Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - Forecasts for December 2025: 700 billion yuan in new loans, 1.8 trillion yuan in social financing increment; at the end of December, M2 reaches 338.1 trillion yuan with a YoY increase of 7.8%, new - caliber M1 YoY + 4.4%, and social financing growth rate at 8.2% [1] - New loans in December may be less year - on - year, and new loans in 2026 may also be less year - on - year due to weak credit demand and rising credit risks [2] - M1 growth rate may decline in December, and M2 growth rate may also decline slightly [2] - Social financing growth rate may continue to decline, and it is expected to drop to about 7.3% by the end of 2026 [2] - There may be a rebound in the bond market in January [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs New Loans - Forecasts 700 billion yuan in new loans in December 2025, with individual loans at - 20 billion yuan, corporate loans at + 650 billion yuan, and non - bank interbank loans at + 50 billion yuan [2] - For corporate loans, short - term loans are expected to be + 100 billion yuan, medium - and long - term loans + 50 billion yuan, and bill financing + 500 billion yuan [2] - For individual loans, short - term loans are expected to be - 50 billion yuan, and medium - and long - term loans + 30 billion yuan [2] M1 and M2 - New - caliber M1 growth rate is expected to be 4.4% at the end of December, a slight decline from the previous month [2] - M2 growth rate is expected to be 7.8% at the end of December, a slight decline from the previous month [2] Social Financing - Forecasts 1.8 trillion yuan in social financing increment in December 2024, with a large year - on - year decrease mainly from credit and net government bond financing [2] - Expected components in December: 650 billion yuan in RMB loans to the real economy, - 100 billion yuan in undiscounted bank acceptance bills, 250 billion yuan in net corporate bond financing, and 500 billion yuan in net government bond financing [2] - Social financing growth rate is expected to drop to 8.2% at the end of December, a 0.3 - percentage - point decline from the previous month [2] Bond Market - From November 20 to the end of December 2025, long - term bonds, especially ultra - long - term bonds, adjusted significantly [2] - Factors supporting bond investment include the rapid decline in bank liability costs, the prominent allocation value of government bonds after adjustment, and weak credit demand [2] - Insurance funds may increase the allocation of ultra - long - term bonds, and the bond fund scale is expected to stabilize or increase slightly [2] - The bond market may rebound in January [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the media and internet industry [4] Core Insights - The report highlights the potential growth of mini-games on platforms like WeChat, driven by new incentive policies that encourage developers to create high-quality content [5][6] - The film and television sectors are expected to benefit from upcoming releases and new government initiatives aimed at enhancing content supply [5][6] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI applications across various sectors, including education, e-commerce, and gaming, suggesting that companies embracing AI technology will benefit from industry transformations [7][8] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector ranked third among all industries with a 2.13% increase from December 29 to December 31, 2025 [15] - The report notes that the advertising, digital media, and film sectors performed well, while publishing, broadcasting, and gaming sectors lagged [16] Game Sector - Mini-games are expected to evolve from casual entertainment to more substantial and high-quality offerings, with significant growth potential in the gaming market [6] - Major titles like "Honor of Kings" and "Delta Force" are anticipated to maintain strong performance through frequent content updates [6] Film and Television Sector - The report indicates that the total box office for the week of December 29 to January 4 was 896 million yuan, with "Zootopia 2" leading the box office [40][41] - The television series "Punishment 2" achieved the highest viewership on platforms like iQIYI, indicating strong audience engagement [42][43] New Business Models - The report discusses the rise of "group broadcasting" as a new business model that shifts from individual-driven growth to system-driven growth, suggesting a focus on companies involved in this transition [9] - The introduction of new IPs and collaborations in the toy and merchandise sectors is highlighted as a strategy to drive consumer engagement [10] AI Applications - The report suggests that