Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's revenue and profit growth rates have slightly declined, with Q1 2025 revenue at 18.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, and net profit at 7.4 billion yuan, up 5.8% year-on-year [1][2] - The asset growth is robust, with total assets increasing by 17.6% year-on-year to 3.40 trillion yuan, driven by a 20.2% increase in deposits and a 20.4% increase in loans [1] - The non-performing loan generation rate has decreased, indicating improved asset quality, with a year-on-year decline of 0.13 percentage points to 1.15% [2] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2025 financial highlights include: - Revenue: 185 billion yuan, up 5.6% year-on-year - Net profit: 74 billion yuan, up 5.8% year-on-year - Annualized weighted ROE: 14.2%, down 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Loan growth was significant, with new loans of 164.1 billion yuan in Q1, compared to 109.4 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - The net interest margin for Q1 was 1.80%, a decrease of 10 basis points year-on-year [1][2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 29.2 billion yuan, 31.6 billion yuan, and 34.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.6%, 8.4%, and 7.8% [2][4] - The diluted EPS is projected to be 4.27 yuan, 4.64 yuan, and 5.01 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2][4] - Current stock price corresponds to a PE of 5.9, 5.4, and 5.0 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, and a PB of 0.71, 0.65, and 0.59 respectively [2][4]

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月29日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-04-28 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3288.41 | 9855.19 | 3781.61 | 10896.92 | 2648.15 | 1002.83 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | -0.20 | -0.62 | -0.14 | -1.00 | -1.01 | -0.17 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 4419.16 | 6143.92 | 2106.35 | 2299.97 | 2630.18 | 186.98 | $$\overline{{{\overline{{\mathbb{M}}}}}}\cong\pm\overline{{{\mathbb{M}}}}$$ 【常规内容】 宏观与策略 固 定 收 益 快 评 : 可 交 换 私 募 债 跟 踪 - 私 募 EB 每 周 跟 踪 （20250421-20250425） ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月28日 宇通客车（600066.SH） 优于大市 盈利能力稳健，一季度净利润同比增长 15% 一季度整体销量同比提升，净利润同比增长 15%。2025 年一季度宇通客车实 现营业收入为 64.2 亿元，同比-3.0%，归母净利润为 7.55 亿元，同比+14.9%， 扣非净利润为 6.42 亿元，同比+12.49%；25Q1 宇通客车实现销量 9011 台， 同比+16.59%，整体来看，得益于费用管控持续、减值冲回、销量提升等因 素，宇通客车业绩持续释放。 盈利能力稳健，销量结构有望逐步优化。具体来看，25Q1 应收回款减值冲回 3.17 亿元，一定程度增厚利润；25Q1 销售毛利率 18.9%，同比有所下滑主要 系 1）会计准则变动影响（销售费用中售后服务费纳入成本核算）；2）销售 结构变化（因订单交付节奏波动原因，25Q1 宇通客车出口 2057 台，同比 -20.8%，新能源客车出口 280 台，同比-36.9%)，另外 25Q1 轻客产品同比提 升近 10pct 至 19.4%，25Q1 公司净利率 11.8%，同比+1.8pct 盈利能力稳定； 现金流层面，25Q ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月28日 市场环境影响广告主需求，2024 年收入下滑 3%。1）2024 年，公司营业收入 40.7 亿元，同比下滑 3.2%，主要由于客户结构变化以及市场环境影响；归 母净利润 0.51 亿元，同比下降 44.5%，其中包括 0.76 亿的信用减值损失和 0.1 亿的资产减值损失。毛利率同比下降 0.9 个百分点至 17.2%；费用率整 体下降 0.1 个百分点至 13.6%。2）单看第四季度，公司收入 10.2 亿元，同 比下降 1.1%，降幅环比收窄 0.8 个百分点；归母净利润-0.1 亿元，同比增 长 29.9%。 红人营销平台效率提升，持续完善红人经济产业布局。1）主业红人营销平 台方面，活跃客户与红人数持续提升；客户方面，截至 2024 年末，WEIQ 累 计注册商家客户数 20.8 万，同比增长 8423 个；从红人方面看，红人账户累 计数量达 346.6 万，其中专职红人账户数/MCN 机构数分别为 212.7/1.91 万, 同比增长 30.9%/9.8%。此外，公司还持续通过数据产品、技术工具提升红人 商业化的效率。2）新业务方面，公司持续完善在红人经济 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company experienced a 1.8% year-on-year decline in operating revenue due to fluctuations in the bond market in the first quarter. Investment-related income decreased by 15.9%, with fair value changes dropping by 89.0%. However, insurance service revenue grew by 3.9% year-on-year, reaching 695.5 billion yuan [1] - The individual life insurance channel showed steady growth, with premium income of 82.87 billion yuan, and the proportion of participating insurance in new business premiums increased significantly by 16.1 percentage points to 18.2% [2] - The property insurance segment saw a 1.0% increase in premium income, totaling 63.108 billion yuan, while the combined ratio (COR) improved by 0.6 percentage points to 97.4% [2] - The company's investment strategy demonstrated resilience, maintaining a net investment yield of 0.8% year-on-year, despite market volatility. Total investment yield decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 1.0% [3] - The company maintains its earnings forecast for 2025 to 2027, projecting EPS of 4.77, 4.90, and 5.08 yuan per share, with current stock prices corresponding to P/EV ratios of 0.46, 0.40, and 0.35 [3] Financial Forecasts - The projected operating revenue for 2025 is 412.823 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.16% increase from 2024 [4] - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is 45.924 