Macro Strategy - The economic growth target of 5% for the year was successfully achieved, with Q4 GDP growth at 4.5% and nominal GDP growth at 3.8%, indicating a narrowing decline in the GDP deflator index from -1.1% to -0.7% [1][15] - Economic growth was primarily driven by exports and services, with service sector GDP growth at 5.4% and industrial GDP growth at 4.5%. Exports increased by 6.1%, while fixed asset investment decreased by 3.8% [1][15] - Q4 price recovery was noted, but remained weak, with actual GDP growth at 4.5% and nominal GDP growth at 3.8% [1][15] Industry Insights - The aerospace sector is highlighted as a long-term strategic focus under the 15th Five-Year Plan, with continued attention on semiconductor equipment, particularly in advanced processes and domestic replacements [5] - The semiconductor equipment ETF is recommended as a key investment target due to policy and performance dimensions [5] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to maintain its momentum, despite recent adjustments [21] Company Analysis - Zhongrong Electric (301031) is projected to exceed profit expectations for 2025, with net profits revised to 420 million, 600 million, and 800 million for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 122%, 44%, and 34% respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [11] - Junda Co., Ltd. (002865) is experiencing phase losses but is accelerating its layout for new growth points, with net profit forecasts adjusted to -1.27 billion, 470 million, and 1.04 billion for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [12] - Tonghuashun (300033) has its profit forecast raised to 3 billion, 3.8 billion, and 4.8 billion for 2025-2027, with growth rates of 67%, 26%, and 26% respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [13] - Putailai (603659) is expected to see net profits of 2.39 billion, 3.1 billion, and 4.02 billion for 2025-2027, with growth rates of 101%, 30%, and 30%, maintaining a "buy" rating [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the Robovan sector, particularly emphasizing the potential of L4 RoboX technology in 2026 [3]. Core Insights - The 2026 smart technology landscape differs from previous years, focusing more on AI logic and software opportunities rather than hardware and consumer sales [3]. - Key catalysts for Robovan's growth include model iterations, increased RoboX deployments, and supportive policy developments [3]. - The report highlights the successful penetration of Robovan in the express delivery sector, with expectations for expansion into fast-moving consumer goods, durable goods, and chain restaurant applications [3]. - Investment recommendations suggest a strong focus on L4 RoboX as a primary investment theme for 2026 [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report draws parallels between the current AI-driven transformation in transportation and the previous 4G mobile internet wave, noting that AI will enhance hardware capabilities and replace existing transportation methods [4][12]. - The report identifies Robovan as a key player in urban logistics, with significant potential for replacing traditional delivery vehicles [4][12]. Robovan Market Dynamics - Robovan's successful deployment in express delivery has led to approximately 27,000 units delivered in the first 11 months of 2025, primarily in the express sector [3]. - The report outlines the expected growth of Robovan in various logistics scenarios, including fast-moving consumer goods and durable goods delivery [3][46]. Technological Advancements - The report discusses the technological advancements in Robovan, including hardware and algorithm improvements that reduce costs and enhance operational efficiency [23][24]. - It emphasizes the importance of a robust supply chain and the integration of AI technologies to facilitate Robovan's commercial viability [23][24]. Policy Support - The report highlights ongoing government support for Robovan technology, with numerous policies aimed at facilitating the deployment and commercialization of autonomous delivery vehicles [12][19]. - It notes that over 250 cities have opened public road rights for Robovan, indicating a favorable regulatory environment for growth [20]. Market Potential - The urban delivery market is projected to reach 1.4292 trillion yuan in 2022, with Robovan expected to capture a significant share due to its efficiency in the supply chain [56]. - The report identifies that 64% of the urban delivery market consists of scenarios suitable for Robovan, indicating substantial growth opportunities [56].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The AI industry is transitioning from a period of rapid expansion (2024-2025) to a new phase characterized by demand realization and efficiency competition. The report suggests that while there are localized bubbles, a systemic collapse is unlikely [5][7] - Major cloud service providers like Microsoft, Google, and AWS are experiencing strong order growth and cash flow stability, while emerging players face significant challenges due to high valuations and debt pressures [2][3] - The competitive landscape in the AI model layer is evolving, with a narrowing gap between the US and China in terms of technological capabilities. The report highlights the importance of algorithm efficiency and the emergence of new architectures [6][7] Summary by Sections AI Investment - Discussions around AI bubbles have intensified, with many tech stocks experiencing price corrections post-earnings reports. The market is shifting from a belief in universal AI success to a more discerning view of companies with viable business models [15][19] - Concerns regarding capital expenditures (CapEx), depreciation, and return on investment (ROI) are prevalent, but the report argues that the growth in CapEx is supported by clear, sustainable drivers [10][19] Computing Power - Nvidia's dominance is being challenged as competitors emerge, with the report noting that while Nvidia's data center revenue has doubled, alternative chip solutions are gaining traction [5][6] - Google and Amazon are highlighted for their strategic advantages in the cloud computing space, with Google leveraging its TPU technology and Amazon expanding its Trainium deployments [5][6] Cloud Services Market - The report identifies a divergence in the cloud services market, where established giants are thriving while newer entrants struggle with high debt and rapid depreciation of assets [2][3] - The cloud market is seen as a critical foundation for supporting the explosion of AI demand, with significant growth expected in this sector [5][6] Model Layer - The report notes a shift from the myth of AGI to a focus on engineering paradigms, with significant advancements in model efficiency and multi-modal applications expected in 2026 [6][7] - The competitive dynamics between US and Chinese AI models are highlighted, with Chinese firms rapidly gaining ground through innovation and open-source strategies [6][7] Application Layer - The report emphasizes the commercial potential of AI in business-to-business (B2B) markets, with significant growth in enterprise spending on generative AI expected [6][7] - The consumer market is characterized by a dominance of general chatbots, while specific applications in programming and companionship show resilience [6][7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with real monetization capabilities, cost advantages, and long-term competitive moats. Key recommendations include Nvidia in the hardware space, Google and Amazon in cloud services, and specific AI application firms like MiniMax and Zhizhu [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company's Q4 2025 performance exceeded market expectations, with a projected net profit of RMB 383 to 432 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 105% to 131% [7] - The automotive business remains the primary growth driver, with a forecasted revenue of nearly RMB 1.5 billion from automotive fuses in 2025, reflecting a growth of over 60% year-on-year [7] - The company is expanding into new product categories, including high-voltage direct current relays and integrated BDU, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue in the coming years [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from RMB 1,060 million in 2023 to RMB 3,985 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 30.38% [1] - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 116.98 million in 2023 to RMB 801.15 million in 2027, with a CAGR of 33.64% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from RMB 1.19 in 2023 to RMB 8.15 in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [1] Market Data - The company's closing price is RMB 119.50, with a market capitalization of approximately RMB 11.75 billion [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 100.44 in 2023 to 14.67 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [1][5]

证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 固收点评 20260121 龙建转债：东北基建领军者 2026 年 01 月 21 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 事件 观点 证券分析师 李勇 执业证书：S0600519040001 010-66573671 liyong@dwzq.com.cn 2026-01-20 《 转债建议把握泛主线轮替、扩散行 情》 2026-01-20 东吴证券研究所 1 / 11 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 龙建转债（110100.SH）于 2026 年 1 月 22 日开始网上申购：总发行规 模为 10.00 亿元，扣除发行费用后的募集资金净额用于施工总承包、偿 还银行贷款等项目。 ◼ 当前债底估值为 98.08 元，YTM 为 2.16%。龙建转债存续期为 6 年,中 诚信国际信用评级有限责任公司资信评级为 AA/AA,票面面值为 100 元，票面利率第一年至第六年分别为：0.10%、0.30%、0.60%、1.00%、 1.50%、2.00%，公司到期赎回价格为票面面值的 110.00%（含最后一期 利息），以 6 年 AA 中债企业债到期收益率 2 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·光伏设备 钧达股份（002865） 2025 年业绩预告点评：业绩阶段性亏损，加 快布局新增长点 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 18,657 | 9,952 | 9,318 | 14,627 | 19,215 | | 同比（%） | 60.90 | (46.66) | (6.37) | 56.97 | 31.37 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 815.64 | (591.11) | (1,272.02) | 471.07 | 1,043.17 | | 同比（%） | 13.77 | (172.47) | (115.19) | 137.03 | 121.45 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 2.79 | (2.02) | (4.35) | 1.61 | 3.57 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 30.22 | (41.70) | (19.38) | 5 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, HaiNeng Technology (920476) [1]. Core Insights - HaiNeng Technology is focusing on the scientific instrument sector, leveraging both self-research and acquisitions to build a diverse product matrix, benefiting from the increasing domestic market share in scientific instruments [3][9]. - The company has established a strong competitive barrier through a full industry chain model, ensuring stable cash flow from its core products while expanding into high-growth areas such as chromatography instruments [3][10]. - The global market for analytical instruments is projected to grow significantly, with China's market expected to reach $11.66 billion by 2029, driven by increasing demand across various sectors [9][53]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - HaiNeng Technology, founded in 2006, specializes in the research, production, and sales of analytical instruments, initially focusing on Kjeldahl nitrogen analyzers and microwave digestion instruments, and later expanding into chromatography instruments [15]. - The company has developed a product matrix that includes organic element analysis, sample preparation, chromatography, and general instruments, serving various industries such as food, pharmaceuticals, and environmental testing [15][9]. Market Potential - The analytical instrument market is characterized by high technical barriers and diverse applications, with significant growth expected in the Chinese market, which is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.7% from 2024 to 2029 [53][50]. - The demand for analytical instruments is widespread across sectors, including food safety, pharmaceuticals, and environmental monitoring, indicating a robust market potential [50][53]. Financial Performance - The company is expected to see a recovery in performance, with projected revenues of 3.79 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 22.25% year-on-year growth, and net profits expected to reach 420 million yuan [1][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to improve from 0.15 yuan in 2024 to 0.49 yuan in 2025, indicating a positive trend in profitability [1][10]. Competitive Landscape - The Chinese analytical instrument market is currently dominated by foreign brands, with a high import rate for advanced products. However, domestic manufacturers like HaiNeng Technology are gradually gaining market share by offering competitive pricing and tailored services [9][58]. - The report highlights the importance of innovation and quality improvement in enhancing the competitive position of domestic firms in the analytical instrument sector [9][58].