2025 年 4 月 1 日 行业研究/行业周报 非银行金融行业近一年市场表现 相关报告： 【山证非银行金融】行业并购再推进， 关 注 券 商 业 绩 披 露 - 行 业 周 报 （20250317-20250323）： 2025.3.25 【山证非银行金融】资本市场助力提振 消费，券商财富管理优势凸显-行业周报 （20250310-20250316）： 2025.3.19 孙田田 执业登记编码：S0760518030001 电话：0351-8686900 邮箱：suntiantian@sxzq.com 刘丽 执业登记编码：S0760511050001 电话：0351--8686985 邮箱：liuli2@sxzq.com 研究助理： 李明阳 邮箱：limingyang@sxzq.com 非银行金融 行业周报（20250324-20250330） 领先大市-A(维持) 券商业绩显著改善，鼓励耐心资本入市 投资要点 券商业绩显著提升。上周 19 家券商披露 2024 年年报，整体业 绩改善显著。其中，13 家证券公司实现收入正增长，15 家证券公 司实现归母净利润正增长，13 家证券公司加权平均净资产收益率实 ...

炼焦煤 淮北矿业（600985.SH） 增持-A(维持) 一体化经营继续加深，红利成长双可期 2025 年 4 月 1 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年度报告：报告期内公司实现营业收入 657.35 亿元，同 比-10.43%，归母净利润 48.55 亿元，同比-22.00%，扣非后归母净利润 46.43 亿元，同比-21.19%。经营活动产生的现金流量净额 90.63 亿元，同比-30.45%； 基本每股收益为 1.84 元，同比-26.69%；加权平均 ROE 为 11.95%，同比降 低 5.67 个百分点。 事件点评 26.93/26.93 煤炭量、价随市场下行，但成本下降，毛利率持平。2024 年以来受下游 需求不振及进口增速超预期等影响，国内煤、焦产业链价格以回调为主。2024 年，秦皇岛港动力末煤 Q5500、京唐港主焦煤全年均价分别同比变化-11.44% 和-11.42%，淮北产二级冶金焦均价同比-15.41%。公司产品以炼焦精煤、焦 炭为主，售价的下行拖累公司业绩；公司 2024 年累计实现商品煤产销量分 别 2055.30、1536.69 万吨，同比变化-6.46% ...

基础数据：2024 年 12 月 31 日 基本每股收益(元)： 1.84 摊薄每股收益(元)： 1.84 每股净资产(元)： 17.40 净资产收益率(%)： 9.55 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 煤化工板块继续受成本压制及售价下行影响，毛利亏损。报告期内公司实现 焦炭产量 354.65 万吨，同比-5.95%；销量 352.21 万吨，同比-6.05%；吨焦 售价 1961.04 元/吨，同比-15.85%；实现甲醇产量 40.77 万吨，同比-22.74%， 销售 19.84 万吨，同比-61.75%，单位售价 2157.21 元/吨，同比+1.58%。甲 醇销量变化主要受延伸产业链利用甲醇生产无水乙醇影响，2024 年公司 60 万吨无水乙醇项目正式投产，全年累计产量 37.11 万吨，销量 36.19 万吨， 单位售价 4999.42 元/吨。但整体来看，因受焦炭下游市场需求不振影响， 公司煤化工板块整体毛利率实现 19.34%，同比降低 0.99 个百分点。 炼焦煤 淮北矿业（600985.SH） 增持-A(维持) 一体化经营继续加深，红利成长双可期 2025 年 4 月 1 日 公司研究/公司快报 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [6]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic helicopter manufacturing industry, fully supporting the development of the low-altitude economy. It has a comprehensive product range and is involved in the research and manufacturing of various types of helicopters and general aircraft [5]. - The company is integrating helicopter assembly assets to expand its product range and enhance overall production capacity, which is expected to improve its main business capabilities. It has raised 3 billion yuan for projects related to new helicopter and drone development, maintenance capabilities, and production capacity enhancement [5]. - The company is anticipated to benefit from the rapid growth of general aviation and the low-altitude economy, with projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 being 0.83, 0.99, and 1.15 yuan, respectively [6]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 29.766 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.93%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 7.98% to 556 million yuan. The adjusted net profit increased by 19.68% to 482 million yuan [4]. - The company's total liabilities reached 358.40 billion yuan, a significant increase of 103.89% year-on-year, while cash and cash equivalents rose by 311.85% to 132.72 billion yuan [4]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 34.622 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16.3%, and the net profit is expected to increase to 680 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 22.3% [11]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a forecast for the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which is expected to be 43.7, 36.7, and 31.5 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6]. - The projected return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 2.9% in 2024 to 5.1% by 2027, indicating an enhancement in the company's profitability [11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock based on expected performance relative to the benchmark index [8]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic helicopter manufacturing industry, fully supporting the development of the low-altitude economy. It has a comprehensive product range and is involved in the research and manufacturing of various helicopter models and general aviation aircraft [6]. - The company is undertaking an integration of helicopter assembly assets to expand its product range and enhance overall production capacity. This strategic move is expected to improve its main business capabilities and allow it to benefit from the growth of new aircraft models in the low-altitude economy [6]. - The company raised 3 billion yuan to fund projects aimed at enhancing its research and development capabilities for new helicopters and drones, as well as improving its aviation maintenance and production capabilities [6]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 29.766 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.93%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 7.98% to 556 million yuan. The non-recurring net profit increased by 19.68% to 482 million yuan [5]. - The company's total liabilities reached 358.40 billion yuan, a significant increase of 103.89% year-on-year, while cash and cash equivalents surged by 311.85% to 132.72 billion yuan [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was reported at 0.72 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 2.94% [4]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts the company's EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 0.83 yuan, 0.99 yuan, and 1.15 yuan, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 43.7, 36.7, and 31.5 [8]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 34.622 billion yuan in 2025 to 45.291 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13.9% [12].

