【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】医药祝嘉琦：In vivo CAR 行业更新； 持续把握医药结构性行情 证券研究报告/晨会聚焦 2026 年 02 月 25 日 分析师：戴志锋 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 Email：daizf@zts.com.cn 研究分享>> 净息差保持平稳，净利润增速转正》 2026-02-23 欢迎关注中泰研究所订阅号 晨报内容回顾 1、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】固收吕 品 ： 节 后 还 会 延 续 修 复 吗 ？ 》 2026-02-24 2、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】银行戴 志锋：银行 2025 年 4 季度经营数据： 【医药】祝嘉琦：In vivo CAR 行业更新；持续把握医药结构性行情 3、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】宏观张 德礼：中国出口份额还有多大提升空 间？》2026-02-11 今日预览 摘要选自中泰证券研究所研究报告：In vivo CAR 行业更新；持续把握医药结构性行情 发布时间：2026 年 02 月 23 日 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 研究分享 【医药】祝嘉琦：In vivo CAR 行业更新；持续把握医药结构性行情 把握医药结构性行情，持续关注医 ...

自主研发筑基，BD 合源，双轮驱动创新价值高效兑现 ——迈威生物深度报告 迈威生物-U（688062.SH） 化学制药 证券研究报告/公司深度报告 2026 年 02 月 25 日 | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入（百万元） | 128 | 200 | 674 | 1,163 | 1,273 | | 增长率 yoy% | 361% | 56% | 238% | 72% | 10% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | -1,053 | -1,044 | -922 | -661 | -355 | | 增长率 yoy% | -10% | 1% | 12% | 28% | 46% | | 每股收益（元） | -2.64 | -2.61 | -2.31 | -1.65 | -0.89 | | 每股现金流量 | -1.96 | -2.39 | -1.81 | -1.29 | 0.17 | | 净资产收益率 | -40% | -6 ...

自主研发筑基，BD 合源，双轮驱动创新价值高效兑现 ——迈威生物深度报告 迈威生物-U（688062.SH） 化学制药 证券研究报告/公司深度报告 2026 年 02 月 25 日 | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入（百万元） | 128 | 200 | 674 | 1,163 | 1,273 | | 增长率 yoy% | 361% | 56% | 238% | 72% | 10% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | -1,053 | -1,044 | -922 | -661 | -355 | | 增长率 yoy% | -10% | 1% | 12% | 28% | 46% | | 每股收益（元） | -2.64 | -2.61 | -2.31 | -1.65 | -0.89 | | 每股现金流量 | -1.96 | -2.39 | -1.81 | -1.29 | 0.17 | | 净资产收益率 | -40% | -6 ...

【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】固收吕品：节后还会延续修复吗？ 证券研究报告/晨会聚焦 2026 年 02 月 24 日 分析师：戴志锋 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 Email：daizf@zts.com.cn 欢迎关注中泰研究所订阅号 晨报内容回顾 1、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】银行戴 志锋：银行 2025 年 4 季度经营数据： 净息差保持平稳，净利润增速转正》 2026-02-23 2、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】宏观张 德礼：中国出口份额还有多大提升空 间？》2026-02-11 3、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】固收吕 品：多空互加筹码，债市迎来"验牌 时刻"》2026-02-09 今日预览 【固收】吕品：节后还会延续修复吗？ 在过去一个多月，债市意外的走出了修复的行情，10 年下破 1.8%，TL 也站上 112.8 关键阻力位。 回顾年初以来的债市行情，基本多数品种都较 1 月初高点下行了 10BP 以上，5 年、7 年国债收益 率下行 14bp、13bp，7 年、10 年二永更是下行 20BP 以上。 我们在一月下旬就提示本轮修复行情，并在二月初《避险资产不避险，债市风景独好？》中提示 本轮 10 ...