advancements in AI technology will lead to innovative applications across various industries, enhancing user engagement and revenue potential [7][46] - Companies that actively integrate AI into their operations are expected to gain a competitive edge in the evolving market landscape [46]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - Demand expectations for aluminum have been raised, leading to a strong breakthrough in aluminum prices [3] - Copper prices are experiencing high-level fluctuations after breaking historical highs, with significant inventory accumulation in domestic markets [5] - The lithium sector is entering an upward price cycle driven by strong demand, despite being in the off-season [79] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to tight raw material supply [91] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - China's manufacturing PMI for December exceeded expectations at 50.1, compared to the forecast of 49.2 [8] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending December 27 were lower than expected at 199,000 [8] Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 0.41% [11] - The sector's PE_TTM is 28.46, while the PB_LF is 3.51, indicating a premium over the broader market [20] Copper - London copper prices increased by 2.39%, while Shanghai copper prices decreased by 0.49% [25] - Domestic copper inventory saw a significant increase of 30.11%, while London copper inventory decreased by 7.45% [25] Aluminum - London aluminum prices rose by 1.79%, and Shanghai aluminum prices increased by 1.59% [37] - The profit margin for aluminum enterprises increased by 7.18% to 6,862 CNY/ton [37] Lithium - Carbonate lithium prices rose by 5.90% to 118,500 CNY/ton, while lithium spodumene prices increased by 3.89% to 1,548 USD/ton [79] - The lithium sector is expected to see a reversal in supply-demand dynamics, leading to a price increase [79] Cobalt - MB cobalt prices rose by 1.53% to 24.88 USD/pound, and domestic cobalt prices increased by 10.11% to 490,000 CNY/ton [91] - Domestic smelting margins for cobalt increased by 74.85% to 96,700 CNY/ton [91]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO represents a significant event in China's private commercial aerospace sector, focusing on the development and production of liquid oxygen-methane engines and launch services for reusable rockets [3][8] - The company aims to raise a total of 7.5 billion yuan, primarily for projects enhancing the capacity and technology of reusable rockets, which is expected to strengthen its delivery capabilities across the entire rocket lifecycle [3][8] - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing robust growth driven by policy support, marking a critical turning point in commercialization and positioning it as a potential trillion-yuan strategic emerging industry [9][11] Summary by Sections Section 1: Blue Arrow Aerospace's Market Position - Blue Arrow Aerospace is set to become the first private commercial rocket company listed in China, focusing on reusable rocket technology and aiming to establish a comprehensive aerospace technology ecosystem [3][8] - The company has successfully developed over 140 units of its "Tianque" series liquid oxygen-methane engines and achieved significant milestones, including the successful launch of China's first reusable liquid oxygen-methane rocket, "Zhuque-3" [10] Section 2: Industry Trends and Opportunities - The demand for low-cost, high-frequency rocket launches is expected to increase significantly due to the accelerated deployment of satellite constellations, such as the "GW Constellation" and "Qianfan Constellation," which plan to deploy over 12,990 and 15,000 satellites, respectively, by 2030 [9][10] - The commercial satellite internet and remote sensing sectors are anticipated to drive demand for Blue Arrow Aerospace's services, positioning the company favorably within the expanding commercial aerospace market [11] Section 3: Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to pay attention to companies associated with Blue Arrow Aerospace, including Jin Feng Technology and its supply chain partners such as Srei New Materials and Aerospace Power [11]

投资评级：看好（维持） 证券研究报告|行业专题报告 燃气Ⅱ 2025年12月31日 阵痛转型步入尾声 业务重构开启新机 --燃气行业2026年度投资策略 证券分析师 姓名：秦雨茁 邮箱：qinyuzhuo@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 投资要点 2 n 全球天然气市场供需格局重塑，预计2026年起全球LNG产能集中释放，而全球需求增速2025年或放缓，2026年或略有回升， 供需宽松背景下全球天然气价格有望持续下行周期。中石化经研院预测2026年东北亚LNG现货均价9.5~11.5美元/百万英热， TTF均价8.5~10.5美元/百万英热，下行趋势明显；而美国受到下游需求和出口增长驱动，预计HH均价小幅上涨至3.4~3.9美 元/百万英热。同时原油价格有望延续下行趋势，EIA预测2026年布伦特原油年平均价格为55美元/桶。 n 国际油气价格下行趋势有望促进城燃公司成本改善、需求释放。城燃公司气源结构主要来自三桶油、海外长协及现货等，三 桶油方面，低成本国产气产量高增、占比提升，同时油价下行有望带动进口管道气成本改善，三桶油成本端全方位改善，面 临海气价格冲击下 ...

