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快手-W:2024Q1业绩点评:业绩超预期,期待24年利润继续释放
东吴证券· 2024-05-26 16:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou-W (01024 HK) [1] Core Views - Kuaishou's Q1 2024 performance exceeded expectations with revenue of 29 408 billion yuan up 16 6% YoY beating Bloomberg consensus estimates [2] - Adjusted net profit reached 4 39 billion yuan surpassing the consensus estimate of 3 2 billion yuan [2] - The company announced a new share repurchase plan effective from June 13 2024 aiming to repurchase up to 16 billion HKD worth of Class B ordinary shares over the next three years [2] Financial Performance - Q1 2024 revenue grew 16 6% YoY to 29 408 billion yuan with gross margin at 55% higher than the consensus estimate of 52% [2] - Adjusted net profit increased slightly QoQ to 4 388 billion yuan in Q1 2024 despite it being a traditionally low season [3] - Cost optimization efforts led to a 4 percentage point YoY decrease in host sharing costs and related taxes as a percentage of revenue and a 2 percentage point YoY decrease in bandwidth and server hosting costs as a percentage of revenue [3] - Sales expense ratio R&D expense ratio and administrative expense ratio decreased by 2 68 1 91 and 2 07 percentage points YoY respectively [3] User Growth and Engagement - DAU reached 394 million in Q1 2024 up 5 2% YoY while MAU reached 697 million up 6 6% YoY [3] - DAU MAU ratio increased to 56 5% indicating strong user stickiness [3] - Average daily time spent per DAU increased by 2% YoY to 129 5 minutes [3] - Monthly active users using Kuaishou search grew over 15% YoY with peak daily search queries nearing 800 million [3] E-commerce and Monetization - Live streaming revenue decreased 8% YoY to 8 6 billion yuan in Q1 2024 with a projected 14% YoY decline in Q2 2024 [3] - Online marketing services revenue grew 27% YoY to 16 7 billion yuan driven by internal loop revenue growth and external loop advertising in sectors like media gaming and education [3] - Other revenue including e-commerce grew 48% YoY to 4 2 billion yuan [3] - GMV for e-commerce increased 28 2% YoY to 288 1 billion yuan in Q1 2024 with monthly active buyers reaching 126 million up 22 4% YoY [3] - The general shelf field contributed approximately 25% of total GMV with daily active sellers and buyers growing over 50% and 60% YoY respectively [3] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is projected to grow from 113 525 billion yuan in 2023A to 158 203 billion yuan in 2026E with a CAGR of 11 49% to 11 62% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 6 396 billion yuan in 2023A to 28 614 billion yuan in 2026E [2] - Non-GAAP net profit is forecasted to rise from 10 271 billion yuan in 2023A to 31 612 billion yuan in 2026E [2] - EPS is projected to grow from 1 47 yuan in 2023A to 6 59 yuan in 2026E [2] - The 2024-2026 adjusted PE ratios are estimated at 13x 9x and 7x respectively [4] Valuation and Market Data - The stock's closing price was 56 65 HKD with a 52-week range of 38 40 to 72 50 HKD [5] - The P B ratio stands at 4 71x [5] - The market capitalization is 203 032 billion HKD [5] - The company's net asset per share is 12 04 yuan with a debt-to-asset ratio of 50 53% [6]
快手-W:成本费用优化利润端超预期,泛货架推进下需求持续释放