化学制品 执业证书编号：S0740519070002 Email：sunying@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740524050001 Email：zhangkun06@zts.com.cn 联系人：郝文阳 Email：haowy@zts.com.cn | 总股本(百万股) | 3,130.47 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(百万股) | 3,130.47 | | 市价(元) | 84.96 | | 市值(百万元) | 265,964.87 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 265,964.87 | 股价与行业-市场走势对比 1、《Q3 利润同比正增，持续看好周 期龙头》2025-10-26 2、《费用下降&产销量增，Q2 业绩 表现超预期》2025-08-12 长期发展》2025-07-26 万华化学（600309.SH） 证券研究报告/公司深度报告 2026 年 02 月 24 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | ...

化学制品 执业证书编号：S0740519070002 Email：sunying@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740524050001 1、《Q3 利润同比正增，持续看好周 期龙头》2025-10-26 2、《费用下降&产销量增，Q2 业绩 表现超预期》2025-08-12 长期发展》2025-07-26 万华化学（600309.SH） 证券研究报告/公司深度报告 2026 年 02 月 24 日 Email：zhangkun06@zts.com.cn 联系人：郝文阳 Email：haowy@zts.com.cn | 总股本(百万股) | 3,130.47 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(百万股) | 3,130.47 | | 市价(元) | 84.96 | | 市值(百万元) | 265,964.87 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 265,964.87 | 股价与行业-市场走势对比 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates that the social financing (社融) in January 2026 reached a new historical high for the same period, with an increase of 7.22 trillion yuan, which is 165.4 billion yuan more than the same period last year, exceeding the consensus expectation of 6.51 trillion yuan [4][7] - The report highlights that credit growth has slowed, with a notable decrease in loans to enterprises, while government bonds and corporate bonds have seen significant increases [4][12] - The liquidity and deposit situation shows a narrowing gap between M1 and M2 growth rates, with total deposits increasing by 8.09 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.8 trillion yuan [18][20] Summary by Sections Social Financing Situation - In January 2026, social financing increased by 7.22 trillion yuan, up 165.4 billion yuan year-on-year, with a cumulative year-on-year growth rate of 8.2%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points from December 2025 [4][7] - The main contributors to the increase were government bonds and bank acceptance bills, while credit growth was notably lower [8][9] Credit Situation - The total RMB loans increased by 4.71 trillion yuan in January, which is 420 billion yuan less than the same period last year, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.1% [12][14] - The report details that household loans increased by 127 billion yuan year-on-year, while corporate loans decreased by 330 billion yuan [12][14] Liquidity and Deposit Situation - M1 and M2 growth rates both increased in January, with M1 growing by 4.9% and M2 by 9.0%, leading to a narrowing of the gap between the two [18][20] - Total deposits increased by 8.09 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9.9%, while household deposits showed a significant decrease [20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a shift in the investment logic for bank stocks from "pro-cyclical" to "weak-cyclical," emphasizing the attractiveness of high dividend yields during periods of economic stagnation [23] - Two main investment lines are recommended: regional banks with strong certainty and large banks with high dividends [23]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that the "Five Major Articles" loans have surpassed 100 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 40% of total loans, and continue to maintain a high growth rate, indicating a significant focus on this area for future credit [5][11] - New loan interest rates have seen a significant narrowing in year-on-year declines, with expectations of continued monetary easing, although comprehensive interest rate cuts will be approached with caution, suggesting that structural interest rate cuts may become the norm [5][18] Summary by Sections Section 1: "Five Major Articles" Credit Scale - The total balance of "Five Major Articles" loans reached 108.8 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 12.9%, representing 39% of the total loan scale [11] - Traditional industries still dominate corporate loans, but their share is gradually declining, with real estate and infrastructure loans together accounting for over 50% of corporate loans as of Q4 2025 [11] - Technology loans are experiencing high growth, with small and medium-sized technology enterprises' loans at 3.6 trillion yuan, representing 1.9% of corporate loans, and high-tech enterprise loans growing at 19.1% year-on-year [11] - Green loans also show high growth, with a balance of 44.8 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.2%, making up 24% of corporate loans [11] Section 2: New Loan Interest Rates - As of December 2025, the new loan interest rates for general loans, personal housing loans, and corporate loans were 3.55%, 3.06%, and 3.10%, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 27 basis points, 3 basis