Group 1 - The report highlights a significant adjustment in overseas technology stocks, particularly in the US, which has affected market sentiment in A-shares. The Nasdaq index fell by 12.4%, with major companies like Microsoft, Amazon, and Facebook experiencing declines of 6.8%, 12.1%, and 7.7% respectively. This adjustment is seen as a revaluation of the "Trump-Wash" combination and reflects changing expectations regarding US liquidity. Concerns about AI capital expenditure bubbles and its impact on software stock profitability have also emerged [8][9]. - The North Exchange 50 index decreased by 0.7%, with trading volume dropping by 28.7%. The cautious market sentiment has led to better performance in low valuation sectors such as food and beverage, beauty care, transportation, and banking. In contrast, sectors like power equipment have shown volatility due to themes like space photovoltaic [8][12]. - Investment analysis suggests that the market is expected to remain volatile before the holiday, with a focus on individual stocks that may have been unfairly punished due to decreased risk appetite, as well as companies with new narratives. Specific stocks to watch include LUMENTUM, Gobi Jia, and others [9][12]. Group 2 - The report notes that 63 stocks in the North Exchange rose while 224 fell, resulting in a rise-fall ratio of 0.28. The top gainers included *ST Yun Chuang and Opteye, while the biggest losers were Kangnong Agriculture and Qiule Seed Industry [29][34]. - The average PE (TTM) for the North Exchange is reported at 82.05 times, with a median of 39.37 times. The average PE for the ChiNext is 92.67 times, and for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, it is 105.31 times, indicating a downward trend across these indices [12][14][17]. - The North Exchange saw a total trading volume of 4.218 billion shares, a decrease of 29.24% week-on-week, with a total trading value of 102.42 billion yuan, down by 28.70% [20][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Outperform" [2][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.058 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.8%, and a net profit of 237 million yuan, up 33.9% year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2025 saw revenues of 262 million yuan, a 21.5% increase, and a net profit of 78 million yuan, up 26.4% year-on-year [5][8]. - The company is expanding its generic drug product line while simultaneously advancing new drug development. The fourth quarter profits exceeded expectations due to delayed large R&D expenditures and effective cost reduction measures [5][8]. - The company is actively increasing its pipeline of innovative drugs, with the DYX116 project progressing as expected. The drug has completed Phase I clinical trials and is set to enter Phase II trials in the first half of 2026 [8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is 1.058 billion yuan, with a projected growth rate of 21.8%. The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 237 million yuan, with a growth rate of 33.9% [7][11]. - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 237 million yuan, 174 million yuan, and 140 million yuan respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment for 2026 and 2027 due to anticipated price reductions from centralized procurement [8][9]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 18, 24, and 30 respectively, compared to an average PE of 38 for comparable companies [9][8].

证 券 研 究 报 告 报告摘要 2026.2.9 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 Capex计划超预期，为何美股科技反而下跌？ 全球资产配置每周聚焦 (20260130-20260206) 证券分析师：金倩婧 A0230513070004 冯晓宇 A0230521080005 林遵东 A0230524100005 王胜 A0230511060001 3 2. 全球资金流向：资金流入发达市场股市，流出中国股市 3. 资产估值指标：A股ERP较上周小幅上升，仍位于历史中性水平 4. 资产风险情绪：美股散户看涨比例下降，A股隐含波动率显著下行 5. 全球经济数据：美国制造业PMI大幅上行，降息预期小幅上行 6. 风险提示 地缘避险与增长忧虑交织，黄金与工业金属走势分化 ◼ 全球资本市场回顾：本周 (20260130-20260206)美国ADP数据低于预期，美联储3月降息预期升温1）固收方面，10Y美债收益率录得 4.22%，本周下跌4BP，美元指数上涨0.51%，当前点位为97.6；2）本周泰国、法国市场股市上涨较多，A股全线收跌，恒生科技、科创50 和创业扳指跌幅位列前三，阿根廷、越 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pharmaceutical industry, indicating an "Overweight" rating, suggesting that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][33]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector saw a slight increase of 0.14% in the week, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.27% [3][2]. - The report highlights the implementation of the "Traditional Chinese Medicine Industry High-Quality Development Implementation Plan (2026-2030)" by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments, aiming to enhance the supply chain and technological advancements in the traditional Chinese medicine sector [11][12]. - Key pharmaceutical products such as Eli Lilly's Tirzepatide are projected to generate