2025Q4 锂精矿（化学和技术级）的平均实现价格为 850 美元/吨（澳大利亚离岸价），环比上涨 16%。 [Table_Title] Greenbushes 锂矿 2025Q4 产销量分别环比+10%、 +9%至 35.2 万吨、32.8 万吨，2025Q4 单位现金生 产成本环比下降 4%至 373 澳元/吨 [Table_Title2] 有色金属-海外季报 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: ►锂业务 1、Greenbushes 锂矿（100%基础） 2025Q4 锂精矿生产量为 35.2 万吨，环比增长 10%，同比 减少 10%。 2025Q4 锂精矿销售量为 32.8 万吨，环比增长 9%，同比增 长 5%。 证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 4 日 2025Q4 单位现金生产成本为 373 澳元/吨，环比下跌 4%，同比上涨 15%。 2025Q4 资本支出为 1.178 亿澳元（2025Q3：1.211 亿澳 元 ）。 CGP3 于 2025 年 12 月 18 日按照调试计划处理了第一批矿 石。目前已完成一些小型附加工程，重点是提高产能 ...

证券研究报告|公司深度研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 4 日 [Table_Title] 布局省际游轮业务，迎接成长新纪元 [Table_Title2] 三峡旅游(002627) [Table_Summary] ► 三峡游轮：立足"两峡一坝"旅游产品体系，省际 游轮项目即将落地 三峡旅游是宜昌市旅游行业头部企业，过往业务重心包括乘 用车经销及服务业务、旅游综合服务、供应链管理业务三 块，23 年 12 月通过出售股权形式剥离资金密集型的乘用车 经销及服务业务、供应链管理业务后，旅游综合业务成为主 业，观光游轮成为收入/毛利主要支撑点。观光游轮业务主 要基于"两峡一坝"运营一日游旅游产品，包括"长江夜 游"、"升船机"、"高峡平湖"等匹配多层次观光游览需求的 产品体系，根据 25 年半年报，截至 25H1 末公司旗下游船数 量已达 32 艘，其中两坝一峡豪华观光游轮 6 艘、其他游船 24 艘、在建省际豪华游轮 2 艘，24 年观光游轮业务贡献收 入 2.06 亿元/同比+17.73%，较 19 年同期+135.01%。 ► 银发群体需求匹配：省际游轮产品有效解决中老年 客群出行痛点， ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - The NAL project in North America reported a decrease in lithium concentrate production to 44,154 tons in Q4 2025, a 15% decrease quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to high iron content affecting recovery rates and a decline in raw material grade [1][2] - The total sales volume of lithium concentrate reached 66,016 tons in Q4 2025, marking a significant increase of 154% compared to the previous quarter [3] - The average actual selling price (FOB) for Q4 2025 was $998 per ton, reflecting strong market conditions driven by increased demand and reduced expectations for the reactivation of idle capacity [4] - The unit operating cost (FOB) for Q4 2025 was slightly lower than the previous quarter at $812 per ton, despite a 14% increase in total costs associated with mining and stripping [5] - Revenue for Q4 2025 reached $66 million, setting a quarterly operational record, primarily due to the increase in sales volume and a 27% rise in average selling price [9] Production and Sales Summary - In Q4 2025, the processing plant treated 351,592 tons of ore, a 3% increase quarter-on-quarter, with an average raw material grade of 0.98% Li₂ O [1] - The recovery rate for Li₂ O in Q4 2025 was 62%, down from 69% in Q3 2025, due to lower raw material grades and increased iron content [1] - The processing plant's utilization rate was 89%, a 2% increase from the previous quarter, despite planned downtime for equipment maintenance [1] Inventory and Future Outlook - As of December 31, 2025, finished product inventory decreased to 29,913 tons due to increased shipments and reduced production [8] - The company has revised its production forecast for FY 2026 to between 180,000 and 190,000 tons, with sales expectations of 170,000 to 190,000 tons, and unit sales operating costs adjusted to $860 to $880 per ton [18]

证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 4 日 [Table_Title] Greenbushes 锂矿 2025Q4 产销量分别环比+10%、 +9%至 35.2 万吨、32.8 万吨，2025Q4 单位现金生 产成本环比下降 4%至 373 澳元/吨 CGP3 于 2025 年 12 月 18 日按照调试计划处理了第一批矿 石。目前已完成一些小型附加工程，重点是提高产能。 截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，Windfield 持有现金余额 1.992 亿美元（2.976 亿澳元），已提取债务 12 亿美元 （17.929 亿澳元），其中 1.5 亿美元债务已于 2026 年第二 季度偿还。 [Table_Title2] 有色金属-海外季报 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: ►锂业务 1、Greenbushes 锂矿（100%基础） 2025Q4 锂精矿生产量为 35.2 万吨，环比增长 10%，同比 减少 10%。 2025Q4 锂精矿销售量为 32.8 万吨，环比增长 9%，同比增 长 5%。 2025Q4 锂精矿（化学和技术级）的平均实现价格为 ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - The NAL project in North America experienced a decrease in lithium concentrate production by 15% to 44,154 tons in Q4 2025, primarily due to high iron content affecting recovery rates and a decline in raw material grade [1][2] - The total sales volume of lithium concentrate surged by 154% to 66,016 tons in Q4 2025, with two batches sold [3] - The average actual selling price (FOB) reached $998 per ton, reflecting strong market conditions driven by increased demand and reduced expectations for idle capacity [4] - The unit operating cost (FOB) slightly decreased to $812 per ton, while total costs for mining and stripping increased by 14% in line with a 15% rise in mining volume [5] Production and Sales Summary - In Q4 2025, the processing plant treated 351,592 tons of ore, a 3% increase from the previous quarter, with an average raw material grade of 0.98% Li₂ O [1] - The recovery rate for Li₂ O was 62%, down from 69% in Q3 2025, due to lower raw material grades and increased iron content [1] - Finished product inventory decreased to 29,913 tons as of December 31, 2025, due to increased shipments and reduced production [8] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q4 2025 reached $66 million, setting a quarterly operational record, driven by a 154% increase in lithium concentrate sales and a 27% rise in average FOB price [9] Future Outlook - The company has revised its production forecast for FY 2026 to 180,000 to 190,000 tons, with sales expectations of 170,000 to 190,000 tons, and unit sales operating costs adjusted to $860 to $880 per ton [19]