points, and 24 basis points [16] - The report indicates that the decline in new loan interest rates has narrowed significantly, with personal housing loan rates remaining stable for three consecutive quarters [16][18] Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a shift in bank stocks from "pro-cyclical" to "weak-cyclical," emphasizing the stability and sustainability of the sector [20] - Two main investment lines are recommended: focusing on city and rural commercial banks with regional advantages and strong certainty, and large banks with high dividend yields [20]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Increase" [2][18] Core Insights - The penetration rate of cooking robots is increasing, driving the scale expansion of restaurant brands. The cooking robot market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 3.17 billion in 2024 and 11.7 billion by 2030 [7][12] - Labor costs in the restaurant industry are rising, with the proportion of labor costs reaching 28.6% in 2025, potentially exceeding 35% due to minimum wage increases and social security regulations. The shortage of chefs is projected to reach 3 million by 2025, making cooking robots essential for improving operational efficiency [8][12] - Major companies are investing in cooking robots to enhance operational efficiency, with deployment expected to exceed 150,000 restaurant locations by 2027. Cooking robots can reduce meal preparation time from 5-10 minutes to an average of 2-3 minutes, improving efficiency by over 40% and reducing labor costs by 40-60% [15][16] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The industry comprises 128 listed companies with a total market value of 4,540.967 billion [4] Market Trends - The cooking robot market is rapidly expanding, with applications primarily in community canteens, group meals, and fast food scenarios. By 2028, the penetration rate in group meals and fast food is expected to reach around 50% [12][15] Company Developments - Companies like Guoquan, JD, and Zhengda are actively investing in the cooking robot sector, with significant deployments already in place. For instance, Guoquan plans to invest in cooking robot companies and has launched new projects [16]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics through three dimensions: policy, industry, and volatility, with the Chande theory focusing on the volatility aspect [3] - Chande theory consists of three components: fundamental analysis, comparative analysis, and technical analysis, with technical analysis being the closest to objective price facts and forming a high-probability trading system [3] Section Summaries Chande Theory Fundamentals - The Chande theory is built on three core principles: 1. Trends must complete and transform into new trends (upward/downward/consolidation) [4] 2. Self-similar structures indicate market fractal characteristics, with multiple levels of recursive definitions [4] 3. Three types of buy/sell points are defined: - First buy: trend bottom divergence (reversal point) - Second buy: secondary level pullback without breaking previous lows (confirmation point) - Third buy: breakout from the central area followed by a pullback without returning to the central area (acceleration point) [4][5] Technical Analysis Framework - The Chande framework includes a systematic breakdown with prerequisites and philosophical foundations, focusing on the following key points: - Segments must be broken by reverse segments, indicating the exhaustion of old energy and the establishment of new balance [5] - Any trend can be uniquely decomposed into three forms of connections at the same level [5] - Small divergences can trigger large-level reversals [5] Market Self-Similarity - The unique decomposition theorem states that any trend can be uniquely decomposed into a combination of trends and consolidations, resembling prime factorization [22] - The fractal nature of market movements allows for multi-level operations, where higher-level trends are defined by lower-level movements [23] Divergence and Buy/Sell Points - Divergence is a critical signal indicating the exhaustion of trend momentum, with two adjacent segments compared to identify strength changes [39] - The three types of buy/sell points provide a complete operational chain: - First type: trend divergence point, indicating potential reversals - Second type: confirmation point after a pullback - Third type: confirmation point after breaking out of a central area [39] Summary of Chande Theory - The Chande technical analysis system's three core principles create a tightly interconnected and logically sound system: - "Trends must complete" serves as the strategic guiding principle, establishing the ultimate laws of market operation - "Self-similar structures and levels" provide standardized tools for market dissection - "Divergence and buy/sell points" offer precise entry and exit signals for trading decisions [52]