证券研究报告 | 2025年04月28日 科锐国际（300662.SZ） 优于大市 2024 年经营效能提升显著，2025 年开局良好 2024Q4 归母净利润同比+44%，与业绩快报一致。2024 年，公司营收 117.88 亿元/+20.5%，归母净利润 2.05 亿元/+2.4%，扣非后归母净利润 1.39 亿元 /+3.6%，与业绩快报基本一致符合预期，但收入利润表现未达到 2023 年限 制性股票解锁目标。2024Q4，公司营收 32.72 亿元/+25.4%，归母净利润 0.70 亿元/+44.3%，扣非归母净利润 0.27 亿元/+42.2%，第四季度利润增速转正。 灵活用工维持高周转效率，猎头经营环比继续改善。2024 年，灵活用工业 务营收 111.36 亿元/+22.4%，毛利率 5.5%/-0.8pct，期末灵活用工在管 人数 4.55 万人/+28.2%，期内累计派出人次 49.95 万人/+30.3%，2025Q1 末技术研发类岗位在职人数占比达 68%/+7pct；猎头业务收入 3.75 亿元 /-11.6%，毛利率 26.0%/-0.6pct，环比 24H1（收入同比-15%/毛 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][16][20] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.97 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 33.44%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 342 million, up 31.69% year-on-year [1][7] - The main brand, Marubi, generated a revenue of 2.055 billion in 2024, reflecting a growth of 31.69%, while the secondary brand, Lianhuo, achieved a revenue of 905 million, up 40.72% [2][8] - The company is experiencing a product momentum explosion, particularly with its key products, which are driving significant revenue and profit growth [3][16] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 847 million, a year-on-year increase of 28.01%, and a net profit of 135 million, up 22.07% [1][7] - The gross margin for 2024 was 73.70%, an increase of 3.01 percentage points year-on-year, and is projected to rise to 76.05% in Q1 2025 [3][11] - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 was 301 million, showing a decrease of 11.09% year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw a significant increase of 117.93% [14] Revenue Breakdown - The eye care category generated 689 million in revenue for 2024, a growth of 60.78%, primarily driven by the Marubi Xiaohong Pen eye cream [2][8] - Online sales channels contributed 2.541 billion in revenue for 2024, up 35.77%, accounting for 85.55% of total revenue [2][8] - The company’s top three core products accounted for 64% of sales, indicating a further increase in product concentration [2][8] Profitability Metrics - The net profit margin for 2024 was 11.53%, a decrease of 0.94 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross profit margin continued to improve [11][18] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to reach 10.1% in 2024, increasing to 17.4% by 2027 [4][18] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 3.941 billion in 2025, with a net profit of 476 million, reflecting a growth of 32.7% and 39.4% respectively [4][18] - The forecast for 2027 includes a net profit of 822 million, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20x [3][4][16]

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月28日 长沙银行（601577.SH）2024 年报暨 2025 年一季报点评 优于大市 规模高增，业绩平稳 盈利增速平稳，2024 年分红率提升 1 个百分点。2024 年营收和归母净利润 同比分别增长 4.6%和 4.9%，2025 年一季度营收和归母净利润同比均增长 3.8%。2024 年分红率 22.49%，同比提升 2.2 个百分点，对应股息率 4.47%。 规模延续高增态势，县域金融优势凸显。2024 年末和 2025 年 3 月末规模同 比分别增长了12.4%和14.1%，其中贷款总额同比分别增长了11.6%和12.6%， 规模延续高增态势。其中，2024年对公贷款和个人贷款同比分别增长了19.3% 和 2.6%，主要是信用卡贷款和按揭贷款同比分别下降了 12.8%和 3.6%，个人 经营性贷款和个人消费贷款同比分别增长了 8.3%和 11.3%。 公司信贷实现较好扩张，主要得益于其县域金融战略下积累的深厚客群基 础。2024 年末县域贷款余额达 2014 亿元，同比增长了 18.7%，占贷款总额 的 36.9%，较年初提升 2.2 个百分点。2024 年公司县 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][18] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to multiple factors, including disappointing sales during major promotional events and high marketing costs on platforms like Douyin. The net profit for 2024 is expected to decline by 33.53% year-on-year, while revenue is projected to grow by 3.87% [1][7] - The main brand, Winona, continues to have strong consumer recognition in the sensitive skin care sector, despite short-term performance challenges. The company is actively expanding into the medical beauty and health sectors, which may drive long-term growth [4][18] - The company is currently in a brand matrix development and channel strategy transformation phase, with high expense ratios impacting profitability during this transition [4][18] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company is expected to achieve revenue of 57.36 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.87%, and a net profit of 5.03 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 33.53% [1][7] - The first quarter of 2025 shows a revenue of 9.49 billion, down 13.51% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.28 billion, down 83.97% year-on-year [8] - The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 73.74%, a slight decrease of 0.16 percentage points year-on-year, while the first quarter of 2025 shows an improvement in gross margin to 77.47% [12][3] Brand and Channel Performance - In 2024, the main brand Winona generated revenue of 49.1 billion, a decrease of 2.8% year-on-year, while the sub-brand Winona Baby saw a revenue increase of 34.03% to 2 billion [2][8] - Online sales channels achieved revenue of 39.12 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 10.13%, with significant growth on platforms like Douyin and JD [9][2] - The offline channel revenue decreased by 10.72% year-on-year to 12.74 billion, indicating a shift in consumer purchasing behavior towards online platforms [9][2] Expense and Profitability Metrics - The sales expense ratio for 2024 is projected to increase by 2.71 percentage points year-on-year to 49.97%, reflecting higher marketing investments [12][3] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 6 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, representing a payout ratio of 50% of net profit [1][7] - The net profit forecast for 2025-2026 has been revised down to 6.87 billion and 8.22 billion, respectively, due to prolonged new product development cycles and high expense ratios during the transformation period [4][18]

