星源材质 300568.SZ 公司研究 | 年报点评 | 隔膜产销同比高增，全球布局开花结果 | | --- | 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 由于隔膜价格下跌，我们下调公司 2025-2026 年每股收益预测值至 0.34、0.54 元 （原预测值为 0.83、0.99 元），并新增 2027 年预测值 0.80 元。结合可比公司估值 水平，给予公司 2025 年 34 倍市盈率，对应目标价为 11.56 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 ⚫ 锂电池需求不及预期；动力电池技术路线变革；行业竞争加剧导致产品价格下降； 假设条件变化影响测算结果；公司海外项目推进不及预期等。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 3,013 | 3,541 | 4,636 | 5,929 | 7,720 | | 同比增长 (%) | 4.6% | 17.5% | 30.9% | 27.9% | 30.2% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 824 | 407 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in revenue and net profit, with a projected revenue of RMB 609.14 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.88%, and a net profit of RMB 23.22 billion, up 10.34% year-on-year [8] - The cloud computing segment is anticipated to show strong growth, with revenue expected to exceed RMB 3.19 trillion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 64.37%, marking a significant contribution to overall revenue [8] - The company is focusing on advanced product development and has a diversified performance elasticity that is expected to accelerate [5] Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is RMB 756.42 billion, with a growth rate of 24.2% [7] - The expected net profit for 2025 is RMB 29.37 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 26.5% [7] - The company’s EBITDA for 2025 is projected to be RMB 39.10 billion, with a corresponding PE ratio of 13.0 times [5][7] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 7.28%, a decrease of 0.78 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately RMB 382.68 billion [3]

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 万孚生物（300482）2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 四大业务运营稳健，海外业务持续突破 证券分析师：郑辰 邮箱：zhengchen@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360520110002 事项： 公司发布 24年报及 25年一季报，2024 年，公司实现营收 30.65亿元（+10.85%）， 归母净利润 5.62 亿元（+15.18%），扣非归母净利润 4.97 亿元（+19.90%）， 25Q1，公司实现营收 8.00 亿元（-7.06%），归母净利润 1.89 亿元（-13.37%）， 扣非归母净利润 1.72 亿元（-17.57%）。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 3,065 | 3,525 | 4,024 | 4,637 | | 同比增速(%) | 10.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | | 归母净利润(百万) | ...

北交所信息更新 万达轴承（920002.BJ） 拓展工业+人形机器人新领域，2025Q1 归母净利润+30% 2025 年 05 月 14 日 投资评级：增持（维持） | 日期 | 2025/5/13 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 226.50 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 329.20/37.30 | | 总市值(亿元) | 73.62 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 13.02 | | 总股本(亿股) | 0.33 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 0.06 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 1,876.71 | 北交所研究团队 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 2025Q1 营收 8837.3 万元（+3.31%），归母净利润 1853.09 万元（+29.95%） 2025 年一季度公司实现营业收入 8837.3 万元，同比增长 3.31%；归母净利润 1853.09 万元，同比增长 29.95%，扣非归母净利润 1396.05 万元，同比增长 0.97%。 受下游市场竞争加剧影响，我们维持 2025 年盈利预测， ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 31.8 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.4%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.06 billion yuan, up 31.4% year-on-year [2][6]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.41 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.04 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.5% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company is focusing on expanding its global production capacity, with plans for new projects in Vietnam, Cambodia, Mexico, and Indonesia, aiming to enhance its market presence and profitability [10][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company produced 74.81 million tires and sold 72.16 million tires, with revenue and profit both showing significant growth [10]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 27.6%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.23 yuan per 10 shares to all shareholders [2]. Market Dynamics - The company has maintained a strong export growth rate due to the competitive pricing of its products, particularly in the European and American markets [10]. - The company has been actively enhancing its non-road tire business, with a total annual production capacity of 215,000 tons expected by the end of 2024 [10]. Product Innovation - The company has developed a new product called "Liquid Gold" tires, which have received international recognition for their superior performance in terms of rolling resistance, wet slip resistance, and wear resistance [10]. - The lifecycle carbon emissions of the "Liquid Gold" tires are significantly lower compared to standard tires, indicating a strong potential market opportunity [10]. Future Outlook - The company expects to see continued revenue and profit growth as it expands its production capacity both domestically and internationally [10]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 4.15 billion yuan, 5.23 billion yuan, and 6.19 billion yuan, respectively [10].

