证券研究报告 京东工业 (7618 HK) 专注于供应链数字化领域的创新者 2026 年 2 月 25 日│中国香港 首次覆盖京东工业，给予"买入"评级，目标价 18.47 港元，对应 2026 年 目标调整后净利润 PE 28x。2024 年以 GMV 计，公司为中国最大的工业供 应链技术与服务提供商。以"太璞"数字化工业供应链整体解决方案为基， 公司已建立覆盖全流程端到端供应链数字基础设施。我们看好公司在工业采 购数字化和线上化率提升的行业大背景下，利用自身技术驱动的效率提升能 力和集团协同效应，持续深化核心用户规模和份额增长，并通过切入 BOM、 国际业务和自有品牌等举措，实现中长期收入规模和利润率双重扩张。 工业供应链数字化和透明化或为大势所趋 中国工业供应链市场规模庞大，2024 年达 11.4 万亿，但结构高度分散且长 期依赖线下多层级的传统体系，存在成本高、效率低、透明度不足的痛点。 供给侧，随着基础升级和技术的逐步成熟，工业供应链正加速向数字化和一 体化方向演进。政策上，阳光采购、合规监管与财税规范化要求进一步强化 了企业对可追溯、可管理供应链解决方案的需求。市场空间上，工业供应链 技术与服务 ...

亚玛芬体育 (AS US) 证券研究报告 基本数据 | 收盘价 (美元 截至 2 月 24 日) | 38.24 | | --- | --- | | 市值 (美元百万) | 21,207 | | 6 个月平均日成交额 (美元百万) | 160.69 | | 52 周价格范围 (美元) | 20.21-42.76 | 股价走势图 (28) (10) 9 28 46 Feb-25 Jun-25 Oct-25 Feb-26 (%) 亚玛芬体育 标普500 资料来源：S&P 4Q25 强劲势头有望延续 2026 年 2 月 25 日│美国 服装 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 | 2 月 25 日│美国 | | 服装 | 目标价(美元): | 44.46 | | 公司公布 | 4Q25 业绩：4Q25 | 营收 21.0 亿美元，同比增长 | 28%（固定汇率 | 樊俊豪 SAC No. S0570524050001 | 研究员 fanjunhao@htsc.com | | | | ...

今日早参 2026 年 2 月 26 日 张继强 研究所所长、固收首席研究员 座机：13910012450 邮箱：zhangjiqiang@htsc.com 陈慎 房地产行业首席研究员 座机：021 38476038 邮箱：chenshen@htsc.com 今日热点 风险提示：房地产政策波动，房地产市场复苏不及预期，部分房企经营风 险。 研报发布日期：2026-02-25 研究员 刘璐 SAC:S0570519070001 SFC:BRD825 固定收益：AI 叙事的转变 ——基本面观察 2 月第 2 期 2026 年以来，全球 AI 叙事正在经历一次重要的边际变化，我们至少看到了 三层叙事的转变。 第一层叙事：对 Scaling Law 开始出现一些分歧。 过去几年 AI 投资的核心引擎来自于 Scaling Law 的经验规律：模型越大、数 据越多、算力越强，性能越好。但这条规律正在出现一些裂痕。 风险提示：AI 开支不及预期，地缘政治风险。 研报发布日期：2026-02-25 研究员 张继强 SAC:S0570518110002 SFC:AMB145 吴靖 SAC:S0570523070006 房地产 ...

2 月 25 日，上海五部门联合印发楼市新政"沪七条"。在限购松绑、公积 金支持、房产税优化三大维度全面发力，放松力度高于年前的北京新政。我 们认为，新政将有效降低购房门槛、提升支付能力，精准激活刚需与改善需 求，放松力度超市场预期。叠加 2 月 2 日的收储新政，有望推动上海楼市从 "预期底"向"量价修复"加速过渡，为一线城市稳市场提供重要样本，也 有望为房地产市场存量去化与行业转型注入新动能。我们看好"三好"房企、 优秀商业运营商、港资房企、高分红物管公司的投资机遇。 三维发力：大幅降低限购门槛，提升支付能力，疏通置换链条 证券研究报告 稳定楼市预期下的上海范本 ——上海"沪七条"点评 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 25 日│中国内地 动态点评 新政对非沪籍及持居住证群体的限购政策进行系统性优化：1、将非沪籍外 环内购房社保/个税要求从 3 年大幅降至 1 年；2、社保/个税满 3 年的非沪 籍家庭可在外环内增购 1 套；3、持居住证满 5 年者可直接购房，无需社保 证明。新政在公积金和房产税方面同步发力：公积金首套贷款最高额度从 160 万提至 240 万，叠加多子女及绿色建筑政策后最高可达 324 ...