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月28日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-04-25 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3295.06 | 9917.05 | 3786.99 | 11007.02 | 2675.23 | 1004.57 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | -0.06 | 0.39 | 0.06 | 0.45 | 0.24 | 0.12 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 4454.17 | 6681.49 | 2205.35 | 2466.36 | 2916.34 | 202.73 | $$\overline{{{\mathbb{M}}}}\cong\pm\overline{{{\mathbb{M}}}}$$ ( $\frac{\pi}{10}$) 宏观与策略 宏观周报:高技术制造业宏观周报-国信周频高技术制造业扩散指数走平 宏观周报:宏观经济宏观周报-高频指标环比改善，房地产景气上升 固定收益周报:超 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][18][22] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 12.354 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.25%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.164 billion yuan, up 10.16% year-on-year [1][4] - The increase in performance is primarily attributed to the active trading in the capital market and the implementation of favorable policies, leading to growth in investment income and asset management business [1][3] - The company has seen a significant increase in its financial asset scale, which grew by 18.28% year-on-year to 153.4 billion yuan, with investment income rising dramatically by 370% year-on-year [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating income of 12.354 billion yuan, a 16.25% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.164 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.16% growth [1][4] - The first quarter of 2025 showed an operating income of 2.792 billion yuan, up 17% year-on-year, and a net profit of 516 million yuan, a significant increase of 57% [1] Business Segments - Brokerage business revenue decreased by 5.47% to 2.13 billion yuan due to commission rate reductions, despite a 13% increase in stock trading volume [2] - Investment banking revenue fell by 32.87% to 701 million yuan, with equity underwriting down 89% to 1.906 billion yuan, while bond underwriting increased by 32% to 175.8 billion yuan [2] - Asset management fees increased by 7.6% to 159 million yuan, with assets under management (AUM) reaching 100.995 billion yuan, a 20% increase [3] Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2.393 billion yuan, 2.677 billion yuan, and 2.896 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.6%, 11.9%, and 8.2% [4][18] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 22.6, 20.2, and 18.7 respectively, while the price-to-book (PB) ratios are expected to be 0.9 for 2025 and 2026, and 0.8 for 2027 [4][18]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Neutral" [7][5][6] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 1.576 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 25.1%, and a net profit of 346 million yuan, down 37.1% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin improved quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin of 69.4% in Q1 2025, although it decreased by 4.9 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company is maintaining active expense investments during the peak season to promote sales, with a net profit margin of 22.0%, down 4.18 percentage points year-on-year [3] - A stock incentive plan was announced, granting up to 2.0366 million shares to 168 individuals, with performance targets set for 2025-2027 [4] - Revenue and profit are expected to gradually improve as the company enters a low base period in Q2 2025, with projected revenues of 5.08 billion, 5.38 billion, and 5.76 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.576 billion yuan, a decrease of 25.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 346 million yuan, down 37.1% year-on-year [1] - The revenue from mid-to-high-end liquor was 1.234 billion yuan, down 28.5% year-on-year, while ordinary liquor revenue was 208 million yuan, down 12.6% year-on-year [2] - The company reported a net profit margin of 22.0%, down 4.18 percentage points year-on-year, with a significant improvement in operating cash flow, which increased by 106.8% year-on-year to 224 million yuan [3] Market and Channel Analysis - The company has optimized its channel structure, with a total of 2,621 distributors as of the end of Q1 2025, a decrease of 42 from the end of 2024 [2] - E-commerce channel revenue increased by 36.7% year-on-year to 205 million yuan, reflecting a trend towards online sales in the liquor market [2] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in revenue and performance as it enters a low base period in Q2 2025, with projected revenues of 5.08 billion, 5.38 billion, and 5.76 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][6] - The stock incentive plan aims to motivate employees with performance targets that require significant revenue and profit growth over the next three years [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][18][22] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 12.354 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.25%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.164 billion yuan, up 10.16% year-on-year [1] - The increase in performance is primarily attributed to the active trading in the capital market and the implementation of favorable policies, leading to growth in investment income and asset management business [1][3] - The company has seen a significant increase in its financial asset scale, which grew by 18.28% year-on-year to 153.4 billion yuan, with investment income rising dramatically by 370% [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 12.354 billion yuan, a 16.25% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.164 