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.14% [4] - The diluted EPS is expected to be 4.77 yuan for 2025, with a steady increase projected in subsequent years [4] - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 10.89 in 2023 to 6.46 in 2025, indicating potential undervaluation [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][36] Core Views - The company has abundant orders on hand and is focused on becoming a platform enterprise for domain controllers, benefiting from new products and customer projects [1][3] - Revenue for 2024 is projected to be 5.968 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.0%, with a net profit of 772 million, up 26.8% year-on-year [1][8] - The company aims to optimize its product structure towards higher value products such as domain controllers and efuse, with expectations of significant increases in per-vehicle value [2][27] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.374 billion, a decrease of 3.0% year-on-year, and a net profit of 206 million, down 6.0% year-on-year [1][8] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 27.0%, down 5.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 15.9%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [21][24] - The company’s four expense rates decreased to 10.3% in Q1 2025, down 5.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability through cost reduction [2][24] Product and Market Development - The company has secured new projects with major clients such as Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Audi, with an expected total lifecycle sales volume of over 120 million units [3][31] - The efuse product has achieved mass production domestically and has gained market share with major clients, marking a significant technological achievement [19][31] - The company is expanding its global footprint, with a focus on increasing its international sales and production capabilities [34][35] Future Outlook - The company plans to continue diversifying its customer base, reducing reliance on a few major clients, and expanding its product line to meet diverse customer needs [32][36] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 7.2 billion, with a net profit of 1.01 billion, reflecting a growth strategy focused on high-value products and global market expansion [4][36] - The company is committed to technological innovation and collaboration with partners to enhance its competitive edge in the automotive electronics sector [28][36]

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月28日 巴比食品（605338.SH） 中性 2025 年第一季度收入同比增长 4%，公司经营状况企稳 巴比食品 2025 年第一季度收入同比增长 4%。巴比食品公布 2025 年第一季度 业绩，2025Q1 实现营业总收入 3.70 亿元，同比增长 4.45%；实现归母净利 润 0.37 亿元，同比减少 6.13%；实现扣非归母净利润 0.39 亿元，同比增长 3.33%。 单店保持改善趋势，并购贡献增量。2025Q1 面米类/馅料类/外购食品类/包 装及辅料/服务费收入分别同比+2.6%/+11.4%/+3.7%/+3.4%/-14.7%。2025Q1 特许加盟收入同比+2.7%，剔除青露并表原有门店收入虽然仍存压力，但是 单店营收缺口环比减少趋势延续；团餐业务收入同比+11.7%，主因新零售、 餐饮连锁等渠道团餐增速较快。2025Q1 末公司门店数量净增 501 家至 5644 家，其中并购的"蒸全味"、"青露"并表贡献 504 家。 核心观点 公司研究·财报点评 食品饮料·食品加工 | 联系人：王新雨 | | --- | | 证券分析师：张向伟 | 021-60875 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7][15]. Core Views - The company demonstrated resilience in its 2024 performance with a revenue of 23.58 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.4%, and a net profit of 5.52 billion yuan, up 20.2% year-on-year [1][4]. - The first quarter of 2025 started strong with a revenue of 9.15 billion yuan, representing a 10.4% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 2.33 billion yuan, up 12.8% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in revenue and net profit through 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 25.54 billion yuan, 27.63 billion yuan, and 29.45 billion yuan respectively, reflecting growth rates of 8.3%, 8.2%, and 6.6% [4][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 23.58 billion yuan, with a net profit of 5.52 billion yuan, marking a 20.2% increase year-on-year [1][6]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 4.51 billion yuan, with a slight decline in net profit by 0.7% year-on-year [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 reported a revenue of 9.15 billion yuan, up 10.