2026 年 2 月 25 日│美国 服装 证券研究报告 亚玛芬体育 (AS US) 4Q25 强劲势头有望延续 经营预测指标与估值 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 | 2 月 25 日│美国 | | 服装 | 目标价(美元): | 44.46 | | 公司公布 | 4Q25 业绩：4Q25 | 营收 21.0 亿美元，同比增长 | 28%（固定汇率 | 樊俊豪 SAC No. S0570524050001 | 研究员 fanjunhao@htsc.com | | | | 计算同比+26%），由技术服装和户外性能板块引领增长，调整后 | OPM 同 | SFC No. BDO986 | +(852) 3658 6000 | 张霜凝* 研究员 SAC No. S0570525070015 zhangshuangning@htsc.com +(86) 755 8249 2388 | 杨耀* | 联系人 | | --- | --- | | SAC No. S057012407005 ...

证券研究报告 基础化工 美将磷系农资列入战略资源影响深远 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 24 日│中国内地 动态点评 基础化工 增持 (维持) | 庄汀洲 | 研究员 | | --- | --- | | SAC No. S0570519040002 | zhuangtingzhou@htsc.com | | SFC No. BQZ933 | +(86) 10 5679 3939 | | 杨泽鹏* | 研究员 | | SAC No. S0570525070014 | yangzepeng@htsc.com | | | +(86) 755 8249 2388 | 行业走势图 (10) 5 20 35 50 Feb-25 Jun-25 Oct-25 Feb-26 (%) 基础化工 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华泰研究 重点推荐 | | | 目标价 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 股票代码 | (当地币种) | 投资评级 | | 川恒股份 | 002895 CH | 50.73 | 买入 | | 云天化 | 600096 CH | 44.66 | 买入 | | 中海 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the electric power equipment and new energy sector [7] Core Views - The cancellation of IEEPA tariffs and the introduction of a 15% tariff under the 122 clause could lead to a marginal improvement of 5% to 10% in tariffs for various components, benefiting companies like Ningde Times, Sunshine Power, and others [2][10] - The potential for the Trump administration to implement additional tariffs under clauses 201, 232, 301, and 338 could maintain the overall tariff levels, impacting the competitiveness of domestic products against overseas counterparts [4][10] - The demand for electric new equipment in the U.S. remains strong, with a projected revenue share of 16% or less for sample companies in 2026, indicating resilience against tariff fluctuations [5] Summary by Sections Tariff Changes and Impacts - The report outlines two scenarios regarding tariff changes: an optimistic scenario with a 15% tariff leading to a 5% to 10% reduction in marginal tariffs for various components, and a pessimistic scenario where additional tariffs could keep overall levels unchanged [2][4] - The U.S. Supreme Court's ruling is expected to narrow the tariff gap between domestic and overseas production by 1% to 5% due to the new uniform 15% tariff [3] Company Recommendations - The report highlights several companies as favorable investment opportunities, including: - Ningde Times (300750 CH) with a target price of 566.18 - Sunshine Power (300274 CH) with a target price of 198.63 - Yihua Lithium Energy (300014 CH) with a target price of 96.96 - TBEA (600089 CH) with a target price of 33.31 - Foster (603806 CH) with a target price of 19.97 [14] Market Dynamics - The electric new equipment sector is experiencing high demand due to the inability of overseas suppliers to meet urgent needs, particularly in the transformer market, which is expected to have a supply gap until at least 2027 [5] - The report emphasizes that the tariff adjustments will have a limited impact on the main photovoltaic industry, while auxiliary materials and lithium battery sectors may benefit significantly [3][10]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The satellite launch industry is entering an accelerated phase, with significant growth expected in satellite deployment plans, including over 200,000 satellites submitted by China and 1 million by SpaceX, indicating a potential increase in the global satellite market from tens of MW to hundreds of MW and GW levels [15][21][22] - The space photovoltaic market is currently valued at 30 MW, representing only 2% of the terrestrial photovoltaic market, but could expand significantly under various scenarios, potentially reaching 100 GW and generating up to 9 times the value of the terrestrial market [3][18] - The competition for orbital resources is intensifying, with low Earth orbit (LEO) communication satellites becoming the primary focus, as they offer lower latency and broader applications compared to traditional satellites [16][35] Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Growth and Satellite Launches - The global satellite launch volume is expected to reach a historical high in 2025, with a projected increase of 72.5% in new satellites launched, totaling approximately 4,330 satellites [22][21] - China's satellite deployment plans are ambitious, with a significant increase in the number of satellites expected to be launched by 2030, potentially exceeding 10,000 annually [21][27] Section 2: Space Photovoltaics Market Potential - The current space photovoltaic market is small, but three scenarios could lead to substantial growth: 1. A dense launch of communication satellites could push the market to 40% of the terrestrial photovoltaic market 2. Initial networking of computing constellations could create a demand for 10 GW of space photovoltaics, surpassing terrestrial values 3. Dominance of computing satellites could lead to a demand of 100 GW, increasing market value significantly [3][18] Section 3: Technological Developments and Supply Chain Opportunities - The report highlights the need for technological advancements in space photovoltaic systems, particularly in materials and efficiency, as traditional technologies face limitations in space environments [8][17] - The supply chain for space photovoltaics is expected to see increased demand for packaging materials, which are significantly more valuable in space applications compared to terrestrial uses [19][18] - The shift towards flexible solar wings is anticipated to replace rigid designs, creating new opportunities for materials such as UTG glass and CPI films [19][18]