证券研究报告|公司深度研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 4 日 [Table_Title] 布局省际游轮业务，迎接成长新纪元 [Table_Title2] 三峡旅游(002627) [Table_Summary] ► 三峡游轮：立足"两峡一坝"旅游产品体系，省际 游轮项目即将落地 三峡旅游是宜昌市旅游行业头部企业，过往业务重心包括乘 用车经销及服务业务、旅游综合服务、供应链管理业务三 块，23 年 12 月通过出售股权形式剥离资金密集型的乘用车 经销及服务业务、供应链管理业务后，旅游综合业务成为主 业，观光游轮成为收入/毛利主要支撑点。观光游轮业务主 要基于"两峡一坝"运营一日游旅游产品，包括"长江夜 游"、"升船机"、"高峡平湖"等匹配多层次观光游览需求的 产品体系，根据 25 年半年报，截至 25H1 末公司旗下游船数 量已达 32 艘，其中两坝一峡豪华观光游轮 6 艘、其他游船 24 艘、在建省际豪华游轮 2 艘，24 年观光游轮业务贡献收 入 2.06 亿元/同比+17.73%，较 19 年同期+135.01%。 ► 银发群体需求匹配：省际游轮产品有效解决中老年 客群出行痛点， ...

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 02 月 03 日 [Table_Title] 资产配置日报：绝地反击 2 月 3 日，随着市场逐渐消化美联储换帅的潜在影响，近期超跌资产普遍进入修复状态。伦敦金现货单日涨 幅超 5%，重新站上 4900 美元/盎司，伦敦银现货涨幅则超过 9%，价格回升至 86 美元/盎司之上；亚太地区主流 指数迎来普涨，日经 225、韩国综指涨幅达到 3.92%、6.84%；国内股指同样重振旗鼓，沪深 300、中证 2000、 科创综指分别上涨 1.18%、2.83%、2.44%。 权益市场缩量反弹。万得全 A上涨 2.12%，全天成交额 2.57万亿元，较昨日（2月 2日）缩量 410亿元。港 股方面，恒生指数上涨 0.22%，恒生科技下跌 1.07%。南向资金净流入 9.52 亿港元，其中腾讯控股净流入 19.55 亿港元，中芯国际和阿里巴巴则分别净流出 15.77 亿港元和 11.98 亿港元。 大跌之后，个股普遍反弹，题材行情接力低位修复逻辑。地产和白酒在开盘后表现活跃，两者均为 1 月 29 日 低位反弹的代表性品种，指向开盘时部分资金仍尝试博弈 ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Recommended" for investment, indicating a strong performance expectation relative to the benchmark index [8]. Core Insights - In Q4 2025, the company produced 105,342 tons of lithium concentrate, representing a 21% quarter-on-quarter increase [1]. - Sales of lithium concentrate reached 112,122 tons, a 45% increase from the previous quarter, with an average grade of 5.1% Li₂O [2]. - The average realized price for lithium concentrate was $900 per ton, reflecting a 29% increase compared to the previous quarter [3]. - The quarter-end inventory of concentrate decreased to 13,800 tons, indicating strong sales performance and customer demand [4]. - Unit operating costs fell to $910 AUD per ton ($597 USD per ton), a 17% decrease, attributed to improved mining efficiency and increased production [5]. - Total sustaining costs decreased by 22% to $1,059 AUD per ton ($695 USD per ton), driven by lower operating costs and reduced capital expenditures [6]. - The transition to 100% underground mining is expected to further enhance recovery rates and reduce costs [5][6]. Production and Sales Summary - The total feed transported during the quarter was 1.61 million tons, including 625,000 tons of ore, with an average grade of 1.1% Li₂O [9]. - Underground mining operations expanded, achieving an annualized target of 1 million tons, with plans to increase to 1.5 million tons by Q3 FY2026 and 2.8 million tons by the end of FY2027 [10]. - The company successfully completed its first spot market auction at $1,254 per ton, indicating strong buyer demand [11]. - A binding purchase agreement was signed with Canmax Technologies for the supply of 150,000 tons of wet lithium concentrate in FY2027 and FY2028 [12]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenue of $130 million AUD for Q4 2025, a 91% increase quarter-on-quarter [13]. - Cash balance at the end of Q4 2025 was $390 million AUD, down from $420 million AUD in the previous quarter [13]. - Operating cash flow showed significant improvement, with a net cash flow of -$400,000 AUD, largely due to increased customer cash receipts [13].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the industry, predicting that the industry index will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 10% or more during the specified period [21]. Core Insights - The operational performance of Pilbara Minerals in Q4 2025 met expectations, reflecting ongoing improvements in mining efficiency and strategic initiatives aimed at maximizing ore processing capacity [1]. - The total mining volume increased from 7.7 million tons in the previous quarter to 8.1 million tons, indicating effective operational measures and a shift towards self-operated mining [1]. - The average expected actual selling price for lithium concentrate was $1,161 per ton (CIF, SC5.2), representing a 56% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 66% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company maintained a robust balance sheet with a cash balance of AUD 954 million and an undrawn credit facility of AUD 625 million as of December 31, 2025 [7]. Summary by Sections 1. Lithium Concentrate Production and Sales - In Q4 2025, lithium concentrate production totaled 208,000 tons, a 7% decrease quarter-on-quarter but an 11% increase year-on-year [2]. - Total sales of lithium concentrate reached 232,000 tons, an 8% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 14% increase year-on-year [2]. - The lithium recovery rate was 75.8%, and the company implemented additional crushing capacity to ensure operational continuity during periods of increased wear [2]. 2. Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of AUD 373 million in Q4 2025, a 49% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 73% increase year-on-year [7]. - Operating cash profit was AUD 166 million, driven by price increases and ongoing cost optimization [7]. - Capital expenditures for Q4 2025 were AUD 45 million in cash terms, with a focus on mine development and infrastructure [8]. 3. Upstream Development Projects - The company is strategically positioning itself during the lithium market downturn to maintain operational capability and performance expectations [9]. - The Ngungaju processing plant is under evaluation for potential restart, with preparations including crusher upgrades [11]. - The P2000 feasibility study is ongoing, assessing the potential expansion of the Pilgangoora project to approximately 2 million tons per year [12]. 4. Chemical Business Strategy - The chemical business strategy focuses on maintaining long-term growth options within the lithium value chain [14]. - The midstream demonstration plant project in Australia was completed in Q4 2025, with updates on commissioning expected soon [16]. - The joint venture with POSCO for downstream production of lithium hydroxide is progressing, with production lines successfully meeting commercial standards [17].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the industry, predicting that the industry index will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 10% or more during the specified period [22]. Core Insights - The operational performance of Pilbara Minerals in Q4 2025 met expectations, reflecting ongoing improvements in mining efficiency and strategic initiatives aimed at maximizing ore processing capacity [1]. - The total mining volume increased from 7.7 million tons in the previous quarter to 8.1 million tons, indicating effective operational measures and a shift towards a self-operated mining model [1]. - The average expected actual selling price for lithium concentrate was $1,161 per ton (CIF, SC5.2), representing a 56% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 66% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company maintained a robust balance sheet with a cash balance of AUD 954 million and an undrawn credit facility of AUD 625 million as of December 31, 2025 [7]. Summary by Sections 1. Lithium Concentrate Production and Sales - In Q4 2025, lithium concentrate production totaled 208,000 tons, a 7% decrease quarter-on-quarter but an 11% increase year-on-year [2]. - Total sales of lithium concentrate reached 232,000 tons, an 8% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 14% increase year-on-year [2]. - The lithium recovery rate for the quarter was 75.8%, despite increased ore processing [2]. 2. Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of AUD 373 million in Q4 2025, a 49% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 73% increase year-on-year [7]. - Operating cash profit was AUD 166 million, driven by price increases and ongoing cost optimization [7]. - Capital expenditures for the quarter were AUD 45 million in cash terms, with a focus on mine development and infrastructure [8]. 3. Upstream Development Projects - The company is strategically positioning itself during the lithium market downturn to maintain operational capability and performance expectations [9]. - The Ngungaju processing plant is under evaluation for potential restart, with preparations ongoing for upgrades [11]. - The P2000 feasibility study is progressing, with results expected in Q1 2026, focusing on expanding production capacity [12]. 4. Chemical Business Strategy - The chemical business strategy emphasizes maintaining long-term growth options within the lithium value chain, including expanding downstream markets [14][15]. - The midstream demonstration plant project in Australia was completed in Q4 2025, with updates on commissioning expected soon [16]. - The joint venture with POSCO for downstream lithium hydroxide production continues to show technical strength, despite market challenges [17].