东方证券· 2024-05-26 10:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 73.82 HKD per share, based on a 17x PE valuation for 2024 [7][14]. Core Insights - User growth remains healthy with 1Q24 DAU increasing by 5.2% year-over-year to 394 million and MAU up by 6.6% to 697 million. Average daily usage time per user is 129.5 minutes, a 2.1% increase year-over-year [1]. - Advertising revenue in 1Q24 grew by 27.4% year-over-year to 16.7 billion CNY, accounting for 56.6% of total revenue, with a significant increase in active marketing clients [1]. - E-commerce GMV increased by 28.2% year-over-year to 288.1 billion CNY, driven by a rich supply and the development of a broad shelf scenario [2]. - Live streaming revenue decreased by 8% year-over-year to 8.6 billion CNY, aligning with expectations due to ecosystem governance [2]. - Adjusted net profit for 1Q24 reached 4.4 billion CNY, exceeding expectations, with a gross margin of 54.8% [2]. User Growth and Engagement - 1Q24 saw a year-over-year increase in DAU of 5.2% to 394 million and MAU of 6.6% to 697 million. The average daily usage time per user was 129.5 minutes, reflecting a 2.1% increase year-over-year [1]. - The total user engagement time grew by 8.6% year-over-year, supported by improved channel structure and algorithm enhancements [1]. Advertising Performance - Advertising revenue in 1Q24 was 16.7 billion CNY, a 27.4% increase year-over-year, slightly exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates [1]. - The number of active marketing clients increased by 90% year-over-year, with internal advertising growth outpacing e-commerce GMV growth [1]. E-commerce Development - E-commerce GMV rose by 28.2% year-over-year to 288.1 billion CNY, with other business revenue (primarily e-commerce commissions) increasing by 47.6% to 4.2 billion CNY [2]. - The number of monthly active paying users in e-commerce grew by 22.4% year-over-year to 126 million, with a penetration rate of 18.1% [2]. Live Streaming Revenue - Live streaming revenue in 1Q24 decreased by 8% year-over-year to 8.6 billion CNY, primarily due to governance measures within the live streaming ecosystem [2]. Profitability and Financial Performance - The adjusted net profit for 1Q24 was 4.4 billion CNY, with a gross margin of 54.8%, which is higher than the expected 52.6% [2]. - The report anticipates an adjusted net profit of 4.2 billion CNY for 2Q24, with significant improvements in cost management [2]. Share Buyback Plan - The company announced a share buyback plan of up to 16 billion HKD over the next three years, with 3.09 billion HKD already utilized to repurchase shares [3]. Financial Forecasts - The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are 17.17 billion CNY, 25.07 billion CNY, and 32.24 billion CNY respectively, reflecting an upward revision due to better-than-expected profit performance in 1Q24 [9].
快手-W:2024Q1财报点评:盈利能力强健提升,持续加强股东回报
国海证券· 2024-05-26 03:31
2024 年 05 月 25 日 公司研究 评级:买入 (维持 ) 研究所: [Table_Title] 盈利能力强健提升,持续加强股东回报 证券分析师: 陈梦竹 S0350521090003 chenmz@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师: 尹芮 S0350522110001 ——快手 ( ) 财报点评 -W 1024.HK 2024Q1 yinr@ghzq.com.cn 最近一年走势 事件 : 5月22日,公司公告2024Q1季报,实现营收294.08亿元(YoY+16.6%, QoQ-9.7%),毛利率为54.8%,实现营业利润39.94亿元,净利润41.20 亿元,净利率为14.0%,经调整净利润43.88亿元。 我们的观点:  1、 运营情况:持续优化用户增长策略和算法,2024Q1平台用户数 据保持稳健增长,MAU达6.97亿,DAU达3.94亿,日活跃用户日 相对恒生指数表现 2024/05/24 均时长129.5分钟,保持高用户粘性。用户流量稳健增长,2024年 表现 1M 3M 12M 第一季度用户总使用时长同比增长8.6%。 快手-W 6.7% 23.4% 2.0% 恒生指数 8.2% ...
快手-W:利润大超预期,电商增长强劲
浦银国际证券· 2024-05-24 10:01
浦银国际研究 公司研究 | 互联网行业 快手科技(1024.HK):利润大超预期, 赵丹 电商增长强劲 浦 首席互联网分析师 银 dan_zhao@spdbi.com 国 (852) 2808 6436 利润远超市场预期,宣布回购股份:公司1Q24 收入为人民币 294 亿 际  元,同比增长 16.6%,比市场预期高1.3%;毛利率同比改善 8.4 个百 杨子超,CFA 分点至 54.8%,主要由于收入结构变化及带宽成本下降;调整后净利 互联网分析师 charles_yang@spdbi.com 润43.9 亿元,比市场预期高37%,调整后净利润率14.9%,去年同期 (852) 2808 6409 为 0.2%。此外,公司也宣布未来三年回购不超过 160 亿港元股份, 提升股东回报,约占当前市值6%。 2024年5月23日 总流量保持健康增长,外循环广告持续复苏:1Q24公司DAU 3.94亿, 评级 公  同比增长 5.2%;MAU达到6.97 亿,同比增长6.6%;用户总时长保持 司 健康增长,同比增长 8.6%。一季度,广告业务收入 167 亿元,同比 目标价(港元) 71 研 增长27%。其中 ...