"分销+产品"双轮驱动，企业级存储国产替代需求增长 其他电子零组件Ⅲ 香农芯创（300475.SZ） 买入-A(首次) 公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季度报告。2024 年全年公司实现营业 收入 242.71 亿元，同比增长 115.40%；实现归母净利润 2.64 亿元，同比下降 30.08%。2025 年第一季度公司实现营业收入 79.06 亿元，同比增长 243.33%； 实现归母净利润 0.17 亿元，同比增长 18.66%。 事件点评 市场数据：2025 年 5 月 13 日 收盘价（元）： 32.20 年内最高/最低（元）： 45.19/22.92 流通A股/总股本（亿）： 4.40/4.58 流通 A 股市值（亿）： 141.76 受益于服务器需求持续增长和存储行业复苏，公司营收创历史新高。 2024 年全年公司实现营业收入 242.71 亿元，同比增长 115.40%；2025 年第 一季度公司实现营业收入 79.06 亿元，同比增长 243.33%。公司 2024 年及 2025 年一季度营业收入均创同期新高，主因系人工智能等相关半导体需求持续激 增和电子产品复苏的推动，带动公 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance [4][6]. Core Insights - The company is a leading manufacturer of high-voltage frequency transformers, actively expanding into the commercial and industrial energy storage market, which is expected to become a significant growth driver [1][3]. - The company has a strong market share of over 25% in the high-voltage frequency transformer sector and is recognized as a pioneer in domestic substitution for these products [1][13]. - The company is expected to recover from previous losses in 2024 and achieve significant revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 528 million, 670 million, and 843 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been focused on special transformers for over 40 years, with a strong emphasis on frequency transformers and energy storage solutions [11][13]. - The company has experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.68% in total revenue from 2018 to 2023, indicating steady growth despite recent challenges [14]. High-Voltage Frequency Transformers - The high-voltage frequency transformer market is characterized by high technical barriers, with the company being a key player in this sector [23][48]. - The market for high-voltage frequency transformers is projected to grow from 120.33 billion yuan in 2017 to over 200 billion yuan by 2025, driven by demand in various industries including data centers and electric ships [30][83]. Energy Storage - The global commercial and industrial energy storage market is expected to see a significant increase, with new installations projected to reach 6.1 GW/15.26 GWh by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 40% [3][62]. - The company has established a subsidiary, Suzhou Huachu, to focus on energy storage solutions, enhancing its product offerings and market presence [3][75]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 5.28 billion, 6.70 billion, and 8.43 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits projected to grow significantly during the same period [4][5]. - The report anticipates that the company's profitability will improve as it capitalizes on new market opportunities and optimizes its operations [4][83].

主业稳健，AI 赋能+出海增量可期 ——值得买 24 年年报及 25 年一季报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据最新财报，我们预测公司 25-27 年归母净利润 1.3/1.5/1.8 亿元（原预测 25-26 年 归母净利润 1.4/1.7 亿元，根据最新财报下调收入预测和毛利率，AIGC 业务赋能下 调费用率），参考可比公司给予 25 年 60xPE（调整后均值），对应目标价 38.40 元/ 股，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 行业竞争加剧，流量增长放缓，AIGC 进展不及预期对公司估值有所影响。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 1,452 | 1,518 | 1,704 | 1,925 | 2,322 | | 同比增长 (%) | 18.2% | 4.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 20.6% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 83 | 83 | 159 | 183 | 228 | | 同比增长 (%) | - ...

证券研究报告/公司研究 银轮股份：汽车热管理老牌龙头，液冷行业新星 投资要点 ➢ 热管理行业龙头，产品多元化发展 银轮股份深耕热管理行业四十余年，多轮战略精准判断行业趋势，2005-2024 年营 业收入复合增速达 19%。公司前身是 1958 年成立的天台机械厂，公司抓住商用车 国产化替代需求进入热交换领域；2007 年深交所上市；2010 年后，商用车业务增 速放缓，公司进行全球化拓展与多产品领域延伸，从商用车延伸至乘用车、工业换 热、尾气处理等领域；2017 年公司成立新能源乘用车事业部，2018 年起公布二次 创业计划，大力发展新能源乘用车业务；2023 年公司正式成立数字能源事业部，包 含储能和数据中心液冷产品等，作为第三成长曲线。 ➢ 储能+数据中心+超充多点开花，液冷行业"从1到N"放量在即 数据中心液冷：功耗、政策、成本驱动，预计2025年中国市场规模140亿元。单芯 片功耗和机柜功率密度持续提升，超过传统风冷上限；政策严控PUE值；芯片端、 服务器端、运营商端出于对全生命周期成本的追求，协同推进液冷应用。 储能液冷：渗透率持续提升，预计2025年中国市场规模121.5亿元。随着电池能量 密度 ...

星源材质 300568.SZ 公司研究 | 年报点评 | 隔膜产销同比高增，全球布局开花结果 | | --- | 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 由于隔膜价格下跌，我们下调公司 2025-2026 年每股收益预测值至 0.34、0.54 元 （原预测值为 0.83、0.99 元），并新增 2027 年预测值 0.80 元。结合可比公司估值 水平，给予公司 2025 年 34 倍市盈率，对应目标价为 11.56 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 ⚫ 锂电池需求不及预期；动力电池技术路线变革；行业竞争加剧导致产品价格下降； 假设条件变化影响测算结果；公司海外项目推进不及预期等。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 3,013 | 3,541 | 4,636 | 5,929 | 7,720 | | 同比增长 (%) | 4.6% | 17.5% | 30.9% | 27.9% | 30.2% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 824 | 407 | ...