significant sales, with estimates of $36.5 billion in 2025, reflecting a 99% year-on-year growth for the diabetes version and a 175% growth for the weight loss version [15][17]. - The report notes active licensing and collaboration in the industry, with significant deals such as a $1.5 billion agreement between Saint's RNAi therapy and Genentech, and various other collaborations involving companies like Jichuan Pharmaceutical and Baiyunguan [18][20]. Market Performance Summary - The overall valuation of the pharmaceutical sector is reported at 29.6 times earnings, ranking 13th among 31 sectors [4][14]. - The performance of various sub-sectors includes: - Raw materials (+0.6%) - Traditional Chinese Medicine (+2.6%) - Chemical preparations (-0.8%) - Medical devices (+0.1%) [4][3]. Key Events and Developments - The report emphasizes the importance of the new plan for traditional Chinese medicine, which includes goals such as establishing 60 high-standard raw material production bases and developing 10 major traditional Chinese medicine products by 2030 [12][11]. - Notable company developments include: - Eli Lilly's projected revenue growth driven by Tirzepatide [15]. - And the announcement of significant profit forecasts from Heptares Pharmaceuticals, indicating a shift towards profitability [16]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic companies related to traditional Chinese medicine, such as Zoli Pharmaceutical and Yunnan Baiyao, as well as innovative drug companies like Heng Rui Pharmaceutical and Bai Jie Shen Zhou [2][18].

Group 1: Quantum Technology - The team from the University of Science and Technology of China achieved significant breakthroughs in scalable quantum networks, including the construction of a basic module for scalable quantum repeaters and the realization of device-independent quantum key distribution (DI-QKD) over a distance of 100 kilometers, improving previous international experimental levels by over two orders of magnitude [4][5]. - The successful implementation of a quantum repeater with an entanglement lifetime of 550 milliseconds, exceeding the entanglement establishment time of 450 milliseconds, marks a critical advancement in quantum communication, enabling the construction of a kilometer-scale quantum internet [5]. Group 2: Biomanufacturing - The Shenzhen Advanced Institute of Technology developed a programmable integration platform for functional molecules, which opens up new applications in biomanufacturing, biosensing, and flexible electronics [6][7]. - OpenAI partnered with Ginkgo Bioworks to create an AI-driven automated experimental system that significantly reduces the production costs of cell-free protein synthesis (CFPS) by approximately 40% and reagent costs by 57% [8]. Group 3: Hydrogen Energy and Nuclear Fusion - The China Energy Construction Group's Songyuan hydrogen energy industrial park project has produced over 10,000 tons of green ammonia and received EU certification, validating the integrated commercial model of "green electricity - green hydrogen - green ammonia" [9][10]. - Shenzhen Energy signed a contract for a 505MW wind-solar hydrogen project with a total investment of approximately 8 billion, covering both upstream and downstream sectors [12]. Group 4: Brain-Computer Interfaces - The company Borui Kang has initiated the process for its initial public offering (IPO), marking a transition of invasive brain-computer interface technology from research to commercialization [13][15]. - A research team from the Chinese Academy of Sciences developed a novel optogenetic technique for visual brain-computer interfaces, enabling high-precision, long-term optical stimulation of the visual cortex, representing a significant advancement in sensory information input [16][18]. Group 5: Embodied Intelligence - Microsoft Research introduced a new robot model, Rho-alpha, which integrates multimodal perception capabilities, including visual, language, and tactile data, aimed at enhancing the application of embodied intelligence in unstructured environments [21]. Group 6: 6G and Commercial Space - A research team from Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications made significant progress in 6G channel modeling, with their work being included in the international 6G standard framework by 3GPP [22]. - The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) accepted SpaceX's application for an orbital data center, which aims to establish a satellite constellation of up to 1 million satellites to support advanced AI models and applications [25]. Group 7: Future Industry Catalysts - A table summarizing key catalytic events for six future industries in 2026 was provided, highlighting important milestones and conferences that investors should track [26][27].

