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京能电力(600578):新机组持续落地,1Q25利润超预期
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 11:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 5.23 RMB [7][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 35.428 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.54%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.723 billion RMB, up 95.52% from the previous year, exceeding expectations [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 9.885 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 4.59%, and a net profit of 1.063 billion RMB, up 129.84%, driven by lower coal prices and increased revenue from renewable energy [1]. - The company plans to continue expanding its renewable energy capacity, with a projected increase in installed capacity and ongoing projects [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected at 35.428 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 7.76% for 2025 [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 4.080 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a significant growth of 136.75% compared to 2024 [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.61 RMB for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 13.61% [6]. Operational Highlights - The company’s thermal power generation volume increased by 5% in 2024, with a total installed capacity of 21.39 million kW, an increase of 1.61 million kW year-on-year [2]. - The average electricity price for thermal power remained stable at 360 RMB per MWh, with a decrease in fuel costs by 3.9% [2]. - Renewable energy generation saw a significant increase, with a year-on-year growth of 322% in 2024, driven by new projects coming online [3]. Valuation Metrics - The target price of 5.23 RMB corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.11x for 2025, which is above the industry average of 1.07x [4]. - The company’s projected net profit compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2025 to 2027 is 43%, significantly higher than the industry average of 12% [4].
中盐化工(600328):Q1盈利同比下滑,纯碱景气静待复苏
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 11:05
Q1 盈利同比下滑,纯碱景气静待复苏 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 化学原料 | 中盐化工于4月28日发布25Q1季报:Q1实现营业收入27.7亿元,同比+3%/ 环比-17%,归母净利润 0.17 亿元,同比-73%/环比+131%,扣非净利润 0.06 亿元,同比-74%/环比+103%。考虑公司具备盐化工一体化生产能力,行业 低景气下有望具备竞争力,维持"增持"评级。 25Q1 纯碱量价环比承压,多数氯碱产品均价下跌致盈利同比下滑 受纯碱新产能投放及下游玻璃需求偏弱影响,纯碱量价环比承压,公司 25Q1 纯碱销量同比+71%/环比-17%至95万吨,营收同比+9.8%/环比-18%至12.1 亿元,均价同比-36%/环比-1.4%至 1274 元/吨。烧碱/PVC/糊树脂销量同比 +1%/-4%/+22%至 9.0/9.4/5.4 万吨(环比-18%/-5%/-19%),营收同比 -3%/-15%/+12%至 2.1/4.1/3.5 亿元(环比-29%/-22%/-6%),均价同比 - ...
宇信科技:业绩高增长,重点关注AIAgent进展-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 09:00
证券研究报告 宇信科技 (300674 CH) 业绩高增长,重点关注 AI Agent 进展 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 计算机应用 | 宇信科技发布一季报,25Q1 实现营收 5.25 亿(yoy-12.57%),归母净利 5815.43 万(yoy+81.09%),扣非净利 5531.76 万(yoy+77.01%), 经营 净现金流为-4.12 亿元(yoy-37.63%),主要系集成业务付款增加(上年末 的应付票据到期兑付)以及本年集成业务规模下降导致收款减少所致。公司 发布 2025 年员工持股计划,受让总份额不超过 900 万股,受让回购股份的 价格为 11.44 元/股,业绩考核:以 24 年为基数,25 年/26 年收入或净利润 增长率不低于 10%、20%。公司积极布局 AI 应用、海外市场和创新运营业 务,25 年有望快速增长,看好公司发展前景,维持"买入"评级。 25Q1:系统集成收入减少导致营收同比下滑,三大因素驱动业绩高增长 25Q1 公司营收同比下滑 12.57 ...
