Index Performance - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,564, down 1.0% for the day and up 3.6% year-to-date (YTD) [2] - The HSCEI closed at 9,134, down 0.9% for the day and up 2.5% YTD [2] - The MSCI China index closed at 86, down 1.0% for the day and up 3.6% YTD [2] Commodity Price Performance - Brent Crude remained stable at US$64 per barrel, with a YTD increase of 5.4% [3] - Gold prices rose to US$4,671 per ounce, reflecting an 8.1% increase YTD [3] - Copper prices fell to US$12,803 per ton, down 2.3% for the day but up 3.1% YTD [3] Economic Indicators - China's GDP growth moderated to 4.5% YoY in Q4 2025, slightly above expectations, with a full-year growth of 5% for 2025 [6] - Industrial profits in China decreased by 13.1% YoY as of January 27, 2026 [4] - The 1-Year Loan Prime Rate in China remained stable at 3.0% as of January 20, 2026 [4] Sector Insights - The OTA sector is under pressure due to an antitrust probe involving Trip.com, which saw a stock price drop of over 20% [10] - Despite the probe, long-term earnings impact on Trip.com is expected to be limited, with investor confidence potentially returning by August 2026 [10] - The property market in China is showing marginal improvement, but underlying pressures persist, with expectations for stabilization by late 2026 or early 2027 [13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1][5] Core Views - The company is a leader in photovoltaic encapsulation materials, maintaining a market share of approximately 50% in the photovoltaic film auxiliary materials sector. It offers a range of products including UVB films, light conversion films, and high-reflective back sheets, aimed at providing cost-effective encapsulation solutions for new technologies such as TOPCon and HJT [8] - The company is actively exploring new solutions for space photovoltaic applications, leveraging its existing technology in UV cutoff and conversion, as well as its proprietary PI material technology, which has already been commercialized in electronic materials [8] Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is estimated at RMB 18,622 million, with a growth rate of -2.7%. By 2026, revenue is expected to increase to RMB 23,536 million, reflecting a growth rate of 26.4% [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 is RMB 1,029 million, with a significant rebound expected in 2026 to RMB 1,930 million, representing a growth rate of 87.6% [7] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is RMB 0.39, with an increase to RMB 0.74 in 2026 and RMB 0.99 in 2027 [5][7] - The company maintains a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 38.8 for 2025, which is expected to decrease to 20.7 in 2026 and further to 15.4 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [5][7] Market Performance - The company's stock has shown an absolute return of 9.7% year-to-date, with a relative performance of 7.4% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1][5] Core Views - The company is a leader in photovoltaic encapsulation materials, maintaining a market share of approximately 50% in the photovoltaic film auxiliary materials sector. It offers a range of products including UVB films, light conversion films, and high-reflective back sheets, aimed at providing cost-effective encapsulation solutions for new technologies such as TOPCon and HJT [8] - The company is actively exploring new solutions for space photovoltaic applications, leveraging its existing technology in UV cutoff and conversion, as well as its proprietary PI material technology, which may play a significant role in future space photovoltaic projects [8] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenue growth from RMB 22,589 million in 2023 to RMB 27,672 million in 2027, with a notable increase of 26.4% in 2026 [7] - The projected net profit is expected to rise from RMB 1,850 million in 2023 to RMB 2,592 million in 2027, with a significant growth rate of 87.6% in 2026 [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from RMB 0.71 in 2023 to RMB 0.99 in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 34.3% in 2026 [7] - The company maintains a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio forecast of 38.8 for 2025, decreasing to 15.4 by 2027, indicating a potential for valuation improvement [5][10] Market Performance - The company's stock has shown an absolute return of 9.7% year-to-date and a relative return of 7.4% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - The average trading volume over the past three months is RMB 370.03 million, with a total market capitalization of approximately RMB 39,965.88 million [2]

Group 1: Macro Economic Overview - The economic development in 2025 is expected to achieve the target of 5% GDP growth, with a 4.5% year-on-year growth in Q4 and a nominal GDP growth of 3.8% [5][7] - Industrial added value in December increased by 5.2% year-on-year, while the cumulative growth for the entire year was 5.9% [5][6] - Retail sales in December showed a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, with a 1.7% increase in retail sales excluding automobiles [5][6] Group 2: Social Services Sector - Outsourcing and flexible employment are key growth drivers for the human resources service industry, with the company benefiting from a comprehensive business layout and digital empowerment [9][10] - The human resources service market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 13.89% from 2024 to 2028, supported by government policies focusing on employment stability [10][11] - The company has a robust business structure with high-margin services in personnel management and compensation, ensuring profit resilience [11][12] Group 3: Chemical Industry Insights - The chemical industry is advised to focus on undervalued leading companies and the impact of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries [3][29] - In January, 49% of tracked chemical products saw price increases, indicating strong demand in the downstream market [24][29] - The average price of butadiene increased by 4.04% week-on-week, while epoxy propane prices rose by 8.84% [26][27] Group 4: Transportation Sector Developments - Strategic partnerships in logistics, such as the mutual shareholding between SF Express and Jitu Express, are aimed at enhancing cross-border e-commerce logistics capabilities [32][33] - The aviation sector is set to expand with new domestic and international routes being launched for the Spring Festival in 2026 [32] - The geopolitical situation in Iran has led to increased risk premiums in shipping, affecting oil transport dynamics [32][33] Group 5: Computer Industry Trends - The commercialization of AI is accelerating, with significant partnerships like that between Ant Group and Google to enhance transaction infrastructure [36][37] - Kuaishou's AI revenue reached approximately 200 million USD in December 2025, indicating rapid growth in the video generation sector [38] - Alibaba's Qianwen App has integrated deeply with its ecosystem, enhancing its capabilities to perform real-world tasks, marking a shift in AI applications [39][40]