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.16% growth [1][4] - The first quarter of 2025 showed an operating income of 2.792 billion yuan, up 17% year-on-year, and a net profit of 516 million yuan, a significant increase of 57% [1] Business Segments - Brokerage business revenue decreased by 5.47% to 2.13 billion yuan due to commission rate reductions, despite a 13% increase in stock trading volume [2] - Investment banking revenue fell by 32.87% to 701 million yuan, with equity underwriting down 89% to 1.906 billion yuan, while bond underwriting increased by 32% to 175.8 billion yuan [2] - Asset management fees increased by 7.6% to 159 million yuan, with assets under management (AUM) reaching 100.995 billion yuan, a 20% increase [3] Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2.393 billion yuan, 2.677 billion yuan, and 2.896 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.6%, 11.9%, and 8.2% [3][4] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 22.6, 20.2, and 18.7 respectively, while the price-to-book (PB) ratios are expected to be 0.9 for 2025 and 2026, and 0.8 for 2027 [4][19]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Neutral" [7][5][19]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 1.576 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 25.1%, and a net profit of 346 million yuan, down 37.1% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin improved quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin of 69.4% in Q1 2025, although it decreased by 4.9 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company is maintaining active expenditure during the peak season to promote sales, with a sales expense ratio increasing by 3.03 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - A stock incentive plan was announced, granting up to 2.0366 million shares to 168 individuals, with performance targets set for 2025-2027 [4]. - The company expects a turning point in revenue and performance as it enters a low base period in Q2 2025, with projected revenues of 5.08 billion yuan in 2025, a decrease of 5.1% year-on-year, and net profits of 422 million yuan, an increase of 21.9% year-on-year [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.576 billion yuan, down 25.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 346 million yuan, down 37.1% year-on-year [1]. - The revenue from mid-to-high-end liquor was 1.234 billion yuan, down 28.5% year-on-year, while ordinary liquor revenue was 208 million yuan, down 12.6% year-on-year [2]. - The company reported a net profit margin of 22.0%, down 4.18 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Market and Channel Analysis - The company’s provincial revenue was 494 million yuan, down 9.0% year-on-year, while out-of-province revenue was 949 million yuan, down 33.2% year-on-year [2]. - The e-commerce channel saw revenue of 205 million yuan, an increase of 36.7% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in online sales [2]. Future Outlook - The company maintains its previous profit forecast, expecting revenues of 5.08 billion yuan in 2025, 5.375 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.756 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 422 million yuan, 451 million yuan, and 508 million yuan [5][6]. - The stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 45.0 for 2025 and 42.1 for 2026, maintaining a "Neutral" rating [5][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][27][32] Core Views - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 5.712 billion yuan (up 15.28% year-on-year) and net profit of 254 million yuan (up 18.99 year-on-year) [1][8] - The company plans to invest in a green chemical new energy materials project in Guigang, Guangxi, to fill the capacity gap in South China, which is expected to enhance profitability and risk resistance [2][26] - The prices of key products such as compound fertilizers, monoammonium phosphate, and yellow phosphorus have increased, contributing to the company's performance, with expectations for a slight price increase trend in Q2 2025 [2][19] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin and net margin were 11.69% and 4.56%, respectively, both showing year-on-year increases [1][8] - The company’s non-recurring net profit was 250 million yuan, a substantial increase of 61.44% year-on-year [1][8] - The company’s revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 8.53 billion yuan, 9.72 billion yuan, and 11.19 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.71 yuan, 0.80 yuan, and 0.93 yuan [3][27] Market Trends - The average market price for chloride-based compound fertilizers was 2,394 yuan/ton in Q1 2025, reflecting a 2.48% increase from the previous quarter [2][19] - The average price for monoammonium phosphate was 3,126 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.94% [2][13] - Yellow phosphorus prices averaged 23,283 yuan/ton in Q1 2025, with a 0.84% increase [2][24] Project Development - The planned project in Guigang will include the construction of various facilities with a total capacity of 1.2 million tons of high-efficiency compound fertilizers, 2 million tons of synthetic ammonia, and other chemical products [2][26] - This project aims to expand the company's production scale and improve its competitive position in the market [2][26] Industry Outlook - The phosphate chemical industry is expected to maintain a high price level due to the scarcity of resources and increasing demand in new sectors [12] - The company has established a complete industrial chain from upstream phosphate resources to downstream nitrogen fertilizers, enhancing its market position [3][27]