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.33 billion yuan, up 12.8% year-on-year [1][4]. Product and Market Analysis - The revenue from the aged raw liquor segment reached 18.09 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 17.3% year-on-year, driven by both volume and price increases [2]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its product structure, with significant contributions from its premium products, particularly in the domestic market [2][4]. - The company is also expanding its presence in the lower-priced bottled liquor segment to capture additional market share [3]. Future Outlook - The company plans to maintain a robust growth trajectory, with a focus on marketing activities during key festive periods to boost sales [4]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 25.54 billion yuan, with a net profit of 6.07 billion yuan, indicating a continued positive outlook despite a slight adjustment in previous forecasts [4][8]. - The company is expected to maintain a competitive edge in the domestic market, particularly in the 100-600 yuan price range, leveraging its brand strength and distribution channels [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hikvision (002415.SZ) is "Outperform the Market" [6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a mild recovery in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 18.53 billion yuan (YoY +4.0%) and net profit at 1.926 billion yuan (YoY +9.44%) [1]. - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a strategic shift in its domestic business to enhance profitability [3]. - The innovation and overseas business segments are showing strong growth, contributing to over 50% of total revenue in 2024 [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 92.496 billion yuan (YoY +3.53%) and a net profit of 11.977 billion yuan (YoY -15.1%), with a gross margin of 43.83% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 56.19% [1]. Business Segments - The overseas revenue in 2024 was 31.895 billion yuan, up 10.1%, accounting for 34.48% of total revenue, with significant growth in non-video products [2]. - The innovation business generated 22.484 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 21.2% and representing 24% of total revenue, with notable growth in various segments such as robotics and automotive electronics [2]. Domestic Market Adjustments - The domestic PBG revenue was 13.467 billion yuan in 2024, down 12.29%, affected by local fiscal pressures [3]. - The EBG revenue was 17.651 billion yuan, down 1.09%, while SMBG revenue was 11.971 billion yuan, down 5.58% [3]. - The company is actively managing inventory levels with distributors to promote healthy channel development [3]. Future Outlook - The company expects to maintain operational resilience and long-term growth driven by industry digitalization, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 13.237 billion, 14.517 billion, and 16.664 billion yuan respectively [4]. - The projected PE ratios for 2025-2027 are 20, 18, and 16 times [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][12] Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 31.2 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.2%, and a net profit of 13.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.7% [1][4] - The company has set a shareholder return plan for 2024-2026, committing to a cash dividend of no less than 65%/70%/75% of net profit for each year [1] - The company is focusing on digital transformation, which is expected to enhance internal management efficiency and eventually lead to revenue growth as the consumer-centric model is established [4][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company recorded a total revenue of 31.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, and a net profit of 13.5 billion yuan, up 1.7% year-on-year [1][5] - The revenue for Q4 2024 was 6.89 billion yuan, down 16.9% year-on-year, while the net profit was 1.88 billion yuan, down 29.9% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 9.35 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.8%, and a net profit of 4.59 billion yuan, up 0.4% year-on-year [1] Product and Market Analysis - The sales of the Guojiao brand exceeded 20 billion yuan, while the Luzhou Laojiao brand surpassed 10 billion yuan in 2024 [2] - The revenue from mid-to-high-end liquor reached 27.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [2] - The company is actively expanding both traditional and new sales channels, with revenue growth of 3.2% and 4.2% respectively in 2024 [2] Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for liquor business decreased by 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a reduction in the payment price for Guojiao [2] - The company managed to maintain a good level of expense management, with the tax rate and sales expense ratio showing slight increases [2][3] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting revenues of 31.7 billion yuan, 33.4 billion yuan, and 35.5 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.7%, 5.2%, and 6.4% [4][11] - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 13.6 billion yuan, 14.2 billion yuan, and 15.2 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.5%, 4.5%, and 7.1% [4][11]