Group 1 - The overall performance of the construction sector in 2025 was weaker than the CSI 300 index, with the SW construction decoration index increasing by 8.88% compared to the CSI 300's 18.19% [4][7] - Private enterprises in the construction sector showed significant advantages, achieving a return rate of 35.6%, while state-owned enterprises faced pressure with a return rate of -4.51% [4][7] - The report anticipates that the "14th Five-Year Plan" will open an investment upturn, with major projects expected to be launched in 2026, leading to a new cycle of investment growth [4][24] Group 2 - The report identifies three main value lines for future investment: major engineering projects, high dividends, and growth transformation [4][32] - Major engineering projects include significant investments in waterway construction, the Tibet railway, and hydropower projects, with total investments estimated at approximately 6,211 billion yuan for waterway projects alone [4][36][39] - The report suggests focusing on companies with high dividend yields and low valuations, as regulatory measures are enhancing the importance of shareholder returns [4][49] Group 3 - The construction sector is expected to benefit from the AI investment wave, with the cleanroom market projected to grow significantly due to increased demand from the semiconductor industry [4][55] - The cleanroom investment is estimated to account for 10-20% of the total capital expenditure in the semiconductor industry, indicating a strong growth potential in this area [4][55] - Companies such as Deep Sanda A, Yaxin Integration, and others are recommended for investment due to their involvement in the cleanroom sector [4][61]

Group 1: Fixed Income Market - The issuance of perpetual bonds (二永债) increased in November, with a total of 268.3 billion yuan issued, marking a month-on-month increase of 212.3 billion yuan and a year-on-year increase of 103.7 billion yuan [7][8] - Net financing for banks' perpetual bonds in the first eleven months of 2025 was primarily from state-owned banks, totaling 275 billion yuan, which is historically low due to high redemption levels [8][9] - The secondary market for perpetual bonds showed a downward trend in yields and credit spreads, with opportunities identified in AA+ rated bonds and above, particularly focusing on 5Y AAA-rated perpetual bonds [11][12] Group 2: Environmental Industry - The municipal environmental sector is expected to benefit from the expansion of insurance capital, with a focus on cash flow and dividend yield as key selection criteria for investment [13][14] - The growth of biofuels is anticipated due to intensified carbon reduction policies starting in 2025, with SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) and UCO (Used Cooking Oil) prices expected to rise [15][16] - Recommendations include focusing on companies with positive cash flow and increasing dividend expectations, such as 兴蓉环境 and 光大环境 [14][15] Group 3: Real Estate Market - The real estate sector saw a 1.9% increase in the index, with new home sales in 42 key cities rising by 9.9% week-on-week, totaling 2.61 million square meters [19][20] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development outlined key tasks for 2026, including stabilizing the real estate market and promoting urban renewal [20][22] - Policy adjustments in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai aim to support housing demand, particularly for families with multiple children, and to enhance the overall housing supply [20][22] Group 4: Company Analysis - 桂冠电力 - 桂冠电力 plans to acquire 大唐西藏公司 and 大唐 ZDN公司 for 2.025 billion yuan, which includes clean energy assets in Tibet [24][25] - The acquisition is expected to solidify 桂冠电力's position in the hydropower sector and enhance its development rights in the Nu River basin [25][26] - The projected net profit for 桂冠电力 from 2025 to 2027 is estimated at 2.8 billion, 3 billion, and 3.2 billion yuan, with a maintained "buy" rating due to long-term investment value in the hydropower sector [25][26]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has secured a 176 million yuan project for automotive-grade smart sensors from a leading intelligent driving system integrator, expected to start mass production in December 2026, which will enhance its influence in the smart automotive sensor sector [6] - The company plans to invest 54.8 million USD in a new factory in Malaysia to optimize global capacity and supply chain resilience, which