研究早观点 2025 年 4 月 1 日 星期二 市场走势 资料来源：最闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,335.75 | -0.46 | | 深证成指 | | 10,504.33 | -0.97 | | 沪深 | 300 | 3,887.31 | -0.71 | | 中小板指 | | 6,570.50 | -1.16 | | 创业板指 | | 2,103.70 | -1.15 | | 科创 | 50 | 1,022.71 | -0.66 | 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 李召麒 执业登记编码：S0760521050001 电话：010-83496307 邮箱：lizhaoqi@sxzq.com 【今日要点】 【山证新股】新股周报（2025.03.31-2025.04.03）-3 月份双创板块新股 首日涨幅下降，科创板胜科纳米上市 【山证农业】农业行业周报（2025.03.24-2025.03.30）-水产饲料需求或有望 见底回升，看好海大集团的配置时机 【行业评论】化学原料：新材料周报（250324-03 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [3][7]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 10.435 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 9.09%, primarily due to a loss of 1.5 billion yuan in raw material prices in the pesticide industry [4][5]. - The implementation of the "One Certificate, One Product" policy by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is expected to reduce market homogenization and inefficient competition, benefiting the company's brand and product sales [5]. - The company's formulation sales reached 1.545 billion yuan, with a slight decrease of 7.78% year-on-year, but maintained profit levels from the previous year [5]. - The company is actively addressing challenges in overseas markets and has seen a 3.65% year-on-year increase in trade business sales, amounting to 2.306 billion yuan in 2024 [5][6]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit of 1.202 billion yuan in 2024, down 23.19% year-on-year [4][9]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.408 billion yuan, 1.592 billion yuan, and 1.754 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.5, 13.7, and 12.4 [7][9]. - The company's gross margin is expected to improve slightly, with projections of 24.1% in 2025 and 24.4% in 2026 [11][12]. Market Position - The top ten companies in the pesticide industry account for nearly 40% of total sales, indicating an increase in industry concentration [6]. - The company’s raw material sales volume reached 99,872.64 tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.50% [6].

2025 年 3 月 31 日 公司研究/公司快报 资料来源：最闻 李旋坤 执业登记编码：S0760523110004 王金源 邮箱：wangjinyuan@sxzq.com 其他化学制品Ⅲ 同益中（688722.SH） 买入-A(维持) 2024Q4 盈利水平提升，差异化产品矩阵不断丰富 | 市场数据：2025 年 3 月 | 31 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | 16.25 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | | 19.29/9.57 | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | | 2.24/2.25 | | 流通 A 股市值（亿）： | | 36.42 | | 总市值（亿）： | | 36.51 | | 年 基础数据：2024 | 月 12 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | 0.58 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | 0.58 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | 6.31 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | 9.52 | 事件描述 3 月 29 日，公司发布《2024 ...

2025 年 3 月 31 日 行业研究/行业周报 化学原料行业近一年市场表现 资料来源：最闻 相关报告： 落地，国内民航 SAF 第二阶段试点启动- 新材料周报（250317-0321） 2025.3.24 行动计划，永成新材 T1100 碳纤维实现 量 产 - 新 材 料 周 报 （ 250310-0314 ） 2025.3.18 冀泳洁 博士 执业登记编码：S0760523120002 邮箱：jiyongjie@sxzq.com 王锐 执业登记编码：S0760524090001 邮箱：wangrui1@sxzq.com 研究助理： 申向阳 邮箱：shenxiangyang@sxzq.com 新材料 新材料周报（250324-0328） 领先大市-B(维持) 麦加芯彩取得 DNV 防污漆证书，赢创和科思创 IPDI 供应遭遇异常 摘要 二级市场表现 市场与板块表现：本周新材料板块下跌。新材料指数跌幅为 1.33%，跑输创 业板指 0.21%。近五个交易日，合成生物指数下跌 0.46%，半导体材料下跌 3.22%， 电子化学品上涨 0.80%，可降解塑料下跌 2.05%，工业气体上涨 2.27%，电池化 学 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 28.676 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.013 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.5% [1][3] - The board proposed a final dividend of 20.73 cents per share, with a payout ratio of 50% for the year [1] - The overall retail sales remained stable, with online channels showing low double-digit growth while offline channels experienced a slight decline [3][4] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, revenue from footwear, apparel, accessories, and equipment was 14.3 billion, 12.05 billion, 2.325 billion, and a year-on-year growth of 6.8%, -2.9%, and 29.3% respectively [4] - The retail sales for running, fitness, basketball, and sports lifestyle categories accounted for 28%, 15%, 21%, and 33% of total sales, with year-on-year growth rates of 25%, 6%, -21%, and -6% respectively [4] - The company’s gross margin improved to 49.4%, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to better margins in the e-commerce channel [5][7] Channel Performance - Direct sales revenue decreased by 0.3% to 6.883 billion yuan, with the number of direct stores declining by 13.4% to 1,297 [5] - Wholesale revenue increased by 2.6% to 12.957 billion yuan, with wholesale stores growing by 1.6% to 4,820 [5] - E-commerce revenue grew by 10.3% to 8.305 billion yuan, with significant improvements in customer traffic and conversion rates [5][8] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue optimizing its channel structure and enhancing customer experience, which will support steady business growth [8] - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 29.093 billion, 30.177 billion, and 31.517 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.5%, 3.7%, and 4.4% respectively [8][10]