Investment Rating - The report rates the mechanical industry as "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2][13]. Core Insights - The mechanical industry is expected to see stable performance with technological advancements leading to a value reversal. Key areas of growth include space photovoltaics, machine tools, robotics, and laser technology [4][7]. Summary by Sections Performance Forecast - The report predicts significant growth for 21 key tracked mechanical companies in Q4 2025, with notable forecasts such as Zoomlion (183%), DingTai High-Tech (179%), and Wolong Electric (82%) [4][5]. Space Photovoltaics - The commercial space sector is entering a new phase characterized by large-scale deployment and capability upgrades, leading to increased demand for space photovoltaics. The report highlights a projected super cycle in satellite manufacturing and launching over the next decade, driven by the need for satellite energy systems [4]. Machine Tools & Cutting Tools - The machine tool sector is expected to transition towards high-end, CNC, and intelligent manufacturing. The report anticipates a 9.7% increase in metal cutting machine production in 2025, with a strong focus on domestic production of core components [4][7]. - Cutting tool manufacturers are expected to benefit from rising raw material prices and increased domestic demand, with a focus on high-end product breakthroughs [4]. Robotics & Components - The humanoid robot industry is progressing towards commercialization, with significant developments expected in 2025. The report identifies three main trends: Tesla's humanoid robot iterations, global giants entering the robotics space, and various robot forms being deployed in practical applications [4]. Laser Technology - General laser technology is experiencing rapid growth due to advancements in high-power and specialized applications. The report recommends companies like Baichu Electronics and Dier Laser for investment [7]. Engineering Machinery - The report anticipates a resonance of domestic and foreign demand in 2026, driven by infrastructure projects and equipment upgrades. Key companies recommended include SANY Heavy Industry and XCMG [7]. Forklifts - The forklift market is projected to grow, with a 12.9% increase in total sales expected in 2025. The report emphasizes the trend towards automation and smart logistics in the industry [7]. Rail Transit Equipment - The report notes a strong demand for rail transit equipment, with a projected 6.0% increase in fixed asset investment in railways for 2025. Recommended companies include CRRC and Siwei Control [7].

| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌（％） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | （点） | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 4066 | -0.25 | -0.44 | -1.27 | | 深证综指 | 2650 | -0.04 | 1.21 | -1.27 | | 风格指数 (％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | -0.59 | -3.66 | 12.69 | | 中盘指数 | -0.12 | 2.43 | 27.18 | | 小盘指数 | -0.09 | 3.15 | 20.55 | | 涨幅居前 行业(％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 油服工程 | 3.75 | 25.48 | 31.12 | | 饰品 | 3.1 | 14.09 | 4.75 | | 化学纤维 | 2.71 | 4.23 | 24.5 | | 化学制品 | 2.63 | 6.2 | 24.95 | | 电 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting it will outperform the overall market [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new account openings in January 2026, reaching 4.9158 million, a year-on-year increase of 213% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 89%. This trend is expected to benefit brokerage firms as funds flow from traditional banks to capital markets [4]. - The report emphasizes the need for China's financial sector to transition from being large to strong, focusing on mergers and acquisitions as a core growth engine for brokerage firms. It also notes the expansion of international business opportunities due to the ongoing internationalization of the RMB [4]. - The report discusses specific stock movements, including Huatai Securities' plan to issue HKD 10 billion in zero-coupon convertible bonds, and the restructuring of Zhongtai Securities to enhance operational efficiency [4][13]. - In the insurance sector, the report notes that Ping An Group has increased its stake in China Life (H) multiple times, reflecting confidence in the sector's value re-evaluation. The report anticipates steady growth in new business value (NBV) and an increase in equity allocation for China Life [4][11]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.33% during the week, while the non-bank index fell by 0.60%. The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported declines of 0.65%, 0.71%, and an increase of 0.43%, respectively [7]. Non-Bank Financial News and Key Stock Announcements - The report outlines regulatory updates regarding virtual currencies and asset tokenization, indicating a tightening of oversight in these areas [9]. - Specific stock announcements include Huatai Securities' bond issuance and Ping An's increased holdings in China Life, showcasing strategic moves within the sector [11][13]. Key Data Tracking - The report provides data on average daily trading volume, which reached CNY 24,068.65 billion, and highlights the significant increase in new investors, with 995,900 new accounts opened in August 2023 [23][24].