Group 1 - The report highlights that after approximately 12 years of restructuring local government responsibilities, the most challenging phase has been overcome, providing a foundation for proactive fiscal, industrial, monetary, and credit policies, which are expected to exceed current market expectations by mid-2026 [4][10][14] - The core of economic activation lies in guiding high-net-worth funds into investment and consumption through moderate inflation and an active capital market, focusing on high-valuation industries such as technology manufacturing, biomedicine, and cultural entertainment [5][22] - The report emphasizes the significant growth potential in China's semiconductor and biomedicine sectors, which currently have market values of less than 1/10 and 1/40 of their U.S. counterparts, respectively [6][31] Group 2 - The report indicates that the strategic easing of U.S.-China relations is fostering internal momentum, while the global potential growth rate remains low, indicating significant room for expansion [7][8] - It notes that China contributes approximately 30% to global growth, yet its weight in the MSCI All Country World Index is less than 3%, suggesting a clear logic for asset allocation and revaluation of Chinese assets [8][9] - The forecast for China's core broad-based stock index is an expected increase of over 40% in 2026, driven by nearly 20% profit growth and a 20% valuation increase, with sectors like technology manufacturing and biomedicine expected to lead the rally [9][10] Group 3 - The report outlines that the government support has played a crucial role in the technological rise of countries like the U.S. and Japan, and that China's technology sector still shows significant gaps in revenue and profitability compared to the U.S. [6][31] - It discusses the importance of strategic industries as core pillars for capital and innovation, highlighting their high growth potential and low competition, which can attract substantial social capital [24][26] - The report identifies four key directions for strategic industries: technology manufacturing, biomedicine, medical insurance, and cultural entertainment, emphasizing the need for a collaborative approach between commercial insurance and industrial investment [26][30]

Economic Growth - In 2025, the actual GDP grew by 5.0% year-on-year, achieving the annual growth target[3] - The GDP growth rate for Q4 2025 was 4.5%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from Q3 2025[4] - The nominal GDP growth rate for Q4 2025 was 3.8%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from Q3 2025[4] Industrial Performance - In December 2025, industrial added value increased by 5.2% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations[13] - The cumulative year-on-year growth of industrial added value for 2025 was 5.9%[3] - The manufacturing sector showed a cumulative year-on-year growth of 6.4% in 2025, while the mining sector grew by 5.6%[19] Consumer Spending - In December 2025, retail sales of consumer goods grew by 0.9% year-on-year, marking the seventh consecutive month of decline[28] - The cumulative year-on-year growth of retail sales for 2025 was 3.7%, with service consumption growing by 5.5%[28] - The average disposable income per capita in 2025 was 43,377 yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0%[52] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment decreased by 3.8% year-on-year in 2025, with private investment down by 6.4%[39] - Real estate investment saw a cumulative year-on-year decline of 17.2% in 2025, with residential investment down by 16.3%[48] - The cumulative year-on-year growth of fixed asset investment in the manufacturing sector was 0.6%[43]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a market price of RMB 5.04 and a sector rating of outperforming the market [2]. Core Insights - The company, as the first publicly listed human resources service provider in China's A-share market, has a solid foundation and a competitive edge in high-margin services such as personnel management and compensation benefits. It is expected to benefit from the industry's growth driven by outsourcing and flexible employment trends [4][9]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of approximately RMB 258 billion, RMB 291 billion, and RMB 332 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profits of RMB 6.77 billion, RMB 7.33 billion, and RMB 7.67 billion respectively. The company is expected to maintain its profitability despite a slight decline in gross margin [6][9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has a 40-year history in the human resources service industry and was listed through a major asset restructuring in 2021. It has established a comprehensive service structure covering personnel management, compensation benefits, recruitment, flexible employment, and outsourcing [16][21]. - The company is controlled by state-owned capital, ensuring stability in governance and operational compliance [19]. Industry Analysis - The human resources service market is expected to grow steadily, with a projected CAGR of 13.89% from 2024 to 2028, potentially exceeding RMB 30 trillion by 2025. New business models such as outsourcing and flexible employment are anticipated to drive this growth [45][47]. - The employment sentiment is stabilizing, with the unemployment rate remaining steady between 5.0% and 5.6% since 2023, indicating a potential recovery in recruitment intentions [55][56]. Competitive Advantages and Growth Drivers - The company has a broad client base, serving over 50,000 clients and more than 3 million employees, which mitigates risks associated with industry fluctuations [77]. - The company is focusing on professionalization, digitalization, and internationalization, which are expected to enhance its long-term growth potential [74][75]. - The outsourcing business has shown significant growth, driven by the need for companies to reduce costs and improve efficiency, indicating a high certainty of growth in this segment [82][84].