江波龙:海外、企业级存储业务同比高增-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 09:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 110.00 RMB [4][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.256 billion RMB in Q1 2025, showing a year-over-year decline of 4.41% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.45%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -152 million RMB, down 139.52% year-over-year and down 160.58% quarter-over-quarter [1][2]. - The growth in overseas and enterprise-level storage businesses has been robust, with Lexar brand revenue increasing by 20.73% year-over-year and Zilia's revenue growing by 45.08% year-over-year [2][3]. - The report anticipates a price rebound in DRAM/NAND products in Q2 2025, driven by inventory digestion and increased stocking willingness from downstream customers [1][3]. Summary by Sections Q1 2025 Performance - The company reported a revenue of 4.256 billion RMB, with a year-over-year decline of 4.41% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.45%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -152 million RMB, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 139.52% [1][2]. - The gross margin was reported at 10.35%, down 14.04 percentage points year-over-year, but the decline in margin has narrowed compared to previous quarters [2]. Growth Drivers - The overseas and enterprise-level storage businesses showed strong growth, with Lexar's revenue increasing by 20.73% and Zilia's revenue increasing by 45.08% year-over-year. The enterprise storage product combination "eSSD+RDIMM" achieved over 200% year-over-year revenue growth [2][3]. - The company is actively expanding its product offerings and customer base, particularly in the high-end product segment [2][3]. 2025 Outlook - The report expects a price rebound in consumer storage products starting in Q2 2025, as major manufacturers like Micron have announced price increases. The company’s self-developed UFS 4.1 controller chip has successfully entered mass production, which will support new product launches [3]. - The integration of Zilia with Yuan Cheng Suzhou has improved operational efficiency and expanded the company's reach into South American markets [3]. Financial Projections - The company’s revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 22.756 billion RMB, 26.700 billion RMB, and 29.568 billion RMB, respectively, indicating a growth trajectory [4][6]. - The report projects a net profit of 668.52 million RMB for 2025, with an expected EPS of 1.61 RMB [6][4].
山东黄金:控股股东增持彰显发展信心-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 08:55
25Q1 公司销量价格齐升,业绩表现亮眼 25Q1 公司自产金产/销量分别为 11.87/10.99 吨,分别 yoy-0.31%/+7.98%, 外购金产/销量分别为 20.24/20.24 吨,分别 yoy+1.67%/+12.94%,小金条 产/销量分别为 3.2/2.9 吨,分别 yoy-55.49%/-59.21%,对业绩影响最重要 的自产金虽然产量同比略有下降,但销量同比提升较多。据年报,2025 年 公司计划黄金产量不低于 50 吨。此外,得益于金价的上涨,据 Wind,25Q1 均价 672.13 元/克(yoy+37.2%),最终公司归母净利润同比+46.62%。 控股股东及其一致行动人增持公司股票,彰显发展信心 证券研究报告 山东黄金 (1787 HK/600547 CH) 控股股东增持彰显发展信心 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地/中国香港 | 贵金属 | 山东黄金发布一季报,2025 年 Q1 实现营收 259.35 亿元(yoy+36.81%、 qoq+67.19%),归母 ...
格科微:50M产品将逐渐在自有晶圆厂量产-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 08:55
证券研究报告 格科微 (688728 CH) 2024 年:手机驱动收入增长,市场竞争激烈利润率下滑 2024 年分产品看,公司手机 CIS 产品收入 36 亿(yoy +60%,占比 56%), 毛利率 21%(yoy-10.40pct,主要系 2/5/8M 低像素手机 CIS 市场竞争激烈); 非手机 CIS 产品收入 14 亿元(yoy +18%,占比 22%),毛利率 35.6%(yoy +0.32pct),显示驱动芯片收入 13.6 亿元(yoy+9.5%,占比 21%),毛利率 14%(yoy-6.4pct)。公司 24 年末存货达到 59.6 亿元,1Q25 达到 62.2 亿 元,主因手机 CIS 产品自有晶圆厂的生产备货。 25 年:预计 50M 高像素产品将逐渐在自有晶圆工厂量产 1Q25 公司实现营收 15.2 亿(yoy+18%,qoq-17%),归母净亏损 5,173 万, 毛利率 20.9%(yoy-4.4pct,qoq-0.6pct),我们预计 50M 产品实现约 1 亿 元收入,25 年全年 0.8um/0.7um/0.61um/1.0um 产品逐渐进入量产,或实 现超过 10 ...
潮宏基:Q1净利率提升,看好估值重估机会-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 08:55
Q1 净利率提升,看好估值重估机会 证券研究报告 潮宏基 (002345 CH) 华泰研究 年报点评 2025 年 4 月 29 日│中国内地 零售 潮宏基公布年报及一季报:2024 年收入 65.2 亿元(同比+10.5%),归母净 利润 1.94 亿元(同比-41.9%),主要系女包业务计提商誉减值拖累,剔除该 影响后归母净利润 3.5 亿元,同比-5.1%;1Q25 收入 22.52 亿元(同比 +25.4%),归母净利润 1.89 亿元(同比+44.4%),业绩表现亮眼。同时, 公司拟向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 2.5 元(含税),叠加半年度分红, 全年累计分红比例为 160.59%。潮宏基品牌定位年轻时尚,凭借非遗工艺 和时尚设计形成差异化产品矩阵,我们看好潮宏基产品力提升的趋势,有望 带动估值体系由渠道商向品牌商转型。维持"买入"评级。 产品结构变化致毛利率小幅下降,经营杠杆优化下 1Q25 净利率提升 2024 年公司潮宏基珠宝品牌收入/营业利润同比分别+13.3%/12.8%,快于 黄金首饰市场规模 9.8%的增速(据中国珠宝玉石首饰行业协会);尤其是 4Q24 增长提速,潮宏基品牌收 ...
