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中国中车:2025年一季报点评:25Q1业绩实现高增,铁路装备业务提供主要驱动力-20250430
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 02:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [2][9]. Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the company achieved significant growth, with total revenue reaching 48.671 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 51.23%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.053 billion yuan, up 202.79% year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.806 billion yuan, reflecting a 320.20% increase year-on-year [2]. - The railway equipment business was the main driver of growth, with revenue from this segment reaching 25.786 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 93.63%. This was primarily due to increased income from high-speed trains and freight cars [2][4]. - The company's gross margin slightly declined to 23.42%, down 1.50 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in accounting standards affecting warranty-related sales expenses [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts total revenue of 273.163 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.84%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 13.808 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.47% increase year-on-year [1][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.48 yuan for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.80 based on the current price [1][10]. Market and Investment Environment - The recovery of fixed asset investment in railways is favorable, with a reported investment completion of 850.6 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11.26%. In the first quarter of 2025, the investment reached 131.2 billion yuan, up 5.13% year-on-year [4]. - The bidding for high-speed trains has also seen a resurgence, with the China National Railway Group publicly bidding for 245 sets of 350 km/h high-speed trains in 2024, a 49% increase year-on-year [4].
贵州茅台:2025年一季报点评:节奏得当,开局顺利-20250430
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 02:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 51.44 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 26.85 billion yuan, up 11.6% year-on-year [7] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 9% in 2025, driven by both Moutai liquor and series liquor [7] - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is 93.2 billion, 100.9 billion, and 110.3 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 8%, 8%, and 9% [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are 150.56 billion, 174.14 billion, 190.05 billion, 206.83 billion, and 227 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 18.04%, 15.66%, 9.14%, 8.83%, and 9.75% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is projected to be 74.73 billion, 86.23 billion, 93.20 billion, 100.94 billion, and 110.28 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.16%, 15.38%, 8.09%, 8.30%, and 9.25% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2025E is projected at 74.19 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 20.81 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 1,544.00 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 1,939.57 billion yuan [5] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 7.51 and a net asset value per share of 205.67 yuan [6]
普瑞眼科:2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩符合预期,新院爬坡有望带来业绩改善-20250430
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 02:00
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·医疗服务 普瑞眼科(301239) 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评:Q1 业绩 符合预期,新院爬坡有望带来业绩改善 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 2,718 | 2,678 | 2,989 | 3,306 | 3,656 | | 同比(%) | 57.50 | (1.46) | 11.60 | 10.61 | 10.58 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 267.91 | (101.86) | 104.09 | 194.76 | 252.38 | | 同比(%) | 1,202.56 | (138.02) | 202.19 | 87.11 | 29.58 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 1.79 | (0.68) | 0.70 | 1.30 | 1.69 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 23.95 | (62.98) | 61.64 | 32 ...
海天精工:业绩短期承压,产能稳步扩张注入长期成长性-20250430
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 01:55
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·通用设备 海天精工(601882) 2025 年一季报点评:业绩短期承压,产能稳 步扩张注入长期成长性 增持(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 3,323 | 3,352 | 3,870 | 4,471 | 5,168 | | 同比(%) | 4.59 | 0.85 | 15.46 | 15.53 | 15.59 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 609.48 | 522.99 | 641.03 | 759.63 | 895.60 | | 同比(%) | 17.06 | (14.19) | 22.57 | 18.50 | 17.90 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.23 | 1.46 | 1.72 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 16.49 | 19.21 | 15.68 | 13.23 | 11.22 | [Table_Tag] ...
中国人寿(601628):归母净利润大幅增长,新单结构显著优化
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 01:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year growth of 39.5% in Q1 2025, reaching 288 billion yuan [7][14] - The new business structure has notably improved, with the proportion of floating income business in the first-year premium income reaching 51.7%, a substantial increase compared to previous periods [7] - The company is expected to benefit from its competitive advantages as a leading player in the life insurance industry, with forecasts for net profit attributable to shareholders of 107.5 billion yuan, 112.0 billion yuan, and 120.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][18] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 344.27 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 53.53% in 2024 [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 106.93 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 131.56% [1] - The company's total investment assets have grown to 6.82 billion yuan, with a net investment income of 442 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [7] - The weighted return on equity (ROE) for Q1 2025 is reported at 5.5%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [7] Business Structure and Strategy - The company is actively diversifying its product offerings and enhancing its marketing strategies, with a focus on floating income products [7] - The sales team remains stable, with a slight decrease in the number of individual agents, but improvements in retention and efficiency are noted [7] - The report emphasizes the ongoing transformation of the sales force and the successful implementation of new marketing models [7] Valuation Metrics - The current market price is 36.23 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.17 for 2023 and projected P/E ratios of 9.58, 9.53, and 9.14 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [5][18] - The price-to-embedded value (PEV) is projected to be 0.68x for 2025, indicating that the stock is still undervalued [7][18]
中国汽研:2024年报、2025一季报点评:业绩符合预期,前沿布局持续跟进市场需求-20250430
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 01:40
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车服务 中国汽研(601965) 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 4,096 | 4,697 | 5,471 | 6,322 | 7,365 | | 同比(%) | 24.48 | 14.65 | 16.50 | 15.55 | 16.50 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 836.17 | 907.78 | 1,114.41 | 1,275.21 | 1,437.57 | | 同比(%) | 21.33 | 8.56 | 22.76 | 14.43 | 12.73 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.83 | 0.90 | 1.11 | 1.27 | 1.43 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 22.77 | 20.98 | 17.09 | 14.93 | 13.25 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2025 年 0 ...