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, HaiNeng Technology (920476) [1]. Core Insights - HaiNeng Technology has established a multi-product matrix through self-research and acquisitions, benefiting from the growth in the scientific instrument sector and increasing domestic market share [3][9]. - The company is focusing on a full industry chain model, which enhances its competitive barriers and ensures stable cash flow from its core products [3][9]. - The market for experimental analysis instruments is expected to grow significantly, with the Chinese market projected to reach $11.66 billion by 2029, driven by increasing domestic demand and a shift towards local production [9][53]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - HaiNeng Technology, founded in 2006, specializes in the research, production, and sales of experimental analysis instruments, initially focusing on Kjeldahl nitrogen analyzers and microwave digestion instruments, and later expanding into chromatography instruments [15]. - The company has developed a diverse product range, including organic element analysis, sample preparation, chromatography, and general instruments, serving various sectors such as food, pharmaceuticals, and environmental testing [15]. 2. Market Potential - The global market for experimental analysis instruments is expected to grow from $82.95 billion in 2024 to $101.58 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.10% [53][55]. - The Chinese market is anticipated to grow from $9.28 billion in 2024 to $11.66 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 4.7% [53][55]. 3. Business Strategy - The company employs a multi-brand and multi-product strategy, focusing on high-value and technology-intensive products, particularly in the chromatography sector, which has shown significant growth potential [9][25]. - HaiNeng Technology has made strategic acquisitions to enhance its product offerings and market reach, including investments in companies that possess core technologies [9][15]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 3.79 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 420 million yuan, reflecting a significant recovery in performance driven by increased demand in the pharmaceutical and renewable energy sectors [1][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.15 yuan in 2024 to 0.49 yuan in 2025, indicating a strong rebound in profitability [1][10]. 5. Competitive Landscape - The experimental analysis instrument market is characterized by high barriers to entry, with significant competition from established international players, while domestic manufacturers are gradually increasing their market share through improved product quality and customer service [9][58].

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 璞泰来（603659） 2025 年业绩预告点评：负极盈利拐点已现， 多业务板块持续向好 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 15,340 | 13,448 | 14,855 | 19,473 | 23,569 | | 同比（%） | (0.80) | (12.33) | 10.46 | 31.09 | 21.03 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,912 | 1,191 | 2,389 | 3,098 | 4,023 | | 同比（%） | (38.42) | (37.72) | 100.65 | 29.67 | 29.88 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.89 | 0.56 | 1.12 | 1.45 | 1.88 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 30.76 | 49.38 | 24.61 | 18.98 | 14.61 | [Table_T ...

Macro Strategy - The economic growth target of 5% for the year was successfully achieved, with Q4 GDP growth at 4.5% and nominal GDP growth at 3.8%, indicating a narrowing decline in the GDP deflator index from -1.1% to -0.7% [1][18] - Economic growth was primarily driven by exports and services, with service sector GDP growth at 5.4% and export growth at 6.1%, while fixed asset investment declined by 3.8% [1][18] - Q4 prices showed signs of recovery but remained weak, with actual GDP growth at 4.5% and nominal GDP growth at 3.8% [1][18] Industry Insights - The aerospace sector is highlighted as a long-term strategic focus under the 15th Five-Year Plan, with continued attention on semiconductor equipment, particularly in advanced processes and domestic replacements [5] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to maintain its growth trajectory, supported by policy and performance metrics [24] - The semiconductor equipment ETF is recommended as a key investment target due to the clear expansion signals from TSMC [5][24] Company Recommendations - **Shouhua Gas (300483)**: Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.02/3.16/5.46 billion yuan, with a significant growth rate of 114%/210%/73%, and a "buy" rating is assigned [12] - **Keda Technology (002518)**: Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised to 6.4/11.2/15.3 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 63%/74%/36%, maintaining a "buy" rating [13] - **Hunan YN (301358)**: The company has shown a clear profit turning point with revised profit expectations of 12.8/35.0/47.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to a "buy" rating [14] - **Alibaba-W (09988.HK)**: The company is expected to maintain high growth in its cloud business, with projected non-GAAP net profits for FY2026/FY2027/FY2028 at 101,525/141,564/184,647 million yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [16] - **China Taiping (00966.HK)**: The company is projected to see a significant increase in net profits for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating based on its low valuation metrics [17]