苏博特:24营收显韧性,1Q盈利修复进行时-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 08:55
证券研究报告 苏博特 (603916 CH) 24 营收显韧性,1Q 盈利修复进行时 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 专用材料 | 苏博特发布年报,2024 年实现营收 35.55 亿元(yoy-0.75%),归母净利 9588.11 万元(yoy-40.24%),全年盈利略低于我们此前预期(1.15 亿元), 我们认为主因减值略高于我们此前预计。其中 Q4 实现营收 10.80 亿元 (yoy+7.33%,qoq+18.36%),归母净利 1727.38 万元(yoy-9.01%, qoq-31.77%)。1Q25 公司实现收入 6.82 亿元((yoy+17.81%),实现归母 净利 2432.83 万元(yoy+15.36%),公司收入增速修复,考虑到外部关税 不确定性扰动下,基建投资或有加码推动公司产品需求好转,维持"买入"。 24 年产能增长利用率下降,导致成本摊薄偏弱 24 年公司高性能减水剂/高效减水剂/功能性材料/检测技术服务分别实现收 入 18.6/0.5/6.7/7.6 亿 ...
森马服饰:1Q25业绩短期承压,扩店提效可期-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 08:55
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of RMB 7.50 [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 14.63 billion for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, and a net profit of RMB 1.14 billion, up 1.4% year-on-year, exceeding previous expectations due to effective channel adjustments [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a revenue of RMB 3.08 billion, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 210 million, down 38.1% year-on-year. The long-term value is expected to improve after the short-term performance pressure is released [1][2]. - The company is focusing on channel optimization and enhancing store efficiency, which is expected to lay a solid foundation for medium to long-term development [1][2]. Revenue and Profitability - Online revenue for 2024 was RMB 6.67 billion, growing 7.24% year-on-year, while offline revenue from direct sales and franchises was RMB 1.55 billion (up 12.6%) and RMB 6.07 billion (up 5.1%), respectively [2]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 43.8%, primarily due to increased sales and financial expense ratios from channel layout adjustments [3]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 decreased by 4.9 percentage points to 6.9% [3]. Inventory and Operational Efficiency - By the end of 2024, the company's inventory was RMB 3.481 billion, an increase of 26.8% year-on-year, with inventory turnover days rising to 188 days in Q1 2025, an increase of 45 days year-on-year [4]. - Accounts receivable turnover days increased to 41 days in Q1 2025, indicating a slight short-term pressure on operational efficiency [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are RMB 1.29 billion and RMB 1.48 billion, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at RMB 1.74 billion [5]. - The company is assigned a PE ratio of 15.7 for 2025, with a target price of RMB 7.50, reflecting its position as a leading brand in children's and leisure apparel despite short-term operational pressures [5].
和而泰:业绩快速增长,智能化塑造新动能-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 08:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company has shown rapid revenue growth, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 2.585 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30.44%. The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 169 million RMB, up 75.41% year-on-year [1]. - The domestic AI application market is experiencing robust growth, which is expected to accelerate the intelligent upgrade of terminal products, providing new opportunities for the company [1]. - The company has improved its profitability, with Q1 2025 gross margin and net profit margin at 19.53% and 6.55%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.68 and 1.68 percentage points [3]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - The home appliance segment generated 6.094 billion RMB in revenue for 2024, up 33.08% year-on-year, driven by stable demand from overseas clients [2]. - The automotive electronics segment saw a revenue increase of 47.97%, reaching 816 million RMB, supported by expanding delivery scales to Tier 1 customers and rapid growth in self-developed product lines [2]. - The intelligent business segment achieved 1.22 billion RMB in revenue, a 26.29% increase, benefiting from the acceleration of intelligent upgrades in the AI era [2]. Profitability and Efficiency - The company’s focus on high-value clients and cost control has led to improved operational efficiency, with a decrease in expense ratios [3]. - The subsidiary Chengchang Technology turned a profit in Q1 2025, contributing positively to the overall financial performance [1][3]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 704 million, 904 million, and 1.204 billion RMB, respectively, with upward adjustments of 2% for 2025 and 2026 [4]. - The report estimates a target market capitalization of 21.47 billion RMB, with a target price of 23.19 RMB per share, reflecting a significant increase from the previous target of 17.50 RMB [4][14].