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the dual focus on AI advancements and the deepening of domestic network capabilities in the communication industry, predicting significant growth in AI-related investments and domestic production across various segments [4][5][6] - The anticipated performance for Q4 2025 shows a robust increase in net profits for key companies, with some expected to see over 50% year-on-year growth [4][15] Group 1: AI and Network Development - The AI focus is expected to evolve around overseas mapping, optical communication trends, and changes in optoelectronic technology, with a shift from Scale out to Scale up in ecosystem development [4][5] - Domestic production trends are accelerating across four key areas: chips, cloud, network, and end devices, with significant growth potential in the chip sector due to global supply chain dynamics [4][5] - The report highlights the expected explosion in demand for optical devices and chips, driven by AI needs and the introduction of new technologies like silicon photonics [5][6] Group 2: Company Performance Predictions - Key companies are projected to experience substantial profit growth, with notable increases such as Heertai (+798%), Guangku Technology (+439%), and 5.5G Canqin Technology (+290%) [4][15] - The report outlines specific performance forecasts for major players, indicating a strong recovery in demand across various sectors, including optical communication and satellite internet [4][15] - Companies like China Mobile and ZTE are expected to benefit from increased capital expenditures directed towards AI and network investments, enhancing their revenue and profitability [6][15] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment opportunities in the AI computing network, including companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology, which are positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI capabilities [4][6] - The satellite internet sector is highlighted as having high barriers to entry and significant long-term investment potential, with companies like Zhenyou Technology and Xinke Mobile being key players [4][6] - The IoT sector is expected to see a surge in demand driven by AI and robotics, with companies like Lexin Technology and Guanghe Technology poised for growth [10][11]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the communication industry's investment strategy for 2026, focusing on the dual themes of AI enhancement and domestic network advancement [4] - It predicts a robust growth trajectory for various segments driven by AI demand and domestic production trends [5] AI Enhancement - The AI theme is expected to evolve around overseas mapping, optical communication prosperity, and changes in optoelectronic technology [4] - The shift from Scale out to Scale up in overseas mapping is highlighted, with an emphasis on the importance of an Ethernet-based open ecosystem as a significant growth driver [4] - The report anticipates a surge in silicon photonics and the introduction of Chiplet-based Optical (CPO) technology, expanding the optical communication landscape from modules to chips, cables, and OCS [4] Domestic Network Advancement - The report identifies a rapid acceleration in the domestic production trend across four key areas: chips, cloud, network, and end devices [4] - In the chip sector, there is significant potential for domestic growth due to global supply chain dynamics and market conditions [4] - The cloud and infrastructure segments are seeing marked improvements in local AIDC supply-demand dynamics, with rising demand for liquid cooling power supplies [4] - The network segment is poised for explosive growth under domestic Scale up and supernode solutions, with the satellite industry entering a critical phase of scale launches and commercialization [4] Segment Performance Forecasts - The report forecasts a strong performance for key companies in the communication sector for Q4 2025, with expected net profit growth rates exceeding 50% for several firms, including: - Heertai (+798%) - Guangku Technology (+439%) - 5.5G Canqin Technology (+290%) - New Yisong (+179%) [4] - Companies with projected net profit growth rates between 20%-50% include Tianfu Communication (+50%) and Lexin Technology (+47%) [4] - The report also highlights companies with lower growth expectations, such as Yilian Network (+9%) and China Telecom (+8%) [4] Key Companies and Their Prospects - China Mobile is expected to see stable capital expenditure with a focus on AI computing networks, enhancing its return on equity through improved revenue-cost dynamics [6] - Zhongji Xuchuang is positioned as a global leader in data communication optical modules, benefiting from AI computing demand and accelerating product iterations [6] - New Yisong is anticipated to leverage its strong brand presence and customer base to capitalize on AI computing network needs [6] - Tianfu Communication is expected to maintain growth driven by high-speed optical engine demand and breakthroughs with major clients [6] Emerging Trends and Opportunities - The satellite internet sector is expected to see significant catalysts, with a focus on regular launch progress and commercialization, indicating long-term investment value [5] - The high-precision positioning industry is benefiting from favorable policies and stable demand, with accelerated international expansion [5] - The report notes a recovery in connector demand, particularly in industrial sectors, with new opportunities emerging in robotics and other areas [5] - The IoT sector is projected to benefit significantly from AI and robotics, with expectations of high downstream demand growth [5]