快手-W:24Q1利润增长强劲,经营管理效率持续提升
中银证券· 2024-05-24 09:32
传媒 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2024年5月24日 01024.HK 快手-W 买入 24Q1 利润增长强劲,经营管理效率持续提升 原评级:买入 市场价格:港币 59.15 快手发布24Q1业绩,收入保持较快增长,毛利率达到单季最好水平。AI赋 板块评级:强于大市 能多个应用场景,短剧/游戏/教育营销投放增长强劲。维持买入评级。 股价表现 支撑评级的要点 24%  24Q1 利润增长强劲,海外变现仍在加速。快手 24Q1 营业收入 294.1 亿 14% 元,同比+16.6%;IFRS净利润41.2亿元(vs. 23Q1净亏损8.76亿元); 3% 经调整净利润 43.9 亿元,同比+10348%,经调整净利率 14.9%,持续提 升。国内收入284.2亿元,同比+14.2%,经营利润39.9亿元,同比+314.4%; (8%) 海外收入9.9亿元,同比+193.2%,经营亏损2.68亿元,同比收窄67.4%。 (19%) (30%)  用户流量稳健增长,AI技术赋能多个应用场景。24Q1月活和日活用户分 ya 3M -2 n 3uJ -2 l 3uJ -2 gu 3A -2 tc 3O -2 ...
快手-W:24年Q1财报点评:电商业务高速增长,经调整净利润创单季度新高
长江证券· 2024-05-24 08:02
%% research.95579.com %% 丨证券研究报告丨 港股研究丨公司点评丨快手 ( ) -W 1024.HK [快Ta手ble_T年itle] 财报点评:电商业务高速增长, 24 Q1 经调整净利润创单季度新高 报告要点 [公Ta司bl公e_布Su2m0m24ar年y] Q1 财报。快手 24Q1 实现营收 294.1 亿元,同比增长 16.6%;实现 Non- GAAP净利润43.9亿元,同比增超103倍,创单季历史新高。收入端,快手24Q1实现线上 营销服务收入166.5亿元,同比增长27.4%;实现直播收入85.8亿元,同比降低8.0%;实现 其他服务收入41.8亿元,同比增长47.6%。看好公司在AI赋能、效率提升、高质量发展下持 ...
快手-W:核心商业收入高速增长,利润超预期
广发证券· 2024-05-24 03:02
[Table_Page] 季报点评|媒体Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [【Table_Ti广tle] 发 传 媒 & 海 外 】 快 手 -W [公Tab司le_评Inve级st] 买入 当前价格 58.15港元 (01024.HK) 合理价值 87.50港元 前次评级 买入 核心商业收入高速增长,利润超预期 报告日期 2024-05-23 [ 核Tab 心le_S 观umm 点ary :] [相Tab对le_P市icQ场uote表] 现  快手发布24Q1财报:24Q1收入达到294亿元,YoY/QoQ+17%/-10%, 30% 18% vs.一致预期为290亿元(超1%)。24Q1净利润为41亿元,去年同期 6% 为-8.8 亿,23Q4 为 36 亿元。NonGAAP 净利润为 43.88 亿元, -6%05/23 07/23 09/23 11/23 01/24 03/24 05/24 YoY+10348%,QoQ+1%,vs.一致预期为32亿元(超37%),净利润 -18% -30% 率达到15%,YoY+14.8pct,QoQ+1.5pct。 快手-W 恒生指数  24Q1 核心商业(广告+电商佣金)收入 ...