证券研究报告 渣打集团 (2888 HK) 港股通 25Q4 净利息收入（NII）环比 25Q3 提升 8%，主要源自 25Q4 HIBOR 的暂 时性利好。25Q4 净息差 2.09%，环比 25Q3 提升 15bp。25Q4 生息资产收 益率 4.40%，环比 Q3 下滑 12bp，25Q4 计息负债成本率 2.16%，环比 Q3 下滑 25bp。25A 净利息收入同比上升 1%至 112 亿美元。公司指引 2026 年净利息收入或同比持平。分地区看，25A 中国香港、中国内地、新加坡、 韩国税前利润（经调口径）分别同比+40%、-24%、+39%、-24%，中国香 港及新加坡地区业绩保持快速增长。 财富管理优异，环球市场波动 25Q4 非净利息收入同比 24Q4 提升 2%，环比 25Q3 下降 21%，部分财富 方案业务及环球银行业务的增长被环球市场业务的非经常性收入减少所抵 销。 分业务看， 25Q4 环球 银行 /环球市场 /财富方 案收入分别同 比 +9%/-15%/+20%。环球市场业务波动主因偶发性项目减少。25A 非净利息 收入同比上升 13%至 97 亿美元，主要由财富方案业务、环球银行 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the semiconductor industry [1] Core Insights - The storage supercycle remains a key theme for the semiconductor industry in 2026, driven by strong demand and limited supply [20][21] - Major technology companies are increasing their capital expenditure (Capex) forecasts, which supports the positive outlook for the storage market [22] - The report highlights the importance of advanced packaging and the potential for new technologies like CPO (Chiplet Packaging Optimization) to enhance system performance [15][14] Summary by Sections Storage Market - The storage market is entering a seller's market characterized by rising prices and demand, with DRAM ASPs increasing approximately 40% for Samsung and 20% for SK Hynix in Q4 2025 [4][20] - The report anticipates that DRAM prices will continue to rise in Q1 2026, with a forecasted increase of 90-95% for conventional DRAM [25] - Supply constraints are expected to persist, with capital expenditures focused on HBM and advanced processes rather than broad capacity expansion [21][4] Advanced Packaging - Advanced packaging is becoming a critical area of focus, with companies like Intel and Samsung investing in 2.5D/3D packaging technologies [14] - The demand for advanced packaging is expected to grow as cloud service providers increase their capital expenditures and accelerate in-house chip development [15] CPO (Chiplet Packaging Optimization) - CPO is projected to gain traction, with NVIDIA showcasing its CPO solutions that significantly enhance system-level efficiency [15] - The report notes that CPO applications are expected to transition from scale-out to scale-up, improving bandwidth density and energy efficiency [15] Capital Expenditure Trends - North American tech giants are significantly increasing their Capex forecasts for 2026, with estimates reaching approximately $655 billion, a 60% year-over-year increase [22] - This increase in Capex is expected to support ongoing demand for high-performance storage solutions and AI applications [22][24]