海天精工(601882):业绩短期承压,产能稳步扩张注入长期成长性
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 01:32
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·通用设备 2025 年一季报点评:业绩短期承压,产能稳 步扩张注入长期成长性 增持(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 3,323 | 3,352 | 3,870 | 4,471 | 5,168 | | 同比(%) | 4.59 | 0.85 | 15.46 | 15.53 | 15.59 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 609.48 | 522.99 | 641.03 | 759.63 | 895.60 | | 同比(%) | 17.06 | (14.19) | 22.57 | 18.50 | 17.90 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.23 | 1.46 | 1.72 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 16.49 | 19.21 | 15.68 | 13.23 | 11.22 | [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_S ...
贵州茅台(600519):2025年一季报点评:节奏得当,开局顺利
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 01:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 514.4 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 268.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.6% [7] - The company is focusing on dual drivers of revenue growth from both Moutai liquor and series liquor, with a planned revenue increase of 9% for 2025 [7] - The company aims to optimize product and channel matching to explore revenue increments, maintaining stable pricing for Moutai liquor [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 150,560 million yuan - 2024A: 174,144 million yuan - 2025E: 190,054 million yuan - 2026E: 206,830 million yuan - 2027E: 227,000 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for total revenue are projected at: - 2023A: 18.04% - 2024A: 15.66% - 2025E: 9.14% - 2026E: 8.83% - 2027E: 9.75% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2023A: 74,734 million yuan - 2024A: 86,228 million yuan - 2025E: 93,203 million yuan - 2026E: 100,942 million yuan - 2027E: 110,276 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at: - 2023A: 19.16% - 2024A: 15.38% - 2025E: 8.09% - 2026E: 8.30% - 2027E: 9.25% [1] Valuation Metrics - The latest diluted EPS (Earnings Per Share) estimates are: - 2023A: 59.49 yuan - 2024A: 68.64 yuan - 2025E: 74.19 yuan - 2026E: 80.35 yuan - 2027E: 87.79 yuan - The corresponding P/E (Price to Earnings) ratios are: - 2023A: 25.95 - 2024A: 22.49 - 2025E: 20.81 - 2026E: 19.21 - 2027E: 17.59 [1]
天奈科技:2024年报及2025一季报点评:业绩符合预期,单壁碳管放量在即-20250430
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 01:30
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 天奈科技(688116) 2024 年报及 2025 一季报点评:业绩符合预 期,单壁碳管放量在即 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 1,404 | 1,448 | 2,174 | 2,902 | 3,867 | | 同比(%) | (23.75) | 3.13 | 50.15 | 33.45 | 33.27 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 297.16 | 250.20 | 450.04 | 652.68 | 912.76 | | 同比(%) | (29.96) | (15.80) | 79.88 | 45.03 | 39.85 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.86 | 0.73 | 1.31 | 1.89 | 2.65 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 47.22 | 56.08 | 31.18 | 21.50 | 15.37 | [Table ...
新华保险:2025年一季报点评:新单保费、NBV、净利润均表现亮眼-20250430
东吴证券· 2025-04-30 01:23
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·保险Ⅱ 新华保险(601336) 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书:S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 2025 年一季报点评:新单保费、NBV、净利 润均表现亮眼 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 71547 | 132555 | 138052 | 143499 | 149352 | | 同比(%) | -33.8% | 85.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 8712 | 26229 | 29196 | 30229 | 31352 | | 同比(%) | -59.5% | 201.1% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | | EV(元/股) | 80.30 | 82.85 | 90.72 | 99.66 | 109.66 | | PEV | 82 ...