an investment income of 1.339 billion yuan, a significant increase of 92.54% year-on-year, primarily due to the realization of gains from trading financial assets [6] - The net interest margin for the first three quarters was 2.75%, showing resilience and expected to remain among the highest in the listed banks [6] - The company's non-performing loan ratio and attention ratio were 0.77% and 1.52%, respectively, indicating a slight increase in attention ratio, which is expected to stabilize under current policies [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 8.37 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.30%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.976 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.17% increase year-on-year. The growth rate of revenue decreased slightly compared to H1 2024 due to a decline in other non-interest income growth [2][6] - The company’s investment income for the same period was 1.339 billion yuan, marking a 92.54% increase year-on-year, attributed to the realization of gains from trading financial assets [6] Asset Quality and Risk Management - As of Q3 2024, the company reported a non-performing loan ratio of 0.77% and an attention ratio of 1.52%, with both ratios showing slight increases. The attention ratio's rise is attributed to the weakened repayment capacity of some small and micro enterprises [6] - The company maintained a provision coverage ratio of 528.40%, indicating a strong risk mitigation capacity [6] Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 10.93 billion yuan, 12.01 billion yuan, and 13.44 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.74%, 9.86%, and 11.90% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 3.883 billion yuan, 4.446 billion yuan, and 5.165 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 18.33%, 14.51%, and 16.17% [7]
常熟银行:业绩保持稳定高增,存款定期化略有改善
国盛证券· 2024-10-25 03:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [5]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated stable high growth in its performance, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 11.3% and a net profit growth of 18.2% for the first three quarters of 2024 [2][3]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.77% as of September, showing a slight increase [2]. - The bank's management has successfully reduced the cost-to-income ratio, which improved by 4.1 percentage points to 35.2% compared to the previous year [2]. Financial Performance - Revenue and profit growth rates for the first three quarters of 2024 are 11.3% and 18.2%, respectively, indicating stability compared to the half-year report [2]. - Net interest income increased by 6.2% year-on-year, while non-interest income surged by 44.2%, driven by investment income and fair value changes [2]. - The bank's total assets reached 362.7 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 10.4%, and loans amounted to 239.7 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 9.7% [3]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 0.77% as of September, with a slight increase of 1 basis point from the previous quarter [2]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio was 528%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [2]. Deposit and Loan Trends - As of September, total deposits reached 284.6 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 17.0% [3]. - The proportion of time deposits was 71.7%, showing a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous quarter [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue achieving steady growth in scale, with a projected annual revenue growth of 10% and net profit growth of 18% as per management's guidance [3]. - The bank's performance is anticipated to remain stable throughout the year, with expectations of maintaining a favorable net interest margin compared to peers [3].
常熟银行:2024年三季报点评:政策发力,静待微贷复苏
国信证券· 2024-10-25 02:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][6] Core Views - The company has maintained good growth in performance, with revenue of 8.37 billion and net profit of 2.98 billion for the first three quarters of 2024, representing year-on-year growth of 11.3% and 18.2% respectively [1] - Microloan demand is currently weak, but the company is expected to benefit from the recovery in microloans as steady growth policies are implemented and the economy improves [1] - The net interest margin has slightly narrowed to 2.75%, down 21 basis points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in loan yields [1] - The non-performing loan ratio remains low at 0.77%, with a slight increase from the previous quarter, while the proportion of special mention loans has risen [1] - The company is expected to see a turning point in its microloan business as steady growth policies continue to take effect, with projected net profits of 3.9 billion, 4.6 billion, and 5.6 billion for 2024-2026, corresponding to year-on-year growth rates of 19.0%, 17.5%, and 22.1% [1][4] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - Revenue is projected to reach 10.95 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 10.9% [2][4] - Net profit is expected to be 3.9 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 19.0% [2][4] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 5.5x for 2024, 4.7x for 2025, and 3.9x for 2026, while the price-to-book (PB) ratio is expected to be 0.75x, 0.66x, and 0.58x respectively [1][4]
常熟银行:营收韧性凸显,资产质量整体稳健