is a key step in its globalization strategy [6] - The company is diversifying into liquid cooling for servers and industrial robots, with new products expected to enhance growth potential [6] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 98 million, 124 million, and 147 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 42.1, 33.3, and 28.0 times [6][8] Financial Summary - As of December 29, 2025, the closing price is 29.20 yuan, with a market capitalization of 4,121.38 million yuan and a circulating market value of 3,374.79 million yuan [3] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 1,376 million yuan by 2026, with a debt ratio of 12.54% [9] - Revenue is expected to grow from 617 million yuan in 2024 to 1,104 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 16.44% [8][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report highlights the planned acquisition of Datang Tibet Energy Development Co., Ltd. and China Datang Group ZDN Clean Energy Development Co., Ltd., which is expected to initiate a growth phase for the company [7] - The acquisition is valued at 2.025 billion yuan, with the assessed value of the target equity totaling 1.354 billion yuan, indicating a price-to-book ratio of 1.1 times [7] - The company is expected to secure hydropower development rights for the Nu River tributary, solidifying its position in the hydropower sector [7] - The report anticipates significant growth in net profit from 2.793 billion yuan in 2025 to 3.159 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios decreasing from 20.20 to 17.87 [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 8,091 million yuan in 2023, increasing to 9,784 million yuan in 2025, and reaching 11,049 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 6.28% [6] - The expected net profit for 2025 is 2,793 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22.33% [6] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 12.08% in 2024 to 14.64% in 2027 [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.29 yuan in 2024 to 0.40 yuan in 2027 [6]

Group 1 - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the environmental sector, highlighting the potential for growth and the strengthening of dividend attributes in municipal environmental assets [1][2] - Municipal environmental assets exhibit regional monopolistic characteristics, anti-cyclical nature, and stable profitability, with typical companies showing dividend yields between 4% and 7% [4][5] - Insurance capital has steadily increased its holdings in environmental governance, reaching 0.2% by Q3 2025, and is expected to continue favoring dividend-yielding stocks [5][11] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of free cash flow turning positive and the expectation of increased dividends as key drivers for stock price appreciation in the municipal environmental sector [23][39] - The performance of municipal environmental companies has shown significant growth in profitability, with garbage incineration enterprises experiencing high profit increases and improved cash flow due to capacity growth and reduced costs [12][18] - The report suggests focusing on companies with positive cash flow nearing stabilization, such as Xingrong Environment, and those with already positive cash flow and increasing dividends, like Guangda Environment and Hanlan Environment [5][23] Group 3 - The biofuel sector is expected to benefit from ongoing international carbon reduction policies, with prices for SAF and UCO anticipated to rise due to increased demand [5][18] - The report recommends focusing on scarce biofuel industry chain targets, particularly those transitioning to SAF or expanding overseas, such as Zhuoyue New Energy [5][18] - The demand for green methanol is projected to grow significantly starting in 2025, with companies like Jiazhe New Energy being highlighted for investment [5][18] Group 4 - The report outlines that the capital expenditure in the garbage incineration sector is entering a contraction phase, which is expected to enhance free cash flow and improve dividend capabilities [39][43] - The industry is transitioning to a phase of refined operations, focusing on internal growth and cautious external expansion, with significant potential for profit and cash flow improvement [48][49] - The report highlights the importance of regional characteristics and business models in determining the profitability and operational efficiency of garbage incineration companies [54][60]