快手-W:港股公司信息更新报告:2024Q1经调整净利润大增,回购彰显管理层信心
开源证券· 2024-05-23 10:02
传媒/数字媒体 公 司 研 快手-W(01024.HK) 2024Q1 经调整净利润大增,回购彰显管理层信心 究 2024年05月23日 ——港股公司信息更新报告 投资评级:买入(维持) 方光照(分析师) 田鹏(分析师) fangguangzhao@kysec.cn tianpeng@kysec.cn 日期 2024/5/22 证 书编号:S0790520030004 证书编号:S0790523090001 港 当前股价(港元) 58.150  2024Q1经调整净利润大增,商业化变现效率提升,维持“买入”评级 股 一年最高最低(港元) 72.500/38.400 公司 2024Q1 实现收入 294.1 亿元(同比+16.6%),主要系线上营销服务收入同 公 司 总市值(亿港元) 2,522.91 比增长27.4%至166.5亿元,实现毛利率54.8%(同比+8.4pct),经调整净利润为 信 流通市值(亿港元) 2,522.91 43.88亿元(同比+10347.6%),经调整EBITDA为59.79亿元(同比+199.5%), 息 总股本(亿股) 43.39 业绩大幅增长主要由于线上营销服务收入大幅增 ...
快手-W:2024Q1业绩点评:利润释放持续超预期,新一轮回购计划彰显信心
民生证券· 2024-05-23 09:32
快手(1024.HK)2024Q1业绩点评 利润释放持续超预期,新一轮回购计划彰显信心 2024年05月23日 ➢ 事件:2024年5月22日,快手发布24Q1业绩,24Q1总收入294亿元,➢ 推 荐 维持评级 ➢ ➢ yoy+16.6%;净利润 41 亿元,同比扭亏为盈;经调整净利润 44 亿元,同比 当前价格: 58.15港元 +10347.6%。 ➢ 用户流量稳健增长,DAU日均时长同环比提升至129.5分钟。从用户侧来 看,Q1 DAU 3.94亿,yoy+5.2%,qoq+3.0%;MAU 6.97亿,yoy+6.6%, [Table_Author] qoq-0.4%;DAU日均时长达到129.5分钟,同环比均实现提升,主要得益于开 展包括用户兴趣多样性探索和短视频评论排序策略优化等在内的专项。在用户增 长方面,公司不断优化用户的渠道结构,结合算法对新增用户留存率进行预测, 用户增长的ROI提升。在内容供给方面,公司扶持有快手特色的优质创作者,并 在重要时间点打造差异化的具有快手特色的优质IP内容,吸引用户使用快手。 ➢ 24Q1收入略超预期,线上营销+电商业务高增长驱动。24Q1,1)线上营 分 ...
快手-W:业绩超预期,将开启160亿港元回购
国金证券· 2024-05-23 08:02
2024年05月23日 买入(维持评级) 快手-W(01024.HK) 港股公司点评 证券研究报告 业绩超预期,将开启 160 亿港元回购 传 媒与互联网组 分析师:陈泽敏(执业S1130524020004) 业绩简评 chenzemin@gjzq.com.cn 2024年5月22日,公司披露2024年一季度业绩公告,2024Q1实 分析师:许孟婕(执业S1130522080003) 现收入294亿元,同比增长16.6%, Non-IFRS净利润43.9亿元, x umengjie@gjzq.com.cn 同比增长10347.6%。 经营分析 市 价(港币):58.150元 即将开启 160 亿港元回购计划,继续加强股东回报。公司宣布在 现有股份回购计划到期后,开启新股份回购计划,公司可于未來36 相关报告: 个月内购回价值不超過 160 亿港元的 B 类普通股。截至 5 月 22 1.《快手-W港股公司点评:运营效率提升,进入全面盈利 日,公司已根据现有股份购回计划回购共30.9亿港元公司股份。 时代》,2024.3.21 成本费用持续优化带动公司利润率提升。2024Q1公司毛利率达到 2.《快手-W港股公 ...