平安证券· 2024-10-25 02:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Strong Buy" (maintained) [2][12] Core Views - The company's revenue resilience is highlighted, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 11.3% in the first three quarters of 2024, reaching 8.37 billion yuan [4][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 18.2% year-on-year, amounting to 2.98 billion yuan, supported by stable net interest income growth of 6.2% [4][5] - The bank's asset quality remains overall stable, with a slight increase in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 0.77% [7][10] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, total assets reached 362.7 billion yuan, with total loans at 239.7 billion yuan and total deposits at 284.6 billion yuan [4][5] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) for the first three quarters was 14.96% [4] - The net interest margin (NIM) for the third quarter was 2.75%, slightly down from 2.79% in the first half of 2024 [5][10] Revenue and Profitability - The company's non-interest income grew significantly by 44.2% year-on-year, although bond investment-related income saw a decline [4][5] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is 3.28 billion yuan, with an expected growth rate of 19.6% [6][10] Asset Quality and Risk Management - The NPL ratio increased slightly by 1 basis point to 0.77%, while the coverage ratio remains robust at 528% [7][10] - The bank's proactive approach in retail and small micro-business sectors is expected to benefit from a recovery in demand [7][10]
常熟银行:2024年三季报点评:资负两端结构调优,营收盈利保持高增
光大证券· 2024-10-25 00:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changshu Bank with a current price of 7.17 CNY [1]. Core Insights - Changshu Bank reported a revenue of 8.37 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.98 billion CNY, up 18.2% year-on-year [1]. - The bank's net interest income and non-interest income grew by 44.2%, indicating strong resilience in revenue generation despite a slight decline in growth rates compared to the first half of 2024 [1][3]. - The bank's asset structure continues to optimize, with total assets, interest-earning assets, and loans growing by 10.4%, 11.6%, and 9.7% year-on-year, respectively [1][3]. Revenue Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, Changshu Bank's revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit grew by 11.3%, 18.5%, and 18.2% year-on-year, respectively, showing a decline in growth rates compared to the first half of 2024 [1]. - The bank's non-interest income for the first three quarters was 1.47 billion CNY, up 44% year-on-year, contributing to 17.5% of total revenue [3]. Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy - As of the end of the third quarter, the non-performing loan ratio and attention ratio were 0.77% and 1.52%, respectively, indicating a slight increase from the previous quarter [3]. - The bank's capital adequacy ratios improved, with the core Tier 1 capital ratio at 10.6%, and the total capital adequacy ratio at 14% [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 1.29 CNY, 1.49 CNY, and 1.68 CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-book (PB) ratios of 0.74, 0.66, and 0.58 [4][5]. - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) is projected to be 2.75% for the first three quarters of 2024, reflecting a slight contraction due to market conditions [1][3].
常熟银行:2024年三季报点评:业绩高增持续,拨备水平充裕
民生证券· 2024-10-24 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a closing price of 7.17 yuan on October 24, 2024, corresponding to 0.7 times the 2024 PB [3][4]. Core Views - The company continues to achieve high growth in performance, with a robust provision level that supports a low non-performing loan ratio. The expected EPS for 2024-2026 is projected to be 1.41, 1.65, and 1.91 yuan respectively [3][4]. - The company has a strong risk compensation ability, which is crucial for maintaining low asset quality indicators despite some fluctuations in forward-looking metrics [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 8.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3 billion yuan, up 18.2% year-on-year. The non-performing loan ratio stands at 0.77%, with a provision coverage ratio of 528% [2][3]. - The net interest income growth rate has rebounded, with a year-on-year increase of 6.2% and non-interest income rising by 44.2%. However, the growth rate of non-interest income has slowed due to market volatility affecting the valuation of financial assets [2][3]. Asset Quality and Loan Growth - Total assets and total loans increased by 10.4% and 9.7% year-on-year respectively, although the growth rates have decreased compared to the end of the first half of 2024. Corporate loans grew by 19.3%, while personal loans increased by 3.2% [2][3]. - The company has adjusted its credit issuance strategy, focusing on risk control, which has led to a decrease in the proportion of loans under 10 million yuan [2][3]. Interest Margin and Deposit Growth - The net interest margin for the first three quarters of 2024 is 2.75%, down 4 basis points from the end of the first half of 2024. The decline in the proportion of time deposits may have contributed to this trend [2][3]. - Deposit growth has slightly improved compared to the first half of 2024, likely due to adjustments in deposit rates attracting interest-sensitive customers [2][3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a strong performance trajectory, with projected revenue growth rates of 12.1%, 11.9%, and 11.8% for the years 2024-2026. The net profit growth rates are forecasted at 19.6%, 18.0%, and 16.8% respectively [3][4].