Investment Rating - The report rates the computer industry as "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Insights - The commercialization of AI is accelerating, with significant developments in intelligent agents and video generation technologies [2][10][12] - Ant Group and Google have launched a Universal Commercial Protocol (UCP) to standardize AI-driven commercial interactions, enhancing seamless collaboration across various systems [10][11] - Kuaishou's Keling AI has achieved a monthly revenue of over $20 million (approximately 140 million RMB) as of December 2025, indicating rapid commercialization in the video generation sector [12][13] - Alibaba's Qianwen App has integrated deeply with its ecosystem, transitioning AI capabilities from simple chat functions to executing complex tasks, marking a new era in AI applications [15][16] - Shanghai's "Mosu Zhixing" initiative aims to scale L4 autonomous driving applications by 2027, establishing a leading position in the global smart connected vehicle industry [19][20] - The U.S. has threatened storage chip manufacturers with a 100% tariff unless they increase domestic production, highlighting the geopolitical dynamics in the semiconductor industry [22][23] Summary by Sections AI Commercialization - Ant Group and Google have introduced UCP, a new open standard for intelligent agents that facilitates seamless commercial interactions across various platforms [10][11] - Kuaishou's Keling AI has seen a significant increase in revenue, reaching an annual run rate of $240 million (approximately 1.68 billion RMB) by December 2025, driven by enhanced product capabilities and computational power [12][13][14] Integration of AI in Ecosystems - Alibaba's Qianwen App has integrated with major services like Taobao and Alipay, enabling it to perform real-world tasks such as ordering food and booking travel, thus evolving into a comprehensive AI assistant [15][16][17] Autonomous Driving Initiatives - Shanghai's "Mosu Zhixing" plan aims for large-scale deployment of L4 autonomous driving technology by 2027, with specific targets for passenger and freight transport [19][20][21] Semiconductor Industry Dynamics - The U.S. Commerce Secretary has warned storage chip manufacturers of potential tariffs, emphasizing the need for increased domestic production and the strategic importance of semiconductor independence [22][23]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a positive outlook for the AI application sector, indicating that the current market dynamics are driven by macro liquidity, industry trends, and performance validation, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend in this area [9][11][13] - The report highlights the expected growth in global electric vehicle sales, which is anticipated to drive demand for batteries and materials, particularly in the context of solid-state battery technology reaching a critical engineering validation phase [4][22] - The report notes that the "spring excitement" market is facing short-term pressure, influenced by external macroeconomic uncertainties and domestic regulatory adjustments aimed at stabilizing market conditions [9][10] Macroeconomic Overview - The macroeconomic analysis indicates a preference for asset allocation in the following order: equities > commodities > bonds > cash, reflecting a strategic approach to navigating uncertainties in 2026 [5][7] - Key economic indicators from December show new social financing at 2.21 trillion yuan and new loans at 910 billion yuan, with M2 growth at 8.5% year-on-year, suggesting a stable economic environment [5] Industry Performance - The report provides a detailed breakdown of industry performance, with the electronic sector showing a 2.64% increase, while media and computer sectors experienced declines of 4.84% and 2.23% respectively, indicating varied performance across sectors [1] - The report identifies the current allocation in the multi-strategy industry rotation system, with significant positions in basic chemicals (13.8%), non-bank financials (12.9%), and coal (8.5%), reflecting a diversified investment strategy [3][19] Electric Power Equipment and New Energy - The report maintains a strong market outlook for the electric power equipment and new energy sectors, with recommendations to focus on companies involved in solid-state batteries, photovoltaic materials, and hydrogen energy applications [4][22] - It highlights the anticipated growth in wind power demand, supported by government initiatives to expand renewable energy projects, suggesting a favorable environment for related companies [22][24] Company-Specific Insights - The report mentions specific companies such as BYD, which is actively pursuing solid-state battery technology, and highlights the expected profitability turnaround for Tianji Co. in 2025, projecting a net profit of 70 million to 105 million yuan [25][24] - It also notes the expected losses for companies like JinkoSolar and TCL Zhonghuan, indicating challenges within the sector despite overall growth prospects [25][24]

- The report does not contain any specific quantitative models or factors for analysis[1][2][3] - The report primarily focuses on market performance, valuation, style tracking, and fund flows without detailing any quantitative model construction or factor definitions[1][2][3] - Key metrics such as PE_TTM, ERP, and style performance (e.g., growth vs dividend, small-cap vs large-cap) are discussed, but no explicit quantitative model or factor construction process is provided[39][49][59]